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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2015

Silver Price Green Light / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Silver looks like it has bottomed and will move substantially higher.  Why?

Long Term – 25+ years:  Examine the silver to gold ratio since 1990.  The ratio is currently low and appears to have bottomed.  Silver bottoms when the ratio bottoms.  Expect a multi-year rally.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 16, 2015

Can the Fed Really Print Money? What Would Negative Interest Rates Do? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Most people believe the Fed can print money. Caught on tape, former Fed chair Ben Bernanke once admitted the Fed prints money.

However, in Hoisington's Third Quarter 2015 Review, economist Lacy Hunt makes the claim the Fed cannot print money. Let's take a look, emphasis mine.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 16, 2015

Stock Markets Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have turned precisely at 9:34 am, 86 market hours after it reversed from its low on September 29. There was a combined PC/TC low due on October 1, so the bottom was 2 days early. It is possible that the perception that SPX could not make a new low that drove the buyers back into the market at the end of September. Once it took hold, the market took off.

Sunday is scheduled as a Primary Cycle high, so the turn is expected. Despite the aggressive nature of the call, you may wish to go 50% to as much as 100% short at this juncture. The market may linger her for the rest of this morning, but I don’t think that the retail options will do as well as the Index option fared this morning.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, October 16, 2015

Donald Trump on Yellen, Clinton Sanders and Having World Leaders Call Him / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Bloomberg

Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump sat down with host Stephanie Ruhle on Bloomberg TV's new flagship morning program, Bloomberg <GO> at Trump Towers in midtown Manhattan. In a wide-ranging interview, Trump discussed China, diplomacy, tech valuations, social security, corporate taxes, campaign finance, and defended his tax plan against criticism from John Kasich. He spoke about Janet Yellen, Carl Icahn, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren.

On Janet Yellen's decision to delay hiking interest rates Trump said: "I think she's a very political person...what she's doing, and I'm sure that with the blessing of the president, because he doesn't want to have a recession or worse in his administration. Get him out of here, let him go to my golf courses - because I'm sure he'll be playing because I have the best golf courses, by the way and I have the best one in Washington - But he's going to go play golf and somebody's going to suffer... You know what they're doing, Janet Yellen, for political reasons, is keeping the interest rate so low that the next guy, the poor person who takes over as president could have a real problem because this is a political thing."

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2015

Gold's Inflection Point and Asset Allocation with Butler and O'Byrne / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Gold’s Outlook For Year End 2015 and In 2016

- Gold’s Performance in the Coming Years: 2016-2020

- Coming Global Currency Reset

- Asset Allocation – How Much Gold?

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Politics

Friday, October 16, 2015

Censoring Books is Suppressing Freedom of Expression / Politics / Social Issues

By: Walter_Brasch

The Frankfurt Book Fair is the world’s largest trade convention for publishers and vendors.

This year, the six-day convention, which ends Sunday, brought more than 7,400 exhibitors from 100 countries. Attendance was more than 300,000.

But, hundreds of Iranian publishers, editors, and printers didn’t attend.

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2015

Gold Stocks: Different This Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

The title does not include a (?) after it and that is for a reason.  The gold sector’s fundamentals, both sector-specific and macro, are improving and this was not the case during the last exciting upturn in the sector circa summer 2014.

Back then, everything from Russia’s move into Ukraine to the Ebola scare were imagined to be sound drivers of the gold price.  This stuff proved, as expected, to be wrong when the whole complex made new lows in November of 2014 (prior to this year’s ultimate lows).

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2015

Gold Holdings in GLD ETF Continue to Climb / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

A quick update on GLD for the readers and by request…

GLD reported another nice build in reported gold holdings today – about 5 tons. That comes on the heels of a nice increase the previous day of some 7+ tons.

Since October 1, gold holdings have climbed from 689.2 tons to 700 tons. While not a huge build, nonetheless, this is what one wants to see if the gold price is moving higher as it shows investment demand from Western-based investors.

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2015

Gold Companies That Create Extra Value Will Always Reward Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Even in the worst resource market in history, companies with good management teams can increase in value. In this interview with The Gold Report, U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes talks about whether this is the right time to get back into gold, and Portfolio Manager Ralph Aldis reports on the performance of companies in the portfolio and shares some of the names in Australia that have done so well he almost feels guilty about how easy it is to make money off them.

The Gold Report: A number of thought leaders in the larger investing community have come out lately in favor of gold. How do you know it is time to move into the resource?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 16, 2015

The Most Important Thing in the World / Stock-Markets / Taxes

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

As I write this, I am watching the Mets play the Dodgers and not watching the Democratic debate. I can catch the highlights on Twitter. I am half expecting someone to propose a tax rate of over 100%.

