Friday, November 03, 2023
US Bond Market Chaos to Increase by March 2024 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Michael_Pento
The major issue with the bond market right now is the overwhelming amount of bond issuance combined with the notable absence of the usual buyers. In other words, the illiquidity is already causing U.S. sovereign debt to trade like a microcap penny stock. This dysfunctional trading environment should become exponentially worse by the end of Q1 2024.The U.S. national debt is now $33.5T, and the interest on that debt is $712b so far this year. That interest expense is set to double over the next few years as our debt is rolling over at much higher interest rates. Interest payments equal to 17% of all Federal revenue and should easily jump to 35% of all income very soon. The deficits will be much greater when the recession arrives, as the automatic economic stabilizers kick in, just as revenue also collapses. Entitlements and debt service payments will equal 100% of all revenue by 2040 at the very latest. At that point, there will be no room for any other government spending. Our bond market is fracturing, and it is becoming an existential crisis for our financial system. What else would you expect when the nation’s annual deficit is 45% of our revenue, and that is adding on each year to the national debt, which is an incredible 771% of annual federal income!
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Friday, November 03, 2023
Sad Silver Price Lags Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Submissions
With the economic backdrop continuing to deteriorate, silver’s bull case has become increasingly fragile.
Ominous Signs Ahead
While silver has bounced off its recent lows, the white metal continues to underperform gold. And when volatile areas of the precious metals market showcase weakness (silver and mining stocks) it’s often an ominous sign for the entire sector.
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Thursday, November 02, 2023
Stock Market US Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Seem's like everyone's woken upto the importance of the US presidential election cycle. However as is the case with the seasonal pattern it is not the holy grail, has a similar 75% hit rate to the all years seasonal pattern where the real value is when one puts both together. In which respect confirms September should end DOWN, October higher whilst November and December could switch places, i.e a weak November would imply a strong December and visa versa.
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Thursday, November 02, 2023
Stock Market Seasonal Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The seasonal pattern suggested that after a pause in Feb the stock market should trend higher into early May for a weak May before correcting into late June follower by a strong July rally into Mid August before ending flat on the month, then followed by a weak September likely into early October that resolves in a rally into late December.
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Thursday, November 02, 2023
You’re Being Lied to About AI Stocks Investing / Companies / Investing 2023
By: Stephen_McBride
Sam Walton’s first boss told him, “Maybe you’re just not cut out for retail.”
Haha. You know the punchline. Sam went on to build a retailer you might have heard of: Walmart (WMT).
Yep, Walmart started with one determined 44-year-old man.
And thanks to the magic of the stock market—which lets us piggyback on exceptional guys like Sam—investors got rich too.
Thursday, November 02, 2023
Stocks Are In a Rally Mode – Is This Just a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Paul_Rejczak
S&P 500 went closer to 4,300 level again – will the uptrend resume?The S&P 500 index gained 1.05% on Wednesday as it got back above the 4,200 level following FOMC monetary policy release. Recently the market kept selling-off on geopolitical uncertainty, strong U.S. dollar, among other factors. Last Friday’s low was at 4,103.78 and it was the lowest since May 12. Yesterday’s daily high was at 4,245.64.
In early October stocks were rallying from their local lows along 4,220 level and on October 17 the index reached a local high of 4,394. There’s still a lot of uncertainty about monetary policy, economic growth and geopolitics.
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Thursday, November 02, 2023
10 Tips To Consider Before Investing In A Tech Company / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Mark_Adan
Investing in a tech company can be a lucrative venture in the rapidly evolving world of technology. However, it is crucial to approach such investments with a discerning and analytical mindset. By considering a comprehensive set of factors, investors can maximize their chances of success.
This article highlights ten essential tips to evaluate before investing in a tech company, ranging from assessing financial health and management capabilities to analyzing market trends and intellectual property.
Sunday, October 29, 2023
Stock Market Ready to Tumble Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Your analyst back from scam central (Istanbul), tourists need to factor in a getting scammed tax when visiting. Since my last article the S&P hit a low of 4333 followed by an ABC rally to a swing high of 4533, whilst a consolidation of the advance was expected, still this was more powerful than how I imagined it would play out ahead of targeting sub 4200 by Mid October and thus presents a significant deviation against my original trend forecast of some 11 months go.
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Sunday, October 29, 2023
The Report that Will Change the Way You View the Markets Forever! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2023
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
When investors and traders first discover the Elliott Wave Principle, they're often most impressed by its ability to predict where a market will head next.
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Sunday, October 29, 2023
Are Zionist Israelis Nazis? Gaza Palestinian Genocide 2023 / Politics / Palestine
By: N_Walayat
Are Israeli Nazis? Watch this video and make up your own minds. For if anyone said what these Israeli's and their Zionist supporters hate speach about the palestinains against Jews then they would rightly be arrested. But somehow it is okay for Zionists to spread hate speach, incite others to violence, call for the death of all palestinians. That appears to be okay with the authorities given that the Zionists OWN the western political parties.
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Saturday, October 28, 2023
The Bond Trade / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As expected the four bond funds have been gravitating towards bear market lows and thus offering an opp to accumulate, I am now approx 55% invested.
