Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, May 02, 2014

Why They Don't Care About Your Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

"Society everywhere is in conspiracy against the manhood of every one of its members."  -Ralph Waldo Emerson

The low hanging fruit of retirement assets currently overwhelm any return on investment for punishing gold and silver investors. This is in addition to the very liquid numismatic and graded coin markets - which add another layer to the complexity of enforcing or confiscating metals. 

Friday, May 02, 2014

May Decline in Gold and Silver Stocks Would Create Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we noted that the gold and silver shares had formed a short-term rebound in response to an oversold condition. Yet we felt that the downtrend that originated from the hard reversal in March was still in effect. As we go to publish, the rebound appears to be petering out. Be aware that there is more potential downside in May. The good news is a decline in May will likely create a great buying opportunity at the end of the month and in June.

Friday, May 02, 2014

The Ukrainian Shadow on the Energy Markets / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: I’ve spent the last two days in Baltimore, hammering out the details on my next big project. So stay tuned, there are some exciting new opportunities headed your way very shortly.

However, before heading out of town, I was scheduled to do an interview with CNBC Asia. Given the time difference, that meant I needed to be in a Baltimore studio at 1 o’clock in the morning. The show was live from Singapore.

Friday, May 02, 2014

The Best Way to Profit from Peak Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: The_Energy_Report

The era of cheap oil is over, declares Angelos Damaskos. In this interview with The Energy Report, the principal adviser of the Junior Oils Trust says that oil will become progressively more expensive to find, with prices topping the all-time high of $147 per barrel within 10 to 20 years. He counsels that investors should avoid the majors (too stodgy) and the pure explorers (too risky) and should instead choose producers or near-producers, highlighting five companies with good reserves and room to grow.

The Energy Report: You are the principal advisor of the Junior Oils Trust. What are the advantages of junior oil companies?

Thursday, May 01, 2014

The Gold Price is Fixed. So What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

We can't ignore it anymore - the markets are rigged. The LIBOR scandal broke almost two years ago, and the banks found responsible for manipulating that key index are still dealing with lawsuits. Meanwhile, allegations of gold market manipulation have been simmering for over a decade and grew into an inferno after the spot price dropped dramatically last spring.

Yet I'm left wondering what the conspiracy theorists hope to accomplish. Yes, I believe in exposing truth for its own sake and that the individual investor should have the same opportunities in the marketplace as the big institutions. But with these conspiracists, there is often a subtext of, "Because the price is suppressed, buying gold is for suckers." I think this conclusion is precisely wrong.

Thursday, May 01, 2014

The "Holy Grail" of Energy Investing Is Going to Make You – and Your Grandchildren – Rich / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Storage has long been one of energy's biggest "Holy Grails." It holds the key to every significant move into smart grids.

The reason is pretty simple: If energy cannot be stored, it is lost. Even transferring it from one type of energy to another is of little consequence unless you can reverse the erosion in the entire system.

Thursday, May 01, 2014

Why is Gold Behaving this Way? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Brian_Bloom

The chart of the gold and silver share price index below (source: Stockcharts.com) may be very worrying to some, and it may be a source of great relief to others. It shows a potential Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, with a neckline at 90 and a peak of 107.5. If the neckline is penetrated significantly on the downside, theory says that the target destination will be 90 – 17.5 = 72.5, which will imply a fall of 22% from current levels.

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

China Controls The Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In addition to the latest excellent study of the Chinese gold market by the World Gold Council, we have received other reports on the Chinese gold market that differ with the conclusions drawn by the World Gold Council. But we shouldn't be surprised by this, not only because of the opaque nature of the Chinese gold market and the dearth of accurate statistics that are accessible. Which ones are right is critical for the conclusions each draw paint very different pictures of the future of the gold price.

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Gold Miners - End of the Bear Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Trader_MC

The analysis of the past twenty years of the Miners Index is showing that an important bottom has been printed in December 2013. The Miners Index’s symmetrical sequence and also the relation between the Miners and the 78.6 Fibonacci Number (both in Price and Time) are validating this major low.

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

The Battle Between WTI and Brent - Why the Oil Price “Spread” is Getting Tighter / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The spread between WTI and Brent is tightening again.

What’s “the spread?”…

It’s the difference in price between what crude oil futures cost on the NYMEX in New York (the West Texas Intermediate rate) and the rate set in London (the Brent rate).

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Obama’s Secret Pipeline More Sensitive than Keystone XL / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Marin_Katusa

Isn’t it odd that an 800-mile pipeline that runs across environmentally sensitive land has been permitted without any mention in the media? Not a word about it from President Obama either.

