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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, January 31, 2008

China Earn's Interest by Shorting Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven the most rabid silver bugs admit the possibility that the Chinese are the Big Silver Shorts. This suggests that the Big Gold Shorts are also governments. Neither are naked by any stretch of the imagination. The double whammy of gold and silver accumulation by unnamed governments is the big puzzle of the present financial crisis in the world as it holds the key to the resolution.

For a better understanding of the Chinese silver picture you have to know a little background of the role of silver in China. The facts are as follows. China has been on a silver standard since time immemorial. China stayed on the silver standard after other trading nations of the world demonetized silver and embraced the gold standard at the end of the 19th century.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Materials and Utilities Investing Themes 2008: A Tale of Two Halves - Part 4 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe beginning of a new year is a good time to make a new assessment of the important investment drivers and themes for the year. If you want to beat the market it is important to understand what is driving the markets and where the best sectors are to find good opportunities. By identifying these factors you will have a solid framework to assess the impact market movements and news events on your investment strategy. This is the fourth of a five part series on the outlook for the 2008 markets. The first part discussed the key drivers ending with a mention of what sectors will benefit and those that will be hurt. This Part discusses the Materials and Utilities sectors. Part 2 discussed Energy and Financials, Part 3 reviewed Technology and Consumer Staples. Part 5 will address Healthcare, Industrials and Consumer Discretionary sectors. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Iran's Notice to Crude Oil Importers Results in Monetary Contraction of $500 billion of PetroDollar Reserves / Commodities / Global Financial System

By: Rob_Kirby

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch was made of Iran's announcement back in December, 2007 – that they would no longer be accepting U.S. Dollars as payment for their chief export, crude oil:

Iran stops selling oil in dollars - Tehran moves closer to confrontation with U.S.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Gold to Surge towards $1000 on Today's US Fed Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Clark

Gold was down $2.60 to $924.80 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 6 cents to $16.74 per ounce. Both rose to new highs yesterday and have traded sideways to slightly down in Asian and European trading. A monthly close above $900, the first ever, would obviously be very bullish from a technical point of view.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Gold Drifts Ahead of US Fed Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES sat tight in a $6 range early Wednesday, bouncing 1.3% below yesterday's new record high before recording an AM Fix in London of $923.75 per ounce as the world's stock markets ticked lower in quiet trade.

"All eyes today are on the upcoming US rate decision," says Brandon Lloyd for Mitsui in Sydney , "widely expected to lower rates again to support the aggressive 75-basis point emergency cut last week.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Gold Parabolic Rally on Monthly Chart Flashes Warning to Gold Bulls! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePleased to announce that votes are in. Ineptness Award for first century of Federal Reserve's existence goes to Bailout Bernanke and his Buckaroos. Last week's interest rate cut cinched it for them. Did the FOMC cut U.S. interest rates because of falling global financial markets or was it pure politics? Reports suggest that FOMC was not even aware of Societe Generale's selling of portfolio problems.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

The Time For Gold Is Now! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleClick to enlargeHow about that gold price?

Right now it seems to be sticking around the 900 range. I wonder what's happening? Could there be “turmoil” in the financial markets? Let's see what the press has to say about present market conditions. Just what is happening in the financial realm around us?

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Gold Hits New All Time High as Stock Markets Continue Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES shot higher yet again in London early Tuesday, hitting a new all-time high of $933 per ounce as global stock markets continued to bounce from last week's sell-off, albeit in thin trade.

"It's a big week on the calendar," notes Nick Hodson at Lloyds TSB Private Banking in London. "There is not going to be a great deal of volume in equities ahead of the Fed's interest-rate decision tomorrow."

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Gold Surges on Prospects of US Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was up $16.40 to $926.90 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 27 cents to $16.68 per ounce. Both rose to new highs in the early hours of Asian trading overnight and gold surged to new highs at $932.95 in early European trading.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

GATA Gold Rally Targets $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the next few weeks or months, analysts will likely refer to the latest rise in the gold price, which started today, as the GATA RALLY.

As some of you know, this Thursday, the Wall Street Journal will carry a full-page advertisement paid for by GATA. The headline of the article will read: “Anybody seen our gold?”

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Commodities

Monday, January 28, 2008

Buy Gold on Correction Towards $850 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Fat_Prophets

"..the most secure form of gold ownership is to actually take physical possession of the gold."

Unless you've decided not to read our reports after taking out a subscription, Members will be well aware of our constant recommendations to buy gold and or gold stocks. Buying gold stocks is relatively easy. Where there seems to be some confusion is in how to buy bullion.

