Monday, December 06, 2021
Global Stock Markets It’s Do-Or-Die Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Almost all of the US and global markets volatility has taken place over the last 6+ trading days. Even though economic data continues to show a strengthening US economy and jobs market, the news of the Omicron COVID variant has spooked the global markets. I’m going to illustrate how the markets are nearing critical support levels that are a “Do-Or-Die” level for the market, in my opinion.
Let’s get right into the charts – shall we?
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Monday, December 06, 2021
Hawks Triumph, Doves Lose, Gold Bulls Cry! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The hawkish revolution continues. Powell, among the screams of monetary doves, suggested this week that tapering could be accelerated in December!People live unaware that an epic battle between good and evil, the light and dark side of the Force, hard-working entrepreneurs and tax officials is waged every day. What’s more, hawks and doves constantly fight as well, and this week brought a victory for the hawks among the FOMC.
The triumph came on Tuesday when Fed Chair Jerome Powell testified before Congress. He admitted that inflation wasn’t “transitory”, as it is only expected to ease in the second half of 2022. Inflation is therefore more persistent and broad-based than the Fed stubbornly maintained earlier this year, contrary to evidence and common sense:
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Monday, December 06, 2021
How Stock Investors Can Cash in on President Biden’s new Climate Plan / Companies / Climate Change
By: Stephen_McBride
By Justin Spittler : Joe Biden wants to protect your money from climate change.You read that correctly.
In October, the White House released a 40-page report titled, "A Roadmap to Build a Climate-Resilient Economy.” The report, according to Business Insider, “focuses on mitigating the financial risks climate change puts on people's retirements, pensions, savings, and more.”
The Department of Labor is also investigating how investors can account for climate change.
This might seem like an odd objective.
After all, it’s not like the government goes out of its way to protect your hard-earned savings from recessions, financial crises, or inflation.
So, what’s this all about?
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Monday, December 06, 2021
The Lithium Tech That Could Send The EV Boom Into Overdrive / Commodities / Investing 2021
By: OilPrice_Com
The electric revolution is the biggest change the auto industry has seen since Ford invented the assembly line in 1913.
But an impending supply shortage has put one critical resource in the global spotlight.
With the meteoric rise of Tesla, nearly every major automaker has shifted its sights towards producing the next great electric vehicle.
Ford made headlines this year with its announcement of the all-electric F-150 Lightning, which now has upwards of 200,000 pre-orders.
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Sunday, December 05, 2021
How Stagflation Effects Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My long standing mantra has been that one of the primary reasons to remain invested in AI tech stocks is because they are leveredged to inflation, which on an average basis is true. However when gauging how each individual stock will react to inflation one needs to take key points into consideration such as the stocks valuation where an over valued stock trading on many multiples of the markets average of 20 is going to be finally balanced on a knife edge of future gains vs a bear market where it only takes a small shift in investor expectations to send that stock sharply lower.
Whilst the basic reason why AI stocks are leveraged to inflation is because inflation will inflate their revenues and costs and given that AI stocks are highly profitable then the gap between revenues and costs should expand due to inflation hence are leveraged to inflation.
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Sunday, December 05, 2021
Bitcoin FLASH CRASH! Cryptos Blood Bath as Exchanges Run Stops, An Early Christmas Present for Some? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bitcoin FLASH Crash of Saturday 4th December delivered me and likely many crypto investors an early Christmas present by triggering most of my buy limit orders. In this video I explain why it happened, and what to do do to profit from future Flash crashes that WILL happen! As well as how to protect yourselves from the wild, wild west crypto exchanges where literally anything goes!
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Sunday, December 05, 2021
TESCO Pre Omicron Panic Christmas Decorations Festive Shop 2021 / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Eliza_Walayat
Here's a look at what Tesco is offering in terms of christmas decorations for 2021 as we did our festive shop early in case covaaaid omega omogarb did it's dirty work and sent us all down another viral load rabbit hole. Anyway for now it's safe to shop at TESCO for the festive season 2021.
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Saturday, December 04, 2021
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is overbought on multitude of measures and ripe for significant correction even if many people are expecting it to happen. Though I hear many people stating that because so many are expecting a correction therefore it's sods law that it's not going to happen so don't risk missing out on another 10% bull ruin by waiting for a correction!
