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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Bitcoin Scams to Be on the Lookout For / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Steve_Barker

Crypto scams are on the rise, with CNBC reporting that in 2021 "a record $14 billion" was snatched by cyber criminals in all sorts of ways!

Bitcoin scams are a major part of the fraud that's been happening in recent years. This makes sense since Bitcoin has the largest market cap by far more than any other cryptocurrency.

In this guide, we'll delve into the shady world of Bitcoin and crypto scams. Read this article in full to get the lowdown on everything you should look out for and aim to avoid in terms of crypto scams!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Stock Market Trend Pattern 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My stock market big picture remains to expect the Dow to target a trend towards a probable bottom by late August / Early September at approx Dow 29,600 So far the stock market has not done anything to negate this scenario and thus remains the direction of travel ahead of my next stock market in-depth analysis.

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Local

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

UK Heat Wave 49.3c Record Temperature! LONDON'S BURNING! FIRES! We are ALL GOING TO DIE!!! / Local / Climate Change

By: Eliza_Walayat

Temps hit a new record high of 49.3c in Sheffield with similar readings across the UK that continued to suffer the global warming consequences of a Killer heatwave, sparking fires across the UK including a major incident being declared in London!

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InvestorEducation

Monday, July 18, 2022

The Psychology of Investing in a Stocks Bear Market / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Every bull market is followed by a bear market and every bear market is followed by a bull market, where courtesy of the electron and inflation mega-trends the general indices are on an upwards exponential trend trajectory. Thus all bear markets are living on borrowed time and thus ones focus should be on accumulating positions in good stocks i.e. those that actually generate earnings and have good prospects for continuing earnings growth that courtesy of bear market negative sentiment results in prices trading to under value stocks i.e. to under X18 earnings, where everything above X18 is carrying a premium which is why I completely sold out of many stocks last year such as Amazon and Nvidia even though they had yet to peak due to the risks of a valuation reset as I covered in my in-depth analysis of August 2021

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 18, 2022

Stock Market Risk-On Vs. Liquidity Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 ended a losing streak thanks to the still fine retail sales data, and even consumer confidence edged up. In the flattening yield curve characterizing the move to a slow growth phase, it was (and will be) up to tech to outperform value. Also healthcare is likely to see brighter times ahead. If I were to pick two reasons for why I think stocks are bottoming here, it would be the risk-on turn in bonds accompanied by the 10-year yield soundly below 3.25%, and the capitulation in oil stocks (former star performer as these are likely to get pulled down among the last sectors while the key laggards such as tech are on the verge of starting to outperform) coupled with oil holding my $93 support.

Wednesday‘s very hot CPI print means that the pressure on the Fed to keep hiking aggressively, is on. Indeed no pause in inflation, and if PPI is anything to go by (it is) then there is a lot more in the pipeline – and I‘m not bringing up owners‘ equivalent rent, which would continue driving inflation ahead (it‘ll be now service driven as opposed to goods driven). With 50bp obviously not being enough to recoup some of the Fed‘s badly damaged credibility, the question is by how much they hike actually. There is chatter about a full 1%, but another 75bp one looks most probable to me. And should we see signs of inflation moderating (gasoline and heating oil topped in June, which would help the July figures, and with inflation expectations pointing lower now, odds are that we would then get 25bp in September, and that‘s it – midterms next, justifying Fed‘s wait and see posture.

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Companies

Monday, July 18, 2022

Learn How To Improve Your Customer Relations / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

Customer service is one of the most important aspects of any business. It can make or break a company, and it’s essential to get it right. We’ll teach you how to improve your customer relations so that you can provide the best possible service to your customers. We’ll cover everything from communication and problem-solving to empathy and customer retention. So whether you’re just starting out in business or you’ve been doing it for years, read on for tips and advice that will help you take your customer service skills to the next level!

