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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Reasonable Gold Market Expectations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

The historical record shows that those who get washed out during big corrections miss the greatest buying opportunities of a bull market.

With that as context, what can we expect from gold moving forward? Let's start with the short term…

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

Gold Stocks Bullish Volume / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Even before this week’s latest Fed-tapering scare, gold stocks remained firmly entrenched as the most-hated sector in all the markets.  They are as deeply out of favor as they’ve been in their entire dozen-year secular bull, hyper-oversold and radically undervalued.  Given such epic antipathy, I figured they were also suffering from low trading volume.  Turns out they are, with some surprises, which is a bullish omen.

It’s been several years since I’ve studied gold-stock volume in any depth, and I’ve been growing more curious about it as this year’s massive gold-stock rout wore on.  Trading volume is pretty ambiguous as far as technical indicators go.  While most indicators clearly flag excessive greed or fear, high volume can show both.  Volume tends to surge when traders get excited, when either kind of emotion is running high.

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

Taking the Blinkers off the Gold Analysts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jan_Skoyles

Since the middle of April we have all heard the gold bear cry of ‘it’s over, gold is done with…the bubble has burst.’ But not many of these so-called expert commentators have really looked into the strength of demand in the East.

Jeff Nichols wrote in a note to investors recently that he believed gold bears ‘have a fairly provincial view and limited understanding of gold’s increasingly bullish long-term fundamentals.’ He went onto define ‘provincial’: ‘they are ignoring more than half the world.’

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

Gold and Silver Hit New Lows as CME Hikes Margins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices touched fresh three-year lows Friday at $1269 an ounce before recovering a little by lunchtime in London, as stocks and commodities also regained some ground after sharp falls yesterday.

Spot silver prices fell as low as $19.41 an ounce, as with gold their lowest level since September 2010, before they too recovered a little, as other commodities also ticked higher while the US Dollar weakened slightly.

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

The Best "Bargain" Silver Mining Stocks to Buy Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tim Melvin writes: Precious metals related stocks have been under selling pressure all year, but smart investors are having a field day scooping up some of these best "bargain" silver stocks to buy right now.

Companies that mine gold and silver have seen their stock prices punished as the metals' prices have declined. So far this year gold is down 18% while silver prices have been punished even more severely, falling 28%.

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

Junior Gold Mining Stocks From Distress To Misery For Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

Gold prices have been taking a pounding of late with today’s session on the NYSE witnessing a close of $1277.80/oz, with poor man’s gold, silver, closing at $19.82. The gold Bugs index (HUI) also took it on the chin losing around 7.5%.

With this environment as a back cloth it is understandable that the juniors in this sector also had a torrid time with Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) losing 9.78% to close at $9.32. So it begs the question; is GDXJ now a buy?

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

Gold and Silver - A Great Day to be a Bear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: EWI

In the wee morning hours before dawn on Thursday, June 20, the precious metals' rooster crowed, "*****-a-doodle-DOH!"

It was the ultimate wake-up call:

First, gold prices plummeted 4% then 5% then 6% below $1300 per ounce to their lowest level in nearly three years. Soon, silver followed in an even steeper drop below $20.

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

After the Gold Crash - Summer Rest for the Gods Or Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

After the Fed's gold crash, what might India's Chaturmas mean for prices...?
 
AFTER the import curbs came the Fed. Next will come Chaturmas. Might this 'closed season' for Indian weddings finally stem the subcontinent's frantic gold buying this summer?

It usually does. All Asian gold demand tends to ease off mid-year, but India goes dead quiet, thanks to the lack of auspicious days on the Hindu calendar. 2013's Chaturmas – literal meaning, "four months" – starts in mid-July. Although it starts later and is shorter than in 2012, the shutdown for Indian weddings will still run until early November as the Hindu gods and goddesses enjoy their Yogi Sleep.

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Commodities

Friday, June 21, 2013

How to Profit from Seasonal Energy Cycles / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

For short-term traders, understanding cyclical markets is the key to profits. And with the hottest summer months ahead, natural gas could get a price boost when air conditioners start to hum, says Roger Wiegand, publisher of the Trader Tracksinvestment newsletter. In this interview with The Energy Report, Wiegand shares some promising names for investors who are ready to read the technical charts—and mark their calendars.

 

The Energy Report: How are the supply/demand fundamentals playing out for North American energy resources?

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Commodities

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Will the U.S. Be Able to Dominate the Gold Price Both Ways? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In April the gold price buckled and fell $330, $200 of which took only two days. It was a well-engineered bear raid, initiated by over 400 tonnes of 'short' positions on the COMEX futures and options market. But the futures and options market is not likely to cause the price of gold to fall as only 5% of that market involves the physical delivery of gold and then only after the counterparty has been put on notice that physical delivery of gold is required.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Gold, Silver, Stocks, Bonds Plunge On Fed Noise And China Debt Crisis Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,303.25, EUR 986.34 and GBP 842.38 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,366.00, EUR 1,019.86 and GBP 874.91 per ounce.

