Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Not a Gold Bull in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
In last weekend’s report, we covered how the Daily Cycle count was stretching too far, so marking a Nov 15th Daily Cycle Low (DCL) made sense. Doing so means that another DC began on Nov 16, and that puts today’s date in the normal timing band for a new DCL. So with another DCL fast approaching, the capitulation decline we saw this week fits perfectly with expectations.
The large drops in Silver and the Miners are strong indications that the final capitulation for the current Daily and Investor Cycles is at hand.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
This Blow-Off Trump Stock Market Rally Certainly Looks Real / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
Between late 2014 and November 2016, the markets went nowhere. They made no more than a few, very minor, new highs. It looked like a classic head-and-shoulders, rounded-top pattern, with a break of 1,800 sounding the death knell.All of my research pointed to signs that the end was near. The Dow was set to shed thousands of points in short order.
How much has changed since November 8…
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Corporations Bringing the Big Bucks Home May Not Be the Solution / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: Rodney_Johnson
Apple has a lot of cash.At last count, the company’s horde had grown to a record $237 billion. But, as we all know, almost half of that supply is stuck overseas. If Apple, or any other company that paid lower taxes (or no taxes at all) in a foreign jurisdiction brings the money home, they’ll have to pay Uncle Sam up to 40%.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Bitcoin Price Above Resistance / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: no speculative positions.
If you’re wondering how Bitcoin-based systems might influence the stock market, Overstock has just given you an example. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Online retailer Overstock.com has closed the first-ever Series A preferred funding round with shares sold on a blockchain.
Of the total $10.9m raised from existing shareholders, about $1.9m was raised via shares traded on the tØ blockchian platform developed by Overstock.com subsidiary Medici.
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
How to Get a Firm Handle on Gold's Ups and Downs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: EWI
Watch the yellow metal's price pattern to anticipate key junctures
By Elliott Wave International
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Financial Markets on the Edge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I begin the day by discussing an error in my Elliott Wave structure and how it was remedied. You may recall that on a larger scale, the USD is in some type of Broadening Formation. I figured that Wave (C) of [4] hadn’t completed yet and I had calculated the structure in a way that still gave me upper limits on how far it could go.
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Trumpenstein ! Who Created Him and Why? / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016
By: GoldCore
The election of Donald Trump has cast the political elite around the world into a state of shock. His arrival, so soon after the titanic Brexit vote, has profoundly undermined the neo liberal political status-quo that has dominated western economies over the past 30 years.
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Stock Market Up Day, But Substantially Off the Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started out the week with a pop to the upside, a very strong rally ensued, the Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4912 to 4963 to a new all-time high. The S&P 500 popped, but couldn’t get anywhere near the highs, reaching up to 2267.47, only 9 points off the lows, and then they backed off. In the afternoon, the Nasdaq 100 came down in a strong 3-wave decline, taking it from 4963 1/2 to 4926. It bounced at 4933 at the close, and managed to close positive on the day, but substantially off the highs.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Stock Market Doesn't Look Right... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX emerged under the trendline again, after another rally attempt. The reason I am discussing this is that the next three days in a row have the potential for a large decline. No promises, just the potential. Technically we should be under the lower channel trendline to get a confirmed sell signal. The problem is, the potential for a panic decline right off the top is very high…and this may be the first time in market history for this to happen.
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Warnings We’ll Wish We’d Heeded — Plunging US Jobless Claims / Economics / Unemployment
By: John_Rubino
It’s the same story every time: Imbalances build up during a recovery but most investors ignore them because good times have become the new normal and the uptrend seems bullet-proof. Then things fall apart and everyone wishes they’d paid attention to history.
This series will cover a few of the more glaring examples of late-cycle myopia, beginning with jobless claims, i.e., the number of people joining the ranks of the unemployed.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Brace Yourself For Italy’s Bankruptcy / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: John_Mauldin
When Charles Gave of Gavekal chooses to express displeasure over an economic trend, an asset class, or what have you, he does not mince words. Right now, Charles is exercised about Italy.
