Tuesday, March 05, 2019
What Commodities and Transportation Stocks Are Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our ongoing efforts to dissect these markets and to help educated and inform traders has led us on an exploration path into the general market activities of two leading market indicators; Commodity prices and Transportation Prices. These two core elements of any regional or global economy are usually about 3~6 months ahead of the general markets. When viewing the Transportation Index, remember that transportation is key to any growing economy and a healthy economy. When an economy is doing well, the transportation sector will be busy shipping and delivering consumer product and staples as well as manufacturing equipment and supplies. When viewing the Commodity Index, remember the Supply and Demand equation where greater demand for commodities needed to manufacture, create, deliver or sell a product will drive prices higher as supply remains relatively constant, prices will increase.
Therefore, the theory of today’s research post is “are Transportation and Commodity prices telling us anything important about the future stock market valuations?”. Let’s get into the research.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
China - A Critical Global Growth Engine, Despite Deceleration / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
Despite U.S. trade wars, China will stick to its growth target and fiscal easing in the short-term, deleveraging in the medium-term and rebalancing in the long-term. That’s the message of Premier Li’s report.Released on Monday at the annual session of the National People’s Congress (NPC), Premier Li Keqian’s annual work report sets the general tone for the 2019 economic policies.
In 2019, China has set a lower, flexible economic growth target at the range of 6.0% to 6.5%, while raising its tolerance of fiscal deficit at 2.8% of GDP.
The point about the GDP growth target is not how much it will exceed 6%, but that it should not fall below that level. That’s vital to sustain the quest to double living standard by 2020.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
America's 30 Blocks of Holes / Politics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
“If you have been voting for politicians who promise to give you goodies at someone else’s expense, then you have no right to complain when they take your money and give it to someone else, including themselves.” ― Thomas Sowell
“The fact that so many successful politicians are such shameless liars is not only a reflection on them, it is also a reflection on us. When the people want the impossible, only liars can satisfy.” ― Thomas Sowell
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
Gold’s Upcoming Plunge: The Powerful Analogies, Confirmations and Reasoning / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold, silver and mining stocks plunged on Friday and the yellow metal closed the week below the $1,300 barrier. The gold-silver ratio soared once again and it all happened in tune with our expectations, and despite the recent dovish comments from the Fed. And – believe it or not – we have something much more important and exciting about the precious metals sector to tell you today.
Remember the analogy between 2012-2013 decline and the current situation in gold, silver, and mining stocks? We featured it in the previous year and the entire sector appeared to be declining in tune with it. The last few months of 2018, however, along with the initial part of this year, seemed to have entirely invalidated this analogy. But did they?
Over the weekend we dedicated a lot of time to analysis of the long-term charts and as we’re going to show you, it turns out that the analogy between 2012-2013 plunge and the current situation is definitely in place, but we had been earlier in the analogy than we originally thought. What we thought to be a decline similar to the late-2012 slide, was actually the smoothened version of the early-2012 decline. The most recent upswing is just like the mid-2012 upswing. And it seems to have ended.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
Fake Electronics Market Goods Are They Worth it? Testing Beats Headphones and Karaoke Mike / ConsumerWatch / Shopping
By: HGR
Go to on holiday to China, Turkey, virtually any tourist destination, you'll soon find how common markets for knock of goods and clothes are. As was our experience on our last trip to Turkey, specifically to visit the giant open air market at Fethiye where virtually every good was on show at knock down prices, this even before we attempted to negotiate the price down.
In this video we buy and test a Beats headphone for £15 (UK price £120), and a Karaoke Mike for £10 (£50 UK price). Of course we tested to make sure they worked at the time of purchase which they did, but are they the same, similar and most importantly do they LAST! Do they still work several months later, find out as we answer the question do you actually save money by buying knock off goods or not.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
Fethiye Tuesday Market - Shopping Top Tips for Buying Cheap Clothes - Turkey Holidays 2019 / ConsumerWatch / Shopping
By: Anika_Walayat
If your going to be holidaying in Turkey this year and are anywhere near the Dalaman / Fethiye area then you MUST visit the Fethiye Tuesday market! It is huge! Vibrant, bustling with variety, Turkish culture in action with plenty of bargains to be had if your upto the haggling challenge. It's a experience in its out right and its FREE, apart from the shopping. You get to see a side of the world that you don't usually see, full of tourists from all over the world of all types and ages, a true melting pot.
