Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Uranium Stocks Bearish Trend With Potential for Bottom Formation / Commodities / Uranium
Another downer of a day for the uranium stocks but looking at the chart it looks more like the start of a reversal activity than a continuation of a bear. Yes, the Index did close lower but the daily action stayed within the confines of yesterday's activity. A real down day would be a close below yesterday's low. Anyway, the Merv's Daily Uranium I ndex closed lower by 0.051 points or 1.67%. There were 20 winners, 25 losers and 5 unchanged.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Gold to Sell off to $940 on US Interest Rate Cut Decision / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Big day for gold and the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) because just about everyone believes that the Fed will cut rates 75 to 100 bps, which will crush the dollar and trigger another upleg in gold. My technical work argues differently -- that the GLD has peak and that "good news" will be sold at the top of the Jan-Mar channel, and the GLD will traverse towards the lower portion of the channel, now in the vicinity of 94.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Gold Recovers and Stocks Bounce Ahead of US Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher vs. both the Dollar and Euros in London on Tuesday, gaining more than 1.3% from an overnight dip against each currency as global stock markets bounced after Monday's shock losses.By lunchtime in London – where the AM Gold Fix was set nearly $20 below Monday's record of $1,023.50 per ounce – the MSCI World Index stood 0.9% higher to show its first gain since Wednesday last week.
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Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Gold Strong as Safehaven in the Face of Worst Financial Crisis since 1987 Crash / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up $2.10 to $1000.80 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday while silver was down 25 cents to $20.36 per ounce. Gold surged on the open in Asia yesterday and reached a new record high ($1030.80 per ounce). Subsequently, with U.S. stock markets miraculously recovering, gold succumbed to profit taking and ended the day only slightly higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 17, 2008
UltraShort Crude Oil & Gas ETF on the Move / Commodities / Energy Resources
As of this moment, the Jan-Feb lows at 34.69 and 35.52 represent a potentially major double-bottom in the DUG that has the power to thrust prices towards the 46.00-47.00 resistance (breakout zone). Initial resistance hovers along the declining 200 DMA, now at 43.33. Any weakness from current levels must hold 40.00 to preserve today's near-term upside breakout at 41.20/50.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 17, 2008
Trading Gold and Silver ETF's for Profit / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds
ETF's have been part of the investment scene for almost two decades. There are currently over 630 different ETF's. Recently a number of commodity ETF's have been introduced to the trading public, as more and more people are becoming interested in trading this sector, and ETF's are a simple way to participate, without having to search for specific stocks.
Gold, silver, oil, copper, nickel, natural gas, grains and cattle ETF's are all available, and a number of ETF's cover a mixture of similar commodities.
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Monday, March 17, 2008
Gold Jumps 3% as Panic Selling Hits Banking Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver
PHYSICAL GOLD PRICES leapt more than 3% at the start of world trade on Monday – and the US Dollar and Asian stock markets sank – on news that the Federal Reserve will today start lending directly to New York investment banks to "bolster market liquidity and promote orderly market functioning."
The Gold Market then gave back half of its early gains to $1,015 per ounce, while European equities lost more than 3% from Friday's close.
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Monday, March 17, 2008
Gold Soars to $1027 on Bear Stearns Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $1023.50, £508.45 and €649.51 (up from $997.00, £491.617 and €641.158 Friday).
We are at new record nominal highs in gold in most major currencies and gold has surged through £500 per ounce (GBP) with sterling falling significantly against major currencies especially the euro (0.79).
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Sunday, March 16, 2008
Gold $1000 and Bullish, Silver Boxed in for a Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver
WOW! $1000 per oz. Where to from here? I still remember when the DOW first breached its 1000 mark. It was 10 years before it went anywhere after that. I don't see the same for gold, but who knows?
GOLD : LONG TERM
Well, it hasn't quite hit my long term P&F projection of $1020 but it got awfully close. Maybe this week. The next projection would then be $1125. The very long term $1600 projection is getting closer and closer.
Saturday, March 15, 2008
Crude Oil Bull Market Uncovers Two New Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Oil Companies
There are few countries or regions of the world that are seeing real growth in oil production. The simple fact is that the large onshore fields that have met the world's oil demand for decades are now mature and already seeing declining production.
To offset declines from these easy-to-produce oil and gas fields, producers will increasingly target smaller, more-complex fields, as well as fields that are harder and more expensive to reach.
