Thursday, May 26, 2016

It Feels Like Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Last night’s post on the US stock market ended as follows:

“As far as the Fed and its puny rate hikes are concerned, that is irrelevant.  This market is flipping them the bird.  Markets can rise a long way before a rate hike regime finally kills them.  It feels like inflation folks.”

This prompted a question from an NFTRH subscriber about what markets would benefit, and in what differing ways would they benefit if an inflationary phase comes to dominate?  That is a far reaching question and a difficult one as well, because inflation’s effects have a way of being unpredictable (how many would have answered ‘US stock market’ in the spring of 2011 to the question “where will the post-crisis inflation to date manifest on this cycle”?).

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Set to Propel the Dow Jones to the Stratosphere? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"Every man must patiently bide his time. He must wait -- not in listless idleness but in constant, steady, cheerful endeavors, always willing and fulfilling and accomplishing his task, that when the occasion comes he may be equal to the occasion." ~ Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

Central bankers wanted to put the fear of God into the masses and to a large degree they have succeeded in doing so; the masses are so afraid that they continue to hoard their money and refuse to put into the market, and that is why this Bull-Market is the most hated in history. Nine years and counting and you would think by now they would have surrendered these false beliefs as the Bears have been decapitated, and the naysayers are hiding in the woodwork. However, ignorance, like stupidity knows no limits and continues to trend upwards; if there were a way to invest in stupidity it would be an easy way to score a home run.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Cash Holdings of Apple and Other Tech High Fliers Are A Massive Risk in This Debt Jubilee Era / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Throw every “norm” out the window.  This Keynesian, central banking world has everything so distorted that nothing makes sense anymore.

There are currently more than $7 trillion in bonds, worldwide, offering a negative interest rate. Wrap your head around that!  People are actually paying trillions of dollars to give their money to mostly bankrupt governments with the promise they will receive less at a later date.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

S&P Significant Low has Occurred – Not Likely! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

There are patterns in markets. Yes, the Fed and High Frequency Traders influence markets, but we can learn from past patterns in the S&P 500 Index.

Using weekly data, the S&P made a high in March 2000, fell to an initial low in April, rose, and fell to a second low in October 2000.  It rallied and fell below the second low in February 2001 – never to look back.  From high to final low took 931 calendar days and price fell about 51%.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Bill Gross on the Fed, Short Credit, Japan and more / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Bloomberg

Janus Capital Management Fund Manager Bill Gross was interviewed by Erik Schatzker at the 2016 Blooomberg Fixed income Event at the Beverly Hills Hotel in California.

Gross shared his thoughts on: whether the Fed will move in June, how much that matters, Janus’ performance, trying to short credit, hedge fund fees, Japan’s fiscal policy and the currency market.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Gold Price Forecat Rise Above $1,900/oz -“Get In Now” Says Boockvar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The gold price is likely to rise above $1,900/oz in the next phase of the bull market and investors should “get in now,” Chief Market Analyst of the Lindsey Group, Peter Boockvar told CNBC’s “Futures Now” yesterday.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Statistics for Funeral Planning in UK Grave / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: ....

Recent research has revealed that a shocking 45% of Britons have made no provisions for the event of their death, and that one in ten of the survey respondents foresee that their friends and family will have to foot the bill when they pass away. British Seniors Insurance Agency, an insurance company specialising in British Seniors, conducted this research via Opinium Research earlier this year.

This research uncovers the grave truth about funerals, memorial services and deaths - often loved ones are expected to take on the financial burden. With costs of funerals rising to an estimated £5,469 in some areas of the UK, this can cause substantial emotional stress. The research results suggested that, of the respondents surveyed who had managed the affairs of their loved ones, 58% admitted that it had a direct effect on their emotional health. This statistic was even higher among those respondents in the age bracket of 18-34 years old.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Is The London Gold Bullion Market a Bucket Shop - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

It's Thursday May 26 2016 I'm talking about the LBMA today which is the London
bullion market Association it's the biggest supposedly physical gold market
in the world and the reason I brought in diapers because there's an interesting
article in Zero Hedge and it's in tights titled an inside look at the world's
biggest paper gold market and there's quite a few infographics in this article
and it's very interesting and basically it states that average trading volume in
London gold treating calling paper gold as 5,500 tonnes but the LBMA only holds
300 tonnes in its vaults there is more going to London in the Bank of England
buy back gold is supposedly their cat by the Bank of England for other world

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Think Beyond Oil And Gold: Interview With Mike 'Mish' Shedlock / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Mike_Shedlock

This past week I was interviewed by James Stafford at Oilprice.com.

We discussed, oil, gold, lithium, other natural resources, global opportunities, and even biotech plays.

Here is the full interview, conducted several days ago.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Hard Times and False Mainstream Media Narratives / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: James_Quinn

The mainstream media mouthpieces for the establishment peddle false narratives, disingenuous storylines, and outright propaganda to keep the ignorant masses confused, oblivious to reality, misinformed, and passively submissive to the opinions of highly paid “experts” and captured fiscal authorities. The existing social order likes things just as they are.