Obama’s Secret Pipeline will be built over land that’s much more sensitive than that of the Keystone XL pipeline, which gets nothing but front-page coverage. It will actually be 17% (six inches) larger in diameter than Keystone XL (36 inches) and it will transport natural gas, not oil.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Gold and Crude Oil Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

On gold we are tracking a triangle placed in wave 4) for a while now. Well, we have been bearish recently within wave D from 1393 which could have bottomed now after a bounce in the past week from around 1265, after three legs down. Keep in mind that market is still sideways, and that we still need wave E retracement which is expected to unfold in the next few weeks. After wave E we will turn bearish for a decline beneath 2013 low.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Bitcoin or Gold: Safeguards and Alternatives to the Global Monetary System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Keith_Hilden

In our latest Squawk Walk series, we set out to learn- given a chance to either take Bitcoin or gold, what people of different backgrounds would pick, and why. We asked Chinese tourists, locals, and Westerners in Taipei, and we found, surprisingly, that the rate of acceptance regarding Bitcoin or gold was roughly equal, and far different from a 80/20 spread that we were anticipating. The reason? Ultimately it can be boiled down to a preference in risk profile. People who were willing to take on more risk were willing to take the Bitcoin, while people who valued stability and risk mitigation over quick gains were willing to take the gold. What further surprised us is that in a well-to-do neighborhood surrounding the Taipei 101 skyscraper is that risk profiles, again, were split close to 50-50. Furthermore, we were surprised in certain instances when a couple would be interviewed, and that the Taipei woman would have a higher risk profile than the man, who chose gold. The man was more concerned with stability and a long term outlook for their savings.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

China Holds the Keys to the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

Last year China's private-sector demand for gold reached a record level of 1,132 tonnes, and according to the World Gold Council (WGC), the Asian nation could easily dominate the gold market once again, as they predict demand growing 20 percent by 2017.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Gold Mining Stocks Break Out but Gold Price Fails to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The situation in the precious metals sector remains tense - miners have broken above the declining resistance line, while gold hasn't. However, taking Friday's intraday move in the USD into account, we can say more about the gold-USD link. Let's take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Monday, April 28, 2014

Listen, Silver: We Need to Talk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeff_Clark

I wrote to Silver last week, and she answered back. I’d like to share our correspondence with you…

Dear Silver,

Happy anniversary. It was on April 25, 2011 that you hit $49.80 per ounce in the New York spot market.

Today, three years later, you sell for around $20, nearly 60% less.

Is your bear market almost over—or are these low prices here to stay? Your price has lagged gold this year, so your normal volatility is lacking. How much longer will you be stuck?

Jeff Clark, silver investor

Monday, April 28, 2014

Will Gold Price See A Bullish Reversal? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold has been trading nicely to the downside since mid-April from 1331 where we called a bearish turning point. The market did not move aggressively to the downside, but still managed to take out the 1277 low-our minimum expectations. Based on the very slow and overlapping price action in the last two weeks, we suspect that the market made an ending diagonal in wave (c) that is now showing signs of completion at 1268, so we need to be aware of more upside in days ahead.

Monday, April 28, 2014

Buy Signal in the Gold and Silver Sector / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

It looks like gold and silver stocks bottomed on Monday, April 21, and that gold and silver also bottomed this week.

Really? The usual reaction is, “the stocks have been hammered, gold is off over 30% from its highs, and silver is down nearly 60%. Sentiment is low, few people are interested, and gold and silver will probably crash again in a few weeks.”

Monday, April 28, 2014

Gold and The Ukraine Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

In this article we are going to look at what is going on in the Ukraine, because it has major implications well beyond its borders, and could have a significant impact on the price of gold and silver. We will examine this situation in a calm, detached and objective manner, as if we were visitors from another planet with no bias or stake in any outcome.

The Ukraine is clearly is great geopolitical importance, otherwise the US would not be taking such an active interest in what is going there. In order to assess how the Ukraine arrived at its present situation, and the future trends and dangers, we need to understand the motives and objectives of the protagonists - the parties who are, or who are close to fighting over it, namely the US and its allies, and Russia.

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Gold And Silver Prospects From A Russian Point of View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

One of the biggest problems for the West, the US in particular, is its increasingly parochial perspective from the narrowest of lenses, fully colored by the elite's use of its main propaganda machine, the Maintstream Media. It will not work for people to expect more from their government, rather, people have to demand and expect more from themselves, for in the end, people will discover all they really had to rely upon was themselves and failed to do so.