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Friday, March 14, 2008
A Cheaper Dollar to Take Dollar Gold Prices Much Higher? / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2008
As with so many crises in history, the consequences of certain situations are not foreseen, or if they had been foreseen were downplayed to either inaction, or insufficient action. So it has been with the "sub-prime" crisis that is now a full blown liquidity crisis that is spreading like a gangrene into other aspects of the credit market. You may still wonder why this crisis is causing such a threat to the entire financial system so as to cause the Fed to 'throw money from helicopters'? The problem is essentially due to the functioning of collateral.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 14, 2008
Mainstream Media View- Beaten-Down Stocks Going Cheap! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...Oh gee, what a move! It took me almost two years to get back to break-even..."
"THE TIME TO MAKE MONEY in the stock market is not when things are going gangbusters," reckons Stephen Gandel – yet another senior writer at Money Magazine . (Do they have any juniors...? Just wondering.)
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Friday, March 14, 2008
Gold Stocks Headed for Boom or Bust? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Depending on whether you prefer to see the glass as half full or half empty, the technical picture for gold stocks is either great – or horrible, at this point.Bad news first: - Three Megaphones
The HUI continues to trace out one successive megaphone pattern after another. There is the big one that was begun in November-December last year.
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Friday, March 14, 2008
Crude Oil Weakness Ahead Means Rally for Macroshares Oil Inverted / Commodities / Oil Companies
At the very least, my near-term work in the MACROshares Oil Down Tradeable Shares (AMEX: DCR) is warning me that the Jan-Mar decline from near 15.00 to 8.00 is complete, and that a recovery rally period has started that should carry to a minimum of 10.00/30. Only a resumption of weakness that violates 8.00 will invalidate my current outlook, which will imply that crude oil prices are roaring again.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 14, 2008
Gold Holds Steady on US Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD recovered a sharp dip at London lunchtime on Friday as the US Dollar bounced almost 1% from Thursday's all-time lows on strong inflation data.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 14, 2008
Gold Breached $1000 on Safe Haven Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver
As expected, gold reached the greatly anticipated and important psychological mark of $1000 per ounce in the futures market yesterday. Profit taking subsequently saw it sell off slightly. Gold was up $13.10 to $992.30 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 39 cents to $20.34 per ounce. In Asian and early European trading gold consolidated and remained in a range between $993 and $1000. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $997.00, £491.617 and €641.158 (from $975.75, £483.26 and €630.90 yesterday).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 14, 2008
Silver Bull Market Moving In Parabolic Arc / Commodities / Gold & Silver
About a week ago in the last Silver Market update we called a SHORT-TERM top in gold and silver, and we got one. As you may recall the timeframe for the reaction was until about the 17th. Although we have seen a reaction it has thus far been modest, and now, after the extraordinary action and events of the past couple of days, it MAY be over. In any event, with the time window for the reaction soon to close, and downside now considered to be limited, the risk is thought to be that of missing out on the next upleg, which promises to be even bigger than the last one.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Gold Uptrend Accelerating into Spectacular Vertical Asset! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
About a week ago we called a short-term top in gold and silver, and although we got one, the subsequent reaction has turned out to be very muted. Meanwhile, oil has powered relentlessly higher and the dollar has continued to crumble as the Fed's increasingly desperate and frequent measures to arrest or at least postpone the gathering financial maelstrom are seen to be impotent.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Global “Oil Shock” Rattles World Stock Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
Cleaning up the mess that Mr Greenspan left behind was never going to be easy. Banks and brokers around the world face more than half-trillion dollars in write-offs as a consequence of the US sub-prime mortgage crisis, which is spreading from the US property market and roiling global stock markets. It's toppled the US economy into a recession and the tremors are also rattling Asian stock markets.
Roughly $7 trillion has been wiped from world stock markets since the beginning of the year amid fears of a severe US economic recession and financial institutions reporting more mega losses. “The market crisis will preoccupy us well into 2008,” he said German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck on Feb 15th. “The financial risks securitized by banks contained packaged explosives,” and he accused rating agencies of having a conflict of interest in the role they played in the process.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
Dow Jones Lags Gold Returns by 200% - Open Your Eyes! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Are you a commodities investor with friends that think you are "crazy" for investing in precious metals? Do these same friends advise you to indefinitely "buy and hold" a large amount of "well diversified" mutual funds for the "long term"? We are continually amazed at how few investors seem to open their eyes to changes all around them, including what is really happening in the financial markets.The following chart illustrates what would have happened to the Dow Jones Industrial average if it had increased in value at the same percentage rate as gold has since the year 2000.
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