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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Crude Oil Price Slump is a Once in a Decade Opportunity to Make Money, Guaranteed / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Atlantic_Perspective

All investments carry risk. There are no safe investments in the sense that “you just can´t lose”. But risk can be greatly reduced, according to the entry point and the timespan of the investment.

The commodities cycle
The world is currently awashed in oil and natural gas. This is the reality of today. But as sure as day follows night, this glut will turn into production deficit over the next few years. All commodities traders know this and have seen gluts turn into deficits dozens of times, in different markets.  Why does this happen?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Gold Price Hits a 5-Year Low: How to Time the Next MAJOR Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: EWI

See this surprising "central banks indicator" of big reversals in gold prices

"In what traders called a 'bear raid,' sellers on Monday dumped an estimated 33 tonnes of gold in just two minutes on exchanges in Shanghai and New York, sending prices on a nearly $50 downward spiral from which they never fully recovered." (Reuters, July 21)

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Currencies Depend on Faith, Gold Doesn't / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

In his July 17th Blog, Let's Get Real About Gold, author and Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig likened investor interest in gold with the "Pet Rock" craze of the 1970s, when consumers became convinced that a rock in a box would provide continuous companionship, elevate their social standing, and give them something hip to talk about at parties. Zweig asserts that investor faith in gold, which he argues is just another inert mineral with good marketing, is similarly irrational, and has kept people from putting money in the much more lucrative stock market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Crude Oil Price Barrier of $50 Holds - For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil declined after the market's open, hitting a fresh multi-month low, the commodity rebounded in the following hours and closed the day above the Jul 7 low. Did this upswing change anything in the short-term picture of crude oil?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Silver and the Deflation Thesis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

56,859 contracts represents over 284 million ounces of silver in a market with a total of just under 1 billion ounces in open contracts (open interest of 197,092) and a combined warehouse “physical” inventory of just over 180 million ounces.

I decided to make public and expand upon one section in my private newsletter weekly commentary.

As silver was monkey-hammered once again this week, I got the usual “see that, Harry Dent was right. Silver is going down” response.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Gold Price Crash - Trend Forecast 2015, Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The gold price bear market has continued in 2015 since its mid January 2015 peak of $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering to currently stand just over $1,100.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Winning the Hunger Games - How to Choose Successful Agriculture Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: The_Energy_Report

Starting with the premise that people have to eat, The Agletter Editor Tom Wallace has found productive fields in the many subsectors of the ag investment space. Without discounting the risks, he explains to The Energy Report how investors can recognize and hedge those risks. Wallace also names three favorite companies that span the spectrum, from planting the seed to foodstuff.

The Energy Report: Is investing in agriculture like investing in any other commodity, or do investors new to the space need to get familiar with special considerations?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold Hammered “Unprecedented Attack” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Gold market comes under “unprecedented attack” – Telegraph
– “Sharp drop bore similarities to bear raids by Chinese funds” – FT
- Paper contracts for 57 tonnes of gold dumped onto market in two minutes
- Gold still holding up in euros, Canadian dollar and other currencies
- Very negative sentiment towards gold signals close to bottom
- Physical gold still vital financial insurance despite simplistic anti gold narrative 

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold and Silver: The Final Capitulation Commences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

The first 10 years of the bull market in gold was in hindsight plain sailing allowing us to generate profits by sticking with the trend. Alas all bull markets come to an end and so it did in 2011 when gold peaked at $1900/oz. Silver, despite having numerous industrial uses also felt the draft and fell dramatically along with the mining sector which lost approximately 70% of its value during a 3 year period of pure carnage.

This pattern of falling stock prices interrupted by sudden price hikes has characterized the precious metals sector for the last three years or so. Unfortunately the bounces were rarely of the same magnitude of the preceding falls in prices and so we have witnessed the Gold Bugs Index, the HUI, fall from a high of 630 to a close today of 113, recording a drop of some 80% in the value of these stocks. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Is Gold a Stupid "Pet Rock" or a Bedrock Asset? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Greece defaulted at the end of June, and metals investors expected higher prices in July. What we expected isn’t what we got. It isn’t the first or last time markets surprised investors. Do lower spot prices mean precious metals are failing as a safe-haven investment?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Are Gold Investors Finally Capitulating? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: John_Rubino

Sprott Asset Management’s Rick Rule is one of the smartest guys in the resource investing world — and one of the most reasonable — which has made his interviews of the past few years a little disconcerting. Along with the obligatory positive thoughts on the long-term value of gold and silver and the resulting bright future for the best precious metals miners, he always points out that the sector hasn’t yet endured a capitulation, where everyone just gives up and sells at any price, tanking prices and setting the stage for the next bull market.

