Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold Update…Shaking The Tree / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a pattern forming on gold which wasn’t there yesterday. With yesterday’s big move up and no follow through to the upside today there is a potential H&S top building out. Many times I will use a neckline symmetry line which is taken from the neckline and moved up to the top of the left shoulder to show the possible high for the right shoulder. There is another technique I use where I will use a horizontal line from the top of the left shoulder that can sometimes show the height for the right shoulder. Today’s high at 1265 matches the high for the left shoulder. I’ve been showing the possible neckline as a S&R line, but now after yesterday’s move it’s looking more like a possible neckline. The breakout will come into play around the 1220 area which will confirm the H&S top.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold and Silver Trading Alert: New Important Technical Development / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

During yesterday’s session, the USD Index plunged once again and so did the general stock market, while gold rallied over $20 and we see a new major technical development that we’ve been expecting to see for some time now. What’s new and what changed?

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Silver: Train Leaving Station Soon! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

Silver prices are rising along the bottom of a 20 year log scale trend channel (shown later). There are no guarantees in a manipulated paper market, such as COMEX silver, but it is possible that silver prices will collapse further, or more likely, move substantially higher, sooner rather than later.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Here’s The Truth About Russia’s OPEC Crude Oil Cuts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

By Geopolitical Futures : In December 2016, Russia joined OPEC in a pledge to cut oil production by roughly 1.2 million barrels per day.

And for the first quarter of 2017, OPEC largely made good on its pledge. It produced 1.1 million fewer barrels of oil per day in the first quarter of 2017 than it did in the final quarter of 2016.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Gold Investment & The Tech Stocks Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Tech is the umbrella word for all things fashionable to invest in right now. Take the recent flotation of Snap Inc. (parent company of teen and narcissists’ favourite app SnapChat), everyone wanted in on the $20 billion flotation.

Snap is likely a sign of a tech bubble that will cost a lot of savers and investors huge amounts of money … again.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold Prices Spike On Heavy Volume On Trump Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

Gold prices rose for a fifth day to a two week high in early European trading on increasing U.S. political risk pertaining to the Trump Presidency and the increasing risk of impeachment and a U.S. political civil war.

Stocks and U.S. Treasury bond yields tumbled as investors moved cash into safe-haven gold amid a global market selloff.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold $10,000 May Be Reasonable; Or Wishful Thinking; Or Meaningless / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Is $10,000 gold reasonable?

Right now, from gold’s current price point of $1240.00 per ounce, we are speaking of an eight fold increase to get to that gloriously celebrated (at least by some) number.  Even if the specific price target is more modest – say $7000.00 per ounce – it is still a huge jump from where we are today. 

It is, however, a reasonable possibility.  Between August 1976 and January 1980, gold rose from $100.00 per ounce to over $800.00 per ounce.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Is It A Bull Market Or Bear Market In Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Avi Gilburt : First published on Saturday May 13 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Without fail, each and every time the metals have dropped since bottoming over a year ago, many panic and proclaim the bear market to have returned. Moreover, many have looked to the USD as their guide to what the metals will do, and are completely befuddled when the dollar trades in tandem with the metals, as we have seen for almost two months.

As for me, well, since I was taught at a young age not to “ASSUME,” I only listen to price and try to ignore emotion as much as humanly possible. For this reason, I rely on my analysis to make decisions, as relying upon emotion often puts you on the wrong side of the market at the exact worst time.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

A ‘Must-See’ Chart for Gold and Silver Aficionados  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

Every now and then a chart appears that provides us with a great opportunity.

The following chart fits that mold.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

How Silver Price Could Rally Significantly Over The Coming Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Hubert_Moolman

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way.

In the long run, the two move in opposite directions. When the USD/ZAR rate is moving up, the silver price is moving down, and vice versa. Furthermore, when the USD/ZAR rate is making a top, then a bottom in silver is normally very close (before or after the USD/ZAR peak).

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Silver: Don't Miss the Opportunity of a Lifetime - AGAIN! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Peter Ginelli writes: Silver is and has always been one of the most essential metals on the planet, and yet it has never received the respect it deserves as does gold.

If tomorrow morning we wake up and discover there is no gold on the planet, only three groups of people would miss it: banks which use it as partial reserve, private investors who use it as a hedge and the general consumers who buy it in the form of jewelry.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Crude Oil Price Correction / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

    Crude gained $1.62/bbl. last week and closed at 47.84 but still below the 200-dma. BWI (bandwidth indicator) fell in non-confirmation of the rally.

Support is at 45.25. I suspect we will see a run to the 200-dma at 49.00 prior to new lows in crude however, the detrended oscillator is overbought warning of a pullback early this week.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Wealth Protection: Two Cautionary Tales from France and the American South / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

On May 7, Marine Le Pen's defeat in France's presidential election secured an integrated EU and had many investors breathing a sigh of relief.

Had the election gone her way, French workers could have seen the devaluation of their euro-denominated pensions if Le Pen had made good on plans to quit the currency in favor of returning to the franc.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Gold and Sillver Markets - Silver Price Sharp Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metal markets, noting the impacts of a sharp selloff in silver.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Gold Stocks Poised to Soar Sharply Higher! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: WallStreetNation

Friday, May 12, 2017

GDX Gold Mining Stocks’ Q1’17 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have been slammed by a sharp gold pullback in recent weeks, spawning today’s bearish sentiment.  Traders often get caught up in the emotional swings generated by this volatile sector.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, revealing gold mining’s hard fundamental realities which dispel the obscuring sentiment fogs.  The major gold miners’ profitability actually just exploded higher in Q1!

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  Some companies in other countries with half-year reporting instead of quarterly even follow suit.

Friday, May 12, 2017

Will Crude Oil Stocks Breaks above Medium-term Resistance Line? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In recent weeks crude oil came back below the barrier of $50, which triggered declines and resulted in a drop to almost six-month lows. Despite this move, oil bulls pushed the commodity higher, which resulted in an invalidation of the breakdowns under important support levels. What happened at the same time with oil stocks? Will we see higher values of the XOI in the coming weeks?

Let’s jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and find out what can we infer from them about future moves.

Friday, May 12, 2017

Gold Price in May 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The mining stocks moved higher yesterday and this move can be explained neither by a move higher in gold or silver, nor by a substantial rally in the main stock indices. Does the miners’ strength indicate a looming turnaround?

Quite likely yes, but the emphasis should be put on “looming” and on the fact that any turnaround here is not likely to be very significant. Let’s take a look at the charts for details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and check the outlook for gold price in May.

Friday, May 12, 2017

A Look at the Silver/Gold Ratio, Inflation/Deflation and the Yield Curve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

An email from a reader (of the eLetter, I think) calling me out on trying to make too many correlations in a dysfunctional market (I think that was his bottom line point, and he’s got a good point) got me thinking about the Silver/Gold ratio and some pretty interesting post-2011 dysfunction (so it seems) in the markets.

Markets that made sense in certain ways prior to 2011 no longer make sense in the same ways. For instance, the S&P 500 used to be correlated to the Silver/Gold ratio, which itself was positively correlated to inflation and/or inflationary economic growth. Gold also liked for silver to be leading it, not the other way around.