Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Crude Oil and Its Connection with the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

The recent months have been tough for the U.S. currency. Since July the greenback has lost 6% and dropped to a new eight-month low on Friday. Investors avoided the dollar, firstly after the Fed opted against cutting its stimulus in September and then as the budget spat in Washington pushed the country close to a default. Despite this decline, yesterday, the dollar pulled back from an eight-month low as investors awaited delayed U.S. jobs data.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Crude Oil Teeters On The Brink – Of $100 A Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

MEMORIES OF THE 1986 PRICE CRASH
Like the US debt ceiling saga – with the only possible result being more debt - the ultra-magic triple-digit dollar price of US WTI, and of course more for European Brent, needs extraordinary measures to stay that overblown. In the case of the US debt mountain the Fed does the extraordinary (over)blowing, but for oil WTI counts on heavy lifting by leading members of Wall Street's oil market manipulator clique – sometimes called “investors” - who not so long ago forecast WTI as easily able to attain $125 per barrel by December 31st.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Gold Traders Lack Conviction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE gold held in a tight $5 range Tuesday morning in London, drifting around $1315 per ounce ahead of delayed data on US unemployment.

The monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report had been due more than two weeks ago. It was set for release Tuesday after Congress's 3-month deal on the $16.7 trillion debt ceiling ended the shutdown of government services.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

On the Frontlines of the Global Shale Gas Revolution / Commodities / Fracking

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors write: TJ is one of those functionaries in the British Foreign Office (FO) who tend to keep their heads down and out of the line of fire. He has been my liaison for several years now.

Usually, he only opens his mouth to answer questions or give me the latest revision in my schedule.

So it was a bit unusual to hear him to express his opinions so vividly yesterday. Clearly, he was frustrated.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

A Green Light for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

It is rare that investors are given a road map. It is rarer still that the vast majority of those who get it are unable to understand the clear signs and directions it contains. When this happens the few who can actually read the map find themselves in an enviable position. Such is currently the case with gold and gold-related investments. 

Monday, October 21, 2013

The Big Winners in Kenya’s Oil Debut / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Kenya will start pumping its first commercial oil next year and begin exporting in 2016, but this is just the opening salvo: new discoveries in recent months and fast-track new well development make Kenya the darling of East Africa from an investor’s perspective.

Kenya is set to soar past Uganda, which discovered oil much earlier, but is now having a hard time getting it out of the ground and into the market. And the next five months should bring not only news of the first commercial output for Kenya, but new commercial prospects coming online.

Monday, October 21, 2013

Gold Flat, Silver Jumps as Fed and Physical Demand Back in Focus / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold was unmoved Monday morning in London, trading barely 25c higher at $1317.50 per ounce as European stock markets also halted their rise, holding global equities near 5-year highs.

Gold traded in Shanghai today pulled back to $7 per ounce above London benchmarks, with Australian bank ANZ saying trading looked "subdued" as a result.

Monday, October 21, 2013

The Fundamentals of the Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Brett Chattz writes: All that Glitters is not Gold, it may be Silver!

The global financial crisis that began around 2008 sent investors into a tailspin. As the value of stocks plummeted, so the urgency to seek investment safe havens grew. The ongoing volatility in global financial markets is a natural catalyst for alternative investments such as precious metals. Among the most well-known precious metals is gold. However, silver is not to be underestimated in any way. As traders seek to limit their losses and grow their net worth, alternative investments in precious metals become more attractive. Not only do these types of investments add variety and depth to a portfolio, they also act as safe havens against rising economic uncertainty. The silver market is one of the most heavily traded markets in the world, and the relative stability of this market is well noted.

Monday, October 21, 2013

U.S. Dollar Diamond Top Pattern Implications for Gold and Silver and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I would like to show you some charts as to why I have made an abrupt short term move out of our short positions in the precious metals complex. I know some of you think I have lost my mind but I can assure you that isn't the case. Regardless if I'm bullish or bearish I'm always looking at both sides of the market looking for clues for either direction. This week we got a major clue when the US dollar finally finished its third backtest to the bottom rail of the 11 point diamond top. It's possible that gold and US dollar can trade in the same direction for awhile but I don't think that will be the case longer term. So lets look at some charts for the US dollar first as that's where the biggest clues lie.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Gold and Silver Back Story vs Charts; Charts Are Superior / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Almost everybody wants a back story, some information to explain what is going on with gold and silver, mostly looking for some kind of psychological calm as prices decline, or a ray of hope to reinforce why price may reach the sun and the moon. Is there anything that has not been presented, repackaged and represented that has not already been more than fully covered to justify much higher price levels? Have any of them achieved what was promised?

