Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 21, 2015
When Gold Comes Back Into Favor? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Sasafuturestrading writes: Stocks usually change direction before commodities.
There is one market that really shines when stocks and the dollar are in bear markets together, and that market is gold.
In other words, a climate of falling stock prices, a falling U.S. dollar, and historically low interest rates don’t leave investors with a lot of investment alternatives. This is the exact type of intermarket climate that drives money to gold.
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Monday, December 21, 2015
U.S. Silver Production Plunges by 20% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jason_Hamlin
To view The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released their September silver production numbers this week and the results were incredible. Only 82.6 metric tons (mt) of silver were produced domestically in September versus 103 tons during September of last year. This represents a massive decline of 20% and is part of a greater trend of declining silver supply.
Monday, December 21, 2015
Silver Price Stuck in a Grim Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Silver has been somewhat weaker than gold in the recent past and dropped to clear new lows last Monday, as we can see on its 6-month chart below, but this should not come as a surprise as its recent COT structure has been nowhere near as positive as gold's, and at the end of a bearmarket or beginning of a bullmarket, gold outperforms silver.
Monday, December 21, 2015
Gold Price Suspected Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Gold's technical picture is actually little changed from the last update posted on the 6th, apart from its having made marginal new lows late last week. What has changed is that we have since seen the Fed raise interest rates for the first time in many years, and the Junk Bond market has started to seriously fall apart.
With respect to the rise in interest rates there are two points to be made. The first is that, contrary to the general belief that gold is less attractive in an environment of rising rates because it doesn't pay interest, it actually does well, because some of the money that floods out of the stockmarket flows into gold. Second, the Fed's diminutive rate rise was a hollow face-saving measure, intended to salvage some credibility after it had been "crying wolf" for so long. It is too little and far too late.
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Sunday, December 20, 2015
Why Gold Price is going down, in Two Words: IT's NOT ! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Denali_Guide
So as ephemeral as anything is to “prove” by math, we can observe and draw the following conclusion, that REAL METAL GOLD is priced far differently than PAPER CONTRACTS settled in Dollars. Having not “proved” this but empirical observations to illustrate and support this enduring phenomena, we conclude that: “Currencies fluctuate, at different rates against MANDATORY DELIVERIES of METAL GOLD vs. PAYMENT in any given currency.”
Sunday, December 20, 2015
The Natural Gas Trading Play / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: EconMatters
Bearish Sentiment
Saturday, December 19, 2015
Gold And Silver - Physical Precious Metals Are A 'Gift' At Current Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
It really matters little what the charts are saying about the paper futures for gold and silver here, which we will get to shortly. The focus needs to be kept on a few facts that are inescapably true: fiat currencies throughout the history on this planet have always, always failed, without exception, 100% of the time. There are few situations for which such a statement of guaranteed [failed] performance can be made.
It is any different this time? Yes and no. No, because all fiats have failed, plain and simple. Yes, because the extent to which there is no reasonable reality in the relationship between paper and physical has never occurred to the current degree, ever.
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Saturday, December 19, 2015
Gold Stocks Remain in Position to Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The Fed rate hike has come and gone while the precious metals sector has continued to whipsaw traders day after day. The initial reaction was very positive. However, that completely reversed course on Thursday with Gold threatening to move to a new low and gold miners threatening to test recent support. Friday's strength continued the whipsaw pattern. In any event, the evidence continues to argue in favor of a rebound for the miners into Q1 2016.
Friday, December 18, 2015
Do Inflation Indicators Drive the Prices of Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Alongside the GDP and labor market’s strength, inflation rate is the most important macroeconomic indicator – since the Fed promotes full employment and price stability. The price stability is measured as the inflation rate, so inflation reports are closely watched by the U.S. central bank and investors. In the August Market Overview, we showed that gold is not always an inflation hedge. At that time, we focused on the Consumer Price Index, which is not the only measure of inflation. The others are the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI).
Friday, December 18, 2015
Data, Charts, History Show Rising Interest Rates Good For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Gold fell to the lowest level in dollar terms since 2009 yesterday after the Fed’s “historic” 25 basis point interest rate rise on Wednesday. The rate hike has been heralded as the “end of cheap money.” This may or may not be the case but what is more important for precious metal buyers is the impact of potential rising rates on gold prices.
