Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Gold, Silver, Miners: One More Rally Left? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The charts below of GLD and GDX show remarkable differences, at the same time there are similarities. GDX is coming into the 22 TD low due August 24 and we have Mercury Stationary/Retrograde due August 30. In the past, Mercury Stationary/Retrograde has marked an important top within a 2 trading day range of the actual date. In May of this year, it topped right on the exact date, May 2nd.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2016
“A Date Which Will Live in Infamy:” President Nixon’s Decision to Abandon the Gold Standard / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Franklin Delano Roosevelt called the Japanese “surprise” attack on the U.S. occupied territory of Hawaii and its naval base Pearl Harbor, “A Date Which Will Live in Infamy.” Similar words should be used for President Nixon’s draconian decision 45 years ago this month that removed America from the last vestiges of the gold standard.
On August 15, 1971 in a televised address to the nation outlining a new economic policy entitled, “The Challenge of Peace,” Nixon instructed the Treasury Department “to take the action necessary to defend the dollar against the speculators.”*
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Monday, August 22, 2016
WTI Crude Oil Pattern Still on Target for Higher Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Since our last article WTI has behaved perfectly, clearing all our daily hurdles. Our longer term patterns show the strong possibility of a rise to $60+ during the second half of this year before a further decline in to 2017.
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Monday, August 22, 2016
Precious Metals and Financial Blasphemy, Part 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“...legitimate powers of government reach actions only, & not opinions, I contemplate with sovereign reverence that act of the whole American people which declared that their legislature should 'make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof,' thus building a wall of separation between Church & State. Adhering to this expression of the supreme will of the nation in behalf of the rights of conscience, I shall see with sincere satisfaction the progress of those sentiments which tend to restore to man all his natural rights, convinced he has no natural right in opposition to his social duties.” ― Thomas Jefferson, Letters of Thomas Jefferson
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Sunday, August 21, 2016
Another Billionaire Goes All In On The “Barbarous Relic” Gold While Mainstream Media Remains Silent / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Billionaire Crispin Odey recently released a management letter to his hedge fund clients praising gold and explaining gold products constituted the next, great investment wave.
He is yet another in a wave of billionaires who have all, suddenly, been moving massive portions of their portfolio into gold… with one of the latest being George Soros, who moved a significant amount of his portfolio into gold just a few months ago.
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Sunday, August 21, 2016
Precious Metals Markets : Zoom Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
When looking at the short term minute charts things look very volatile in the precious metals complex but the further you look back in time the less volatile the price action becomes. If one is a day trader then the minute charts are the ones to focus in on but if you’re an intermediate term trader perspective is everything.
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
Silver Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
As I have been noting of late, both gold and silver have been trapped in sideways trading patterns for some time now, meaning that there really has not been a whole lot worth saying about the price action in either metal.
That MIGHT POSSIBLY be changing in regards to silver. The reason is simple – price is down at the very bottom of the sideways trading range that has been intact for nearly seven weeks.
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
Gold Stock Technicals During Dog Days of Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold stocks are trading around their highs but have failed to breakout this August. Is that due to the dog days of summer, the upcoming Fed conference or something else? We aren’t sure and don’t think it matters a great deal anyway. With that said, let’s delve into the current technicals.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Gold Miners Q2 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The gold miners’ stocks have skyrocketed this year as investors started returning to this long-abandoned sector. Many have tripled, quadrupled, or even quintupled since mid-January alone! But are such epic gains fundamentally justified? Much insight into this crucial question for investors can be gleaned from the gold miners’ latest quarterly financial and operational results. Their Q2 reports just finished coming in.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Which Price Ratio Matters Most in a Fiat Ponzi? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“Those who wish to seek out the cause of miracles and to understand the things of nature as philosophers, and not to stare at them in astonishment like fools, are soon considered heretical and impious, and proclaimed as such by those whom the mob adores as the interpreters of nature and the gods. For these men know that, once ignorance is put aside, that wonderment would be taken away, which is the only means by which their authority is preserved.” ― Baruch Spinoza, Ethics
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Saudis Ramping Up Oil Output To Gain Leverage In OPEC Talks / Commodities / Crude Oil
Saudi Arabia suggests it may be increasing its August crude output to a new all-time high as it could give it more leverage to influence the September informal talks on a possible production freeze, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing industry sources.