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Local

Monday, July 18, 2022

UK HEATWAVE 47.9c RECORD Temperature in Sheffield - EXTREME WEATHER RED WARNING / Local / Sheffield

By: Eliza_Walayat

They said to expect UK temperatures to break above 40c, well the city of Sheffield saw temperatures soar well beyond 40c traveling all the way to a record busting 47.9c! This is truly extreme weather for the UK, and heat waves such as this are going to become more common due to global warming, the UK could even see temperatures break above 50c that will likely see many thousands of Brit's dropping dead like flies due to not being used to the high temps, lack of experience and infrastructure!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Dow Stock Market 2022 Trend Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

This is brief stock market update as I seek to complete my extensive analysis of the US Housing Market which the following contents list indicates extent of -

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Companies

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Wipeout! New Update on Our "Green Bond" Investing (ESG) Forecast / Companies / Renewable Energy

By: EWI

Excessive euphoria in financial markets is usually a big reason to be "skeptical"

Environmental, Social and Governance bonds (ESG) -- also called "green" bonds -- are offered by companies which want to advance the causes of social justice, social inclusion and green technology.

This form of debt had been steadily gaining in popularity -- going from sales of less than $100 billion in 2015 to around $800 billion in 2020.

For instance, here's an Oct. 9, 2020 headline from Pensions & Investments:

University of Toronto's $7 billion fund makes bet on ESG debt

However, the Elliott wave structure of a global green-bond index was sending a warning signal.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 17, 2022

What Are The Driving Forces Behind The Shift In Global Financial Markets Risks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Global market risks have shifted dramatically over the past 90+ days. It almost seems as though the global markets turned 180 degrees overnight, generally going from moderately soft monetary policies to very extreme monetary policies and conditions. This sudden shift caught many traders and investors off guard and resulted in -20% to -25% losses for many.

The driving forces behind this sudden shift are inflation and excess capital (M2) because of nearly a decade of near-zero US interest rates. Much of the excess capital created over the past decade has been deployed into global equities, infrastructure, and various speculative instruments (art, homes, cryptos, collectibles, and others). However, without a doubt, the recent burst of inflation is also a result of COVID restrictions. Such restrictions reduced supply capabilities and the resulting interruptions of manufacturing/supply have been felt throughout the post-COVID global recovery.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Is it Time to Give up on Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

Crypto just wrapped up a brutal first half of the year…

Bitcoin’s down nearly 60%...

Ethereum, the world’s second largest crypto, has fallen 70%...

And many smaller cryptos are down 90%+

If you’re invested in crypto… and thinking about throwing in the towel…

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Currencies

Saturday, July 16, 2022

USDD New Ponzi TRON SCAM Stable Coin WARNING - Offering 30% APY Hook to Crypto Suckers / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Crypto fools, here's A NEW Stable coin ponzi scheme ready to suck in your hard earned wealth hot on the heels of the Terra Luna crypto scam stable coin that did it's rug pull early May that within days was followed by the USDD scam stable coin that purportedly has already sucked in $720mln dollars by offering suckered a 30% APY interest rate. Don't be fools! Nothing pays you 30% APY! Only scam turd coins like USDD

The bottom line is that stable coins are a crypto SCAM factory, as soon as one rug pulls another one pops up, probably operated by the scam artists.

This is why crypto's will be regulated because the stable coins are a SCAM FACTORY that I have been warning of for well over a YEAR!

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED!

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Economics

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Fed-Induced Recession Looms as Rate Fears Roil All Markets / Economics / Recession 2022

By: MoneyMetals

Another pair of alarming inflation reports jolted markets this week.

On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index came in at a 9.1% annual rate. The higher-than-expected reading puts the CPI at a new 41-year high.

The biggest contributors to rising consumer prices are the basic necessities of food, fuel, and shelter. As households struggle to make ends meet, they are trimming discretionary spending, burning through savings, and running up credit card balances.

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Politics

Saturday, July 16, 2022

The Heat is on - Extreme Heatwave's Global Warming Catastrophe / Politics / Climate Change

By: Richard_Mills

In Winnipeg, the hottest day of the year, on average, is nearly 40 degrees Celsius, while in Whitehorse, the mercury blasts past 31.4. A moderating coastal climate means little to Victoria, which averages 33.1 degrees, and Toronto, the most humid city in Canada, becomes even less bearable, with the temperature climbing to a sweltering 38.4.

