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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Gold Price Potential Upside 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Degraaf

           The most important chart of 2016!
Charts in this essay are courtesy Stockcharts.com unless indicated.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 30, 2016

The Curious Case of Copper... / Commodities / Copper

By: Clive_Maund

I recently watched a movie called The Curious Case of Benjamin Button which some of you may have seen. In this film the lead role, played by Brad Pitt, is born as a decrepit old man and gets steadily younger until he eventually died of old age as a baby. To say that it's ridiculous is the understatement of the millennium. Yet many people come away from watching this film thinking "How wonderful, if we all kept getting younger!" As a contrarian I instead found myself wondering about the catastrophic effect on the cosmetics industry, as the market for anti-aging creams would collapse.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

No Change in Outlook for Gold and Silver 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

With each passing rally hope has bloomed that the bear market in precious metals may be over. The long and deep “forever bear” has to end but it hasn’t yet. Under the surface, the bear market is getting weaker and Gold is growing stronger. It’s showing strength against foreign currencies and has broken its downtrend relative to equities. These are very positive developments and a precursor to the birth of a new bull market. However, the weak rebounds in the metals coupled with the potential for a US Dollar breakout advise us to continue to remain patient and cautious.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

US Mint Gold Bullion Coin Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Recent years have seen countless claims that gold and silver prices have to head far lower, implying demand is low or supply is high.  But the actual data continues to prove this false, showing precious-metals bearishness is rooted in sentiment and not fundamentals.  One fascinating microcosm of gold and silver demand comes in the form of the US Mint’s sales of its popular American Eagle bullion coins.

When American investors buy physical gold and silver bullion, it’s often in the form of these American Eagle 1-ounce coins.  They have a really interesting history.  Back in the early 1980s, foreign national gold coins led by South Africa’s famous Krugerrand were soaring in popularity.  The US Congress didn’t want the States to be left out of the prestigious national-gold-coin business, so it finally acted in 1985.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

The Fed’s Normalization and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Fed hike is not the end of the world. The U.S. economy experienced many tightening cycles. Actually, many analysts are citing past rate hike environments as a guide to the future. However, three things make this tightening cycle (if there are more hikes at all) unique. First, the U.S. central bank increased interest rates when the economy is actually decelerating and the manufacturing sector is in a recession. This makes new hikes less probable, while increasing the odds for the U.S. recession in the new year. Both effects are fundamentally positive for the gold market.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

Sugar Commodity Trading Sweet Tooth Pay Day! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

On Wednesday Jan 27th I wrote an article that gave you a picture perfect trade setup. The trade is on sugar or the SGG sugar ETF. As of this writing sugar is now over 10% in our favor from the original entry and trading at short term support.

This is a critical level to lock in partial profits and move your stop in the money for the balance of the trade to be safe. I just want to keep following up with this trade as many followers are in this trade with me.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

US Stock Market & the Gold Sector Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

To review our stance, which is years along now, the gold sector is not going anywhere until it becomes widely accepted that developed stock markets, including and especially those in the US, are in bear cycles.  We have also drawn analogies to the Q4 2008 event that took place in what felt like a nanosecond compared to today’s long, drawn out process.  For this reason, a better ‘comp’ has been the 1999 to 2001 time frame.  That was a process as well.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

Gold and Silver Price Manipulation: Can It Be Empirically Verified? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Dr Brian Lucey, Dr Jonathan Batten and Dr Maurice Peat have just published some interesting research looking at the thorny issue of whether there is manipulation of gold and silver prices.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 28, 2016

FOMC Dovish: Gold to Go Higher and Stocks to Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

The worsening of financial conditions this year led markets to price in rates to remain unchanged at the January FOMC meeting, with many speculating the Fed to deliver a dovish statement. This has now been realised. Language used described that the FOMC recognised that economic activity had slowed and that inflationary pressures and expectations had “decline further”. As a result, it will now take an improvement in financial market conditions for the Fed to hike again at their next meeting, which is in March.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Sugar Commodity Sweet Holiday Trade Is In Play & In The Money! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As traders we are always on the hunt for new trade ideas poised and ready for big moves. And back on Dec 17th 2015 I shared a sweet trade idea publicly on my blog and other financial websites.

