Thursday, September 21, 2023
QE4EVER / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
For over a year now all you have heard on MSM has been how tapering is bearish for asset prices, what;s the narrative that the perma fools have clung onto for new bear market lows being just around the corner right to the recent wholesale capitulation where bears turned into blow off top clowns!
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Stock Market Trend Pattern and Bond Market Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Inflation Bond Fire of the Vanities Breeds Opportunity
Fitch downgrades US Debt to AA+ prompts MSM clown narrative for triggering a rise in yields and falling stocks, there is ALWAYS a reason for why market moves, usually the same reason is used for either outcome up or down! The US debt downgrade that is the focus of MSM is a nothing burger as both rising yields and falling stocks were expected long before Fitch pressed the downgrade button as the stock market had transitioned form the topping phase off of the 4600 high set a few days ago (27th July) into a downtrend proper during August that is set to run into a window of late September to Mid October 2023 targeting a decline of at least 10%, so into and S&P range of 4180 to 4100 with many if not most target AI tech stocks set to see a decline typically by 20% off their highs, some more than others, and in fact many were already well into their downtrends coming into August such as AMD which topped at $132.5, which is why I often refer to the S&P as a red herring and caution against basing ones decisions off of the S&P, for instance there was no point waiting for S&P 4600 to trim AMD which FOMO 'd to $132.5 well over a month ago!
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Gold Price and Gold Stocks’ Loud Silence / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
What a beautiful nothing! Nothing really happened on the markets on Friday, but due to the context of the previous days’ actions, it was profound.
The thing is that it was a day when markets took a breather and verified their previous moves.
Some price moves are accidental or triggered by geopolitical events. Sometimes, the markets pretty much “have to” move in a certain direction because the only rational thing to do is given the event that is happening. For instance, if a war breaks out in Europe, gold rallies. But it doesn’t mean that it’s going to stay up for long. If the rally was simply reactive and not based on a broader trend, then the rally is going to be invalidated.
Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Something Isn’t Adding Up as U.S. Debt Soars $2 Trillion in 2023 / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets retreated last week as official U.S. employment data came in surprisingly strong.The Labor Department reported that weekly jobless claims fell by 13,000 to a total of 216,000. Many economists had been expecting jobless claims to rise.
Of course, government economic data is subject to revision and to criticism for flawed methodology. But it still has the ability to move markets, at least in the near term.
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Adblue Warning - What Happens if You Don't Top Up! Land Rover Discovery Sport / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: HGR
Adblue Warning FLASH Message on a Land Rover Discovery sport, so to answer the questions, how long have you exactly got left before the Adblue runs out because it does not go down mile per mile driven and what happens if you let it run out! And remember to subscribe for my next video where I top it up from a bottle bought from Tesco for 10 quid.
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023
The Next Elon Musk Just Graduated from Warwick University / Politics / AI
By: N_Walayat
Graduands become graduates and so it was for the NEXT Elon Musk, as Adnaan was handed his degree, an Master of Engineering 1st Class in Computer Science - AI. Whilst it is going to take time to reach the heights of Elon Musk, nevertheless a good start will be in his first job in Cambridge working on Quantum Computers., which about 10 years down the road will be a game changer in terms of an exponential leap in compute power, which for better or worse will herald the emergence of super machine Intelligence's that are far beyond that of human intelligence.
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Stocks Bear Market Leader? Here's a Prime Candidate / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
This stock market sector has failed to recover since the Dow's Q1 correction
As you may know, in every bull or bear market, some stocks or sector lead while others follow. So, the "leadership" in the stock market works both ways -- in uptrends and down.
The rally in stocks since last November has been led by a relatively few big cap tech names, like Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet and Meta.
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Thursday, September 07, 2023
Why US Annual Budget Deficits Are Getting Worse / Economics / US Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The pandemic a once in a 100 year event sparked rampant deficit spending to bailout the economy, that was 2020, whilst 2021 was nearly as bad! And 2022 did show an improvement by reverting back to pre-pandemic deficit era extremes. However the 2023 deficit is once more ramping up and running at twice the pre-pandemic extreme rate.
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Wednesday, September 06, 2023
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions / Economics / Recession 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As my analysis of Jan 2023 pointed out (Stock Market Gasping to Reach 4000 Ahead of Earnings Season, Dow New All Time High 2023?)
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Wednesday, September 06, 2023
Stock Market's Character Has Changed -- Here's How / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: EWI
We're watching the VIX or "fear index" to see what's next
Stock market investors naturally want to know the closing numbers for the main stock indexes at the end of each trading day.
Yet, it's also good to dig deeper.
Let me show you some examples of how the U.S. Short Term Update, a thrice weekly Elliott Wave International publication which covers near-term trends of key U.S. financial markets, does just that.
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Wednesday, September 06, 2023
Reasons Why You Should Build Your Portfolio and Live Like Rich People / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Submissions
Living like rich people is often seen as a fantasy that only a select few can achieve. However, building your portfolio can give you the opportunity to live a life of financial freedom and abundance. The advantages are undeniable, from wealth accumulation and passive income generation to financial security and access to exclusive opportunities. Here are several compelling reasons why you should build your portfolio and aim to live like rich people.
