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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Gold New Year Breakout Signals Strong Gains for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

What a terrific start to the year for gold! When you see a breakout to new highs on the 1st trading day of the year like this for a commodity it normally signals further strong gains as the year continues.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Gold Soars and Global Turmoil and Plans for China Gold Futures Exchange / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Well, according to gold bears gold was supposed to go down.Instead it is going up. Makes no sense, huh? I'm really not a nut to get hung up over the gold price. I merely see the price as a reaction to events happening around us.

Well, another decade is coming soon right around the corner. Seems like the last decade barely got started. Seems like yesterday was 2001 and an entire fresh ten years was before us. And the older we get time seems to go faster and even faster. I remember in 2001 making estimates of where the new decade would take us and where we would be when 2010 came. What has happened these past years?

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Commodities

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Commodity Bull Market Super Cycle - Ready to Rumble on in 2008 / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Gary_Dorsch


Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“A trend in motion, will stay in motion, until some major outside force, knocks it off its course.” After gyrating within a sideways trading range over the past 18-months, the “Commodity Super Cycle,” measured by the Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index, (DJCI), resumed its upward course in the second half or 2007. Led by the agricultural, energy, and precious metal sectors, the DJCI closed at an all-time high.

According to famed hedge-fund trader Jimmy Rogers, the 20th century has seen three secular bull-markets in commodities from 1906-1923, and from 1933-1955, and 1968-1982, spanning an average of 15-years. The current bull market for the DJCI is now six-years old, and Mr Rodgers thinks the “Commodity Super Cycle” has many more years to run, albeit with some nasty corrections along the way.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Buy Gold Whilst Its Still Cheap - US Dollar Doomed / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is almost a “No Comment Necessary” article. Take a good look at this US Dollar Index chart and witness the ominous Head-and-Shoulders pattern beginning to show itself.

Ironically, the flattening red line of the 50 day moving average slices right through the “head” of the formation - precisely at the neck line. An ominous sign, indeed! Not so much from a technical standpoint, of course, but from a symbolic one.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Forecasts 2008: Sinking US Dollars, Gold Record Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Want a racing certainty for the coming year? Central banks everywhere will either cut or hold interest rates, making the currency markets a suck of ever-shrinking real worth..."

WHO CAN REALLY SAY what 2008 will bring?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Natural Gas Gaps Higher / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Natural gas futures are up about 3.5% this morning, strength that is in sympathy with the rest of the commodity complex, such as gold, oil and the euro, which is attracting money flow on this first trading day of 2008. Purely from a technical perspective, let's notice that the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (AMEX: UNG) has started the session (and the year) with a powerful up-gap open, and has continued still higher -- towards a confrontation with the declining 50 DMA, now at 37.98. At this juncture, my work points higher, to a next target zone of 38.00/40.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Gold New Year Rally, Experts Forecast New Record High for Gold in 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET for immediate delivery rose strongly in Asia early Wednesday, gaining more than 1% to recover Monday's two-month highs and recording an AM Fix of $840.75 per ounce as London re-opened for business after the New Year's holiday.

In Tokyo the Nikkei stock index dropped 1.6% on the first trading day of 2008, while Chinese stocks ended the session almost 1% lower.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Gold Investments 2007 Review and 2008 Forecasts / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold Price Review
Gold closed 2007 at $834.50 per ounce. Gold closed at a new monthly high close (and near record annual high and all time non inflation adjusted high) as investors again sought the safe haven appeal of gold. And with the dollar falling sharply again (last week recording its worst week against the euro in more than a year) – precious metals were well supported.

Gold had a weekly gain of 3.3%. The year-on-year gain was a very healthy 32%. Gold´s gain was the largest annual gain since 1979 (when its price doubled) and its seventh straight year of positive returns. Gold thus outperformed the majority of the world´s major stock markets once again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 01, 2008

Gold Beats the Stock Market for 2007 - The Baby Boomers Effect / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGOLD WINS! PAPER EQUITIES LOSE! The headlines for investing in 2007, and the previous ten years, can now be written. Forget all the other drivel about what happened in the markets in 2007. Gold won! That's all you really need to know. Gold beat paper equities for the one year, for the five years, and for the past ten years. Absolutely no way purveyors of paper equities can paper over their miserable performance.

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Commodities

Monday, December 31, 2007

Golden Resource Review 2007 and Forecast for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Neil_Charnock

Gold has closed at a record high this year – in Australia the junior index has outperformed the emerging producers and larger producers as predicted in my published articles. These were the most undervalued of all stocks on the Australian Stock Exchange – the ASX. As we close this year I see significant under valuation across the resource sector here – and I see a record Australian Dollar gold price of over $950 per ounce.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 30, 2007

Gold Strongly Bullish Going into 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Boy, you take a few days off and all hell breaks loose. Gold seems ready for new highs and the US $ for new lows. Let's take a quick look.