Something I’m sure will be suggested at some point is a financial transactions tax, a tiny tax placed on every single financial transaction: stocks, bonds, and derivatives.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Stock Market Bearish Topping Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Another Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be forming. Whether it makes a new high or not, it appears to be valid and has a potential target of 1532.00.

A reversal here that has not formed a new high has a 65% probability of follow through to the downside as it reverses from the top. Those are fair odds for a short position, although I would still call it an aggressive one. The odds of failure of this formation drop to 4% beneath the lower trendline at 1985.32. That corresponds to the 50-day Moving Average, where the sell signal in SPX would be confirmed.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 15, 2015

How to Profit From America’s Growing Natural Gas Reserves / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Investment_U

David Fessler writes: Once every two years, a little-known committee conducts a very important study. The Potential Gas Committee (PGC) estimates how much natural gas we can recover from U.S. deposits.

Currently, the U.S. uses 26.7 trillion cubic feet (tcf) each year. That’s a lot of gas. Fortunately, the PGC’s 2014 year-end estimate for recoverable gas is 2,515 tcf... or 2.5 quadrillion cubic feet.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 15, 2015

What the 'Junk-Bond Crisis' Means for Muni Bonds / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: DW

Dr. David Eifrig writes: It could happen next week... or next month...

Wall Street is already sending warning signals about the next financial cataclysm. Analysts are using phrases like "liquidity crunch" and "crisis situation."
 
I'm talking about the impending crisis in high-yield ("junk") corporate bonds. When this crisis happens, some investors will get wiped out... while others will make a killing...
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 15, 2015

The Third Wave of the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Massive artificial stock, bond wealth will be looking for a place to go. By the time Goldman Sachs published its widely referenced warning of a third wave in the global financial crisis (mid October), the physical precious metals' markets were already feeling the strain of very strong demand against a rapidly dwindling supply. China, the country seemingly at the epicenter of the developing emerging market crisis, by itself had taken 911 tonnes of gold off the market in the first half of 2015 – a number when annualized that represents nearly two-thirds of the world's mine production. India, another of the so-called BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) was a strong second at 400-500 tonnes. In the Occident, gold demand was strong, but silver demand was even stronger. Global mints were reporting off-the-charts demand for silver bullion coins. Coin premiums were on the rise in extremis at one point reaching almost $6 per ounce on the popular silver American Eagle.

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 15, 2015

The "Personality" of Stock Market Waves / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Are movements in the markets just prices or is there more to it?

Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video by EWI's Wayne Gorman to learn more about the psychology behind the waves and how it affects your investment decisions.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Are The Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) On The Verge of a Major Breakout at $23? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Junior gold miners may be on the verge of a major breakout past three month highs after The Federal Reserve continues to push back interest rate increases. There is a stealth rally underway for junior miners as gold tests resistance after bouncing off its lows in late July. Investors appear to be rotating from the Dow into precious metals as investors may be anticipating even greater easing efforts globally due to China's recent weakness and Yuan devaluation. This could continue to push precious metals, the large miners such as Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX) and mid-tiers such as Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) higher. The fear of rate increases that pushed precious metals down is decreasing. The recent rally in precious metals and junior miners may be just beginning as I expect to see increased mergers and acquisitions off of these depressed low prices.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Gold Surprise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

The surprises are going to the upside for gold, and that is obviously a change in behavior. The miners are roaring higher and are outside of their Bollinger Bands for multiple days, a sure sign of strength. Up until very recently, the Investor Cycle had showed us relatively little to get excited about. But suddenly, eleven weeks into the Cycle and right where you would have expected it to turn lower, gold has found yet another gear.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 15, 2015

GBPAUD: More Gains Are In Sight / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

We have seen deep three wave decline in on GBPAUD from August highs that can be now coming to an end after recent nice turn up from 2.0785 area. Notice that there was a triangle in wave (B) so recent leg down must be wave (C) final wave within a corrective move. That said, our view is bullish now, so be aware of more gains ahead, especially after 2.1305 is broken. We are tracking this one for longs.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 15, 2015

U.S. Dollar, Currency Markets Trend Forecasts Update / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: David_Petch

I thought I would do a deeper dive to revisit the currencies and US Dollar again, because there are a lot of comments out in cyberspace and the general media about how things are not that bad. The US stock market is having a massive short-covering rally, which is merely a mechanical knee-jerk reaction to an oversold condition. As I mentioned last week, there is still going to be another 2-3 weeks of upside in the "other currencies" and commodities, but when a top is put in place, one will want to make sure they are sitting on a chair, because it will get ugly.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Silver Prices and Technical Analysis  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

We started this series “shallow and wide” on the subject of what's really determining the silver price…

What are the factors, the most influential factors right now? Last week we covered high-frequency trading and algorithm trading in association with the future's market. This week we're going to kind of go on a second factor, which is silver prices and technical analysis.

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