Saudi Arabia – OPEC’s biggest producer — pumped a record 10.67 million barrels per day in July, up by some 120,000 bpd compared to June. The Saudis are usually ramping up production in the summer with the higher demand for crude, but what was unusual was that production hit a record high, above last summer’s peak.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
How Will Brexit Impact the Gold Market? A Historical Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
We know why Britons voted to leave the EU and what the UK’s options outside the EU are. Now, let’s analyze how Brexit could affect the gold market. We covered this topic in the latest edition of the Market Overview, as well as the daily updates of the Gold News Monitor, but today we will examine how the shiny metal performed during the past disintegrations of economic unions.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Rothchilds Buying Gold On “Greatest Experiment” With Money In “History of the World” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The Rothschilds are buying gold through their investment house RIT Capital Partners and Lord Jacob Rothchild is warning about the results of “the greatest experiment in monetary policy in the history of the world”.
British investment banker Lord Jacob Rothschild is buying gold.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Higher Crude Oil’s Prices and USD/CAD / Commodities / Crude Oil
Earlier today, the USD Index extended losses against its Canadian counterpart after the disappointing minutes of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting (they vanished expectations for a September rate hike) continued to weigh on investors’ sentiment. Additionally, rising prices of crude oil supported Canadian currency, which pushed USD/CAD under 1.2800. What’s next for the exchange rate?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified – summary:
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
Gold Stocks Cognitive Dissonance & Denial / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Obviously if your NOT in denial, you know this cannot end well, no matter how much the so-called "Monetary Authorities" keep queering up the money supply, digitally, or thru debt issuance or otherwise. The question popped up " Is there an edict that the Non-PM stock markets will keep ramping until the US Election?"
To which I'd tell people to look around at all the new jobs and new cars. What, lots of new cars, on loans at any cost, but no new jobs ? How does that work ?
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
Gold – “Mother of All Bull Markets Has Only Just Begun” – Grandich / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
There are many reasons to believe that “the mother of all bull markets has only just begun” for gold.
So believes Peter Grandich, the market analyst dubbed the “Wall Street Whiz Kid” whose track record speaks for itself. He called the Wall Street Crash in 1987 and subsequent sharp stock market recovery, the end of the bull market in stocks in 2000 and the global financial crisis in 2008.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Gold In UK Pounds Near Post-Brexit Highs As Sterling Falls 38% Year To Date / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold in UK pounds neared its post-Brexit high overnight as sterling fell sharply on currency markets due to concerns about rising inflation as shown in data today and the outlook for the UK economy.
Gold is up nearly 4% in sterling terms in August and by a whopping 38% year to date. ‘Sterling silver’ has surged by even more this year and is now 56% higher in sterling terms year to date.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Don’t Expect a Return to a Gold Standard Any Time Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Despite trillions of paper currency units poured into the world economies since the start of the financial crisis, there has been no recovery, in fact, all legitimate indicators have shown worsening conditions except, of course, for the pocketbooks of the politically -connected financial elites. Yet, despite the utter failure of the current money and banking paradigm to resolve the situation, the chance of a return to a commodity based monetary order is highly unlikely especially when one looks at the anti-gold bias found in typical college economics textbooks.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Gold Bull Market Correction - Not an If But When / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts indicators that confirm both the gold bull market and an impending correction.
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Sunday, August 14, 2016
Gold Price is Not Topping / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I’m starting to see a lot of analysts now calling for gold to drop down into a bottom in October. It’s amazing how these guys can consistently get this wrong over and over again. Gold isn’t topping. Gold has been bouncing around in a range for the last 5 weeks giving the 200 day moving average time to catch up to price. Gold won’t top until the dollar cycle bottoms, and that intermediate cycle isn’t due to bottom until late September or early October.
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