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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Why Global Gold Accumulation is Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

"Lenin was certainly right, there is no more positive, or subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency...The process engages all of the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner that not one man in a million is able to diagnose." -- John Maynard Keynes

Neither Keynes nor Lenin would have envisioned currency debasement on a global basis yet that is exactly where we find ourselves today. As mentioned in last month's The Gold Owners Guide to 2013, it is as if John Law had been reincarnated simultaneously in every major nation state in the world. At this stage, it is difficult to gauge the potential effects though, as you are about to read, there is plenty of speculation. Though the price of gold remained range bound this past January, global demand for coins and bullion has been anything but restrained. The U.S. Mint reports the highest monthly sales ever for the Silver Eagle in January and the highest monthly total for the Gold Eagle in over two years. Similarly ETF gold holdings are up about 12% since last August reflecting strong interest among financial institutions and funds. Though Keynes was right about currency debasement, he missed the mark on the public's ability to identify the problem. Apparently, a good many understand the problem all too well.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Why Buy Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

■Silver has no counter-party risk. It is not someone else's liability. Silver Eagles or Canadian Silver Maple Leaf coins are recognized around the world and have intrinsic value everywhere. The same is NOT true for hundreds of paper currencies that have become worthless, usually because the government or central bank printed them to excess to pay the debts of governments that did not control spending.

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Commodities

Monday, February 04, 2013

The Bernanke Shock, Where is Germany's Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

The financial world was shocked this month by a demand from Germany's Bundesbank to repatriate a large portion of its gold reserves held abroad. By 2020, Germany wants 50% of its total gold reserves back in Frankfurt - including 300 tons from the Federal Reserve. The Bundesbank's announcement comes just three months after the Fed refused to submit to an audit of its holdings on Germany's behalf. One cannot help but wonder if the refusal triggered the demand.

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Commodities

Monday, February 04, 2013

Gold Reaches 155,180 Yen/oz - New Record In Japanese Yen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,664.25, EUR 1,224.52, and GBP 1,057.47 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,665.00, EUR 1,217.99, and GBP 1,052.46 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.57/oz, €23.37/oz and £20.17/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,701.00/oz, palladium at $754.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

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Commodities

Monday, February 04, 2013

Gold Market Retreat Good in the Long Term / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

WHOLESALE MARKET gold prices hovered just below $1665 per ounce Monday morning in London, having failed to hold onto gains in earlier Asian trading, as stocks and commodities also ticked lower along with the Euro, which retreated from recent highs following news of a political scandal in Spain.

Silver erased most of Friday's gains this morning, dropping below $31.60 an ounce.

The gold price in Euros meantime regained some ground this morning as the Euro fell against the Dollar. Last Friday, gold in Euros dropped to its lowest level since May last year as Euro-Dollar touched a 14-month high.

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Commodities

Monday, February 04, 2013

Wheat Commodity Analysis - A Technical Treatise For All Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Michael_Noonan

What could wheat possibly have in common with gold/silver, or the S&P, or interest rates? When put into chart form, they are all the same: Bars that show highs, lows, closes, and volume. Market psychology affects all players, regardless of market. The factors of fear and greed are no different in a wheat trader than for a silver, S&P or interest rate trader, even stock investors.

The corollary to the above is that precious metals and/or S&P traders also think they have nothing in common with grain traders. All miss the point. Profit/loss opportunity, which is what the market provides, is the exact same across the board. Markets are neutral! They do not care what is being traded nor by whom. All markets do is reflect back what the collective is doing, be it in wheat, silver, cotton, stocks, you name it.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Will American Rightists Turn Fascists? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_T_Bucci

From the perspective of a person born in the 1940s, America is thoroughly right-wing. President Obama has achieved the miraculous: he has radicalized his constituents to the Right while maintaining their delusions of being liberals, Democrats and progressives. But should the right-wing continue to move farther rightward, it can only move to one place: FASCISM!

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Copper – Upside Breakout. Gold/Silver To Follow? / Commodities / Copper

By: Michael_Noonan

The unshiny metal may be outshining its other metal cousins as its price has an upside
breakout. As with any potential move, it remains potential until confirmed by the next
successful retest. This is true for any move in any market. Confirmation is a critical and
overlooked aspect in price activity. While there is no clear correlation between copper,
relative to gold and silver, there is an occasional lag/lead aspect to them, and it may be
that if this upside breakout holds, it can only help gold and silver.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Germany Repatriates Its Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Thorsten_Polleit

On Wednesday, January 16 the German Central Bank (i.e., Bundesbank) announced that it was going to repatriate some of its gold reserves currently being held at the New York Fed and all of its gold reserves held by the Banque de France. It had previously repatriated 940 of the 1385 tons of its gold reserves held at the Bank of England, citing high storage fees as the reason (the New York Fed and the Banque of France charge no such fees). Three-hundred-and-seventy-four metric tons will be trucked from Paris to Frankfurt, representing 11 percent of its reserves, and 300 metric tons will be shipped from New York. By 2020, the plan is to have 50 percent of its reserves held in Frankfurt. Germany has the second largest stock of gold next to the US and has not bought or sold gold since 1973.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Gold And Silver - Pushing On A String Amidst A Shaky Environment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

The January monthly charts are now complete. Not sure that anything new can be learned, but it is always worth looking, never presuming anything. Remember, the point of reading developing market activity is to make factual observations of the information that the market is generating.