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Saturday, October 28, 2023
Gold Should Heed Mining Socks Warning / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023
By: Submissions
While geopolitical conflict has kept gold afloat, mining stocks’ weakness signals trouble ahead.
Economic Recession Looms
While risk assets attempt to break free of their bearish corrections, gold’s relative outperformance has the yellow metal shining bright. Despite that, we’ve booked 11-straight profitable trades, and our 12th (currently open) remains in the green. As a result, our success highlights why mining stocks are often better trading instruments than the yellow metal.
Furthermore, while gold has largely sidestepped the recent risk rout, a recession is bearish for nearly all assets, and gold should suffer mightily if (when) the economic pain unfolds.
For example, S&P Global released its U.S. Composite PMI on Oct. 25. And while the headline results were decent and it outperformed expectations, weakness was present beneath the surface. An excerpt read:
Saturday, October 28, 2023
Welcome to the AI AgeTech Stocks / Companies / AI
By: Stephen_McBride
A lucky guy in California recently snagged the winning ticket for the $1.7 billion Powerball lottery.Overnight billionaire. That’s the dream, I guess.
Americans spend more on lottery tickets than sporting events… books… movie tickets… music… and video games combined. Wild!
Of course, the odds of winning the Powerball are 1 in 292 million.
A much surer way to get rich is investing in great businesses profiting from disruption.
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Friday, October 27, 2023
Will Gold Mining Stocks Look Past Q3? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023
By: Gary_Tanashian
Gold mining stock charts have not yet confirmed a sustainable rally, and Q3 fundamentals may be a headwind
We have used this daily chart of the gold stock ETF, GDX in written and video updates to keep NFTRH subscribers apprised of the progress of the bounce from the early October low (after previously using the chart to manage the long correction that began with the May double top).
Let’s update the daily technical situation by noting that the GDX rally has halted where it should have halted, as we’ve expected resistance at or below the 200 day moving average (30.49) and/or clear visual resistance at 30. The pullback is in progress and has done a good thing by filling the upper gap as it grinds and tests the 50 day moving average. All normal.
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Friday, October 27, 2023
The Gaza Concentration Camp / Politics / Palestine
By: N_Walayat
The Israeli Zionist war against the Palestinian people in the Gaza concentration camp continues, where the SOB's are murdering thousands per day in their campaign for the final solution so that zionists can complete their theft of palestinian land, backed by the Western powers as they had done exactly the same when they stole the North America, Australia, New Zeland and elsewhere from native populations through campaigns of genocide just as the Israeli's are doing today to the Palestinians.
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Monday, October 23, 2023
The Real Reason Why the West Supports Israel Against the Palestinians - Video / Politics / Israel
By: N_Walayat
The western media and establishment is rock solid behind Israel in it's quest to exterminate the Palestinians and complete the theft of their land on the basis of 2000 year old mumbo jumbo. But why? Find out in my latest video where I answer this pivotal question of why the West supports Israel when given their support of Ukraine against Russia Z one would have imagined that the West would seek to protect Gaza the Palestinians against the Israeli Neo-Nazi aggressor.
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Friday, October 20, 2023
PAYPAL PYPL Stock 50% Opportunity / Companies / Investing 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A peak under the hood, very slow / stagnant growth, current PE is 12.6 but with share dilution of 93.% will put downwards pressure on the PE and thus upwards pressure on the stock price, suggests that Paypal's bear market should be ending and if the buy backs continue then it should trend higher. throw in multiple expansion during a bull market and the stock price could target a 50% advance within the 2 years or so years off current $60 so to $90, throw in a bit of fomo and paypal could easily see $100, so I will be accumulating a little as a trade similar to the bond trade that targets a 50% return over 2 years though no dividend with paypal, so definitely not an invest and forget stock.
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Friday, October 20, 2023
Nuclear Power - America is Finally righting its 100-year Wrong / Stock-Markets / Investing 2023
By: Stephen_McBride
Herb Kelleher was a chain-smoking attorney who often consumed 100 cigarettes a day.
He founded Southwest Airlines (LUV) in the late ‘60s. His mission: Disrupt air travel by launching America’s first low-cost airline in Texas.
But his competitors tried to stop Southwest from ever getting off the ground.
Friday, October 20, 2023
As Geopolitical Fires Obscure Commodities' Path / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Crisis, crisis everywhere. But objective, free from the noise of the news, forecasting of commodity prices starts here, with our free Special Report ($155 value).
The geopolitical landscape is wracked. War in Ukraine, humanitarian crisis in Syria, and now, what Vox Media on October 15 called the "worst conflict in decades" between Israel and Hamas. For mainstream analysts who use news as the main predictor of price trends, the escalating tensions have "cast a shadow of uncertainty over global financial markets." (Oct. 11 Moneycontrol)
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Friday, October 20, 2023
Playing the Odds: Insider Tips for Success at Kubet Online Casino / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Introduction
In the thrilling realm of online casinos, success isn't solely dependent on luck; it's a calculated game. Having a strategic approach can significantly enhance your chances of leaving the virtual casino with pockets heavier than when you arrived. In this guide, we'll unveil insider tips for success at Kubet Online Casino, equipping you with the knowledge to elevate your gaming experience.
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