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Saturday, December 04, 2021
INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Investing is accumulating positions in good corporations for the long-run and not trying to swing trade as some appear to be doing. My primary tools for monitoring my portfolio are Excel spread sheets that I only tend to update prior to posting an article that contains the list of AI tech stocks as I am used to not constantly looking at the state of my portfolio i.e. in years past I would update the prices usually once every couple of months or so given that it is a manual exercise.
Folks, you need to give both your portfolio and yourselves some breathing space, peace of mind as staring at the your stock tracker app's blinking red and green is going to drive you nuts! Don't use trackers, don't use app's. Just use a spread sheet and update your holdings manually once in a while then get on with the rest of your life, don't let your portfolio rule your life!
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Saturday, December 04, 2021
Don’t Get Yourself Into a Bull Trap With Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
You see a commodity going down, then it reverses and starts teasing you with an upward move… only to end up declining further. Is this the case now?
I started yesterday’s analysis with a question that I then replied to, explaining why I thought that it wasn’t necessarily a good idea take profits from one’s short positions at this time, as the corrective upswings could be nothing to write home about, and that it might not be that easy to get back in the short positions at better (higher) prices.
Well, yesterday’s session showed exactly what I meant, and the 4-hour chart found below provides the details.
Saturday, December 04, 2021
GOLD HAS LOTS OF POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
Over the past year, the price of gold has made repeated attempts to move higher. Looking at a one-year price history of GLD in the chart (source) below, there is a series of progressively lower highs which seems to indicate staunch resistance to higher gold prices…
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Saturday, December 04, 2021
4 Tips To Help You Take Better Care Of Your Personal Finances / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
By: Steve_Barker
In order to make informed financial decisions, it's necessary to know where you stand financially. Knowing your expenses, your debt, and your income will allow you to determine your financial goals. All of this is important, but many people are unaware of what they need to do to stay on top of their finances. After reading this article, you will hopefully have learned some of the best ways to keep on top of your finances and live a more stress-free life.
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Saturday, December 04, 2021
What Is A Golden Cross Pattern In Trading? / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems
By: Submissions
Trading is very interesting and rewarding when you have proper knowledge, nerves of steel, and fast decision-making skills. All of this starts with knowing the basics of trading.
Today in this article, let us find out more about the golden cross trading pattern.
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Friday, December 03, 2021
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - Part 2 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is Part 2 of 2 of my extensive analysis that maps out the potential trend trajectgory for some of the most manipulated markets on the planet, the CRYPTO ALT COIN MARKETs
So do check out the recently posted part 1 first if you have not already done so - Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion
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Friday, December 03, 2021
Stock Market Major Turning Point Taking Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Global financial markets were already hobbled by the original COVID-19 virus – struggling to regain their economic foundation after many months of the unprecedented central bank, government, and humanitarian efforts to move us towards recovery. Now, the Omicron strain of the COVID virus has potentially toppled the apple cart while global inflationary and economic concerns are peaking. What’s next?
Why Traders Need To Consider Future Risks
This recent article caught my attention as I caught up on today’s morning events (Source: Yahoo! Finance). It highlights the incredible inflationary trends occurring because of disrupted supply channels related to the original COVID-19 disruption. Could you imaging what would happen if a new virus strain prompted further lockdowns and labor/supply disruptions for another 12+ months – or longer?
The massive amounts of stimulus and money printing that has taken place over the last 4+ years by global central banks may be acting as an anchor for growth and starting to weigh down global markets. Easy money policies lead individuals and corporations to borrow more and more capital expecting growing returns from sales. What happens when we start to see a mild economic slowdown take place, possibly complicated by inflationary price trends and consumers that pull away from making big purchases?
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Friday, December 03, 2021
The Masters of the Universe and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Michael_J_Kosares
That small group of investment bankers – those Tom Wolfe dubbed the Masters of the Universe – made its fortune trading U.S. Treasuries. It still plays the same role today it always has but no longer occupies the center stage for Wall Street’s bond market. Instead, that role now belongs to the Federal Reserve. Since the introduction of quantitative easing in 2008, it has built a $5.57 trillion stockpile of U.S. Treasuries – a holding equal to almost 20% of the nearly $29 trillion national debt. Even more troubling, it purchased a mind-boggling 60% t0 80% of the federal debt issued since 2010, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report.
