Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Gold Continues to Consolidate Rally From Late August / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
GoldGold was up $5.10 to $788.20 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 9 cents to $14.07 per ounce. Gold rallied after the close in the New York Access Market and subsequently was flat in Asia before rallying again in trading in London to $794 per ounce at 1200 GMT.
Gold is trading at £384 GBP (up from £379) and €539 EUR (up from €534).
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Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Gold Recovers Overnight Dip as Euro Jumps on Rising Inflation; Subprime Home-Loan Bonds Downgraded / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered an overnight dip by lunchtime in London on Tuesday, trading above $795 per ounce as European stock markets stood 1% lower for the day.US bond prices held near recent highs while the Euro rose on the currency markets, gaining almost one cent from last night's two-week lows to the Dollar.
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Crude OIl and Gas Tumble as DUG UltraShort ETF Rallies / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My overall technical work in the ProShares Ultrashort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) treats all of the action from the 10/17 low at 37.17 to the 11/29 high at 46.56 as the first phase of an intermediate-term recovery rally. The plunge from the 11/27 high to Friday's low at 41.40 (so far) represents an intervening pullback that separates two major legs of a recovery phase.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
Goldman Sachs Recommendation to Sell Gold Based on Self-interest? / Commodities / Market Manipulation
By: Gold_Investments
GoldGold was down $12.10 to $783.10 per ounce in New York on Friday and silver was down 25 cents to $13.98 per ounce. Gold showed strength in early trading in Asia and rallied to $792 but in early European trading it has given up these gains and has traded back down to $783.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is trading at £379 GBP (down from £385) and €534 EUR (down from €540).
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Gold and Oil Fall as Pressure Builds for European Interest Rate Cuts / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped back from an overnight spike early Monday to hit $778 per ounce – a two-week low – just before the US open.
Asian stock markets were little changed, while European bourses began the week lower. Wall Street futures pointed down, capping their four-day rally, and crude oil futures dropped almost a dollar to trade at a one-month low beneath $88 per barrel.
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Silver Building Up to Resume Uptrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
There are various general points set out in the Gold Market update, relating to the dollar, that are equally applicable to silver, so this Silver Market update will only focus on the detail differences particular to Silver.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
US Dollar Rally to Fail Before USD 80, Gold Correcting First Phase of a Major Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
Some readers may have seen a trades list produced by Goldman Sachs recommending that investors short gold next year. This report has been allocated to the circular filing along with the government inflation statistics.
With the dollar rally predicted on www.clivemaund.com early on Thursday getting underway immediately afterwards, the question is how far this rally will carry, and how much further gold and silver will react as a result.
Monday, December 03, 2007
Gold Short-term Uncertainty But Long-term Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Well, Friday was five in a row. We had two previous five in a row down days this year. One was followed by a reasonable rally while the other was followed by a lateral move which then morphed into the Aug to Nov rally. Is there a rally ahead?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
Crude Oil Headed Down to $70 For Historic Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Elliot_H_Gue
For the first time in more than a year, I'm a near-term bear on oil prices. I suspect that crude could fall to around $70 per barrel in the next three to four months, roughly a 30 percent correction from its recent highs. This move will be a correction of the long-term uptrend in crude, not the end of the bull market. This correction will mark a historic buying opportunity for both oil and oil-related stocks. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Craze for Biofuel Causes Grain Prices to Soar / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Joseph_Dancy
As the dynamic economies of China, India, and Asia continue to expand the size of their middle class – and the population in these areas continues a large scale migration to the major cities – global demand for basic foodstuffs has increased significantly over the last decade. A recent swine virus has adversely impacted Chinese herds, and globally meats and grain inventories are in short supply compared to historical levels.
Meanwhile, biofuels continue to make inroads in the developed countries. The cost of the biofuel feedstock – corn in many cases – has risen with demand. The cost of alternative grains such as wheat and soybeans has also increased.
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Sunday, December 02, 2007
Commodities Price Growth to Slow in 2008 / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Donald_W_Dony
KEY POINTS: • CRB Index expected to advance to new highs in 2008, but with slower growth
• Light crude oil finds solid support at $89; no weakness anticipated – target is $108
• Fed rate cut meeting on December 11 will send gold higher and drop the USD; target is US$875
• Weaker copper prices point to stalling economies; $3.80 is solid resistance
• Natural gas pinned under $8.50 resistance; little chance of growth until second half of 2008. Steady LNG supply should keep prices low.