Saturday, October 19, 2013

The London - China Gold Conduit — A Major Financial Coup D’etat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The United Kingdom’s gold exports to Switzerland jumped from 85 tonnes to 1,016 tonnes in the first eight months of 2013 — a twelve times increase. Some bullion market watchers attribute the huge increase to withdrawals or sales from ETFs — an explanation that covers only half the story…….if that.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Vulgar Competition and Italian Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Alessandra Pilloni writes: Vulgar competition needs to come to Italy's delicate jewelry business...

"Italy accused of protectionism!" is hardly news.

Wanting free competition in the airline market, IAG - the group formed from the UK's privatized British Airways and Spain's privatized Iberia in 2012 - has urged the European Commission to investigate and block the possible rescue of Italy's bankrupt Alitalia by the state-owned Italian Post Office. This tells a story all too familiar in Italy - the lack of a reality check, or any market discipline, for companies who are struggling to remain competitive in today's global economy.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Gold Mining Stocks Profits Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold miners’ stocks have been brutalized this year, leaving them bleeding in the gutter as the most hated sector in all the markets.  Plunging prices always lead to fear and excessive bearishness, unsustainable anomalous extremes that investors desperately try to rationalize as righteous.  Today the bears’ primary rationalization against gold miners is the notion they can’t earn any profits, which is a complete fallacy.

Stock prices have always been the result of an endless tug-of-war between fundamentals and sentiment.  Fundamentals measure how much any stock is worth based on its underlying company’s earning power.  Naturally this only changes slowly, so stock prices would be very stable and gradual if fundamentals were their sole driver.  Imagine a price chart with a largely-straight line, trending modestly higher or lower.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Gold, Silver and U.S. Debt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Degraaf

Don’t Miss Out on These Important Charts.

“The National Budget must be balanced. The Public Debt must be reduced; the arrogance of the authorities must be moderated and controlled. Payments to foreign governments must be reduced, if the Nation does not want to go bankrupt. People must again learn to work, instead of living on public assistance.” …..Marcus Tullius Cicero ( 55 BC).

Friday, October 18, 2013

The Key Factor To Drive Gold and Silver Prices to Extreme Values / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The precious metal investors are actually sitting on gold mine, and they don't even know the real reason why this is true.  Many analysts are focusing on the huge amount of debt and fiat money in the system to be invested in gold and silver, but the fundamental root cause continues to go unnoticed.

While the massive amount of debt, derivatives and fiat money are indeed excellent reasons to own the precious metals, they are the mere symptoms and not the disease itself.  The advanced societies of the world were built on an economic system that can only survive if it continues to grow.  Without growth, the $100's of trillions in derivatives and debts would implode -- along with it the Suburban Retail-Commercial-Housing economy.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Is Rising Stock Market Bullish or Bearish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

On Thursday, the S&P 500 closed at a new high and its intraday record of 1733.45 broke the all-time high set Sept. 19. Over 80 percent of stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange rose. According to FactSet, companies in the S&P 500 index are on track for third-quarter earnings growth of 1.1% from last year. Excluding J.P. Morgan Chase's loss, they would be on pace for 3.6% growth. Please note that at the beginning of earnings season, analysts expected earnings growth of 3%.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Gold Is A Reserve Of Safety Says ECB President / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,317.00, EUR 962.09 and GBP 813.16 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,308.50, EUR 959.87 and GBP 813.09 per ounce.

Gold climbed $40.20 or 3.14% yesterday, closing at $1,319.70/oz. Silver rose $0.53 or 2.49% closing at $21.80. Platinum jumped $44.84 or 3.2% to $1,432.74/oz, while palladium soared $23.50 or 3.3% to $737.50 /oz.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Silver Prices and the Flow of Physical / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The ultimate lynch pin for the silver market is the flow of physical metal to support ongoing price suppression. The flow of physical metal is mostly an illusion nearly equal to (and in some ways parallel with) the perceived strength of the paper currencies used to measure its value. Actual or threat of default in physical silver delivery to the COMEX could very likely lead to default across the asset spectrum.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Gold and Silver Today’s Similarities with 1976 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Mark Twain said history doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes. We often see that in the capital markets. The big decline in Gold this year is reminiscent of that of 1975-1976. Yet, aside from that there are several other similarities between today and 1976. Gold, gold stocks, the stock market and commodities appear to be in a similar position today compared to 1976. We note and discuss the four similarities.

Friday, October 18, 2013

The Jim Rogers View On Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clif_Droke

If October has held any surprises for anyone so far, it has to be the bears. While volatility has been in evidence, the crash that some analysts were predicting has so far failed to materialize.

One reason for this was the increase in short interest leading up to the start of the month. According to short interest data provided by Consensus Inc., bullish sentiment has been declining for the last few months and recently hit a low for the year to date. Investors and advisors alike, it seems, have been growing more bearish and had a less-than-favorable outlook for the market heading into the debt ceiling limit debate.