Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Price Pullback, Time to Sell? Or Buy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
I had one of those days. You know how sometimes you’re just humming along in your car in the zone… green lights at every intersection… slow-pokes in front of you moving to the slow lane before you lose patience and honk… just generally it’s as if the sea has parted for your journey.
Today was the opposite. It was like an obstacle course. I was expending twice the energy to get the usual amount of work done.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Bump and Run Reversal, How Low Can Gold Go on a Correction? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is in the second phase of a Bump-and-Run Reversal Top pattern, which typically occurs when excessive speculation drives prices up steeply, and is now at a critical juncture where substantially lower prices could be realized. Let me explain.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Versus Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold versus Gold stocks. A topic near and dear to my heart. One that I have studied relentlessly for the past several years. I am no mining expert. I am not the one that can point you to the next "ten bagger" in the junior mining sector. But I have been right in insisting that my subscribers favor Gold over Gold stocks and I continue to favor Gold (and silver) over the companies that dig these metals out of the ground. This is sector analysis, not an individual firm analysis.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Correction UnderWay, Buy Back in at $1600 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Yesterday we witnessed the mother of all head fakes. The ishares ETF GLD was unbelievably overbought. We began Tuesday with the spot price of gold at $1900.00 and more telling the RSI was at 80. This is “nosebleed territory” This correction which I wrote about on Tuesday was long overdue. Since the 1st of July gold has run up in a parabolic move. There was a two day pullback in Mid August when the CME raised margin requirements 22%. That slowed down gold for two whole days. Well today, for the second day in a row, gold dropped another $104.00 to close at $1757.30. There was no news that drove the price down. I believe it was a healthy and expected correction that as I have said was long overdue. The RSI as I mentioned was at 80 and dropped to 54.34. I expect we may get another drop tomorrow but that should do it. I have written that I was looking for a correction to $1600.00 - $1650.00 and another 100 point drop tomorrow will put us right in the sweet spot for another continued run up.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Transaction Volume Lifting Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Behind the meteoric rise in silver prices might be the European banking crisis, or it may be Ben Bernanke’s next Federal Reserve meeting. Though the headlines promote one very basic idea—a catalyst necessarily drives prices in the financial markets—transactions must take place for silver prices to move. It now appears that the catalyst has a driving force: the American public.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold, the Dollar and the Failure of Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The U.S. Fed and Congress want to see a far weaker dollar against all other currencies but can't see it because of the structure of the currency system!
In the last two weeks we have seen the strongest and most respected currencies being purposely weakened by their own central banks. It is at times like these, when the going gets tough that national monetary priorities are fully exposed. There are major dangers in these policies because of the role that currencies have played since gold was written out of the monetary system in the early seventies. Then the role of currencies was broadened to include: -
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Discovering Bargain Basement Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If gold equities are on sale, the stocks Carlos Andres follows as publisher of the Frontier Research Report are on clearance. Andres seeks out stocks that have been unfairly pummeled, offering extra upside for investors. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Andres identifies some top picks trading at insanely low prices that belie their quality management and mining projects.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Pure Media Bias / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Bloomberg News has been cheered in recent months for several ‘movements’ in quasi-honest reporting, most notably a recent article on the $1.2 Trillion (at a bare minimum) that went to the global aristocracy from the US fed at the height of the 2008 financial crisis. The very fact that this slice of men without a country profited so insanely from the crisis should give most people are pretty good idea of how contrived the crisis was to begin with.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Gold Fear, Greed Mania / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
By Jeff Clark, Casey Research : Is the mania here?
