Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 22, 2011
Gold Now Monstrously Overbought / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In the last update, despite being extremely overbought, gold was expected to advance to even higher levels, for various reasons, principally the COT readings and the bullish volume pattern. We gave a target in the $1900 area, and that target was very nearly attained on Friday when gold hit $1881 intraday, before reacting back to close well well off its day's highs.
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Monday, August 22, 2011
Gold $2000 and Silver $100 by Years End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Politicians should stick to what they’re good at, groveling for money to fund their next re-election campaign and making pompous speeches to stir up even more partisan bickering. What they should not do is stop making believe that they know anything about economics. If I bought Harvard University it would not qualify me to teach organic chemistry. Well the same is true of politicians. Just because you have a pleasant smile and a personality that does not completely turn every voter off does not make you qualified to speak about economics. Politicians should simply stick to what they’re good at and if anyone can figure out what they’re good at would you be kind enough to drop me a post and let me know.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Gold in Blow-off Stage or a Lot More to Come? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Boy, you leave for a few days and all hell breaks loose. Gold is up some $200 since I last looked. Is this a “blow-off” stage or is there still a lot more to come?
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
How to Profit From Gold's Historic Bull Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold prices are hitting new highs in a big anniversary week -- 40 years ago on Monday, Nixon shut the gold window. There is still room for profit in this trend.
This was a historic week on multiple levels.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Gold is highly overbought and prices to correct soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold have been experiencing nothing short of a supernova explosion in its prices in recent months. This is due to investors jittery towards the European crisis and stock markets collapse worldwide ala 2008. As a result investors are now looking for a safe haven for their investments and precious metals provide an ideal avenue for them.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Gold $5,000 and Silver $200 Forecasts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Rob McEwen has become a legend in the gold mining industry by skillfully assembling and building mining companies over the past 20 years. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he explains his rationale for $5,000/oz. gold and $200/oz. silver and how the factors leading to those price levels will affect the industry and the companies exploring for and producing the metals.
The Gold Report: Rob, you've been quite vocal about your belief that gold will reach $5,000/oz. (ounce) and silver $200/oz. for silver. Why and when will that happen?
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Gold Hitting Record Highs: Time to Buy The Undervalued Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Uncertainty and fear are the mother's milk of the metal's market. Our pundits, politicians and professors have given us plenty of reasons to question whether these supposed savants are steering with a working compass. One day headlines proclaim, "Bernanke Ready To Do More If Needed". Then we later read that the Professor is playing down the possibility of additional quantitative easing due to internal dissent. This cold water is being doused on the markets after evoking these hopes.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Dow Gold Ratio Falls to Post-87 Stock Market Crash Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Today's gold buyers might still get to look early birds as this depression wears on...
GROWTH or defense...stocks or gold? Intra-day noise aside in summer 2011, Mr.Market's choice looks plain.
Saturday, August 20, 2011
Why Silver Over Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
During the last few sessions, my intraday gold/silver ratio work has been warning me that the recent leadership role of gold's upside acceleration might undergo a change. No, not that gold will reverse, but more than likely silver will begin to outperform gold again on the upside.
Again? Yes, remember that for 9-month period between July 2010 and April 2011, silver prices rocketed while gold prices climbed at a much more subdued rate of change.
Saturday, August 20, 2011
The Zen of Resource Stocks Speculation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Louis James, Casey International Speculator writes: Whenever gold and silver hit a correction, those are the times that try men’s souls. But they are also a classic case of making volatility our friend.
And there should be terrific bargains ahead on great stocks, if the market corrects from recent highs. It enables you to go long at prices as low as, or sometimes even lower than, those paid by speculators who picked winning plays early – but with the advantage of hindsight about the results of those companies’ exploration and development efforts. You get a combination of lower risk and lower prices.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
What Outcome for Gold Following Stocks and Currencies Volatility? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
We are marking a dubious 40-year anniversary this week. It was on August 15, 1971 that President Richard Nixon unilaterally “closed the gold window,” severing the dollar’s ties to gold forever, possibly one of the most significant policy decisions in modern economic history. It was a part of dramatic measures meant to deal with the nation's huge balance of payments deficit, its weak growth, and inflation. Speculative attacks on the dollar had begun in the late 1960s as concerns mounted over cost of the Vietnam War and America's rising trade deficit. Other countries were increasingly reluctant to take dollars in payment and demanded gold instead.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold Overbought, Could Fall by $300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold has enjoyed an amazing rally in recent weeks, catapulted higher by the extreme fear sparked by the sharp stock-market correction. Naturally such big and fast gains have led to a surge in gold’s popularity among investors and speculators, as everyone loves a winner. But gold prices flow and ebb like everything else, and this metal has become very overbought today.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
U.S. Dollar May Assist in Managing Gold & Silver Holdings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Inexperienced investors in the commodity markets should keep in mind that while gold and silver look good now, silver dropped 59% in the last bear market and gold fell 32%. Both silver and gold held up better than stocks (and the dollar) early in the last bear market (as they are now), but eventually deflationary fears caught up with precious metals. Risk management is required for all positions, even “safe” positions like gold and silver. We own both gold and silver, but it is important that we understand the downside potential of any asset.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold Soars on Global Stock Market Bloodbath / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE DOLLAR gold price hit yet another new all-time record late on Friday morning in London, hitting $1876 per ounce – as stock markets around the world continued to plunge.
The gold price then fell 1.6% in less than two hours as US markets opened for business.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold & Silver Surge on Perfect Storm, Chavez Gold Action Leads to Backwardation, Short Squeeze / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All major currencies have fallen sharply against gold and silver again today with gold reaching new record nominal highs in Canadian and New Zealand dollars, in sterling, in euros and of course in dollars as turmoil continues in global markets.
In volatile trade, gold is down 1% from new record highs and is trading at USD 1,860.10, EUR 1,300.40, GBP 1,126.40, CHF 1,470.90, and JPY 142,414 per ounce and has risen some 2% in all currencies. Silver has surged by nearly 3% in all major currencies.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Crude Oil Looks Weak / Commodities / Crude Oil
The Oil market, for so long considered a one way bet for the bulls and potentially ruinous for western economies, no longer looks so sure-footed.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Copper Back at Pivotal Support Area / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The May/Jul recovery in Copper prices, from earlier Fibonacci support, stopped short of the Feb high and, now, the recent quick reversal has seen the market return to key supports on the daily and longer term charts.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold Stocks Break to New Highs Against Equities / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In our most recent commentary we wrote about the relative strength in the gold equities. Gold equities have not only bucked the downtrend in the equity markets but in relative terms are breaking to new highs against equity indices. In the chart below we plot precious metals prices, GDX versus the Morgan Stanley World Index and GDX versus the S&P 500. We highlight how each performed during bear markets. Other than in the crash in 2008, precious metals and the equities have performed quite well during times of struggle for conventional stocks.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Silver Heading Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
From a big picture pattern perspective, all of the action in the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) off of the major April high at 48.32 has carved out a base-like "cup" formation from early May to late July, which has been followed by a correction that has taken the shape of a "handle."
The composite picture produces a "cup-and-handle" intermediate-term bottom formation, which should propel silver prices -- and the SLV -- considering higher in the upcoming days and weeks.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Gold Season Starting Soon! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
There is a gold season but it has been changing its character for a while now, being swamped by the structural changes the gold world has experienced particularly over the last few years. To see the impact of the gold season may not be as easy as it was before. What is this gold season and what are the changes that are affecting its impact on the gold price now?
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