Gold fell $16.10 or 1.18% yesterday and closed at $1,351.00/oz. Silver sank to $21.25 and ended down 1.25%.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Gold, Silver Fall to 3 Year Lows as Bernanke Says Fed Could Slow Asset Purchases This Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

SPOT MARKET gold and silver prices fell to their lowest levels since September 2010 Thursday, with gold dropping through $1300 an ounce during London trading and silver falling below $20 an ounce.

Stocks and commodities also fell and the US Dollar strengthened after US Federal Reserve chair Ben Bernanke told a press conference that "the underlying factors are improving" in the US economy, adding that the Federal Open Market Committee could begin to scale back its $85 billion-a-month asset purchases later this year, a process that has become known as 'tapering'.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Gold and Silver Stocks Cold Hard Look at the Unfolding Carnage / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at the charts tonight I just want to make it perfectly clear that I’m not a gold basher or wish for bad things to happen to the precious metals complex. I first found the bull market in the precious metals stocks in the spring of 2002 after having the ride of a lifetime trading the tech stocks up until the spring of 2000 where I cashed out based on a particular chart pattern that told me to either expect a decent consolidation period to begin or it was the end of one of the greatest bull markets in history. It didn’t take long to see a major top had formed and the place to be was on the sidelines. During that great run in the late 1990′s the precious metals stocks were not even close to being on my radar screen. It wasn’t until I looked at a long term chart for gold, in the spring of 2002, that I seen a beautiful inverse H&S base that I couldn’t ignore. I didn’t know anything about the precious metals stocks at that time but with that beautiful H&S base I knew some of the precious metals stocks had to have a bullish look to them as well. I learned about the little juniors that everyone, who was connected to the precious metal complex, were talking about. This was game on for me and I have traded exclusively in the precious metals complex for the last eleven years. The chart patterns that gold, silver and the HUI created during their bull market were some of the most beautiful patterns a chartists like myself could ever expect to see.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Get Ready for Really Cheap Silver Stock Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

It's a jungle out in the silver markets. Investors are holding on for their lives as the price of metals swings to higher highs and lower lows and junior equities bounce along the bottom. In this interview with The Gold Report, David H. Smith, senior analyst at silver-investor.com's The Morgan Report, navigates the jungle by advising which explorers, midtiers, stalwarts and royalties to consider buying in tranches on the way down and selling on the inevitable way up.

 

The Gold Report: David, Silver Investor analyzes the long-term macro trends and specific stock catalysts in the silver market. What do you see as the risk/reward profile over the next 12 to 36 months in the space?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

What Lies Ahead for the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

First, the bad news…

The selling is likely not over. The capitulation process may not be completed. Overall momentum remains down.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

How to Invest in Platinum in 2013 / Commodities / Platinum

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: Anyone following how to invest in platinum this year has noticed the importance of South Africa to this metal's price.

That's because most of the world's platinum supplies come from South Africa. The country produces nearly 70% of the world's platinum and is home to 80% of the world's reserves.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Why the Fed's QE Policy is Bullish for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Most investors have followed what the Fed's QE policy has done to gold, but few realize its impact on oil prices.

Recently, I talked about how crude was beginning to occupy a position as a store of market value ("Why Oil Is Becoming the New 'Gold Standard," May 20, 2013). The development has been a direct consequence of the flight from holding gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Crude Oil Prices Start to Breakout / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following the May 25, 2013 Market Minute titled "Is oil about to breakout to higher levels?", Light crude prices have moved over a resistance level that have contain the commodity for over six months. As this transition is in its early stages, several additional days of price advancement will be required to confirm the breakout. Nevertheless, WTI prices are firming and signals a change in traders attitude toward this commodity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

The Global Race for Shale Natural Gas Development / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Marin_Katusa

Guess who the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) says has 430% more proven gas reserves than the US?

Guess who has twice as much as the US in shale gas technically recoverable?

Guess who has over twice as much proven oil reserves as the US?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Cocoa Investing - Where a Resources Manager is Uncovering a Sweet Find / Commodities / Cocoa

By: Frank_Holmes

After traveling nearly 6,000 miles by plane, helicopter and jeep, Evan Smith, portfolio manager at U.S. Global, is walking along a dirt path in Kenema past dilapidated shops covered with rusted, corrugated metal. He can hardly believe he has arrived at his destination. Surrounded by hundreds of miles of forest and savannah, it's tough to imagine an agricultural diamond-in-the-rough nearby.

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