Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 24, 2014
Crude Oil Price Turns Sharply Lower / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Gregor_Horvat
Crude oil has turned sharply lower yesterday, from a new high. A decline on 15min chart can be counted as an impulse, so we think that top has been reached and that price will continue to the south. With that said, keep an eye on any three wave rally back to 106.20-106.40 from where downtrend could resume. 107.34 is now short-term critical resistance, as long this one holds we will be looking down.
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Tuesday, June 24, 2014
Gold Price Relative To Monetary Base At All-Time Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldSilverWorlds
The newest edition of the annual In Gold We Trust report is out. This eight edition goes again to the heart of gold’s value and analyzes the yellow metal as a monetary asset rather than an industrial commodity. The In Gold We Trust 2014 report takes a sober look at the big picture in the monetary system and offers a holistic analysis of the gold sector. It is written by Ronald Stoeferle who is the managing partner of a global fund at Incrementum AG in Liechtenstein, based on the principles of the Austrian school of Economics.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Gold Price - Ah, the Power of Mean Reversion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
The chatter last week was gold. The precious metal flew up $45 an ounce on Thursday, surprising investors, the media and markets alike.
If we look back just six months ago, gold was sitting at record lows, signaling that it was in extremely oversold territory. This was the time that many investors let fear take over and dismissed the fundamental reasons for owning gold: as a portfolio diversifier and store of value.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Few Believe Gold Price Can Shine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Submissions
Bob Loukas writes: Considering that Gold has risen $80 off its low and the precious metals Miners have screamed higher, it's surprising how little bullish cheering we've heard. My discussion forum, Bull & Bear Talk, is very sensitive to Gold, but has barely seen an uptick in traffic during this move. In past moves out of Investor Cycle Lows, Bull and Bear Talk has had an immediate surge in traffic and a significant rise in the number of excited posts.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Crude Oil Price Higher Short-Term, Lower Longer-Term? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Friday, crude oil gained 0.54% as ongoing worries over the potential of supply disruptions from Iraq continued to weigh on the price. As a result, light crude climbed above the resistance line, invalidating earlier breakdown. Will this bullish factor trigger further improvement in the short term?
Monday, June 23, 2014
Silver Fix - An Old Institution Dies… and a New Bull Market Is Born / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: After 117 years, the current London Silver Fix is shutting down.
In fact, we know it's going to happen on August 14th for certain.
Free marketeers are excited; for years many have maintained that silver prices are being manipulated.
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Monday, June 23, 2014
Gold Stocks HUI..What If ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
What a difference two weeks can make in the precious metals markets. Going from a confirmed downtrend to an uptrend, at least on the short term basis, was rather swift and didn’t leave much time for one to reverse direction to get back in sync with the new uptrend. At this time the rally is still in its infancy as there is more work to do but there are some positive things taking place, over the last two weeks, that could show us a major turning point maybe taking place in the precious metals sector. As always it’s one step at a time with each step confirming or not confirming the price action. In this Weekend Report I would like to look at the HUI to see how things have changed over the last two weeks. With that being said the first thing we need to see is a higher low to even consider an uptrend is taking place.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Reflections in a Golden Eye / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Here are a some previously unpublished notes written over the past few months — observations and reflections, some a little lengthy some short and sweet, strictly for the advanced gold owner.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Gold Bugs’ Hearts Are Beating Faster / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: John_Rubino
Last Thursday was the kind of day that precious metals investors have been waiting (and waiting and waiting) for. Gold and silver popped 3.5% and 4.8% respectively and the junior miners, which have been universally unloved lately, took off. Some more-or-less random examples:
Sunday, June 22, 2014
Gold/Silver Ratio Collapsed This Week, But Sits at Bottom of Price Channel / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Simit_Patel
This week we saw gold and silver explode, with both gold and silver closing above the 50 SMA and 200 EMA. This hasn't been the case in silver since February, and since gold in March.
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Sunday, June 22, 2014
LNG: The Long, Strategic Play for Europe / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: OilPrice_Com
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe isn't a get-rich-quick scenario for the impatient investor: It's a long, strategic play for the sophisticated investor who can handle no small amount of politics and geopolitics along the way. When it comes to Europe, Russia's strategy to divide and conquer has worked so far, but Gazprom is a fragile giant that will eventually feel the pressure of LNG.
