Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 11, 2014
Unwinding Unallocated Gold Accounts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The debate in precious metal markets today is whether or not the three-year bear market is over and a new uptrend is establishing itself. But assuming for a moment that the gold price has turned the corner, will the bullion banks be able to keep a lid on it? Given the recent jump in their short positions as recorded in the Bank Participation Report on Comex, they presumably think so, and unallocated accounts in London will play an important role.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Commodities - Three Cheers for The Fear Trade! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The long-anticipated summer rally for the precious metals (PM) sector gained strength this week even as the U.S. broad market stumbled. The recent plunge in small cap stocks isn't an unrelated phenomenon, however; it's one of the reasons behind the rally in the PM sector. In this commentary we'll examine the main drivers behind the latest push to multi-week highs for gold and silver.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Are You Ready for Doubles and Triples in Uranium Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Uranium
Are you brave enough to buy straw hats in winter? From uranium to oil services to lithium, savvy investors can find innovative ways to make money based on fundamental supply and demand rather than emotion and fashion. In this interview with The Energy Report, Gold Stock Trades editor Jeb Handwerger outlines the trends that will shape the future of energy commodity investing, and names some of the best examples of shabby chic stocks worth more than their current price tags.
The Energy Report: Jeb, in past interviews you have talked about the boost that the end of the Russian nuclear material purchase agreement would have on uranium prices. But lately, the price has dropped. What is causing the most recent decline?
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver Price, Asset Boom and Inflation Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The "price" of anything is a measurement of something just as a "mile" is a measurement of something. A mile measures distance, a "gallon" measures volume and a "pound" measures weight. But because the actual "value" of a currency can fluctuate, the "price" of the food in the grocery store to the "price" of a share of a stock exchange can move up and down without a change in value of the item itself.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Fossils, Fuels and Zombies / Commodities / Energy Resources
As fear begins to scare the vanguard of the herd into what may develop into a rampage, the eurocrisis is back with a vengeance. Portuguese bank Esperito Santo leads the way down through missed payments, bringing the Lisbon exchange to its knees with a -4.5% plunge as I write this, with northern EU exchanges showing -1.5% losses and southern ones -2.5%. Markets start to realize than all PIIGS now have much higher state debts than before the crisis started, and that they still are very much big risks, no matter what Draghi and his never fired bazooka say. The same Draghi who, by the way, reiterated once again that Brussels should be given more – and more centralized – power. As if the May election never happened. Of course EU finances were always a mess; it’s just that now we can see it.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold Price Bracing for a Short-Term Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In my prior article from back in early-June, I noted that a short-term bottom was due, which had been projected for the June 2nd timeframe, plus or minus a day. The actual low for Gold was registered the very next trading day, doing so on June 3rd at the 1240.20 figure. Since then, we have seen a rally of over $100 playing out with the metal, which is now looking for a short-term correction in the days/weeks ahead.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks: It's Old Turkey Time! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Those familiar with Jesse Livermore and the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator know who Old Turkey is. He was Mr. Partridge, an old trader who dispensed great wisdom in few words. Those at the office nicknamed him Turkey because of the way in which he strutted around with his chest puffed out. Livermore gleaned wisdom from Old Turkey which included the importance of never losing one's position and placing the utmost importance on the major trend. "It's a bull market," he often repeated. Precious metals shares are breaking out again after a brief consolidation. It's time to channel your inner Old Turkey, realize this is a bull market and act accordingly.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners The Beginning of the End! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think today's price action marks a very important confirmation point in the precious metals stock indexes, at least for the intermediate to longer term outlook. Finally, after a year of chopping around in small up and down moves, we are starting to get some confirmation that this one year trading range is indeed a reversal pattern and not a consolidation pattern. When a big patterns like this ends is when you get the big impulse moves which is where you make the real money.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Keys to Successful Gold Stock Picking / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Chris Mancini, an analyst with the Gabelli Gold Fund, spends his days finding value in gold equities—and he thinks he's found a recipe for success. Take a long-term outlook, add excellent management, fold in a great project in a quality jurisdiction with low-cost minable ounces in the ground at a huge discount to the spot price—et voila! Mancini calls this "optionality" and in this interview with The Gold Report he says that equities with optionality will not only survive the downturn but also provide excellent leverage to an inevitable upward move in the gold price. Check out some rising names in the Gabelli Gold Fund.
The Gold Report: Cash has flown out of gold funds and into non-gold equities during this bear run in gold. What's the current Gabelli Gold Fund pitch to investors?
