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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2020

How Will Gold Perform This Winter? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Brace yourselves, winter is coming! It may be a harsh period for the United States, but much better for gold.

Some of you may have seen snow this year already, but the astronomical winter is still ahead of us. Unfortunately, it could be a really dark winter. Instead of joyful snowball battles and making snowmen, we will have to contend with the coronavirus . The vaccines will definitely help (the first doses of Pfizer’s vaccine were administered this week), but their widespread distribution will begin only next year. So, we still have to deal with the pandemic taking its toll here and now – as the chart below shows, the number of daily COVID-19 cases is still above 200,000 in the U.S.

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2020

Precious Metals: The Foundation of A Sound Financial Portfolio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nick_Barisheff

Precious metals are the bedrock of the financial world. They have permanent value and are the oldest form of money in the world. If you don’t own physical gold and silver, your investment portfolio lacks a sound foundation. Precious metals are often sought after as a store of permanent value, and as a method of diversifying portfolios.

While cash, bonds, stocks and real estate offer investors financial diversification, precious metals underpin all other assets, particularly during times of economic turbulence and market turmoil.

Imagine an upside-down pyramid containing successive layers of asset classes.

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2020

Gold Price Green Light For Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are finally perking up again, after spending months slogging through a grinding correction.  Contrarian traders are taking notice, starting to redeploy capital in this high-potential sector.  Gold miners’ earnings and thus stock prices are overwhelmingly driven by gold’s fortunes.  And the yellow metal’s recent technicals are signaling a mature correction, green-lighting gold stocks’ next major upleg.

Bull markets are an alternating series of uplegs followed by corrections, for every few steps forward there is always one step back.  These periodic selloffs are essential for bulls’ health and longevity, rebalancing sentiment and technicals before they get too overheated.  Popular greed growing too extreme early in bulls will prematurely slay them.  All available near-term buying is sucked in, exhausting capital inflows and upside.

The most-important times to trade during bull markets are correction bottomings and upleg toppings.  The mission is to buy in relatively-low at the former, then sell relatively-high at the latter.  That’s the lowest-risk and fastest way to multiply wealth in ongoing secular bulls.  But executing on this strategy is challenging in real-time, because these tradable major lows and highs aren’t definitive until well after they’ve passed.

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2020

Big Down Day For Gold And Silver; More To Come? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

After a recent spike to the upside over the past seven days, both gold and silver have turned negative again and could be headed back to their recent low points reached early in the day on Monday, November 30th.

The movement in both gold and silver is evident of a decided shift in trend direction to the downside. What happens after prices return to their recent lows could prove interesting; or downright discouraging if you are expecting a resumption of the trend to higher prices.

Silver at its recent reaction high point yesterday reached $24.80. At that point it was still down $5.00 per ounce from it August intraday high of $29.80. When silver touched $21.80 last week it represented a loss of more than twenty-five percent from its August peak.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 13, 2020

Looking for Precious Metals Key Triggers / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The question on everyone’s mind is: when is it a good time to buy some gold or silver after they bottom? The answer to that question is simple: when key triggers are met. Count-trend rallies in gold or silver don’t mean that they have enough energy and momentum to keep climbing. Miners also don’t have enough strength to lead the way in a fresh climb upwards for the PMs, so everything we see now only speaks of corrective action.

Gold moved higher yesterday (Dec 8), while silver and mining stocks went in the opposite direction. It seems that the latter moved in tune with the trend, while the move in the former was rather accidental.

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Commodities

Friday, December 11, 2020

Mission Accomplished: The Gold Bull Is Back / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger maintains the "golden bull is back," and in this missive he outlines the reasons why. As this is being penned, I am seated in my den just after 7 a.m. looking out into the pitch darkness of an early December morn and the only light is a reflection off the cool waters of the lovely swamp Lake Scugog emanating from the bustling metropolis known as Port Perry. I can hear the distant rumbling of cars and trucks all along the causeway on their way to destinations that have surely changed from what and where they were one year ago.

With warranted affection, it gives me great hope in watching my fellow small-town citizens carrying on with pre-Christmas traditions, decorating the eaves with festive lights and animated front-lawn symbols that go back centuries. The will to survive and spit in the eye of the current public health crisis (which is rapidly morphing into a civil obedience crisis) gives me time to reflect upon the events of the past year. In case you haven't noticed, in the blink of an eye, 2020 will soon be gone, and to this I say, "Good riddance!"