When Italy adopted the euro in 1999, Charles argued at the time that Italy would change from being an economy with a high probability of many currency devaluations to one with the certain probability of eventual bankruptcy. Now, he says, the fateful moment is not far off.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Trump’s FDA Chief May Implement Progressive Approval for Drugs / Companies / Healthcare Sector
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK COX : President-elect Trump's cabinet appointments are generating a great deal of attention and controversy. After eight years of Democrat rule, it would be foolish to expect otherwise.
One appointment, though, will have a profound impact on your health… and the health of your loved ones.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Trump Appointees Could Make Up The Majority Of The Fed In Two Years / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : The Trump administration's economic team is beginning to take shape, but we still don’t have nominees for two Federal Reserve Board vacancies.
Whoever gets them will have a chance to truly disrupt the global economy. That’s a big deal—so why haven’t we heard more about Trump’s plans for the Fed?
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Monday, December 19, 2016
Chinese Yuan's Day of Reckoning / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Michael_Pento
China's economy and markets have been defying the laws of economics since 2009. Amid a worldwide financial crisis during that year, they managed to grow their economy by 8.7%. But that growth was fueled by a $586 billion dollar government stimulus package, which was followed by an additional $20 trillion dollars in new construction spending over the next seven years.
China's economy became the envy of the world as the economy expanded through the edict of government to build massive cities that were mostly vacant. In fact, estimates are that 52 million homes in China are currently vacant and 90% of those empty units were purchased for investment purposes.
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Monday, December 19, 2016
A KEYNESIAN CHALLENGE: Prove Deflation is Bad For ME! / Economics / Deflation
By: Gordon_T_Long
'Mish' Shedlock and Gordon T Long discuss a number of outstanding issues in 2016 that will become Themes in 2017.
Economic Challenge to Keynesian's
Mish is quite emphatic that:
"Of all the widely believed but patently false economic beliefs is the absurd notion that falling consumer prices are bad for the economy and something must be done about them. The BIS did a study and found routine deflation was not any problem at all.
“Deflation may actually boost output. Lower prices increase real incomes and wealth. And they may also make export goods more competitive,” stated the BIS study.
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Monday, December 19, 2016
After Aleppo: America Needs a New Syria Policy / Politics / Syria
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Over the past week, eastern Aleppo was completely brought back under control of the Syrian government. The population began to return to its homes, many of which were abandoned when al-Qaeda-linked rebels took over in 2012. As far as I know, the western mainstream media did not have a single reporter on the ground in Aleppo, but relied on "activists" to inform us that the Syrian army was massacring the civilian population. It hardly makes sense for an army to fight and defeat armed rebels just so it can go in and murder unarmed civilians, but then again not much mainstream reporting on the tragedy in Syria has made sense.
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Monday, December 19, 2016
SPX may be hit by a double whammy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
While the SPX Premarket is slightly positive it has a cluster of Primary Cycle turns starting last Friday and lasting through this week that suggest something remarkable may happen. Friday morning was the terminus of an irregular (truncated) Wave (c) correction. The decline afterwards wasn’t very deep, but enough to cross beneath the trading channel trendline and become trapped beneath it at the close,
Monday, December 19, 2016
On the 225th Anniversary of the United States’ Bill of Rights / Politics / US Politics
By: Antonius_Aquinas
This December, 2016, marks the 225th anniversary of the ratification of the first ten amendments to the US Constitution which would become known as the “Bill of Rights.” To secure passage of the Constitution, the framers of the document (the Federalists) had to agree that it would contain explicit language on individual rights.
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Monday, December 19, 2016
Bail-Ins Coming To Italy? World's Oldest Bank "Survival Rests On Savers" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: GoldCore
The world’s oldest bank and Italy’s third biggest bank, Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), is making a last-ditch emergency attempt as the year ends to convince tens of thousands of ordinary Italian savers to help it escape state hands.
MPS shares fell 8.5% in early trading this morning as the bank began its attempt to entice institutional and retail investors to snap up fresh shares. The bank wants 40,000 retail investors and savers to take part in a complex €5 billion (£4.18bn) bailout. The Tuscan lender said it is pressing ahead with a highly-ambitious plan to persuade private investors to convert their bonds into shares. This process must be completed in the next two weeks – by the end of the year.
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Monday, December 19, 2016
Stock Market More Short-Term Fluctuations Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral