Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Silver Bull Market Moving In Parabolic Arc / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
About a week ago in the last Silver Market update we called a SHORT-TERM top in gold and silver, and we got one. As you may recall the timeframe for the reaction was until about the 17th. Although we have seen a reaction it has thus far been modest, and now, after the extraordinary action and events of the past couple of days, it MAY be over. In any event, with the time window for the reaction soon to close, and downside now considered to be limited, the risk is thought to be that of missing out on the next upleg, which promises to be even bigger than the last one. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Gold Uptrend Accelerating into Spectacular Vertical Asset! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
About a week ago we called a short-term top in gold and silver, and although we got one, the subsequent reaction has turned out to be very muted. Meanwhile, oil has powered relentlessly higher and the dollar has continued to crumble as the Fed's increasingly desperate and frequent measures to arrest or at least postpone the gathering financial maelstrom are seen to be impotent. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Global “Oil Shock” Rattles World Stock Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Gary_Dorsch
Cleaning up the mess that Mr Greenspan left behind was never going to be easy. Banks and brokers around the world face more than half-trillion dollars in write-offs as a consequence of the US sub-prime mortgage crisis, which is spreading from the US property market and roiling global stock markets. It's toppled the US economy into a recession and the tremors are also rattling Asian stock markets. Roughly $7 trillion has been wiped from world stock markets since the beginning of the year amid fears of a severe US economic recession and financial institutions reporting more mega losses. “The market crisis will preoccupy us well into 2008,” he said German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck on Feb 15th. “The financial risks securitized by banks contained packaged explosives,” and he accused rating agencies of having a conflict of interest in the role they played in the process.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
Dow Jones Lags Gold Returns by 200% - Open Your Eyes! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Investmentscore.com
Are you a commodities investor with friends that think you are "crazy" for investing in precious metals? Do these same friends advise you to indefinitely "buy and hold" a large amount of "well diversified" mutual funds for the "long term"? We are continually amazed at how few investors seem to open their eyes to changes all around them, including what is really happening in the financial markets. The following chart illustrates what would have happened to the Dow Jones Industrial average if it had increased in value at the same percentage rate as gold has since the year 2000.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
HUI Precious Metals and Mining Stocks Liftoff! as S&P Breaks Down / Commodities / Resources Investing
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The US Dollar DX index has hit my 72 target on this latest leg of its breakdown. The news is all wretched. Iran , Nigeria , and even tiny Vietnam are rebelling against the crippled buck. The Persian Gulf Arab nations are trying to find a graceful way to detach from their devastating US$ peg that has wrought horrendous price inflation to the region. The end of the defacto PetroDollar standard will be the biggest external event concerning the US Dollar this year, while the failure of prime Exploding ARMs will be the biggest internal event. The prime adjustable mortgages of unique detonation design and typical amplified destructive leverage are due to explode this summer, sure to change the false label promoted. The current bank problems originated with subprime mortgages, but they have extended inroads into primes and now have begun to enter commercial avenues. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Gold Hits $1000 as US Dollar and Stocks Sink, Crude Oil Hits $110 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES Hit $1,000 per ounce in London on Thursday as the US Dollar sank to new record lows, oil traded further above $110 per barrel, and world stock markets sank."Concerns in the credit market, persistent Dollar weakness, and gradual acceleration of inflationary pressures is providing a foundation of support for gold," says James Steel of HSBC.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
Uranium Stocks Trend Remains Bearish Despite Recent Rally / Commodities / Uranium
By: Merv_Burak
Another up day but nothing to celebrate. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed higher by 0.027 points or 0.82%. There were 27 winners, 19 losers and 4 unchanged. Of the top five based upon market value, Cameco gained 1.9%, Denison gained 5.9%, First Uranium was unchanged, Paladin gained 4.2% and Uranium One gained 4.9%. The best performer was Energy Fuels with a 24.1% gain while the worst performer was Aurora Energy with a loss of 8.8%.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Rules for a Decade / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Vaughn
Well, gold continues to hover around 1,000 an ounce. It won't be long before it crashes the 1,000 dollar level. Our world is in a bigger mess than most folks care to acknowledge.