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

Gold Price Just a Little Bit More / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

Back in May, I sent followers of this public blog a Gold Cycle Update, outlining how gold had a 75% chance of failing to rally, resulting in an unexpected downturn. And then 3 weeks later, I sent a follow up article (Approach An Endpoint), where I outlined how gold was heading for a major Investor Cycle failure below $1,136. As was predicted, the Gold sector was hammered this past week, with new lows being achieved in every nook and cranny of the precious metals complex. Silver and platinum crossed that threshold weeks ago, but for the Miners and for Gold itself, Friday's high volume decline pushed them to new, multi-year lows. The Miners are especially concerning. Gold's decline has been tame by normal standards, but the Miners are back at the depths of the 2008 plunge, having completely erased the gains of the last Cyclical bull market.

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

Gold Investors Opportunity to Potentially Double Their Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Rarely does childish selling of the Street and massive forced selling in China give Gold investors an opportunity to potentially double their money. That is what it may be happening at this very time in Gold and Silver markets. Now may be time to sell all exposure to the Lofty Lunacy, those internet / technology / growth / biotechnology fantasy stocks, your first born male child, your home, your dog, and whatever to add Gold and Silver to your portfolio. Last time the Street was as bearish on $Gold was 2007 when the price closed out the year at $830. $Gold went on to more than double.

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

Let's Talk About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

For what seems like forever we have been mechanical in managing the precious metals because they have been bearish; period. This has been based on short and long-term technical indications and incomplete macro fundamentals. Gary the robot has had no difficulty whatsoever holding this stance despite Gary the human's unwavering view that the value of gold is in its insurance and long-term retained value qualities.

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

China’s Total Gold Holdings Much Higher – Owns Gold In SAFE and CIC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- China revises up its stated gold reserves in bid for IMF membership and reserve currency status
– China announces a 604 tonne increase in gold reserves
– First public disclosure re reserves in since 2009
- China officially owns around 1,660 tonnes of gold reserves –  true total figure is likely much larger
- Playing long game – protecting USD reserves and positioning RMB as global reserve currency
- China true gold holdings much higher as also owns gold in SAFE and CIC

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

Are the Production or Consumption Drivers of the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

There are many opinions about what factors drive the price of gold. Among the candidates you will find: inflation rates, U.S. dollar exchange rate, real interest rate, geopolitics, oil prices, market volatility and crises, mine production, jewelry demand, speculation, technological demand, central banks’ actions, manipulation, and investment demand. We will deal with them in this and the following editions of the gold Market Overview. We will begin by rejecting production and consumption. It does mean that they do not affect the gold price; however we are interested in factors which drive the gold price.

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Commodities

Monday, July 20, 2015

Gold and Silver Flash Crash - Thousands of Futures Contracts Dumped at Market Open / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

This was a little enthusiastic even by current standards, or lack thereof.

About seven thousand gold futures contracts, representing about 21.8 tonnes of paper gold, were dumped at market in one minute driving the price down to $1,080.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 19, 2015

Retail Silver Premiums - The Candle Blowing in the Wind / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Despite the continued technical, paper induced bias to the downside, recent news that the US Mint has stopped silver eagle production is once again is being singled as the likely cause for the premium surges now being observed across all physical silver retail products. 

Is this true physical demand bleeding through the paper charade? 

The bullion retail trade is a thin margin business to begin with. 

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Commodities

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Gold And Silver – Without Either, You Will Be Greeced / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Step back for a moment and absorb what just transpired in the ongoing Greek tragedy that refuses to go away.  Greece, with no possibility of ever repaying its fictitious debts to the EU, and the EU, in all of its greed and avarice, for no wisdom is to be found within that body of elite-pushing bureaucrats, it determined that the best and ONLY solution for debt-laden Greece was to LOAN MORE “MONEY.”

Need anything more be said about what is going on in European politics?

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Commodities

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Gold and Silver Record Shorting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The miserable summer for precious metals grinds on, with both gold and silver limping along near major lows.  Such dismal price action has exacerbated the extreme bearishness long plaguing this sector, sparking even more capitulation.  But this incredible weakness will be short-lived, as it was driven by American futures speculators’ record short selling.  That will soon reverse into guaranteed, proportional buying.

In all markets including precious metals, price is rightfully considered the most-important fundamental signal.  Prevailing price levels are set by free-market buying and selling until supply and demand meet.  And gold and silver prices are exceptionally weak, with these despised precious metals slumping down to challenge major new 5.2-year and 5.4-year lows this week.  So their fundamentals must be bearish, right?

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