When most investors hear the word “mania” they think of a runaway market induced by greed. You know, that animal-like instinct we all occasionally feel, the one promising riches from a market on a rip-roaring tear.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
HUI GOLD Stocks vs Bank Of America / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has reached an all-time high well over $1900 yesterday, so the Gold bugs have reason to celebrate. Or, at least the physical gold bulls (like mr. Paulson, who is the biggest shareholder of the GLD ETF). Not the gold stock bulls: while the GLD ETF is up almost 25% since January 1st (even after the sell-off on Tuesday and Wednesday), the HUI index is actually DOWN over the same period.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Why Did Gold and Silver Price Fall? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It was an ugly day for precious metals (NYSE:DBP). On Tuesday, gold (NYSE:GLD) and silver (NYSE:SLV) both fell as the Dow (NYSE:DIA) gained the most points in two weeks. Gold dropped the most in a year after reaching a new nominal high of $1917.90 per ounce. Silver also declined and reached a session low of $41.50 before rebounding back above $42. Since gold and silver often play off each other, let’s take a closer look at gold as it provides a clear reason for the pullback.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Germany May Want PIIGS Gold as Security for ‘Bailouts’, Merkel’s Officials in Damage Limitation Mode / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All major currencies are lower against gold today with the Japanese downgrade and concerns about global growth taking their toll on Asian stock markets. While European indices have eked out gains, some selling of peripheral European debt has been seen again and yields on German bunds have risen.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
The Old Faithful Peak Oil Debate / Commodities / Crude Oil
It is a well known refrain: Peak Oil is always now ! The problem is that nobody noticed, because oil prices are so high and demand growth is almost zero. The ongoing and real economic recession in almost all OECD countries more than "trims" oil demand in these countries, still taking about 45 million barrels a day (Mbd) on a world total demand of about 89 Mbd, depending on estimates, which easily range through + or - 2 Mbd, and vary even more than that for seasonal variations.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold to Roubini: $21,500 Ker-Pow! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Squint hard enough at the Nasdaq Bubble, and apparently you can see the future of gold...
The GREAT SAGE HIMSELF – seer of the financial crisis, gloom-n-doomster extraordinaire – Nouriel Roubini thinks today's gold investors are "sheep or lemmings".
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold and Interest Rates, More than Joined at the Hip / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
“Interest rates to remain at zero for the next two years.” Those were the words of Fed Chair - Sir Benjamin of Bernanke last week. With inflation beginning to pick-up – the notion that rates would remain at zero for a prolonged period of time seems “paradoxical” to conventional economic thought. There have been other misunderstood ‘paradoxes’ in economics in modern times. Here’s how Wikipedia explains the relevance of this famous benchmark in economics:
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold and Silver Are Soaring Amidst Global Fears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
While the markets may be breathing a sigh of relief with the Dow (NYSE:DIA) up 37 points on Monday, gold (NYSE:GLD) and silver (NYSE:SLV) are signaling more problems await the global financial system. On Monday, gold and silver continued to rally after last week’s impressive gains. Furthermore, Citigroup (NYSE:C) and Hugo Chavez continue to fuel precious metals (NYSE:DBP) higher.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
The Manganese Market, a New Economic Growth Barometer? / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Manganese's many uses in infrastructure and building materials make its market a strong barometer for gauging the world economy. Soaring growth in countries like China and India has led to high global demand. In this exclusive interview for The Critical Metals Report, Helen O'Malley, a bulk manganese specialist with CRU International in London, discusses how manganese prices are closely tied to the economy and, in contrast to exchange-traded base metals, overwhelmingly determined by supply and demand.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold Stocks Debt Crisis Investing, Exiting the Eye of the Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
[Ed. note: This is an interview of Doug Casey by Louis James, both of Casey Research.]
Louis James: So, Doug: London has suffered more damage from recent rioting than from anything else since the Blitzkrieg; the stock market had its most volatile week in years; gold shot well north of $1,800; and the U.S. government almost crashed into its debt ceiling. Smells like blood in the streets. What does a street fighting man like you make of all this?
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold Eyes $2,000, Is it a Bubble Ready to Burst? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Even the most avid gold bugs, who’ve been stockpiling vast quantities of the barbaric metal for decades, and endured their fair share of panic shakeouts, were probably in a surreal state of “shock and awe,” while watching the price of the yellow metal soar to within 1% of the psychological $2,000 /oz level this week. It’s as if somebody launched a rocket on the Fourth of July. Since then, the price of gold has soared $400 /oz, zooming higher in a parabolic pattern. After all the bullish chatter on the blogosphere over the past decade, Gold, - the so-called barbaric metal, has triumphed over the stock peddlers on Wall Street.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Gold Reaches $1,913.50, Smart Money Moving into Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All major currencies are higher against gold today including the US dollar, despite the dollar falling on international markets.
Gold reached new record nominal highs at $1,913.50/oz overnight and profit taking and traders nervous about potential margin increases have led to a 1% fall in dollar terms today. Gold has fallen by more in euro and sterling.
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