The information takes the form of highs and lows for successive bars, over any/all time frames, where price closed, [telling us who won the battle for that bar], along with volume, the energy/effort of each bar. It reflects the bottom-line decision-making of all participants, but our interest is learning what smart money, [those who control/ influence the market the most], is saying in their net decisions, for they always try to mask their intent. Their "fingerprints" are all over the market, usually in the form of high volume days, for it is not the public that generates high volume. We proceed:

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Many Key Resources Have No Security of Supply / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Richard_Mills

The truth, in regards to the world's mineral resources, is that we in the western developed countries are not in control of supply. The map below was posted on reddit.com. While interesting it does not reveal the enormity facing the western world in regards to Security of Supply for many of our key minerals.

"The spectre of resource insecurity has come back with a vengeance.The world is undergoing a period of intensified resource stress, driven in part by the scale and speed of demand growth from emerging economies and a decade of tight commodity markets. Poorly designed and short-sighted policies are also making things worse, not better. Whether or not resources are actually running out, the outlook is one of supply disruptions, volatile prices, accelerated environmental degradation and rising political tensions over resource access." Chatham House, Resources Futures

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Commodities

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Head & Shoulder Tops in Gold and Silver Stocks ..Is the Fat Lady Singing ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Submissions

Rambus writes: In the weekend report we looked at some of the precious metals stock indexes that are showing some massive H&S topping patterns. These type of patterns are distribution patterns and the bigger they are the bigger the move down in time and price. Could these massive topping patterns be the end of the bull market for the precious metals stocks? I think on a one or two year basis these H&S topping patterns could put a big dent in the bull market for the precious metals stocks if the necklines are broken to the downside which remains to be seen yet.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 02, 2013

America's Modern-Day Nevada Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

These days, monetary policy moves stock prices more than economic data releases, says Mike Niehuser, founder of Beacon Rock Research. While the potential for higher gold prices is compelling, the decline in the number of discoveries and grades of resources makes mining stock selection intriguing. Niehuser has scoped out jurisdictions and finds the stars are aligning to put Nevada on top. In this interview with The Gold Report, Niehuser shares the names of companies that he feels have the right stuff.

 

The Gold Report: Now that the election is in the rearview mirror and we are well into the new year, what are your thoughts about gold prices and mining stocks for 2013?

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Commodities

Saturday, February 02, 2013

Gold Long-term Outlook 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved sideways for the last six weeks, with each rally and correction sparking either new hopes or new fears about the yellow metal. But focusing on such short-term volatility can rarely bring any good when it comes to long-term investments. That's one of the things that we often stress - one should always analyze the market form different perspectives and keep in mind their order of importance. This week we will focus on the long term.

Another thing, that we have already mentioned, is that such universal commodities, traded on many exchanges and in many currencies, like gold ought to be assessed taking other currencies into consideration. Hence, to get a clearer, distilled from the short-term noise picture of the situation in gold, today we will focus mostly on long- and medium-term charts, as well as on the yellow metal priced in currencies other than the U.S. dollar.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 02, 2013

Gold Stocks Biggest Buying Opportunity in 25 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Investment_U

Mike Kapsch writes: Don’t look now but gold stocks are cheap, really cheap.

Just take a look at this chart:

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Commodities

Friday, February 01, 2013

Global Silver-Mining Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Over the course of silver’s secular bull, the miners have steadily increased production in order to meet fast-growing demand.  And in 2012 mine production exceeded 24k metric tons (770m+ ounces), an all-time production high and 28% increase over 2001.  As an investor interested in silver’s structural fundamentals, this rapid growth begs a question.  Where in the world is this silver coming from?

In our modern information age we can ask questions like this and easily find the answer.  And we need look no farther than the data provided by the U.S. Geological Survey.  The USGS is a global authority in collecting, analyzing, and disseminating information on both domestic and international mineral supply and demand.  And for silver it dutifully provides annual detailed country-level mine production data.

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Commodities

Friday, February 01, 2013

JPMorgan Forecasts Gold $1,800 By Mid 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,665.00, EUR 1,217.99, and GBP 1,052.46 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,674.50, EUR 1,234.88, and GBP 1,058.47 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.45/oz, €23.12/oz and £19.93/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,680.50/oz, palladium at $745.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

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Commodities

Friday, February 01, 2013

End of an Era for Gold as Stock Market Records Best January Since 1997 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

THE U.S. DOLLAR gold price recovered some of its losses from the previous day Friday, edging higher to $1666 an ounce by the end of the morning in London, while most stock markets also edged higher ahead of US nonfarm payrolls data due out 08.30 Washington, DC time.

A day earlier, gold dropped 1% during Thursday's US session, in what one analyst describes as "a remarkable display of schizophrenic volatility".

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Commodities

Friday, February 01, 2013

Gold Stocks Final Bottom Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In my articles you've heard me talk about accumulating on weakness, buying support, being patient and waiting for better opportunities. Folks, this next week is one of those opportunities. The mining stocks have been a disaster if you've invested in the average fund, GDX or GDXJ. If you've invested in the wrong stocks, they've been a total disaster and you now hate the sector forever. We've certainly been surprised by this protracted struggle. However, the gold shares are set to test a major bottom and could be on the cusp of a major reversal which could begin as soon as next week.

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Commodities

Friday, February 01, 2013

Stock Market Rally Should Boost Discounted Rare Earth and Uranium Miners / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Jeb_Handwerger

I notice with interest that the popular media is ignoring the World Trade Organization case against China for restricting exports of critical materials (REMX). This reduction of supply of the critical metals has a significant impact on the global economy.

These critical metals are not only crucial for your iPads and smartphones, but for our top secret, most advanced weaponry. Looking for substitutes for rare earths has proven to be a poor return on investment. For 50 years, they have been trying to find alternatives, only to find out that the chemical characteristics of rare earths are inimitable.

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