These are the average hottest temperatures of the year in the new Canada, based on a higher-carbon atmosphere, one of three scenarios put together a few years ago by The Prairie Climate Centre and graphed by The Globe and Mail.

If climate change doesn’t stop, Toronto will see over 100 days of searing-hot weather, according to the University of Winnipeg’s Prairie Climate Institute, which assembled the projected temperatures for Canadian cities as part of an interactive website that allows Canadians to see the likely impact of global warming on where they live.

The warming of the planet could occur at a much faster rate when “feedback loops” are slotted into climate equations. This is what happens when one change causes another change to occur, worsening the first change. NASA states that climate feedbacks could double the amount of warming caused by carbon dioxide alone. A well-known feedback loop is the disappearance of polar sea ice. This exposes dark ocean to sunlight, warming the oceans. When ice covers the poles, the sunlight is reflected back to the atmosphere, keeping the oceans cool. As the planet keeps warming, more ice disappears, exposing more water, further raising ocean temperatures, and sea levels.

Heat, that is getting worse every year and in some parts of the world is becoming literally unbearable (more on that below), is inextricably linked to droughts and fresh water loss. Here’s how it works: a lack of precipitation in the mountains from a new or prolonged drought leads to a low snow pack, lessening the annual freshet that fills up rivers, that convey fresh water into lakes and reservoirs. If this cycle continues year after year, hydro-electric power generation is imperilled, because the reservoirs are too low (such as Lake Mead, discussed below), as well as nuclear power generation that depends on vast amounts of water to run water-cooled nuclear reactors. This leads to blackouts, when residents and businesses who are running their air-conditioning full tilt to get some relief from the scorching heat, find the grid is overwhelmed. In future, there simply won’t be enough water to supply the amount of electricity required.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Why JayzTwoCents is WRONG to Pump buying of RTX 3000 GPU's, Crypto CRASH Ensures MUCH Lower Prices / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

GPU Prices are collapsing and it does not take a genius to workout why? We have a slowing economy, and a collapse in crypto currencies prompting Miners to dump their hoard of crypto cards, many of which they never got around to opening the boxes of as they went insane building crypto rigs that soaked up the maximum current capacity of their home wiring. so in steps Youtube influencer Jayztwocents who in a video tells his watchers to drop everything and go and buy an RTX 3000 series GPU NOW! Probably the worse advice anyone can offer given that RTX 4000 cards are soon to be released which will mean even more supply of 3000 series cards as many users upgrade, it's as though Jay works for Nvidia, i.e. Nvidia wants all of the 3000 stock to vanish ahead of the launch of 4000 series but that aint going to happen given the amount of stock miners are dumping so in step shills such as Jayz to drum up sales for Nvidia.

The bottom line this is NOT a good time to BUY NEW RTX 3000 GPU's, instead second hand DPU's can be bought for HALF the price of new and if one waits a couple more months probably a 1/3rd cheaper still!

Jayz is giving the worst advice of what to do right now.

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Politics

Saturday, July 16, 2022

UK EXTREME KILLER HEAT WAVE WEATHER WARNING - Over 40c Expected - Prepare NOW! / Politics / Climate Change

By: Eliza_Walayat

The UK is set for EXTREME HEAT over the coming days that looks set to exceed the previous record of 38.7c set in 2019, where UK temperatures by as early as Sunday could exceed 40c, the Met office has warned to expect a new high of 40c but the actual high could reach the Mid 40's which would be a jump from 20c to over 40c within 48 hours that the nation is clearly unprepared for.

So here is our video on what to do to prepare NOW as a matter of urgency before the high temperatures start to hit Britain over the next 24 hours.

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Commodities

Friday, July 15, 2022

Gold Inflation Disconnect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold should be soaring with red-hot inflation raging, but instead it is breaking down.  This history-defying disconnect has devastated sentiment, leaving this leading traditional inflation hedge despised.  Traders need to realize gold’s bizarre decoupling from all precedent is an extreme anomaly that will prove short-lived.  It has been driven by a parabolic US-dollar surge fueling unsustainable heavy gold-futures selling.

