Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Gold Being Driven Higher by Speculation Not Real Physical Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Graham_Summers

Over the last two days, we’ve looked at the current Gold bull market from historical and supply/ demand perspectives. Thus far, the data has lead us to believe that Gold has entered a speculative “mini-bubble” phase in bull market.

This scenario can of course change at any time should the public’s demand for physical bullion pick up again. However, until that occurs, Gold is in the same phase that Oil was in 2008: a speculative market in which sharp rallies or corrections can occur at any time.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Gold GLD ETF Heading Down Towards 1-Year Trendline / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The 12% drop in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) from the Dec 3 high at 119.54 appears to have a bit more downside ahead, towards a confrontation with its 1-year trendline, now in the vicinity of 102.00 into 100.50 -- a support plateau that stretches back to March 2008.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

The Real Reason Not to Bet Against Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Q1_Publishing

The much anticipated gold correction hit faster than most expected.

After weeks of eerily consistent gains, gold is now shedding anywhere from $20 to $50 on the down days and struggling to post $10 upticks on short-lived rebounds.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Is Gold Going Higher or Popping Now? Part2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday, we analyzed the current bull market in Gold from a historical context. Right off the bat, we ran into some conflicting issues: from a timing perspective, Gold’s recent run is a little long of tooth, however, from a gains perspective, Gold still looks to have plenty of room to run (during the last Gold bull market, it rallied 750% during its second leg up).

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Gold Continues to Fall as U.S. Dollar Rises / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD slipped to a new 7-week low for US investors early Tuesday, dropping through yesterday's low at $1090 per ounce as world stock markets rose and government bonds fell.

The US Dollar rose for the ninth time in 13 sessions on the forex market, hitting its best level against the "safe haven" Japanese Yen since the start of November.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Did Gold, GLD Just Go Parabolic? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Andrew_Butter

Apparently one test for a bubble popping is when prices start to go parabolic.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

America's Crazy Habit of Turning Corn into Fuel Instead of Food / Commodities / Ethanol

By: Justin_Rohrlich

According to a recent Congressional Budget Office report, the increased use of ethanol is responsible for a rise in food prices of approximately 10 to 15 percent.

Why?

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Forward in Commodity Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Andrew_Abraham

In the world we live in, nothing is easy. No one is spared sorrow, pain, and sometimes anger associated with their mistakes. Lets face it …we all make mistakes. Mistakes in commodity trading are costly. However sometimes it is the best money spent if we learn from them. However…all too many commodity traders do not learn from their mistakes..they make the same ones over and over until they quit with disgust. It does not have to be this way.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Marc Faber and Jim Rogers Bullish on Agriculture Because of Fed Created Disaster / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: LewRockwell

Legendary investors Jim Rogers and Marc Faber have similar outlooks on the financial crisis and the efforts of the Federal Reserve to revive the U.S. economy.

What do they think of the Fed's quantitative easing policy? In a word, it is a recipe for disaster.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Gold Going Higher or About to Pop? Part1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Graham_Summers

I get more emails and questions about Gold than any other investment class on the planet. With that in mind, I wanted to take a few minutes today to map out my thoughts on this subject.

For starters, we need to consider that there are, in fact, two types of Gold: actual physical bullion OR paper Gold (Gold as represented by an ETF or futures contract)

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold Forecast 2010 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

With our last comments of the year 2009 we pose the all-important question. How did Gold Bugs do in 2009? Well, as the chart below shows, the Gold Bugs won again! In fact, $Gold has been victorious over the paper asset groupies on both the five year and ten-year measurements. For 15 years results are almost tied. Will take another year or so to best paper assets on a 20-year basis. Seems that Buy & Hold does work, if one buys and holds the right stuff! By the way, the S&P data is on a total return basis which includes the dividend.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold Investing is Speculation on the Certainty of the Debasement of the Currency / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: DailyWealth

Chris Mayer writes: The U.S. dollar is a sort of monetary brand.

And like any other brand, it can fall out of favor. Even iconic brands can rapidly lose their "must-have" cachet. Sometimes, a brand can disappear entirely, as did Pan American Airways or "Members Only" jackets. But there is always something else waiting to take its place. So it is with the U.S. dollar, a brand making lows in the financial markets.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Holiday Season Good for Oil Stocks / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Frank_Holmes

If 2010 follows the pattern of the past 15 years, we are approaching the start of a seasonal climb in the price of crude oil that could present a good investment opportunity in energy-related stocks.

Oil is down from its 2009 peak of $81 per barrel seen in October, but we remain constructive on energy stocks given the improving economy and positive seasonal factors heading into the new year.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold Hit by End of Year Profit Taking / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE WHOLESALE PRICE of gold ticked higher in a tight range against the US Dollar early Monday, rising 1.9% from Friday's 5-week low in what dealers variously called "quiet", "lackluster" and "weak" trade.

Most Asian stock markets ended the day lower, but European share buyers showed a near-1% profit as banks and financial stocks bounced from last week's near-10% drops.

Monday, December 21, 2009

The Easy Way to Make Money in Commodity Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Andrew_Abraham

Quick answer…there is no easy way to make money in commodity trading. Sorry about that. No get rich quick schemes. The fact is once in a while you hear of someone who made a killing in the commodity markets ( Remember Hillary Clinton and her $100k Cattle Trade)..but it is not reality.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold Bugs Cheer Up, Happy Days Are Coming / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Howard_Katz

Gold bugs have been sad for the past few weeks as gold has tumbled from above $1200/oz.  Cheer up gold bugs.  Happy days are coming.  One of the great buying opportunities of all time is just around the corner, and our next task at the One-handed Economist is to identify this buying point as closely as possible.  As always, to get the really good stuff you must cross my palm with silver.  However, do not let this discourage you. 

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold, Hot Commodities and the Major Indexes Trend Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold has been leading the market for almost a year. Last week gold and gold stocks were trading at support looking ready to bottom but as you will see in my charts below, both broke support on heavy volume.

With gold now under performing the stocks market, I get the feeling we could see the broad market top. Topping is a process and after this strong climb I figure it will be choppy (tough to trade). Much like the price action on the Dow and S&P500 the past month, but this time it will be on a larger scale.

Monday, December 21, 2009

U.S. Dollar is Going Up, Get Out of Gold! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adam_Brochert

Certain old market adages just don't seem to go away and are perpetuated by novice investors who seek to find some meaning in markets and their interrelationships. Mainstream financial commentators are more than happy to repeat and regurgitate such claptrap endlessly, creating "rock solid" market wisdom.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Gold Futures Trading Multi Time Frame Trends Update into 2010 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Patrice_V_Johnson

In this weekly issue, The J.E.D.I. Way will be covering price trends in the Futures, and Futures Options Markets for the long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term time periods for the FEBRUARY 2010 GOLD 100 oz (Ticker Symbol: GCG10) contract and then list one or more trading opportunities in the futures options for this commodity that The J.E.D.I. Way will be seeking to add to its current holdings.

Sunday, December 20, 2009

U.S. Dollar Breakout Means Gold Has a Lot Further to Fall / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Clive_Maund

Gold behaved as predicted in last weekend’s update - it rallied into the middle of last week before plunging on Thursday and then ended the week with a modest upturn. Thursday’s plunge involved a sharp break below our important parabolic uptrend channel, and although the break was not by a decisive margin and gold rallied Friday, this sharp drop has bearish implications.