If you want so see much more detailed charts and analysis from Dec 17th visit my blog page as it paints a clear picture: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/a-sweet-trade-setup-for-the-holiday-season-tis-the-season/

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Will Crude Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? 60 Reasons Why Investors Should Hang On / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Inventories will continue to rise, but the momentum is slowing.
The following are some observations as to how we got here and how we're gonna get out.

9 reasons why oil has taken so long to bottom:

1. OPEC increased production in 2015 to multiyear highs, principally in Saudi Arabia and Iraq where production between the two added 1.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) to inventories after the no cut stance was adopted.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Which Energy Companies Being Added to US Global Funds in Anticipation of an Oil Rebalance? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: The_Energy_Report

There are still winners in the energy space, but you have to move quickly. In advance of the rebalance U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes is expecting toward the end of 2016, he and analyst Samuel Pelaez point to the sectors taking advantage of opportunities, including refiners, midstream MLPs, low-cost producers, airlines and chemical companies. In this interview with The Energy Report, they name their favorites and outline the fundamentals that will make 2016 look a lot different than the year that just ended.

The Energy Report: In a recent Frank Talk, you quoted BCA Research with a prediction that oil markets will rebalance in 2016. What is that based on?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Gold and Silver - There's Something Worse than Having a "Losing Position" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

David Smith writes: here's something worse than giving up at the bottom...

There's something worse than watching prices fall as you continue to add on the way down...

It's giving up "three feet from gold," when if you had just stuck it out a bit longer, things might have turned your way.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Gold Price Revaluation Coming To $22,000 Per Ounce? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Hugo Salinas Price,  Mexican business magnate, investor, and philanthropist and the president of the Mexican Civic Association for Silver, writes today that gold will soon return to its traditional role in the international monetary system.

The current melt-down of the world’s debt bubble is likely to continue in the course of the next months and Salinas believes that the salvaging all debt and derivatives might require a gold price as high as between $22,000 and $50,000 per ounce.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Dovish Fed to Send Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sam_Kirtley

Gold and US real rates have long had an inverse relationship. Gold rallied to all-time highs while monetary policy was being made historically accommodative through quantitative easing. Then, as these measures were reduced and the Fed moved towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle a bear market in the metal began, leading the metal to almost halve from its prior highs.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Gold Remains Weak In This Disinflationary Environment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

Gold is struggling. Gold bulls will tell you that the yellow metal is doing great, as it has gone up since the start of the year, while stocks and most other commodities have come down. That is obviously only part of the story. As fear among investors has exploded in recent weeks, one would expect gold’s fear trade character to manifest itself. So far, the fear trade has been contained.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, January 25, 2016

Gold Price May Lead Gold Mining Stocks – Latest Research / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Dr Brian Lucey and Dr Fergal O’Connor have just published some interesting research on the correlations of the gold price and gold mining indices.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, January 24, 2016

High Food Pricing Killing Benefits of Low Energy Prices / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Richard_Mills

Lesson Learned

One of the places the decline in the Canadian dollar is most evident is in our grocery stores.

The University of Guelph's Food Institute estimates the average Canadian household spent an additional $325 on food in 2015 with meat rising 5% and fruit and vegetable prices rising between 9.1-10.1%.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold And Silver - Chart Facts Are Market's Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

We keep reiterating that one need not be expert, nor even conversant, in reading a chart to be able to read and appreciate how charts "talk" and reveal very clear information. Opinions are of no consequence, regardless of how strong or otherwise "informed" one is about a market.

A fact is something upon which people of diverging opinions can agree, at least within reason. Each of the following charts contains facts, and it has always been our position that the market has its own message[s] contained in price volume behavior that has a convincing element of reason, no matter what the skill level of one's ability, or lack of, to read a chart.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Will Crude Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oilprice.com recently spoke with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016.

Oilprice.com: I saw that you were on Bloomberg in December, and you said that you thought oil would go to the low $30s per barrel, which was a good call at the time, before OPEC would sort of relent. Do you see any chance that OPEC can actually coordinate any production cuts?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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