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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, November 04, 2013

"Token Demand" for New Hindu Year Leaves Gold Waiting on US Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE trade in London left the price of gold sitting at last week's finish of $1317 per ounce Monday morning, as European shares rose with government bond prices but commodities slipped.

Silver also held flat, trading near $21.90 per ounce – more than 5% below last Wednesday's 5-week high.

The Euro ticked higher from a 6-week low to the Dollar.

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Commodities

Monday, November 04, 2013

US Dollar and Crude Oil…The Inflation / Deflation Battle Rages On / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

There were some interesting developments this week that I would like to focus on in the Weekend Report. The most important thing to happen was the rebound in the US dollar that was very impressive. Is the bottom in or is this just a short covering rally that will peter out when it's finished? Oil continues to fall at a rapid rate which could be signaling another deflationary event maybe on the horizon. There are still a lot of crosscurrents out there but if we can get a good read on the US dollar and Oil that should help us understand what is likely to take place over the intermediate term.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 03, 2013

Disappearing Deliverable Comex Gold Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

There was a change in status of 48,652 ounces of gold bullion in the JPM warehouse which were withdrawn from the registered to the eligible category. Apparently someone had a change of heart.

Big change of heart. About one and half tonnes worth.

The claims per ounce of deliverable gold stand at 55. As I have explained before, this is a metric, a way of measuring inventory against potential ownership.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 03, 2013

How to Profit From Low Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: This Halloween season, the scariest story for energy investors is how the price of crude oil keeps sliding. But don’t worry – there are ways to profit when oil prices go down.

But first, why are oil prices slumping anyway?

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Commodities

Saturday, November 02, 2013

Gold And Silver Price – Fundamentals Do Not Matter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

If fundamentals mattered, gold and silver prices would be substantially higher. They are not, and for a reason. It is not hard to define what factors are influencing price, for they are political, even criminal under normal circumstances. These factors are, in two words: central bankers. The money changers still have a stranglehold on the financial system, and nowhere it is more evident than in the price of gold.

Will it end? Yes, but as has been the biggest mystery, no one knows when?! While the golden grip continues, it is inexorably loosening. The United States, and by extension, the United Kingdom, is fast becoming more and more isolated. First, it was the natural opposition, Russia, China, morphing into the BRICS. Unable to sustain their no longer warranted arrogance, the Western alliances are now falling apart. Note the cover from Die Zeit, symbolic of the growing attitude of the rest of the world toward the US:

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Commodities

Friday, November 01, 2013

Global Gold Mining Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

In 2012 more gold was extracted from the Earth than ever before in history.  And even with 2013’s anomalous gold panic devastating the mining industry, production is expected to rise for the fifth year in a row.  The latest exploration cycle is no doubt bearing its fruit.  And it’s fascinating to see the geographical trends of this harvest.

Gold’s 2000s bull market has prompted the miners to scour the world over in search the Ancient Metal of Kings.  And over the course of this bull, they’ve indeed reached far and wide to find their glory.  Now rather than only a small handful of countries responsible for the lion’s share of production, mine supply is truly a global affair.

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Commodities

Friday, November 01, 2013

Gold and Silver Futures Beyond the Madness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

World silver spot prices are determined by a once sacred, but now inept, process. While the evolution of futures contract for the modern age helped facilitate the industrial revolution, it has now been completely usurped and abused. This is especially the case in gold and silver, even to the point where confidence in this market threatens to turn the world financial system upside down.

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Commodities

Friday, November 01, 2013

Gold Markets Are Not Efficient, Don't Reflect Fundamentals and Understate Gold's Market Value / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In this part and the next we will look at the prospects for the gold price for the rest of this year and beyond. These next parts are the critical parts. What we will try to do is to synthesize the factors playing on the gold market today and have done in 2013.

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Commodities

Friday, November 01, 2013

Why Buy Fracking Stocks and Sell Gold Holdings / Commodities / Fracking

By: The_Energy_Report

Chen Lin, author of What is Chen Buying? What Is Chen Selling?, goes wherever he sees returns. In the summer, he bought mining stocks when the yellow metal hit $1,200 per ounce. Now, he's trading in his gold names and moving into the fracking space after a three-year hiatus. In this interview with The Energy Report, Lin names the companies he's buying to play a likely energy sector bottom and tells investors to actively manage their portfolios in the coming stock-picker's market.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Gold Price Medium-Term Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In our previous essay we took a closer look at the situation in silver and mining stocks (precisely: SLV and GDX ETFs) and discussed how it may translate into the precious metals market. As we wrote in the summary:

(...) when we factor in the impact of (...) silver's cyclical turning point, which is just around the corner, and the fact that the short-term resistance lines have already been reached in case of the GDX ETF, we can presume that the top of the recent upward move in the precious metals may be already in (or is very close to being in).

