Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 15, 2015
Marc Faber Warns Financial System “Will Implode” - "Hold Precious Metals" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- “Whole Financial System Will One Day Implode” – Marc Faber
- “I feel like I’m on the Titanic …”
- Arguing over the best assets akin to re-arranging deck chairs on Titanic
- Investors need escape plan and “safety boat”
- Forget Fed rate hike, Fed QE 4 is coming
- Diversify and hold “commodities, precious metals”
Monday, June 15, 2015
Ain't No Sunshine When it’s Gone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
At one time I owned shares of the Vanguard 500 index fund. It was highly recommended at the time as the simple no-brainer. Just put your money there, go back to work and don’t think about it. I was marginally satisfied, though not at peace. And that was a long time ago, when silver was like gold; a relic no one cared about or needed.
Recently I got another brush with Vanguard when uncle enthusiastically insisted read John Bogle’s “The Little Book of Common Sense Investing: The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns”.
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Monday, June 15, 2015
Gold Stocks Grueling Bear Market End is Nigh? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
This report will probably be one of the most important posts I’ve made in quite some time. It will require 3 parts to fully present this scenario. I’m going to try and lay out a game plan on how this possible last impulse move down may play out in time and price. One thing I can guarantee you is that there will be no bell going off at the bottom when it finally materializes. The volatility will most likely be very extreme with huge swings back and fourth as the last of the bears sell out to the new bulls. How long that process will play out is anyone’s guess. It may take several months or longer until we see some type of reversal pattern form.
Normally after a hard move down the first bounce off of initial support will be the strongest. It’s like dropping a super ball, the first bounce will be the highest with the subsequent bounces losing steam until it finally comes to rest. These bounces will produce some type of reversal pattern that we should be able to recognize which most likely will be a double bottom or inverse H&S bottom.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
Is Natural Gas A Good Investment Opportunity? / Commodities / Natural Gas
Anyoption writes: When it comes to investment options, everyone has their own opinion with regard to just about any option. However, there are few options in the industry that are as heavily debated as natural gas. Those who think it's a great opportunity point to the low cost, high efficiency and slow growth in comparison to crude oil as a reason that steep inclines are just around the corner. On the other hand, those that are bearish on the commodity argue that prices will be kept low, and most likely decline as the result of the massive amounts of natural gas that are available and being produced. So, which side is right? Well, both of them to an extent. Here's how I see it...Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 13, 2015
Gold And Silver - Elite NWO Checkmate? US Lacks Direction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
We live in a dysfunctional world.
The entire United States media, TV, radio, and print are massive purveyors of misinformation and lies. The truth is not allowed to exist, which is incredibly ironic, for when the public is told the truth, it is not believed for the truth does not reconcile with all of the media-fed lies. Truth is non-existent in politics where lies are protected by the Supreme Court, [if you did not already read it, see Barack Obama - Liar In Chief, Backed By Supreme Court].
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Saturday, June 13, 2015
The Latest Saudi Ploy to Control World Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: From the hundreds of oil benchmark rates used around the world, two set daily have been dominant in determining the prices for the buying and selling of crude. One is Dated Brent, set in London and representing the average price from a basket of North Sea offshore production. The other is West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the grade set in New York.
As I have noted often in Oil & Energy Investor, Brent is applied more often in international trade than WTI. However, both of these benchmarks are better oil grades than well over 80% of all the oil actually traded.
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Saturday, June 13, 2015
Gold Investing Guidebook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By Jared Dillian
“A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a bunch of liars standing next to it.”
I started investing in gold in 2005. Not a bad time, right?
Here’s why I started: I was the ETF trader at Lehman Brothers at the time. A couple of guys came by to talk about this crazy idea they had about a gold ETF. I think one was from the World Gold Council and the other was from State Street. The WGC guy brought along a 10-ounce bar of gold. At the time, it was worth almost $6,000.
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Friday, June 12, 2015
Gold Price Seasonals Bottoming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold remains deeply out of favor, languishing near major lows. Traders are still convinced gold is going nowhere, and want nothing to do with it. But provocatively that’s par for the course in early June, when gold slumps to its most-important seasonal low. Gold’s seasonals are now bottoming, just ahead of the usual major surges in global gold demand coming in late summer and autumn. This is a fantastic time to buy.
Seasonality describes the strong repeating tendencies of some assets’ prices to behave in certain ways at certain times throughout the calendar year. It is driven by consistent changes in supply and demand that are tied to the seasons. Wheat is a great example, as its supply fluctuates considerably based on celestial mechanics. Harvest times naturally yield big new supplies, which tend to drive down prices.
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Thursday, June 11, 2015
Gold and Silver Sentiment Stinks... And That's a Good Sign / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Markets typically bottom out when popular sentiment is negative. And a recent analysis by Bloomberg confirms that the public has all but given up on precious metals. Assets in exchange-traded products tied to metals prices fell to their lowest point since 2009.
While holders of coins and other physical bullion products tend to hang tight during adverse market conditions, holders of derivate instruments are more likely to move in and out of the market – usually at the wrong times.
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Thursday, June 11, 2015
Gold and Silver Capped - The Iron Heel / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
"We discover that the fortunes realized by our manufacturers are no longer solely the reward of sturdy industry and enlightened foresight, but that they result from the discriminating favor of the Government and are largely built upon undue exactions from the masses of our people.