Boris Sobolev – “Instead of trying to guess tops and bottoms, the best strategy is to continue to accumulate bullion as well as shares of junior producers, exploration and development companies on weakness. Gold price is going much higher in the coming years and the prices of undervalued junior stocks are going to explode as they become targets for acquisition. A few short years down the road, the trepidations experienced today by investors in small cap gold stocks will look quite silly.” Boris Sobolev, 3-6-2008
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Rises as Central Bank "Crisis Action" Fails to Ease Money-Market Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose out of a tight 1% range as the US opening drew near on Wednesday, while global stock markets continued to bounce after four months of losses in response to yesterday's historic "crisis action" from seven of the world's biggest central banks.Short-term Dollar lending pressures eased in London , but the cost of borrowing Euros continued to rise. The US currency fell towards a new record low vs. the Euro at $1.5490.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Up as the $500 Trillion Derivatives Time Bomb Keeps Ticking / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold was up $4.10 to $974.30 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday silver was down 3 cents to $19.64 per ounce. In Asian and early European trading gold has traded sideways to slightly up. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $975.75, £483.26 and €630.90 (from $980.50, £485.47 and €633.40 yesterday). Gold may continue to consolidate prior to the much anticipated rally to the $1,000 mark. But given the continuing weakness in the dollar (se FX below), record high oil prices and the continuing credit crisis, gold will likely continue to surprise to the upside. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Parabolic Trend Targets $1500 as US Dollar Destined for Financial Oblivion / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
When a ball is thrown into the air, the speed of that ball decelerates until gravity becomes the more powerful force. Balls, when thrown into the air, do not suddenly rise at a faster rate. Such is the way physics works, and the way markets work. Were this not true, the sky would be filled with balls and the NASDAQ would still be above 5000. $Gold, as wonderful as it is, is not immune to financial gravity.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Will Gold Catch-up with Crude Oil? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Oil and gold have had a long association in the minds and hearts of investors. Where one goes, the other seems to follow. So when OPEC made its announcement last week to maintain production at current levels, gold market participants might have taken it as a suggestion that gold would be basing at just under $1000 instead of forming a top. When comparing oil and gold on the inflation-adjusted charts, however, there appears to be more to the story than the possibility that we have reached an interim bottom. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Gold and Crude Jump as Investment Funds Pile into Commodities / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose 1.1% at the London opening on Tuesday, reaching a three-session high above $984 per ounce.
Crude oil surged to its fifth consecutive all-time record, while Tokyo stocks closed higher for only the second time this month. European shares jumped more than 2% by lunchtime in London after the European single currency came within shouting distance of $1.55.
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Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Gold and Dow Jones 40 Year Long-term Price charts / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold was down $1.80 to $970.20 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday silver was down 44 cents to $19.28 per ounce. In Asian trading gold traded sideways but in early European trading gold and silver have again rallied strongly. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $980.50, £485.47 and €633.40 ($973.15, £481.52 and €633.03 yesterday). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 10, 2008
Gold and Commodities Follow Stocks Lower on Vicious Cycle of Forced Selling / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back and then reversed early gains on Monday, losing $9 per ounce by lunchtime in London to trade at $964.50.Energy and soft commodity prices also slipped – taking WTI crude oil just below $104.50 per barrel – as short-term bond yields fell and Asian stock markets sank once again, led by a near-10% drop in Malaysia after the ruling coalition lost one-third of its seats in the weekend elections.
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Monday, March 10, 2008
Deepening Credit Crunch Supports Bullish Gold Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold was down $3 to $972.00 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 3 cents to $20.16 per ounce. In Asian trading gold rose to $980.22 but has sold off slightly in early European trading. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $973.15, £481.52 and €633.03.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 10, 2008
Peak Oil - True or False? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Stephen_Lendman
The arguments are so one-sided, it's practically a given that "peak oil" is real and threatening. Or is it? This article examines both sides. It lets readers decide and deals only with supply issues, not crucial environmental ones and the need to develop alternative energy sources. First some background. The name most associated with "peak oil" is M. King Hubbert. He became the world's best known geologist when he worked for Houston-based Shell Oil Company from 1943 to 1964. His theory goes something like this. Oil is a finite resource. Peak oil, or Hubbert's peak, is the point at which maximum world production is reached, after which its rate terminally declines.
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Monday, March 10, 2008
Beat the Panic With Commodity ETF's - Major Action Alert / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: These commodity markets are going wild, and I'm responding with major action — new commodity ETF recommendations I'm going to issue by mid-week, probably Wednesday. If you want to jump in, I must hear back by Tuesday.
Think the recent price explosions have been climactic?!
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Sunday, March 09, 2008
Gold Short-term Giving Worrying Technical Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Despite some volatile daily moves, on a chart this past week it looked like a sideways trend, even possibly a topping action. Let's see.
GOLD : LONG TERM
Taking away most of the trend, support and resistance lines from the P&F chart and leaving only a few primary lines gives an interesting view of the bull market since 2001. With the present units and reversals used in the chart the original primary up trend line, if extended, shows the action of the past several months just hugging the line, slightly above at times and slightly below at other times.
Friday, March 07, 2008
What Will Take Gold Through the $1,000 Barrier? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Gold and silver prices are making new ground every day and are consolidating, seemingly in preparation for an attack on $1,000. Thereafter, who will buy gold and pay over $1,000? It seems a daunting price for any new Investor or even one with a sizeable holding already.
A Psychological Barrier
Why is $1,000 such a barrier? The move to four figures implies it is in a new league, in top gear and can't hold that level. If one looks at the gold price in the € the picture changes. In those, now distant days, when the € was worth $1.25, the € price of gold battled heavily to get past €530; it now sits at €640. It seems that a 20% rise is not so outrageous as we thought. Look at gold in the Australian $ or the Japanese Yen. There hasn't been any where near such a rise as we have seen in the US$ price of gold?