They reap ill-gotten riches, wield unchecked power, and control the minds of the masses. They are the invisible government consciously manipulating the minds, habits and opinions of the multitudes in order to dominate society, control the levers of government, and accumulate obscene levels of wealth through manipulation of the currency and domination of the banking and corporate interests.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Does the Alternative Media Still Exist? With Graham Mehl / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Andy_Sutton

Going in, we readily admit this is likely not to be a popular read with many folks. However, to adapt the famous saying of Patrick Henry, the tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of tyrants and patriots. We use the saying purely in a metaphorical fashion in this instance. In our article, you can substitute the patriot’s blood with the carcasses of those who at first championed liberty, but now have become what they most despised. History is replete with examples of men both big and small of championing a cause only to end up right back where they started – only this time they’re looking at themselves in the mirror.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Will The Swiss Guarantee 75,000 CHF For Every Family? / Politics / Social Issues

By: GoldSilverWorlds

The Swiss public will have to approve or reject a change in the constitution that would allow for an Unconditional Basic Income (UBI), or a preset, monthly minimum income to be paid out by the government to every adult and child in the country if their income falls below a specific threshold. Even though details of this proposal have been few and far between, the most commonly cited amount of this guaranteed income would be 2,500 Swiss Francs for adults and 625 francs for children. The architects of the proposal stress that this government-guaranteed payment, unlike the current benefit programs, will be entirely “no questions asked”, i.e. it will not be means-tested and it will apply for every person legally living in Switzerland.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Stock Market Breaking Above 2085 S&P 500.....Barely... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

A breakout is a breakout and the S&P 500 did close above 2085. It doesn't meet my personal criteria of a breakout, which means a move above by at least a half percent, but you never argue with an index breaking above an old level of resistance, even if it didn't do it forcefully. The only problem with this five-point move above 2085 is we're coming off extremely overbought short-term conditions, thus, we could lose that level right back in the short-term. If we do it's not the end of the world, but just be aware that we're still over 70 RSI's on all the short-term index charts after having readings that averaged 80 during the trading day. The markets overseas were higher after more bail out dollars were handed out in the Euro zone.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Is There A Stocks Bear Market in Progress? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX topped out one year ago, on May 20th, 2015 at 2134.72. One year has gone by in the SPX and has still not made a new high. It could be many years before we breach that high!

The SPX chart below indicates why it is not making any new highs and why a trend change is due any day, now!

From the lows of 2009, the SPX has risen in a parallel channel while never breaking/closing below it with the exception of the beginning of this year at which time it broke down the channel and then closed below it. However, it has since recovered, as indicated in the chart below, however, it is facing significant overhead resistance in the 2110 levels.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Billionaires Are Wrong on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Nick_Barisheff

Recently the mainstream media has reported that several billionaires are concerned about global financial markets and have purchased significant amounts of gold to protect their portfolios.

Take Stan Druckenmiller, the famed hedge fund manager who managed money for George Soros as the lead portfolio manager for Quantum Fund. He and Soros famously 'broke the Bank of England' when they shorted the British pound sterling in 1992, reputedly making more than $1 billion in profits. He has reportedly used over $323 million of his own money to invest in gold. This is approximately a 30% allocation in his $1-billion family fund. His belief in gold can be attributed to his criticism of the Federal Reserve's massive money printing and near-zero interest rates. Ongoing low rates will drive both central banks and investors into gold.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

How NOT to Invest in the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Investor psychology is an interesting phenomenon to study. Despite the obviously negative implications, a large percentage of investors have a tendency to buy high and sell low. When the price has been rising and everyone is bullish, they decide to jump in near a top. When prices are dropping sharply and everyone is selling, they get fearful and decide to exit their positions near the bottom.

Herd mentality, or mob mentality, describes how people are influenced by their peers to adopt certain behaviors, follow trends, and/or purchase items.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

The Black Swan Spotter...Which Saw the Oil-Crash coming; now says the “Invisible Hand” will push Brent to $85 by Christmas / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

This is a long article...in summary:

The Short Story:

• $85 by Christmas 2016 sounds as far-fetched as the notion that when Oil was $100-Plus, it would crash!
• The Big Idea then, was that was a classic price bubble – and bubbles always bust
• That was based on a boring valuation for “Other-Than-Market-Value” (OTMV) done in line with very boring International Valuation Standards; nothing radical, no Black Magic, no Black Swans  http://www.romacor.ro/legislatie/08-ivs2.pdf
• The “alleged” price-bubble, led “allegedly” to over-investment which led to over-supply
• That was probably thanks to central banks printing money to stimulate what Ludwig Von Mises called “mal-investment”, which is why you have central banks and “God’s Workers” ordained by Goldman Sachs
• The over-supply eventually caused a bust, predictably
• And then “over-investors” (and/or their banks), lost their shirts. That’s normal, it happens all the time; the only question is who pays; the latest idea of the Fed  is the grand-children do.
• The model says bubble/bust is zero-sum and so the bust is over; because the supervisor of God’s Workers says so
• OTMV today appears to be about $85, so that’s where the price is headed now
• Unless shale oil comes back in a big way – that’s the only caveat.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Is the Derivatives Markets About to Implode the System Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The 2008 Crash was caused by the unregulated derivatives markets. And if you think that problem has been fixed, you’re mistaken.

Consider Deutsche Bank (DB).

DB sits atop the largest derivatives book in the world.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Major Money Making Opportunity Just Triggered For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

It has now been a year since stocks hit a new all-time high.

That is correct, despite having two massive bounces, driven by tremendous Central bank intervention, the S&P 500 remains well below it all time high of 2130 established May 21 2015.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

U.S. Household Debt Still Below 2008 Peak / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Household Debt Summary

• Household debt for the first quarter of 2016 is up $136 billion.
• Mortgage debt, up $120 billion, accounts for most of the gain.
• Student loan debt, up $29 billion, accounts for most the rest.
• Total household debt still below 2008 peak