The gulf between employers and the employed is constantly widening, and classes are rapidly forming, one comprising the very rich and powerful, while in another are found the toiling poor.
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Thursday, June 11, 2015
Indian Silver Demand Explodes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- India may absorb as much as one third of total global silver production this year
- Strong demand for silver steadily increasing year by year
- Indian citizens and solar industry take advantage of current low prices in silver
- U.S. silver imports still enormous despite ostensible decline in demand
Thursday, June 11, 2015
Busting The "Canadian Bakken" Shale Oil Myth / Commodities / Crude Oil
The financial pages of Canadian newspapers have been full of headlines lately announcing the potential of two large shale oil fields in the Northwest Territories said to contain enough oil to rival the Bakken Formation of North Dakota and Montana.The report by Canada's National Energy Board (NEB) evaluated, for the first time, the volume of oil in place for the Canol and Bluefish shale formations, located in the territory's Mackenzie Plain. It found the "thick and geographically extensive" Canol formation is expected to contain 145 billion barrels of oil, while the "much thinner" Bluefish shale contains 46 billion barrels.
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Thursday, June 11, 2015
Banning Gold and Silver is So 20th Century / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Banning gold and silver in the United States would be just about as effective for igniting demand as the hints of gun control that follow every tragic school shooting. They are primitive political responses with predictable outcomes equal and opposite to what was intended.
For gold and silver, the best ‘they’ can do now is pretend as though the price is not already under full control. Like whistling past the graveyard for the dollar. Gold left the western mainstream portfolio generations ago.
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Wednesday, June 10, 2015
Gold Bashers – Just For You! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There is no shortage of negative commentary on gold and silver. A quick google search will produce such headlines as:
“Gold is the Worst Investment in History”
“Gold – Bad Investment: 3 Reasons Why I Don’t Buy Bullion”
“Seven Reasons to Hate Gold as an Investment”
“Gold Was a Horrible Investment from 1500 to 1965”
“Gold Has Been a Bad Investment for Many Years”
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Wednesday, June 10, 2015
Americans “Looted” Nazi Gold – Reminder of Gold’s Role in Times of Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Documents uncovered in Washington show American’s seized Nazi gold in last days of war
- Himmler stashed emergency fund of gold and currencies in post office of small Eastern town to protect from bombing of Berlin
- Loot quickly shipped to Frankfurt where trail ends
- Story shows strategic importance of gold in times of crisis
Wednesday, June 10, 2015
What Can We Infer From the Stocks-to-Oil Stocks Ratio? / Commodities / Oil Companies
The beginning of May brought a new 2015 high of $62.58 in crude oil, but we didn’t see a fresh high in case of oil stocks. In the following weeks, crude oil has been trading in a narrow range and erased less than 38.2% of earlier rally. What happened at the same time with the XOI? The index declined sharply and approached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement in the recent days, showing its weakness in relation to light crude. Are there any factors on the horizon that could drive oil stocks higher or lower in the near future? Is it possible that the stocks-to-oil stocks ratio give us valuable clues about future moves?
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Wednesday, June 10, 2015
key Issues Affecting the London Oil Market Today / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Greetings from London, where I am hosting a special three-day event for a special group of subscribers. The sessions follow almost a year of preparation and are introducing a major stimulus to profits from investing in worldwide energy.
You will be hearing more about this approach in the future, so stay tuned.
Today, however, we have an immediate development to consider. The London market is again trying to make sense of events in oil. As I have noted here in Oil & Energy Investor on many occasions, the oil trade in London and the Dated Brent benchmark set here daily are more sensitive to global events than the trade in New York (where the other major benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, is set).
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Wednesday, June 10, 2015
Gold and Silver Trading Alert: Silver Price and Its Signals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, a speculative short position (full) in gold, silver and mining stocks is justified from the risk/reward point of view.
Silver caught the attention of many precious metals traders earlier this year when it outperformed gold in a quite sharp manner and broke above the declining long-term resistance line. Many investors and analysts were cheering and emphasizing silver breakout’s importance and silver’s leadership as something bullish for the precious metals market. We respectfully disagreed. It was the case years ago (!) that silver’s outperformance signaled higher prices for the entire precious metals sector, but it wasn’t the case in the recent history – in fact, exactly the opposite was the case. Several weeks ago we featured the following silver to gold ratio chart (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com):
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Tuesday, June 09, 2015
Have YOU Heard of the 30-Year Commodity Cycle? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Learn about a curious phenomenon in commodity prices
Where are commodity prices headed? Get some answers from Elliott Wave International's Commodity Junctures editor, Jeffrey Kennedy -- and learn about the "30-year cycle."
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Tuesday, June 09, 2015
Silver Price Looks Set for Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
A lot of folks are waxing lyrical about silver, about what a great oversold undervalued investment it is, that is Real Money and how it is leveraged to gold and thus even better etc etc. The only problems are that it happens to be stuck in the same grueling downtrend that has driven it lower and lower for 4 years, and the Commercials are heavily short. Given that the folks waxing lyrical are romantics, and that the Commercials are pragmatists who make money nearly all of the time, you ought to be able to figure from this which side of the equation you should be on. It is not that the romantics are necessarily wrong in their positive assertions regarding silver - their problem would appear to rest with the small matter of timing.
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