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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Gold, Stocks Sell Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The sell signal is not yet definitively bearish because even at $1560, gold will be “trading” within the confines of a well established range. Nevertheless, the target measured move of $1109 on  the 3% X 3 box reversal P&F chart looks less ridiculous than it did a few weeks ago. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Commodity Stocks Risk On Rally: Rare Earth And Uranium Miners Outperforming / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Jeb_Handwerger

         For months, we have been highlighting to our readers that China’s economy is beginning to pick up which could positively influence commodity prices.  The fears of a slowdown were overblown.

China’s stock markets (FXI) have been rallying since early September because speculation is rising that the newly chosen Communist Party may boost the economy.  The China 25 index fund (FXI) is approaching a major 52 week high breakout.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Which Best Way to Return to a Gold Standard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Casey_Research

Many of us see hair-curling rates of price inflation not too far down the road. Today inflation is hardly noticeable. But what's coming will be so painful and so disruptive that soaring prices will become the voting public's number-one complaint. How will the politicians respond?

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Bernanke and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

To date seems only one group truly loves the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Largely, that group is comprised of bankers and bond dealers that profit from selling bonds to the Federal Reserve. Bernanke and the bond dealers have become BFF, Best Friends Forever.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Silver Deceptions: Large Surpluses and Low Production Cost / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Steve_St_Angelo

There are two misconceptions about the silver market that are still held by many investors in the precious metals community.  One is the notion that the world produces large annual silver surpluses and the other is the low cost of mining silver.  Some have argued that the investors have been deceived by certain aspects of the silver industry to believe these two fabrications.

Before we get into destroying the myth (once and for all) behind the so-called silver surpluses, here is the definition of surplus:

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Gold Price Compression, Risk vs Reward / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Submissions

Robert M. Williams writes: Whenever you invest there are two things you want to keep in mind. The first is whether or not you will get your capital back and the second is how much can you make considering the risk you have to take. With respect to the second, the possible return on capital must always be greater than the risk you are going to have to accept. In today’s world of “too big to fail”, quantitative easing to infinity, and debt expansion at an almost exponential rate, it´s hard to judge risk. Markets are being manipulated by central banks across the board. Look at the Libor scandal! The English justice system will put mid level employees of some UK financial institutions in jail for doing what the Bank of England requested, i.e. manipulate the Libor rate. Meanwhile, the “big fish” will swim free.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Gold Dips Back Below $1700 Following Signs of Progress on Fiscal Cliff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices fell back below $1700 an ounce Tuesday morning, having briefly risen above that level following news of possible progress in the ongoing fiscal cliff negotiations in Washington.

"Investors [are] seemingly wary of taking positions in a time of thin liquidity and still waiting to see whether legislators will avert the automatic spending cuts and tax hikes in the US," says a note from Swiss precious metals group MKS.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Japanese Pension Funds With $3.4 Trillion In Assets Seek Safety in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,699.50, EUR 1,289.26 and GBP 1,048.10 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,690.00, EUR 1,285.27 and GBP 1,043.21 per ounce.

Precious metals crept higher yesterday and closed with very slight gains for both gold and silver.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Central Banks Bitten By the Gold Bug, Insurance Currency Hedge? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: John_Mauldin

“For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple and wrong.” –H. L. Mencken

Possibly, the question I am asked the most is, “What do you think about gold?” While I have written brief bits about the yellow metal, I cannot remember the last time I devoted a full e-letter to the subject of gold. Longtime readers know that I am a steady buyer of gold, but to my mind that is different from being bullish on gold. In this week’s letter we will look at some recent research on gold and try to separate some of the myths surrounding gold from the rationale as to why you might want to own some of the “barbarous relic,” as Keynes called it. My personal reasons for owning gold have evolved over the years. I will tell you the story of my own journey, and you can decide for yourself whether to think about coming along.

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Commodities

Monday, December 17, 2012

Gold Weak Despite Japan to Print and Spend to Infinity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

THE WHOLESALE gold bullion price rose to $1693 per ounce during Monday morning's London trading, but remained slightly below where it ended last week following falls in Asia, where the Yen opened sharply lower against the Dollar before recovering some ground following the result of Japan's general election.

"Gold is continuing to trade below the psychologically important threshold of $1700," says a note from Commerzbank.