Furthering that sentiment, I normally take the first week of December to conduct a self-audit of the year in review, largely because by this time there is not a great deal one can do to enhance one's portfolio performance. You have either had a good year or you have had a bad year, and with markets winding down into mid-month, volumes and volatility are going to be significantly reduced and trading opportunities disappearing up the proverbial chimney.

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Commodities

Friday, December 11, 2020

Silver is Back! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth explains why he believes silver is heading into a massive bull market. It's getting harder with every passing day to find cheap assets.

Stocks, bonds, real estate, they're all pretty pricey. And yet, no one seems to care.

Instead, the masses, and asset managers, appear determined to keep pushing them higher.

In recent days, the S&P 500, the Dow 30 and the Nasdaq all set new records. And yet, it's not difficult to imagine that, at least over the next 6–12 months, these indices could easily all head higher.

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Commodities

Friday, December 11, 2020

Is Silver Price (finally!) Set to "Cross the Rubicon"? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

History is full of intriguing sayings coming down to us from other cultures that inform our thinking and behavior.

"Managing a large state is like cooking a small fish." – Lao Tzu.

"A stitch in time saves nine." – A 1700's sewing reference.

"Healing is a matter of time; sometimes a matter of opportunity." – Hippocrates.

One I especially like tracks back to Julius Caesar after ending his governance of the Roman province of Gaul and being ordered to disband his army. Under no circumstances was he to come closer with it than a small stream outside of Rome.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 10, 2020

The Death Of U.S. Shale Has Been Greatly Exaggerated / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

The current year marks the 15th anniversary of the U.S. shale boom, a period in which fracking technology across such states as Texas, Colorado, New Mexico, North Dakota, and Wyoming helped establish the nation as a top oil and gas producer. 

Unfortunately, high costs of production compared with conventional drilling has led to the sector consistently printing red ink and resulted in considerable destruction of shareholder value. The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent oil price crash has led to investors souring on the industry further, credit becoming harder to come by, and a cross-section of Wall Street calling the end to the sector.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Copper, the Most Critical Metal / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

In 2018, before the trade war between the US and China put the boots to copper demand, and covid-19 mine closures/ abandoned expansion plans crimped supply, we made a bold prediction: that copper supply is NOT going to be able to keep up with demand in the long-term. Here’s what we wrote, in The coming copper crunch:

Even with expansions at existing mines and the ramp-up of the relatively few new copper mines like Cobre Panama, Radomiro Tomic and Toquepalain, it will not be enough to meet the onslaught of demand that is coming from China as it continues to modernize and urbanize, and electric vehicles, which use three times as much copper as regular ones. In 2016 Chinese automakers sold 28 million cars. If China follows through on its promise to go 100% electric, that would mean 2,380,000,000 kilograms of copper. At the current production rate of 20 million tonnes a year, that’s 119 years worth of copper! Just to produce enough copper for electric cars in China.

Do we expect 100% EV penetration? No. But the shift to electrification of our transportation system is real, it’s not going to go away or stop. Because it’s as real as the shift from wood to coal to fossil fuels and now to lithium. That means massive new copper supplies are needed just for Chinese EVs, whatever the EV penetration eventually turns out to be. And remember there’s the rest of the world to supply for EVs, charging infrastructure, and all of copper’s other uses.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Gold Wave Forecast – Is Gold Going To $3750 Or Higher? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Watching Gold fall to recent lows over the past few weeks has been heartbreaking for Goldbugs.  We know the real value of Precious Metals has continued to be under-appreciated over the past 24+ months – even though Gold has rallied from $1165 to over $2085 (an incredible 79%).  The recent 15% decline in Gold has shaken some investors away from the longer-term opportunities, so we wanted to share our research and highlight some simple Elliot Wave structures with you.

My research team and I believe the recent downward price trend in Gold is an ideal setup for an Intermediate Wave 4 pullback of a broader Wave 3 advance.  In other words, we believe Gold is in the midst of a broad advance cycle that may eventually push price levels to $5000 and above.  But, we’ll focus on right now and what we believe is setting up from a Technical Analysis perspective.

The first thing to remember about Elliot Wave Analysis is that we must consider the broad market trends, the intermediate market trends, and the short term wave formations.  With almost all types of Technical Analysis, we focus on different time perspectives of price trends and setups to help us better determine opportunities and outcomes.

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Commodities

Monday, December 07, 2020

What Does Biden Imply for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

America has elected a new President. It was a close race, but Joe Biden eventually won and he will be inaugurated and take office in the White House on January 20. The price of gold rose initially in the aftermath of the elections, only to plunge on the news regarding Pfizer’s vaccine breakthrough, as the chart below shows. This is what we know.