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Monday, September 04, 2023
Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions / Economics / Recession 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Apparently the yield curve inversion has a 100% hit rate, whenever a yield curve inverts it has always resulted in a recession.
Only problem is that it can take anywhere from 6 months to 3 years for the recession to materialise! Thus is another one of those nothing burgers that most analysts obsess over. For instance take the current inversion as of March 2022, those who swallowed the recession is coming mantra have been sat in money market accounts for the last 9 months whilst stocks such as META first doubled, then tripled and look set to quadruple, what kind of *****-A-Doodle-Doo indicator is the yield curve inversion? Which is why I don't tend to pay it much attention, given that it is pretty much useless in terms of investing.
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Monday, September 04, 2023
The Perfect way to onboard a new Recruit / Companies / SME
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Attracting top talent to your business isn’t always easy. When you are fortunate enough to bring in great people, you’ll want to ensure that their initial experience with you runs as smoothly as possible. Here, 1st Formations look at some top tips for onboarding new recruits to your small business. Let’s get started.
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Monday, September 04, 2023
The Positives and Negatives of Buying Stocks in Common Sectors / Companies / Investing 2023
By: Mark_Adan
There are more than 58,000 companies listed on stock exchanges globally, each with positives and negatives attached to them. All stocks fall under one of 11 stock market sectors using the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), a global categorization system designed to make it easier for investors to find the perfect investment opportunity.
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Monday, September 04, 2023
10 Ways To Invest For Growth In 2023 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2023
By: Mark_Adan
Investing for growth in 2023 presents a dynamic landscape that blends traditional investment vehicles with exciting emerging trends. One prominent avenue gaining attention is investment trusts for growth. These trusts offer a unique approach to achieving substantial returns over time. In this comprehensive guide, we'll delve into each of the 10 effective ways to invest for growth this year, exploring the nuances and benefits of each strategy.
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Sunday, September 03, 2023
US Bond Market Yield Curve Inversion Current State / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The yield curve is the Ten Year yield Minus 2 Year Yield - What it shows is when short money is more expensive (higher rates) then long money, why is that? Forward economic weakness thus lower forward rates? Yes that is a valid argument but I suspect that in large part is the WRONG conclusion, it is after all the consensus view, what the econofools regurgitate across MSM, long rates are lower because the market is discounting future interest rate cuts is WRONG!
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Sunday, September 03, 2023
Why you’re Hardwired to be Pessimistic About Markets / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Stephen_McBride
Fear is creeping in.After a blazing-hot start to the year, in which the Nasdaq notched its best first half in 40 years...
And the S&P 500 rallied 20%...
Stocks just slammed into a brick wall.
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are each down around 3% this month. And investors are on edge.
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Sunday, September 03, 2023
Exploring the Significance of E-Money Licenses in the Digital Financial Landscape / Companies / SME
By: S_N_Chatterjee
In the rapidly evolving realm of digital finance, e-money licenses have emerged as a pivotal element that facilitates the seamless flow of electronic transactions. These licenses grant companies the authority to provide electronic payment services, revolutionizing the way we handle our financial interactions. In this article, we will delve into the intricacies of e-money licenses, their relevance, and the benefits they offer in the modern financial landscape. Incluence assists with e-money licenses.
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Saturday, September 02, 2023
CPI Smoke and Mirrors Hides Decade Long REAL Inflation PAIN! / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
INFLATION
Firstly understand that inflation is by DESIGN, the last thing your masters want is for the slaves to stop working so one of the primary mechanisms used to keep the slaves working is inflation because it destroys the purchasing power of earnings and savings so that most folks are kept running on the work hamster wheel into their graves where their lifetime of savings have been eroded away by INFLATION, or stolen by the banking crime syndicate, financial con men and through a myriad of modern day scam artists, run a mile from fund managers! They are all scam artists! If you think UK and US inflation is high take a look at the poor souls in Turkey (where I will soon be taking a trip, Istanbul), 58% inflation against which the depositors are thrown scraps of a 15% TAXED interest! Yes that's right, you get TAXED on the interest that FAILS to keep pace with inflation! Same in the UK, fake inflation of 7.2%, savings rates typically of 4.5% to 5.5% and the lemmings appear on broadcast news happy that they are in receipt of a sub inflation pittance, this after TEN YEARS of STEALTH theft of the purchasing power of their savings! At least the risky stock market gives ordinary folks a good chance to avoid the stealth theft, money in the bank is guaranteed to be systematically STOLEN! Yes we can play the fixed rate game which can temporarily work, but money in the bank in the UK over 10 years will lose between 1/5th and 1/3rd of it's value!
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Saturday, September 02, 2023
Is Nvidia NVDA Stock Price about to Crash 90%? / Companies / Nvidia
By: Stephen_McBride
Nvidia (NVDA) is the stock of a lifetime.
It’s surged 500%+ since I recommended it to my readers back in 2018.
And it just printed the best earnings results I’ve ever seen. I’ll tell my grandkids about how I was alive to see these numbers.
But its stock has tripled since January. And investors are asking: Is it time to take profits?
Today, I’ll tell you where I see Nvidia heading over the next six months.