Monday, May 23, 2016

Stock Market Crash Death Cross Doom Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We appear to be at one of those stock market times of the year when cognitive dissonance prevails, for one does not need to look far to see the building mood for imminent doom that apparently has been imminent all year! Nevertheless, it appears to be reaching a new fever pitch of intensity with the focus now on the apocalyptic sounding DEATH CROSS ! Which depending on the analyst has occurred from twice to more than a dozen times this century for the fundamental fact that the Death Cross just like much of Technical Analysis is just a back fitting exercise, i.e. tweak the parameters used so as to fit a pattern with the benefit of hindsight so as to support ones pre-existing opinion.

Monday, May 23, 2016

U.S. Housing Market Real Estate Bubble Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Michael_Pento

It shouldn't be hard to understand that nearly 90 months of ZIRP has regenerated the equity and real estate bubbles that first pushed the global economy off a cliff back in 2007. In fact, the Fed's unprecedented foray with interest rate manipulation has caused these assets to become far more detached from underlying fundamentals than they were prior to the start of the Great Recession.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Can The British Pound Turn Around? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Richard_Cox

Broad trends in currency markets have been somewhat subdued for most of the year.  There are few different reasons to explain why we are seeing this type of activity but it is important to look ahead in order to determine which factors are likely to present themselves during the second half of this year.  Most of the recent activity has been centered on the Federal Reserve and monetary policy implications for the US Dollar.  But when we are looking for oversold currencies that are basing themselves for strongly bullish runs, one of the best options in the market just might be the British Pound (GBP).

Monday, May 23, 2016

Why Aren't Venezuelan Interest Rates Going Negative Like in Europe? / Interest-Rates / Venezuela

By: Mario_Innecco

Monday May 23rd 2016 I'm gonna talk about Venezuela is mainly because we've
been you know bombarded in the last few months which stories in the mainstream
and alternative media about hyperinflation Venezuela societal
collapse people killing packs to eat you know loads of horrible stories and I'm
not saying they're not true they are and Venezuela though is a fairly rich
country know you look at their GDP per capita has hired in China I know they
have a lot of oil revenue but it's still not a poor country and the main theme
and even Zero Hedge who blog I read it and I really enjoy what they talked
about and how you analyze things they've caught you know they've been trapped by....

Monday, May 23, 2016

Time to Hedge Gold and Silver Positions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Time to hedge metals positions. Here’s why:

Monday, May 23, 2016

Gold - The Next Top Performing Asset to 2020 & Beyond / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

2016 has been a great year for gold. Its currently up 17%.

This is the best time to invest in gold for the long-term investor.

The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of ‘technical analysis’ that believes investors move between periods of bullish and bearish thinking in a reasonably consistent pattern.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Mind the Gap! High-LTV Mortgages Get Cheaper / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Heightened competition in the mortgage market has given those with smaller deposits a boost, as not only are there more deals for borrowers to choose from but there are also lower rates. In fact, Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the difference in rates between the average two-year fixed mortgage at 60% and 90% loan-to-value (LTV) has reduced by 0.93% to 1.03% in just two years.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Venezuela Descends Into Chaos... Europe and US Next? / Politics / Venezuela

By: Jeff_Berwick

It has been less than two months since I visited Caracas, Venezuela. While things were already very bad when I was there, they are now worse.

Power shortages have deepened (and this in an oil rich country!); food is becoming scarce (some people have resorted to eating dogs and cats); people lie on concrete slabs in hospitals without medicine (if you thought medical care was bad, just wait until it’s free!); and riots and looting are growing worse.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Did AMAT Chirp? Implications for the Economy and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

The following is the opening segment of this week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 396. The report also covers, in detail, the technical status of US/Global stock markets, precious metals, commodities, currencies and even a few individual gold miners and a couple of new (non-gold related) NFTRH+ trade ideas.

In January of 2013 we noted that the "Canary's Canary" chirped and signaled an economic up phase (such as it was) on the horizon. The Canary was the Semiconductor sector, which is cyclical and economically sensitive. The Canary's Canary is the Semi Equipment sector, manned by the likes of Applied Materials and Lam Research.

Monday, May 23, 2016

ZAR Gold Price Signals A September 2001-Type Event In The Financial Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

The gold price in South African Rand (ZAR) is often a leading indicator for a USD gold price rally, as well as major trouble in the financial markets. A good example of this was around August/September 2001, just before the September 2001 crash (which turned out to be a major turning point in the markets - not just for the events of September 11).