Friday, December 18, 2015
Gold Price Bottom is Close - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
Transcript excerpt :
gonna do a quick little video on goal this morning we are getting pretty close
to at least an intermediate cycle bottom and possibly maybe the final bear market
bottom near Market St in a yearly cycle o gold is in the process of leading a
yearly cycle low right now so couple things I want to look at everybody is
bearish on gold expecting no new lows here soon and I have to say that's
probably the most likely scenario but there is the potential that we could
have formed a double bottom yesterday gold is balancing this morning as I was
recording also we've got a table in Japan crash signal senior gold is closed
slightly below the lower Bollinger Band and bottoms will often form on these on
these moves below the close below the lower Bollinger Band here's one right
Friday, December 18, 2015
Eric Coffin Calls Out the Fed's Biggest Mistake and What You Can Do to Protect Your Portfolio / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Eric Coffin, editor of HRA Journal, writes one of the must-read newsletters in the junior mining sector. In this interview with The Gold Report, Coffin implores gold equity investors to ask: Is the project financeable in this market? And he discusses some companies he covers in the HRA Journal with the know-how to find funds, as well as a couple of uranium names that would benefit from utilities re-entering the market to find long-term delivery deals. But Coffin gets rolling by questioning U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen's timing, warning investors about the growing divergence between equity and higher yield markets, and shooting down the accepted theory that the U.S. dollar index is heading to 120.
Friday, December 18, 2015
Sugar Commodity Trade Setup / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Before I dig into the nitty gritty of this potentially sweet trade setup, I would like to first wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday!
Being from Canada, I’m very lucky to be able to spend quality time with my family for the next month down in the sunshine state of Florida. I sure love the ocean breeze, sand between the toes, palm trees, and heat. Its amazing how cold Floridians make a sunny 70-degree day look being all bundled up in pants, jackets, and hats while I live in my bathing suit practically the entire time I’m down here. I don’t put on pants or a sweater until its 65ish outside or a restaurant demands I must wear pants and I’m still sweating wearing all that clothing. Its great to be back in America!
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Thursday, December 17, 2015
Silly Myths About Gold During Rising Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Fed Hikes; Silly Myths about Interest Rates & Gold Persist
The Fed finally acted this week – upping its benchmark Federal Funds rate by 0.25%. Now that the speculation over whether the Fed will hike has been put to rest, analysts are busily speculating about what the Fed's move means for the economy and markets.
Many of these speculations are unfounded. It's time to bust some silly myths.
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Thursday, December 17, 2015
How Much Oil Is Needed To Power Santa's Sleigh? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Every year around the world, hundreds of millions of children wait anxiously for Santa Claus to arrive and bring presents and good cheer. But what if Santa never came? What if this year the reindeer all fall ill, perhaps due to Crazy Reindeer disease (the analog to Mad Cow) and Santa is forced to cancel Christmas? The result would be devastating.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 17, 2015
Gold Thrives, Paper Dies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
(From “Bobby,” a reader – posted as a comment)
Both Gold and Silver it is said
Are jeered yet feared by the Fed
For if they rise it will but show
The dollar’s worth is very low
So if they rise in upward trend
The Fed then feels it must defend
The things they do we know aren’t right
But they don’t care, they have the might
Thursday, December 17, 2015
History Shows that Gold Has Been In Worse Situations Before, But Still Managed to Recover / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Nicholas_Kitonyi
Gold has always been seen as one of the best when it comes to investments. Unlike other forms of investments, the price of gold does not rely on certain aspects that are guaranteed to change at some point in time like company management or competition.
This is what makes the yellow metal a haven for most investors during tough economic times. On the contrary, when economies are doing well, and particularly the US economy, gold does seem to struggle a bit due to its links with the US dollar.
Thursday, December 17, 2015
Gold Price Rises on Fed Interest Rate Hike, as Contrarians Predicted / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Predicting is a risky sport and predicting markets an extreme one. But understanding can be much more lucrative. After years of speculation about the negative impact a Federal Reserve rate increase could have on gold, a number of our experts took a contrarian view and based on an understanding that the hike was already priced into the gold price, they explained that it would actually benefit the gold price because it would remove the overhanging doubt. And that is exactly what happened. Within hours of the unanimous announcement on Wednesday that the Fed's benchmark short-term borrowing rate would go up a quarter point, gold was up $14/oz.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Silver: Until Paper Currencies Stop Losing Value / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Alasdair McLeod wrote an excellent article in which he said,
“So if anyone asks you when you might take your profits in gold and silver, smile sweetly and just say, ‘When paper money stops losing its value.’”
When will paper money stop losing its value? I submit that unbacked fiat paper money will, based on history, never stop losing value – as long as it is backed by dodgy sovereign debt issued by governments descending deeper into debt ever year. A viable alternative is currency backed by gold and silver, but even though precious metals have been used successfully as money for centuries, there is far more profit for TPTB when they use the paper stuff. Consequently paper and digital currencies will not disappear anytime soon.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Will Lower Crude Oil Prices Cause the Fed to Delay Tightening? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Bob_Kirtley
The FOMC has been moving towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle for a considerable amount of time. Throughout this year Fed statements and the accompanying press conferences have been preparing the markets for the first rate hike. Since the October FOMC various Fed speakers have signalled to the market that the first hike would come at the December meeting, which is this week.