As a professional speculator and financial-newsletter writer for the past 23 years, I’m deeply immersed in the markets.  I eat, breathe, and sleep trading, watching and analyzing market action all day every day.  In such a long span of time, I’ve seen plenty of irrational episodes where prices temporarily disconnect from reality.  But recent months’ serious gold weakness may take the cake as the most absurd I’ve witnessed!

For millennia, gold has proven the greatest investment in inflationary times of monetary debasement.  Its supply growth from mining is very-slow, constrained naturally by the rarity of economic gold deposits and the decade-plus timelines necessary to bring them to production.  So when governments irresponsibly expand their money supplies at excessive rates, gold prices surge to reflect those depreciating currencies.

Relatively-way-more money is suddenly available to compete for relatively-much-less gold, bidding up its price levels.  And the higher gold powers, the more investors want to chase it accelerating its upside.  This logical gold-inflation dynamic has fueled legendary gains during past inflation super-spikes.  The previous couple before today’s monster hit in the 1970s, and gold’s performances reflected how it should react.

From June 1972 to December 1974, headline year-over-year US Consumer Price Index inflation soared from 2.7% to 12.3%.  During that 30-month span, conservative monthly-average gold prices blasted up an amazing 196.6%!  After that serious inflation wave passed, another one soon followed.  From November 1976 to March 1980, the YoY CPI prints skyrocketed from 4.9% to 14.8%.  Gold was a moonshot in that span.

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Economics

Friday, July 15, 2022

Peak Inflation is Not the Issue / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

The reality of record-high inflation combined with a hawkish monetary policy is slowing the economy sharply and has led to the current U.S. recession—two back-to-back quarters of negative growth. The economic contraction should soon cause inflation to roll over along with bond yields; but that isn’t necessarily indicative of a new bull market. It is much the same process that occurred leading up to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008.

The major difference is that the level of inflation today is much greater than it was 15 years ago--a white-hot 9.1% for June of 2022, which is actually close to 20% if calculated using the same method back in 1980. That level is much greater than the 4.1% in December of 2007. Inflation may be peaking, but it is peaking at over 4.5x greater than the Fed’s target. Meaning, the FOMC will find it very difficult to give up its inflation fight anytime soon. It would be a different story if the Effective Fed Funds Rate was trading close to the Fed’s neutral range, which Mr. Powell believes is close to 2.5%, not the 1.58% seen today. With CPI at 9.1% and its balance sheet at $8.9 trillion, it is untenable for the Fed to remain stimulative to inflation. Indeed, the FOMC wants the interbank lending rate at 3.5-4.0% by the end of 2022.
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Housing-Market

Wednesday, July 13, 2022

UK House Prices 2022 to 2025 Trend Forecast Conclusion / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My expectations are for for average UK House prices (Halifax) to continue to trend higher over the next 3 years, punctuated by a brief pause during early 2023 in response to interest rate hikes, weakening economy and tax rises. However persistent high inflation, extreme over crowding and continuing strong population growth ensures that the bull market will remain in tact. Therefore my forecast conclusion is for average UK house prices (Halifax) to target a rise from £278,123 as of February 2022 over the next 3 years to £340,632 for February 2025 data (Halifax) targeting a price increase of 22.5% over 3 three years as as illustrated by my trend forecast graph below -

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 13, 2022

How to Purchase USDT / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Tether, also known as USDT, is the world's leading stablecoin as far as market capitalization is concerned. Theoretically, stablecoins are a stable alternative for altcoins and bitcoin since their value is pegged to a fiat currency, e.g., the United States dollar. Therefore, those purchasing USDT and other stablecoins are more interested in the decentralization and anonymity they offer rather than price upsurges and falls.

The United Kingdom government is currently working on a strategy to recognize stablecoins as an official state payment method. However, this year, stablecoins have been hit by a wave of volatility; this made Tether lose a 1:1 tie with the US dollar in June.

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