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Commodities

Monday, January 28, 2008

How To Invest During Economic Downturns: Commodities versus Stocks / Commodities / Learning to Invest

By: Mary_Rivas

In an article published yesterday (January 23, 2008) in the Financial Times , George Soros stated that a recession in the U.S. is now more or less inevitable. He noted that China , India and some of the oil-producing countries however are in a very strong countertrend. Soros went on to explain that “the current financial crisis is less likely to cause a global recession than a radical realignment of the global economy, with a relative decline of the U.S. and the rise of China and other countries in the developing world. “

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Commodities

Monday, January 28, 2008

Silver Market Supplies in Surplus? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

I want to address a recent publication which has raised concerns amongst silver investors. It is The Silver Book for 2008 published by the VM Group.

The main item I want to address is the statement in that document that the silver market was in surplus in 2007 by 6,141 tonnes or over 197 million ounces. That is a lot of silver; in fact it constitutes about 18% of their estimated mine and scrap supply for 2007. Does this seem a lot of silver to you? It certainly did to me!

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Commodities

Monday, January 28, 2008

Gold Boosted by South African Power Outages / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was up $3.50 to $910.50 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 16 cents to $16.41 per ounce. Both surged again in the early hours of Asian trading overnight and gold rose as high as $921.35 and it remains near record highs in early European trading.

Gold was up 3.4% last week and silver was up nearly 2% and both are up some 10% year to date. In normal market conditions, correction and consolidation would be expected and likely. However, these are not normal market conditions – and that is putting it mildly.
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Commodities

Monday, January 28, 2008

Gold Weakens as Stock Markets Slump At Start of Week / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES moved sharply in a $10 range early Monday, hitting $921.50 overnight in Asia – more than 1% above Friday's close – before slipping back to record an AM Fix in London of $916.50 per ounce.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Gold Technical's Suggest Downtrend is Looming / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite a 3.4% gain on the week one gets the impression that gold is ready to go lower. That's not what most analysts are saying. Who to trust? I always prefer the charts to tell me where gold is going not where it should go.

GOLD: LONG TERM
The long term continues in its bullish mode with some hints of weakness but no overriding concern. Gold continues to trade well above its long term moving average line and the line continues to slope upwards. The long term momentum indicator continues in its positive zone above its positive sloping trigger line but is showing some minor hint of weakness by not making a new high with the gold price. The volume indicator is also above its positive sloping trigger line but below its previous high and not confirming the gold move to new highs. The long term P&F chart continues to move higher with no hint of a reversal in the works. So, from the long term point of view the only rating that I can give this time period is a BULLISH rating.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Gold - You Can't Keep a Good Metal Down / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The first resistance level in gold [is] at about $890, while … support [is] at about $861. The wide latitude … represents a range for traders. With additional rate cuts almost undoubtedly on the way, it's reasonable to see a more triangular correction in gold, if not new highs before the end of the quarter. That said, it's important to understand that even a larger degree triangle, as opposed to a deeper selloff, could still see gold trading to the $775-780 area in relatively short order. Those who've ridden this high should appropriately see themselves closer to the end of this move than the beginning.” ~ Precious Points: Let Them Eat Cake! January 18, 2008

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Commodities

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Working Paper Synopsis: The Search for the Beta of Commodity Futures / Commodities / Learn to Trade

By: Mack_Frankfurter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn comparing modern finance with behavioral finance, Dr. George M. Frankfurter, Lloyd F. Collette Professor Emeritus Louisiana State University, and Dr. Elton G. McGoun, Professor of Finance Bucknell University, in their article “ Resistance is Futile: The Assimilation of Behavioral Finance, ” [1] make the following astute observation which can similarly be applied to our analysis of the various commodity asset pricing models we investigated: “What has happened is that we've used these assumptions for so long that we've forgotten that we've merely made assumptions, and we've come to believe that the world is necessarily this way.” Likewise, our working paper, “ Is Managed Futures an Asset Class? The Search for the Beta of Commodity Futures ,” suggests that the models we examined have inherent shortcomings when analyzing the commodity futures markets. This article summarizes that study which is available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1029243 .

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Commodities

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Response to the Anti-Gold Gospel / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Anatole Kaletsky is the author of the most recent Anti-Gold Gospel ( www.gavekal.com , January 21, 2008.) He is an establishment journalist, Associate Editor (formerly Economics Editor) of The Times . He says that he instinctively dislikes gold because “historically gold has been a terrible investment and, even in the short term, gold has failed as a store of value”. I am satisfied to leave this statement to stand on its own, and wish Kaletsky good luck in seeking a better store of value in fiat currencies.

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Commodities

Friday, January 25, 2008

$150 Billion Stimulus Package Positive for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Volatile was the word this week in equity and currency markets across the world. The average investor -- whether institutional or individual -- does not like to feel uncertain. So we protect ourselves from it the best we can. The results were that global markets acted on the worst-possible scenario. At the beginning of the week there was recession with the potential to get worse. Then came the 0.75% cut in Fed Fund rates. Together with talk around the $150 billion tax breaks from the White House, this was expected to send the global economy back on the growth track -- even though it would be at the expense of the USD. But hope wasn't enough. But markets are not falling and have recovered to a large extent, so far. But investors are still jaundiced by the realities of the moves.

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