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Sunday, June 22, 2014
Gold And Silver - Western World Is Upside Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
In a break from a thematic undertone to link to gold and silver, here are some ramblings that are more underpinnings to the core problems that have left people unfocused and dealing with symptoms, no matter how they may seemingly appear to be core issues.
What makes sense any more? In the United States, all one hears in the news is lies, deceit, and propaganda. In the EU, Mario Draghi "dictates" what is [un]real, backed by a host of unelected, non-representative NWO bureaucrats. In the UK, do not know if anyone is really in charge. Regardless, there is no truth being told, in fact, the truth is actively being hidden and/or suppressed. Governments are circling the wagons against people. Banks are being protected, at all costs, literally.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Gold and Silver Chart Comparisons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Austin_Galt
With both gold and silver putting in big moves higher the past week, I thought it would be timely to investigate both charts and see if anything can be gleaned from them. I have used the weekly charts of both commodities to do this. Let's begin with the gold chart.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Cheap Gold Stocks Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold stocks have surged dramatically in recent weeks, defying the odds to catch a serious bid. Extreme bearishness still plagues this sector, which is certainly the most despised in all the stock markets. So why are investors returning? The universally-hated gold stocks are absurdly cheap, easily the greatest bargains anywhere. And after a long year of basing, they are finally breaking out relative to the gold price.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Gold Stocks 2014 Winning Surprise! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Half of 2014 is nearly behind us, and little is turning out as popularly expected. That is unless one was watching development of the past year with an unbiased view. As can be observed in the following chart, the GDX, a Gold stock ETF, has been a stellar performer thus far this year. The return on that ETF has far exceeded that widely available in most of the equity markets, and certainly far more than the NASDAQ, a market filled with Techno/Junk. Part of the reason for that stellar performance is that $Gold, Agri-Food Prices, and oil have all staged nice rallies based on strong demand, which was certainly not anticipated by most of the investment community.
Friday, June 20, 2014
WTI Crude Oil Price on the Move $112 Next Stop / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The energy sector has surged during the last two months which can be seen by looking at the XLE Energy Select Sector Fund. If crude oil continues to climb to the $112 level, XLE will likely continue to rally for another few days or possibly week as energy stocks are considered a leveraged way to play energy price movements.
Friday, June 20, 2014
Precious Metals Investing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jonathan_Davis
The below is Silver. Silver broke up out of its 1st and 2nd hurdles this week. The 2nd is the lower falling trend line, shown.
It is a fair assumption it will close above this line tonight. In other words, it will have a weekly close above Resistance. This is important to the bullish case.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
Firmer Tone in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Following on from last week when Iraq hit the headlines and the price of oil firmed up, gold was steady for the first three trading days. It seemed the shorts just held their breath and hoped Iraq would go away. But with oil prices up yet again yesterday a vicious bear squeeze followed after someone bought over 3,500 gold contracts, driving the price up to just under $1300. Once this level broke at 13.40 New York time, gold jumped a further $15 as stops were triggered.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Peter_Vogal
There has always be manipulation, from the smallest levels (individual professional traders) to large size (Inv.Banks & Hedge Funds) and finally the government/central bank. The point I do not agree with is that they can "ultimately" control any market, even such as gold or silver despite their smaller size. The primary drivers of the markets are currencies and bonds because these are a reflection of the health (or illness) within a country's economy. Sure, even these can be moved by gov't policy changes (and moral suasion)(witness Japanese Yen 2012~2013), but for the most part, the free market forces are just too large for even the gov't to pump hundreds of billions per day to move them. Hence, any large enough change in those markets will eventually create a discrepancy between other related markets and consequently affect the stock and commodity markets around the world. No gov't can possibly stand in front of that train for long. If they could, then why did they let gold go up to $2000 and silver to $50?
Friday, June 20, 2014
Gold And Silver Explode Higher! Finally Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jason_Hamlin
Gold and silver both climbed above key resistance levels today at $1,290 and $20, respectively. Gold shot up $40 or 3.2% and silver was up $0.96 or 4.8% today alone. Most of the stocks in the GSB model portfolio were up 6% or more, while our latest portfolio addition rocketed 15% higher today!