The market sells virtually everything under the sun, food, fruit, sweets, electronics, bags, all sorts of bags, trinkets, shoes, jewellery and clothes, tons of clothes, from the mainstay for tourists t-shirt's tons and tons of t-shirts to the local traditional garments. Where in this video we focus on shopping for clothes, giving our top tips of where to start and what to expect in terms of pricing!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
SPX: New All-Time Highs or Bust? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In my article last weekend, "Another Fibonacci Price and Time Intersection Approaches Heading into a Week Fraught with Headline Uncertainty," I discussed the importance of the intersecting time (Mon Feb 25) and price (2803.50 1% on the S&P 500) as a potential resistance area and reversal zone.
I noted that on Mon Feb 25, the rally from the Dec 26 low would equal 62% of the time spent in the Sep-Dec correction. And that the level of 2803.50 ( 1% = 2775 to 2832) represented the Fibonacci 76.4% recovery of the entire September-December decline.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
NASDAQ and DOW – Two Spectrum’s of the Stock Market / Politics / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers believe the NQ and YM chart illustrates a very different dynamic which is currently at play in the US Stock Markets. The NQ, the Technology heavy NASDAQ futures, appears to have stalled near the 75% Fibonacci price retracement level whereas the YM, the Blue Chip heavy DOW futures, has already rallied past this level and is setting up a “double top” formation near 26268. It is our belief that the US Stock Markets are already nearing an intermediate top rotation price area and that traders need to actively protect their long trades/profits right away. We believe a downside price rotation may take place very quickly over the next 5~10+ days and that the markets may rotate downward by a minimum of 4~6% in what we are calling a “momentum rotation setup”.
Monday, March 04, 2019
Gerald Celente Reveals Triggers for World Economic Blowup, Gold Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it's always a joy to speak with him.
Mr. Celente, thanks for the time again today and welcome back.
Gerald Celente: Oh, thanks for having me on, Mike.
Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, the Trends Journal is forecasting Economic 9/11 as one of the big trends for 2019. There are plenty of indicators which just support your thesis for a major slowdown. Debt levels – both public and private – have exploded, China is slowing down and all the stimulus in Europe has failed to generate results there. Higher interest rates are hurting, everything from real estate to auto sales, et cetera. But none of this is reflected in the stock markets, which are roaring higher. Once again, it looks like the Fed is up to its old tricks, promising to stop the rate hikes they had planned and end the program for selling bonds. The constant intervention of the Fed has always been one of the major wildcards when trying to predict where things are headed in recent years. What do you think? Can the central bankers kick the can one more time to avoid a recession, or are they finally going to lose control in the months ahead?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
Elliott Wave Analysis of the OEX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: WavePatternTraders
Short term whilst it remains above 1220 the current trend remains up. There a few short term ideas I am watching, but if a new high is seen, then it can suggest the end to wave [v] of an impulse wave (5 wave rally) to end wave C of a larger zigzag correction (3 wave advance) from the Dec 2018 low.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast - Part1 / Housing-Market / Immigration
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My latest analysis in a series aimed at arriving at a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices covers population growth which is one of the key primary drivers for UK house prices which since the Labour government of 1997 natural population growth net of births and deaths has been vastly supplemented by what has amounted to out of control immigration courtesy of Britain's membership of the European Union and the former Labour governments objective for the importation of millions of potential Labour voters from mostly new member states from across an impoverished eastern europe that resulted in near 5 million economic migrants settling in the UK by 2016, mostly in what were already over crowded British cities, thus putting severe pressure on services and infrastructure and the whole housing market as the likes of the rental sector soared with 1 million new buy to let landlords entering the market buying 4 million properties, forcing up house prices across the board where rents in large part are being funded by tax payers in the form of the soaring housing benefits bill.
Monday, March 04, 2019
Stock Market VIX Likely to Pop Before March 21 / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers believe price cycles and our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting the US and Global stock markets may be entering a period of price rotation very soon. Our team of researchers has identified a date span of between March 5th to March 13 as a range of dates where we expect the VIX to form a bottom and begin to rise sharply.
Our researchers believe this current rally in the US stock market is a bit overextended, even though the markets appear to be drifting a bit higher currently. We believe the US stock market is due for a healthy price rotation/correction sometime near the middle of March that will allow new price valuation and momentum to build for a continued upside price move.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
Industrial ETF XLI Set to Make New All-Time Highs / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWaveForecast
XLI Set to Make New Highs
The Industrial Sector ETF, XLI, is set to make new all-time highs above the January 2018 high at 80.96. From 80.96 Elliott wave analysis suggests XLI corrected lower on the daily chart in 7 swings to the 12/26/2018 low of 59.92. Within the final 3 waves of y (red label) we see a near perfect measurement of equality amongst the subwaves. From the red x high of 80.41 on 9/20/2018 the ETF dropped lower in 3 swings into the blue box range producing a reaction higher. We are labeling the 59.92 low as wave (IV) suggesting wave (V) of ((III)) is now progressing above 80.96. The Blue Box highlighted below in the daily chart are measured areas with a high probability of reaction in the next projected direction. Learn about this proprietary system here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
How Online Gambling Stimulates Digital Payment Market Growth / Companies / Online Gambling
By: Submissions
...