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Sunday, December 02, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Fairweather Friends / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“ With each passing week, the pressure on the Fed threatens to bubble over, and it's becoming more and more likely the FOMC will again find itself in a position where it's obliged to cut rates or risk a huge selloff in equities markets. Silver may be the first tell for the direction of the next move. $13.50 continues to look like solid support, if we get there, and with what looks like a five-wave move down off the recent highs, silver will some work to do to avoid slipping lower before attempting new highs. Gold… having penetrated the $750-775 support area mentioned in the TTC forums, it's possible the near term bottom is in here, but… making that bet is not a high risk/reward proposition.” ~ Precious Points: Bullion Bouillabaisse, November 17, 2007Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Golds Friday Sharp Fall - A Conspiracy Theory? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
"... Trying to ride this bull market in gold often feels like trying to get your heaviest friend home after way too much beer..."
THE GOLD PRICE just closed out November '07 at an average of $806.25 per ounce, a new record high – and the third record month on the run.
Not that you'd know that from reading the newswires this weekend, however. And fair's fair.
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Friday, November 30, 2007
How to Select the Best Gold Producing Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
In the wild and whacky world of gold stocks, investors and speculators have a wide range of options for capital deployment. These options can be categorized in many different ways, but it all boils down to risk. The degree of risk varies from extremely risky with the junior gold explorers to just plain risky with the large senior producers.
This risk is inherent due to the nature of mining and commodities-market volatility. And in general the gold-stock sector is going to carry greater risk than most other stock sectors. But of course the old market adage applies here, greater risk can lead to greater rewards. So while gold-stock trading is not for the faint of heart, catching this sector in a secular bull market has so far led to legendary gains for those willing to take these risks.
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Friday, November 30, 2007
Gold Holding Pattern - Economy-Wide Crunch" Now Looming in Europe / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped from a small overnight bounce early in London on Friday, recording an AM Fix that was 5% below Monday's start as world equity markets rose on the promise of fresh interest-rate cuts from the US Fed.
Looking at the latest data on Gold Market futures – where the front-month contract is now trading $50 below its near-record top of Nov. 8th – "the net long Comex position declined by 12.4% in the two weeks" to Nov. 20th, note the team at Mitsui.
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Friday, November 30, 2007
The Epic Global Battle Over Crude Oil and the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Gary_Dorsch
“Here are two brother countries, united like a single fist,” declared Venezuelan kingpin Hugo Chavez after meeting Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in Tehran on Nov 19th. “We have common viewpoints and we will stand by each other until we capture the high peaks. God is with us and victory is awaiting us,” added Iran's Ahmadinejad, vowing to defeat US imperialism together, and pointing to the fall of the US dollar as the prelude to the end of America's global dominance. “Don't you see how the dollar has been in free-fall without a parachute? The US prints dollar bills with no real economic foundation. Soon we will not talk about dollars, because the empire of the dollar is crashing. The day will arrive not only in OPEC, but also in Latin America, when we will be liberated from the dollar. With the fall of the US dollar, US imperialism will fall as soon as possible,” Chavez declared.
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Friday, November 30, 2007
Gold in Potential Double Top Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Under the circumstances, I thought the equity market handled "the day after" in relatively strong fashion. I leave you this evening with an updated look at the GLD, which closed in precarious technical condition...Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 29, 2007
Gold Gives Back Overnight Gains Ahead of Key US Data, Bernanke Speech; Oil Jumps 4% on Cut to US Supplies / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back an overnight bounce to $808 per ounce as the New York opening drew near on Thursday, trading just below last night's close at $802.50.
Oil prices surged more than 4% after an explosion in Canada cut one-fifth of the United States ' daily crude imports. US stock futures pointed lower.
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Thursday, November 29, 2007
Gold and Silver Strong Bull Market Intact - HUI Bullish Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Peter_Degraaf
The pull-back we are seeing in gold and silver is nothing more than some high-volume backing and filling, within the major uptrend. The annual Christmas rally which started in August has a lot of life in it yet.
The sub-prime mortgage debacle is nowhere near solved, and we can count on the central banks to do what they do with every problem they run into: print more money.
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Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Gold $800 - A New Generation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Vaughn
Will 800 become the ceiling or preferably the new floor?
Short term I don't know, but I am excited watching so much positive strength in this market. The crap is hitting the fan and gold is responding appropriately and properly. My personal opinion is that 800 may just become a floor price for gold. But who am I to know?
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