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Commodities

Thursday, October 31, 2013

The Outlook for Gold Minder Mergers and Acquisitions / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It's no secret that mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity in the mining sector is in the dumps. According to PWC, deal volume in the first half of 2013 declined 31% as compared to the same period last year. Deal value declined 74%. Excluding Glencore's $54 billion acquisition of Xstrata in 2012, deal value is still down 21%. A recent Bloomberg article noted that the volume of acquisitions valued at less than $1 billion is at an eight-year low while the volume of deals in Q3 was the lowest since Q4 of 2004. However, some deals are taking place and in order for speculators and investors to capitalize, they will need to keep a discerning eye, just like potential suitors.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Gold Stocks Tricks and Treats / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

No matter how elaborate an investor's Halloween costume is, the gold space isn't handing out much in the way of treats this year. While Encompass Fund Managers Malcolm Gissen and Marshall Berol don't agree on the timeline for gold's recovery, they have faith that it will come. In the meantime, their focus is on companies that are in production, generate cash flow and have top-notch management teams. They also dig into their treat bag for names in the energy sector and other metals in this interview with The Gold Report.

The Gold Report: It's almost Halloween and we remain in the clutches of a tricky market for junior resource equities. What are your perspectives on how long it's going to take before investors see another treat-filled year like 2010?

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

What NOT to Do When Investing in Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Casey_Research

By Eric Angeli, Investment Executive, Sprott Global Resource Investments

Precious metals miners are the most volatile stocks on earth. They're so volatile that investors often forget that underneath those whipsawing stock prices lie real businesses. But even many of those who consider themselves old pros in natural-resource investing tend to get one thing wrong. Eric Angeli, an investment executive with Sprott Global Resources and protégé of legendary resource broker Rick Rule, explains how not to fall into the "top-down" trap…

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Do Oil Stocks Have Better Upside Potential Than Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In the previous week the price of crude oil not only dropped below the psychological barrier of $100, but also reached a new four-month low of $95.95. On the other hand, the buyers managed to push light crude higher at the end of the last week. Earlier this week we saw further improvement and the price climbed to almost $99 per barrel.

Taking the above circumstances into account, you are probably wondering what impact they had on oil stocks. Before we examine the current situation with the oil stock index, let’s focus on the relationship between the WTI and the XOI in the short term.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Elliott Wave Outlook For Crude Oil And Copper / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

Crude oil is trading lower and based on latest decline through 100 mark and down 96.00 we suspect that larger picture on this market is changing. For now we will focus on current structure which is showing a completed wave B around 103.00 level followed by recent push lower with accelerating price action through 100 mark which we think it was wave (iii), so decline should then be made by five waves down. As such, we think that bounce from the low is just another correction within downtrend. We are talking about wave (iv) that is pointing lower for wave (v), towards 95, 94 zone.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

QE + Desperation = Higher Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

The Setup

A century ago bankers created the plan for a U.S. central bank, bought enough votes to get it passed into law, encouraged deficit spending, government debt, and extracting the interest payments from taxpayers. The process has worked well for the bankers.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Weak US Data See Gold and Silver Rise on "Ugly Truth" of Fed Policy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

BOTH gold and silver rose Wednesday lunchtime in London, as the day's widely-expected "no change" decision from the US Federal Reserve was preceded by weak US data.

The private-sector ADP Payrolls report said the US economy added only 130,000 jobs last month, rather than the 150,000 analysts forecast.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Gold Hits Shanghai Discount to London on "Money Market" Fall-Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of London settled gold bounced to $1348 per ounce Tuesday morning, halving an earlier 0.9% drop after China's most active gold contract closed below that world benchmark for the first time in 2013.

Overnight trade was "very dull" according to one dealing desk.

Dollar gold then dropped $12 per ounce in 10 minutes, hitting a low of $1341 – some 1.5% beneath Monday's new 5-week high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Gold Buying Opportunity As Good As It Gets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Aden_Forecast

Many events moved the market this month. Gold demand was stable but more important, gold is getting a boost from the weaker U.S. dollar.

The U.S. dollar is now clearly bearish, and since gold and the U.S. dollar generally move in opposite directions, this is very bullish for gold. So is the fact the Fed's QE stimulus is currently expected to continue well into 2014.

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Commodities

Monday, October 28, 2013

Agricultural Commodities - Grow It, And They Will Eat It / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

"Build it, and they will come" has been the motivation for many dreams. Baseball fields, restaurants, and other follies have sprouted from belief in this concept. Much of the real estate industry of times now past lived by this philosophy. That worked until they did not come, and then the bankers came for the remains.

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