Monday, March 04, 2019
Union Pacific Railroad (NYSE:UNP) – Bullish Sequence Calling Higher / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Union Pacific Railroad (NYSE:UNP) is a publicly-traded railroad holding company that was established in 1969. Last year, revenues grew to $22.8 billion, while earnings was up in mid-single-digits to $10.8 billion. Revenue growth was led by strong gains in Intermodal, amid capacity constraints in the trucking industry and a higher industrial production for commodities shipments.
Union Pacific’s year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years and it outperformed the Transportation industry. Its earnings are expected to grow by 7.1% yearly and revenue is expected to grow by 4% yearly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
Stock Market Trade Optimism Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave? Too early to tell!
Intermediate trend – Initial rally is likely coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, March 03, 2019
Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market 2019 / Stock-Markets / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Yield Curve Inversion
An inverted yield curve is basically when the yield on 2 year US government bond exceeds the 10 year US bond yield as worried investors opt to disinvest from risky assets in favour of safer longer term government bonds thus driving down long bond yields below that of nearer term bonds. And the closer the yield curve gets towards towards an inversion the greater the likelihood for a future recession. So far the yield curve inversion has successfully forecast the last 3 economic downturns in the United States. Though the YCI has proved less reliable elsewhere, especially for Australia.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 03, 2019
The Looming UK Brexit Mess / Politics / BrExit
By: Dan_Steinbock
After the misguided referendum three years ago, the Brexit end-game is about to begin. In the UK, it means political division and fiscal erosion. Moreover, global growth prospects will not remain immune to turmoil in the world’s fifth largest economy.
Initially, London’s goal was to wheel and deal the best possible deal with Brussels. That became more difficult after mid-January when the House of Commons rejected PM May’s EU withdrawal agreement. The rejection compounded the odds for a risky and disorderly no-deal Brexit scenario.
The risks for volatility are also fueled by the impending European Parliament election in May 25-26, which is likely to strengthen Euroskeptics, anti-immigration forces, and radical right and left, at the expense of mainstream parties.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 03, 2019
Zimbabwe Introduces A New Currency For Maxi-Devaluation / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Until February 20th, Zimbabwe produced a quasi-currency. It was dubbed a “Zollar.” On the 20th, the quasi-currency became Zimbabwe’s official currency. This new currency is called RTGS dollars and consists of bond notes and RTGS (electronic money).
The RTGS dollars possess legal tender status and will serve as the unit of account for the government’s books. The official exchange rate for Zollar quasi-currency had been set at a one-to-one rate with the U.S. dollar. But now, the RTGS dollar will trade at a managed floating exchange rate. The rate today is 2.50 per U.S. dollar, not par, as it used to be. So, Zimbabwe’s official exchange rate has experienced a maxi-devaluation of 60%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 03, 2019
Bitcoins And Bolivars: Two Hot Potatoes / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Steve_H_Hanke
It was just a little more than a decade ago when “Satoshi Nakamoto” ushered in what has become the era of private cryptocurrencies. Nakamoto’s vision was clearly laid out in a whitepaper: “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Cash System.”
Nakamoto’s bitcoin money machine—or as Larry White refers to it: a private “algorithmic central bank”—was going to wipe out the inflation risk and the accompanying loss of purchasing power that plague fiat monies issued by government-controlled central banks. Alas, bitcoin’s source code that predetermines its supply is set on a fixed-quantity path that is unresponsive to changes in demand. In consequence, bitcoin inhabits a demand-supply space in which supply is almost perfectly inelastic. So, to reach a demand-supply equilibrium, all the adjustment falls on the back of bitcoin’s price (read: purchasing power). As a result, bitcoin’s price is inherently volatile and unstable. Indeed, small changes in demand in the face of an inelastic supply create a price volatility storm. Furthermore, unless more demand can be attracted to bitcoin, there is no reason why its price should trend upwards, as many have been led to believe. If speculation wanes, bitcoin’s price could trend downwards. Indeed, bitcoin’s design guarantees volatility, which inhibits its widespread use. In short, it is very risky to hold bitcoins or accept them for deferred payments.
Read full article... Read full article...