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Commodities

Monday, December 17, 2012

Gold And Silver – Footprints Are One Thing, Bootprints Are Another / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Michael_Noonan

Around 7 p.m., [CST], on Thursday, [lucky] 13 December, when there is normally
very little activity in precious metals, a series of High Frequency Trades mysteriously
came to life and pummeled the silver market, hard. What makes this ever more
suspicious is that this activity was on the heels of a breakout characterized by
strong supportive volume and a high-end range close.

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Commodities

Monday, December 17, 2012

Gold Vs Gold Stocks ($HUI) Who is Leading Who? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

The Gold stocks have failed to deliver on my expectations of a move higher and it has caused me to re-think the direction of the yellow metal.

The past few weeks I have suspected that Gold stocks and Gold was a corrective pullback but should have been a shallow pullback, relative to the ideas I was expecting. With the breakdown in the $HUI, it strongly suggests Gold and the Gold stocks could be in some trouble.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 16, 2012

SILVER Window of Opportunity @ $29.68 – $26.23 by Jan 18 2013? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Joseph_Russo

The following is a quick update to our Silver Lining report from October 21, 2012.

The daily chart below illustrates the latest price action in Silver. From the secondary lower high at $34.39, the trend has been down for the past 11-sessions, setting a print low on Friday at $32.22. As such, Tuesday marks session-13 from that secondary high, and offers the potential for marking a short-term turn-pivot low.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Short-Free Price" For Silver is $101.35 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Submissions

Afcarl submits:

"Short-Free Price" For Silver is $101.35 ( $33.11 + $68.24 ) Dollars Per Ounce:
 
The Silver Short-Free Price or SFP, is simply the Silver Spot price ($33.11/oz) plus the price increase ($68.24/oz) that would result from the purchase of all the current Silver Short contracts on the COMEX (117,651 Contracts of 5000 oz per contract). As the number of Silver Short contracts are reduced to zero, the Silver "Short-Free Price" becomes equal to the Silver Spot price.
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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Warning For Gold From Inflation, U.S. Dollar, And Mining Stocks! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Sy_Harding

Historically gold has been seen as a safe haven in times of rising inflation. No surprise then that it’s been in a long and impressive bull market since 2002, when a string of significant events began that were expected to create a substantial surge in inflation.

The 2001 recession resulted in significant monetary easing by the Fed in an effort to re-stimulate the economy. The 9/11/01 terrorist attacks resulted in dramatic increases in government spending on Homeland Security and the subsequent invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Harvesting Profits From Weak Hands in the Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

In financial market jargon, those investors described as having “weak hands” typically  means that they cannot hold onto a position they have established for very long if it goes against them substantially.

This term is often used to contrast such investors to those with “deep pockets” who can instead afford to take deeper drawdowns in their portfolio before they feel the need to exit their positions.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Gold and Silver: Of Cartels, Algorithms and Artificial Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Those who follow the day to day developments in the gold and silver markets have typically seen rampant market manipulation by large traders and bullion banks.

Although supposedly against the rules — and even being subjected to an ongoing investigation by the CFTC that now reaches into its fifth year — this market bullying is nevertheless allowed to happen over and over again without effective regulatory intervention.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Gold Stocks Golden Points To Ponder / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Richard_Mills

Investors seeking leverage to precious metals should focus on junior resource companies who own the world's undeveloped gold and silver deposits as they provide the best exposure to a rising precious metals price environment.

You need to find the quality management teams with money in the treasury, the ability to raise more and owning the advanced projects that are well along the development path towards a mine.

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2012

Inflation Targeting is Dead, Long Live Inflation! / Commodities / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

The Fed actually thinks it can drive 315 million souls through a 0.2% gap in its forecasts...

REMEMBER INFLATION? Central bankers do – and they want to get rid of it, writes Adrian Ash.

Not in the way they used to get rid of it. Back then they would raise interest rates to curb debt-fuelled spending. Whereas now they want to throw inflation out of their policy targets instead.

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2012

Silver’s Strong Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Zeal_LLC

Although you wouldn’t know it from listening to all the bearish commentary out there, silver is actually enjoying a strong young upleg.  Its technicals are very bullish, contradicting the prevailing pessimism gripping traders.  This glaring disconnect between price action and sentiment won’t last forever.  It has hammered silver stocks to depressed levels that offer a smorgasbord of opportunity for brave contrarians.

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