But what’s next for the price of gold? What does a Biden presidency mean for the yellow metal? To answer these vital questions, we will analyze the agenda of the President-elect. On the official Biden-Harris Presidential Transition website , we found that the new administration has four priorities: COVID-19, economic recovery, racial equity, and climate change.
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Commodities

Monday, December 07, 2020

Gold Returns Above $1,800. Has It Bottomed Out? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The price of gold returned to above $1,800. Is the correction over?

As the chart below shows, the price of gold rebounded, jumping from $1,763 to $1,811 on Tuesday (December 1) and increased further on Wednesday. As a reminder, the price of gold corrected more than 6 percent in November and almost 15 percent from its peak in August. Now, the key question is whether the worst is behind the gold bulls.
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Commodities

Saturday, December 05, 2020

Gold, Silver and Copper - The 3 Metallic Amigos and Their Messages / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Metals Ratios Continue to Indicate Inflation

And that is welcome for monetary and fiscal policymakers of course, since inflation is the only trick they have up their sleeve to bail this mess out once again. And this is no comment on COVID-19. The economy was slowly decelerating last year well before this guy showed up (I like the picture, okay?)…

The yield curve bottomed and turned up in August of 2019 as manufacturing was slipping, long-term yields were tanking and other economic signals were fraying in the wake of the trade war. So please, no convenient COVID excuses.

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Commodities

Friday, December 04, 2020

Platinum Begins A New Rally – Gold & Silver Will Follow / Commodities / Platinum

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My researcher team and I have highlighted a number of recent articles about Gold and Silver and how we believed the longer-term price activity and technical analysis supported a broad market advance in Precious Metals over the next 5+ years.  If not, check out Part I and Part II of our recent Gold and Silver research and price predictions.

Today, we are seeing further evidence that metals are on the move – in Platinum. Platinum has been trading below $1000 for quite a while and this is roughly HALF the price level of Gold.  Typically, Platinum rallies before Gold rallies in a traditional trending phase.  Platinum rallies because it is used in industrial and other fields – thus it rallies in an advanced market rally phase.  Gold begins to rally when a certain level of fear enters the markets or the markets enter a depreciation phase.

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Commodities

Friday, December 04, 2020

Don't Let the Silver (and Gold) Bull Shake You Off! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a measure of large investor interest, are experiencing outflows as opposed to an almost interrupted inflow over the last few months.

Mining stocks which either look for or produce these metals have been moving sideways, testing the "mettle" of even perma-bulls.

Many investors see these as negative signs. But I view it as a Mr. Market's last big effort to "shake the tree," causing as many people as possible to fall off the galloping bull and head for cover.

As David Morgan has so aptly – and during times like this, often said, "A precious metals' bull run (especially that of silver) will either wear you out our scare you out!

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Commodities

Friday, December 04, 2020

Stronger Risk Appetite Sends Gold below $1,800 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Gold plunged below $1,800. Will these declines finally end?

November doesn’t look like a good month for gold. The declines in the precious metals market continued last week. As the chart below shows, the price of the yellow metal dropped to $1,779 on Friday (November 27).

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 02, 2020

Gold & the USDX: Correlations / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It’s crunch time for gold and the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX), as they find themselves at a crossroads. As of Wednesday, the USDX is holding its lows but wants to move up, thus invalidating its breakdown. And gold? Well, gold did gain a bit today, but it’s essentially jumping up in an elevator that’s moving down – it just doesn’t have enough steam to break out.

While it’s been the traditional view that when the US Dollar declines, gold increases in price, we find that's not always the case when comparing historical patterns. And just to watch the price of gold itself when making a buying decision is not enough. One needs to pay attention to the price of gold in relation to moves in the USDX – that helps to indicate the bottom.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2020

Globalists Poised for a “Great Reset” – Any Role for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Although the apparent results of the 2020 election are still being contested, members of the global ruling elite are already looking forward to a post-Trump era in American politics – and a post-vaccine world economy.

They have encapsulated their policy agenda for 2021 and beyond into two words: “Great Reset.”

The notion of a Great Reset comes directly from the World Economic Forum.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 28, 2020

The Gold Stocks Correction is Maturing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

The last time I wrote a title like the above was on June 19th; and wouldn’t you know that the correction ended the very next trading day? The consolidation breakout on Monday, June 22 created the gap you will see as a downside objective on the daily chart of HUI below.

Gold Sector Correction is Maturing (6.19.20)

That was a routine correction as gold and the gold miners were still part of one big relief party as central banks flooded the markets with liquidity to meet the deflationary crisis of the virus-ridden spring.

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