U.S. Dollar Index
No fundamental stuff here, just the facts. Let's take a little tour as to where the $ has been and see if there is any indication of it coming to a halt anytime soon.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 30, 2007

Gold and Silver Super Breakout into 2008! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The move from a triangle e should be a powerful thrust that breaks out of the triangle. Though Friday's action began strongly, it stalled in the afternoon leaving the wxy alternate still valid. We'll know very soon which count is invalidated … it will take an impulsive thrust above $823 next week in the front month futures contract to rule out the triangle fake out. Silver also had a strong week, moving back above $14, but failed to win back all of last week's losses. Friday's rally failed to take out the previous day's high and closed back below the 50-day sma.” ~ Precious Points: Bull Trap in Gold? December 22, 2007

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Commodities

Friday, December 28, 2007

Challenges Facing Ethanol During 2008 / Commodities / Ethanol

By: David_Urban

Ethanol has been beaten down in the press lately as firms that rushed into the market are faced with high raw material prices and low market acceptance. Early on in the boom farmers who invested in ethanol plants reaped enough profits to pay off their investments in just a few years. As speculators saw the profit potential; they rushed in hoping for massive gains and created an inflationary spiral in the corn market. Corn prices more than doubled; causing riots in Mexico where corn is a basic foodstuff and creating a situation where farmers stopped producing other crops and switched to corn. In the last year, cotton has lost 30% of its acreage as farmers switched from cotton to corn.

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Commodities

Friday, December 28, 2007

Base Metals 2008 Trend Determined by LME Stock Piles - Copper, Zinc, Nickel, Lead and Aluminum / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom their lows in the early 2000s, base metals prices have soared to achieve highs in the last couple years that many would have thought unheard of. Traders that were long in both the futures and the stocks of the mining companies that bring these metals to market have seen legendary gains.

This rapid appreciation of base metals prices has been undergirded by rock-solid fundamentals. Asia 's modernization and industrialization is commanding massive commodities inflows. And to support its insatiable appetite for base metals in particular, an economic imbalance has crept into these markets that has simply caught the world off guard. These industrial metals that go into the infrastructural and mechanical web of global growth have seen supply greatly lag fast-rising demand.

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Commodities

Friday, December 28, 2007

Continuation of Commodities Bull Markets During 2008 - Stocks to rise on Inflation / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA New Ballgame  - Summary and Conclusions

Almost unanimously, the indicator charts are signalling the imminent emergence of a new ballgame. Commodities in general, and oil and gold in particular have already broken up, whilst the Industrial Equity Indices and the US Dollar are showing nail biting indecision.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 27, 2007

Gold 2008 - Increasing Appeal as Inflation Hedge / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Gold continues to do best what gold does…keep people in suspense.

24 hour Gold from Kitco.comUp and down and even sideways it seems so goes the price. But it is really not the price that is important. It is the message it portrays that is the most important. Gold is a pillar in financial society. I thought I would include a graph the last trading day before Christmas. I am bringing it to attention because so many disappointingly try to predict the direction of the gold price.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 27, 2007

Crude Oil Forecast 2008 to Hit $150 a Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: In 2008, we're going to hit an important milestone. In the New Year the world is going to start using oil at a rate of more than 1,000 barrels PER SECOND!

According to the International Energy Agency, global oil demand will average 87.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2008, up from 85.7 million bpd in 2007. At 87.8 million bpd, we'll use 1,016 barrels per second — a sonic boom of energy use.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 27, 2007

Gold Forecast 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a December 2004 interview with the Wall Street Journal, I predicted $525 for gold's high in 2005. It hit that $525 level the following December. For 2006, once again in a Wall Street Journal interview, I predicted a "breakout year" for gold with a top price of $760. Its actual breakout high came earlier in the year than I had anticipated (in May) and a bit lower than I had predicted -- in the $730 range (intraday Comex). In January, 2007, when gold was trading in the $625 range, in a forecast published in a NewsGroup Market Update through our USAGOLD website, I made $715 my minimum upside target and suggested that gold could hit the $800 level, or go as high as $875 if tensions escalated in the Persian Gulf; or if the quid pro quo with China broke down; or if the new Congress proved as anti-market as advertised; or if we got some surprises. Gold hit $840 in November and is trading at the $810 level as this is written.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

The Best and Worst Commodity Performers of 2007 and Outlook for 2008 / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: George_Kleinman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe S&P 500 began 2007 at 1,428. On Friday, Dec. 21, it closed at 1,498 for a respectable, if unexciting, 4.9 percent return for the year.

Were there better places to be over this past year? You bet.
When trading futures, we use leverage. In many cases, all that's required is a 5 percent margin deposit of a contract's value. Under this scenario, just a 5 percent raw price move results in a 100 percent return on the initial margin deposit.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Contracting Credit Cycle and Monetary Debasement During 2008 Equals Commodities Super Cycle / Commodities / Money Supply

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Need For Speed – Part Deux : The credit crunch continues to worsen , where very soon attempting to paper over all problems with more derivatives and bailouts will no longer work, and authorities will be compelled to increase currency (just another derivative) debasement rates to higher thresholds around the world. Correspondingly then, and as was the case in the early to mid-80's to stimulate the US economy, expect Money At Zero Maturity (MZM) growth rates to top 40-percent in coming days as authorities are forced to monetize increasing bank failures and facilitate ‘price stability'. The technical underpinnings associated with this condition can be viewed here in Figure 6 , where if history is a good guide, year-over-year growth should continue to accelerate higher in coming days.

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