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stocks Extended Their Rebound On Friday - Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, May 23, 2016

UK Treasury Propaganda Warns of 3.6% Brexit Recession, the £64 Billion Question? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Treasury (UK government) is to issue a statement today that basically puts the price of Brexit at 3.6% of GDP or £64 billion, resulting in a 1 year recession (much milder than the last), which is set against a large chunk of the euro-zone having been in economic depression for 6 long years.

Leaving the European Union would tip the UK into a year-long recession and lower Britain's economic growth by 3.6%.

Though the margin of error is probably at least 3% that effectively could completely cancel out the Treasury forecast.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stock Market Support Breached, But Not Broken! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: May be in the process of forming a H&S bull market top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, May 23, 2016

No Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

If you try hard enough you can always find a set of moving averages that will confirm your bias. The 50/100 week exponential moving average cross has never generated a false signal in 36 years. It’s confirming what I’ve been saying all along. No bear market.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Japan and US at G7 – Agree to Disagree / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Dan_Norcini

The big Pow-Pow taking place in Japan with the G7 ( Group of Seven) finance ministers yielded what most of us already expected – no agreement whatsoever.

I found Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso’s remarks quite revealing. His view is that the recent movements in the Yen have been “excessive”. “The movement seen over the past several weeks can’t be described as ‘orderly,” he noted.

He noted that “one-sided, speculative trades” have been behind some of the move higher in the Yen. The Japanese find such things undesirable.

Monday, May 23, 2016

EIS Sheffield Warns Parents Not to take Photos of their Children on School Sports Days! / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The jobs worth's at the English Institute of Sports (EIS) situated in Sheffield are apparently warning parents not to take photos of their children on school sports days held at the EIS, as illustrated by the letter issued by Greystones Primary School to all parents, that is holding it's Sports Day today.

The EIS has advised us that parents are not allowed to take photographs....

Sunday, May 22, 2016

George Osborne Warns of 18% Cheaper House Prices - BrExit for First Time Buyers / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's first time buyers fully understand the nature of the crisis that is Britain's housing market one of soaring average prices that far out strip average wages as unaffordability continues to trend ever higher to new extremes each year as I have illustrated over several years. A crisis that first the Coalition and now the Conservative government has bent over backwards to try and get first time buyers a leg up onto the housing ladder by adopting extreme tax payer funded measures such as the help to buy scheme, and most recently the Lifetime ISA, which will see the government hand out £1,000 cash to first time buyers for every £4k saved.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Gold Bull-Phase I Continues to Confound (The Trek to “Known Values”) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Plunger

Since January 20th the precious metal stocks have been in an upward impulse. I have classified this impulse as phase I of a new bull market. My essay “The three phases of a bull market” located on this site explains this in further detail.

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/goldprecious-metals/the-three-phases-of-a-bull-market?post=92292

In short, phase I is the move off bear market lows to “known Values”. Just prior to this move stocks were left on the bargain table and farsighted, wise investors picked them up from discouraged and distressed sellers. I have described this impulse move toward known values as analogous to a beach ball held under water then released.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Third Death Cross of the Century Pointing to Stock Market Carnage - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Sunday May 22nd 2016 short video and technical analysis I know people think
technical analysis doesn't work I have always been close follow-up technical
analysis course is on technical announces but I and I also like the
fundamentals I think it's important to follow boat but it's really important
that I come out with this because we've had a death cross on the weekly chart of
the S&P 500 also handed out but I'm going to focus on the S&P 500 because
that's the broader market and moving averages basically confirmed tops or
bottoms so they happened after the top and this makes sense because we had that
top stock market last year and fifty weekend hundred week is very long-term...

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Avoiding a War in Space / Politics / New World Order

By: STRATFOR

Space is becoming more congested, contested and competitive. Since the Soviet Union put the first satellite, Sputnik I, into space in 1957, no nation has deliberately destroyed another's satellite in orbit. But there is a growing possibility that battles may soon be waged in space.

Although the militarization of space started long ago, a number of technological developments and tests over the past decade show that the race toward its weaponization is accelerating. Driven by Washington's dominance of and strategic dependence on space, U.S. rivals are working to develop and deploy anti-satellite weapons (widely known as ASATs). The technology, which began to be developed during the Cold War, has become an area of intense competition for the world's most capable militaries over the past decade.