“At 10:10 a.m. most workdays on Wall Street,” writes Liz McCormick in a recent Bloomberg column (under the unsettling headline, One Trader Calls the Shots in the Treasury Bond Market) officials at the Federal Reserve wade into the Treasury bond market. For the next 20 minutes, they proceed to snap up bonds of all shapes and sizes. They’re impervious to price moves, and they never sell. An indiscriminate bond-buying machine, they’ve now amassed a $5.5 trillion stockpile of the debt.” Wolfe’s Masters of the Universe have been replaced by one omnipresent, spectacularly powerful, and as it turns out, fickle Master of the Universe – America’s central bank.
“For almost two years,” says Gillian Tett, in a recent Financial Times editorial, “a frightening question has haunted the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve. No, this is not whether the Fed can engineer a smooth exit from quantitative easing; nor whether this is the right moment to switch the governor (and policy). The question I am referring to is whether the U.S. Treasuries market is robust enough to handle the shocks that might arise from those first two problems. For while the U.S. government bond market used to be considered to be the world’s most liquid and deep asset class, in March 2020 that cozy assumption was smashed apart.”
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Friday, December 03, 2021
This simple Stock Market mindset shift could help you make millions / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
Editor’s note: Today, we’re sharing an important adaptation from Chief Analyst Stephen McBride’s recent issue of Disruption Investor…One that’s more important than any one specific stock recommendation…
This is about a simple mindset shift that can make or break your retirement, so you’ll want to read closely.
***
“Most American investors now expect the stock market to crash.”
That Business Insider headline flashed across my screen recently.
Over half of American investors think stocks are headed for a crash, according to a survey by insurance giant Allianz.
New data from The American Association of Individual Investors paints a similarly gloomy picture. The number of stock market bulls is near its lowest level in a decade.
Judging by how investors feel, you’d think the market is struggling…
But did you know the S&P 500 hit new record highs last week?
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Friday, December 03, 2021
Will the Glasgow Summit (COP26) Affect Energy Prices? / Politics / Climate Change
By: S_N_Chatterjee
The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference, which was held at the SEC Centre in Glasgow, Scotland, has just ended. After two weeks of intense debates among world leaders, there are a few encouraging signs and mainly disappointments standing out.
Topics related to climate change and global warming have been in the spotlight over the past couple of years and as temperatures continue to rise, the COP26 showed a renewed pledge to continue working on limiting global warming to no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. This was a target set at the Paris climate summit held in 2015 and the latest deal reinforces its importance.
Wednesday, December 01, 2021
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Youtube and the wider internet is full of Peloton fan boys, yes the product may be good but that does not mean the stock is in any fit shape to park ones hard earned wealth into, not unless one is gambling. Which is why whenever I was asked about Peloton and other similar over hyped growth stock my response tended to be that it is far too high risk for me. We'll now all those who don't do the maths got to feel the pain of what it is like to be invested in such stocks that dominate the likes of Cathy Woods ARK funds.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2021
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I Fear For Retirees For The Next 20 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
When caution is thrown to the wind, we begin to recognize that the market may be moving into a dangerous euphoric state from which a long-term bear market can begin. And, while it may be easier to bury your head in the sand, I strongly urge you to take to heart what I am about to say, as it will likely have ripple effects for generations to come.
Recently, I read that the board of directors of the nation’s largest pension fund voted to use borrowed money and alternative assets to meet its investment-return target. What makes this even more striking is that this same pension fund lowered their investment-return target just a few months ago.
“The move by the $495 billion California Public Employees’ Retirement System reflects the dimming prospects for safe publicly traded investments by households and institutions alike and sets a tone for increased risk-taking by pension funds around the country.
Without changes, Calpers said its current asset mix would produce 20-year returns of 6.2%, short of both the 7% target the fund started 2021 with and the 6.8% target implemented over the summer.
Board members voted 7 to 4 in favor of borrowing and investing an amount equivalent to 5% of the fund’s value, or about $25 billion, as part of an effort to hit the 6.8% target, which they voted not to change. The trustees also voted to increase riskier alternative investments, raising private-equity holdings to 13% from 8% and adding a 5% allocation to private debt.”
Source: WSJ
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