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Price $10,000 Is it Possible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
When analysts forecast future asset prices they typically choose valuations that make sense in the context of current valuations. We could, for instance, easily imagine that a $100/share stock can trade up to $120/share. But when somebody comes out and says that it can go to $1,000/share in a few years time this person is ridiculed because it is very difficult for us to imagine a reality that differs wildly from the current state of affairs. So when I suggest that the gold price can rise to a level in the 5-digit range, I expect to be ridiculed or to have my forecast overlooked by most market participants. Nevertheless, as we will see in a moment the prospect of 5-digit gold is not so far-fetched. Gold at $10,000 or higher is not as unlikely as many people would think.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
5 Countries Most Plagued by Crude Oil Theft / Commodities / Crude Oil
Nigeria
As much as 400,000 barrels of oil a day are stolen in Nigeria. This equates to losses of $1.7 billion a month for Africa's new largest economy. This represents 7.7 percent of its GDP vanishing, or more than the country spends on education and healthcare. These numbers paint a harsh picture about the inability of the Nigerian government, and the multinational oil companies in the Niger Delta, to do anything about this rampant theft.
Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Metals and Miners Bull Market Point of Recognition / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think that the Metals and Miners Bull Market has just began and we are very close to the point of recognition of a new bull market which should give us an idea of what to expect going forward. As we have already seen in the past the first phase of a bull market is frustrating as many investors usually lose their positions too early and are therefore often left behind. This is how bull market works. Charts are telling me that Metals and Miners are on the verge of a massive breakout which could be the point of recognition of a new cyclical bull market.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold and Silver - The 'Independent Fed' - Deutschland vs Brasilien / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver were hit by a trailing stop boogie woogie this morning, a half feeble effort to shake out the long who are running their stop loss orders a bit close. These sorts of things do not bother us because we have an intermediate to longer term investment horizon, right? lol.
Otherwise gold and silver finished largely unchanged on the day.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Graphite, Lithium and REEs Essential to Hot Technologies / Commodities / Rare Earths
Graphite. Lithium. Rare earth elements. What do these metals and minerals have in common? They are playing bigger and more critical roles in widely used big kid toys like smartphones, tablets and electric vehicles. Investors can't stay on top of every hot commodity but Luisa Moreno, mining analyst with Euro Pacific Canada, offers some companies developing graphite, lithium and REE resources for the toys and technology of the future in this interview with The Mining Report.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Fed’s NIRP and Its Implications for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Believe it or not, we are finally witnessing a true monetary revolution. Unfortunately it is not the one that gold bugs have long waited for. Quite the opposite. We have the so called “monetary cranks” governing one of the most important central banks in the world. People who set the interest rates not at very low, not even at zero, not even at negative real interest rates, but at negative nominal interest rates. Hold your horses and constrain your joy – this does not concern the interest rate on your loan. It is the interest rate for the deposit facility at the central bank.
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Tuesday, July 08, 2014
Are We Running Out of Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: For many years, a number of industry experts have been sounding the alarm that America, and the world, are about to run out of oil.
This is nothing new. In 1914, the Bureau of Mines said that U.S. oil reserves would be exhausted by 1924. The Interior Department said global reserves would last 13 years… and that was in 1939. In 1956, Shell Oil geoscientist Marion King Hubbert advanced his peak oil theory, which said that world oil production had peaked and would begin to decline until all of the oil was gone.
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Tuesday, July 08, 2014
German Gold Depots: Financial Supervisory Authority inquires Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Goldreporter obtained information that the Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) has asked German banks and investment intermediaries in a letter, to hand over data about their clients investments in precious metals until mid-July.
The state wants to know how much money Germans have invested in gold and silver. Information provided to Goldreporter shows that the BaFin requested copious information about client investments in precious metals from German banks and asset managers. But the requested information is only about derivatives.
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Monday, July 07, 2014
Bearish Reversal In Play For Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude Oil has turned bearish in the last two weeks and is now already testing the trendline connected from the start of January. As such, a three wave rally up in wave 2) can be finished, which means that bearish trend may even accelerate in the next couple of weeks. We however, still need a decisive break of that line as well as a daily close beneath wave B level; 101.60 support.
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Sunday, July 06, 2014
Why Gold Prices Hit a Three Month High This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Diane Alter writes: The current gold price as of July 1 represents a three-month high amid a weaker dollar and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Gold for August delivery traded up $4.70 at $1,326.70 an ounce in early market action Tuesday. At last check, spot gold was up $2.70 to $1,333.60, its highest level since March 24.
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Saturday, July 05, 2014
Gold And Silver Charts Proving More Reliable Than Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Pick your poison for knowing what news is impacting gold and silver these days. Both have been in year-long TRs, [Trading Range], within a broader down trend context. That may be in the process of changing, but change takes time to turn a trend.
From our limited point of view, the list of events that are impacting the suppression of gold and silver all revolve around the NWO [self] destruction of the petrodollar, that fiat Federal Reserve Note, commonly [mis]called the “dollar,” and soon to lose its status as the world’s reserve currency.
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