Monday, October 04, 2021
US Dollar on plan, attended by the Gold/Silver ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Gary_Tanashian
US dollar (DXY) has activated its Inverted H&S, Gold/Silver maintains its uptrend, watch silver going foward…
I do not make predictions because I do not pretend to be a guru.* But NFTRH has been tracking what has been an uptrend in the US dollar for all of 2021, keeping us well aware of the potentials being realized from late summer into the fall. A higher low was made in May and now a higher high, completing an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern that we’ve been projecting since USD put in the theoretical right side shoulder last spring.
Until recently it was a projection. Now it is active after testing the (dashed) neckline, holding the (blue) 50 day average and busting to a new high for the cycle. Simple, no predictions but a heck of a lot of attention and respect for the process.
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Sunday, October 03, 2021
Aptorum Group - APM - High RIsk Biotech Stocks Buy, Sell, Hold Investing Analysis for the Long-run / Companies / BioTech
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Five more biotech stocks to add to the strategy of invest and forget for a potential X10 return. a reminder of why I am engaging in this binge on biotech stocks after having been focused on AI stocks for the past 5 years.
1. Biotech stocks are an unloved stocks sector whilst tech stocks over valued, even the ultra safe stocks such as the Top 10, so I am reluctant to add at current valuations hence why I hit the SELL button for the first time in many years and reduced my exposure to AI stocks by about 40%.
2. That biotech is a derivative of AI, we'll most sectors will soon become a derivative of AI because it is the PRIMARY tech megatrend of our age that will continue to broaden its reach to encompass all sectors of the economy.
3. That one of my former biotech 12xers got taken over (GW Pharma) that flooded my account with cash early May and so that focused my attention on repopulating my portfolio with 10 more biotech stocks where I expect at least 3 to 10x, with most of the rest expected to survive to varying extent. Though this is the stock market and so there are never any guarantees especially where such smallish cap stocks are concerned.
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Sunday, October 03, 2021
US Close to Hitting the Debt Ceiling: Gold Doesn’t Care / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Another fiscal year, another governmental fight to raise the debt limit. A failure spells a crisis, but gold turns a blind eye and continues its fall.So, America has a new tradition! The government shutdown is coming. A new fiscal year starts tomorrow, and if Congress fails to agree on a budget by the end of today, the government will shut down.
What does it mean for the US economy? According to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, the failure to lift the debt ceiling could be a catastrophe:
If the debt ceiling is not raised, there would be a financial crisis, a calamity. It would undermine confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency (…) It would be a wound of enormous proportions (…) It is imperative that Congress swiftly addresses the debt limit. If it does not, America would default for the first time in history. The full faith and credit of the United States would be impaired, and our country would likely face a financial crisis and economic recession.
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Sunday, October 03, 2021
Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All / Economics / Inflation
By: P_Radomski_CFA
At a panel discussion, Fed Chair finally admitted that inflation could be more (!) long-lasting than expected. What does it mean? Hawks. Lots of them.
Capitulation
With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell finally having his ‘come-to-Jesus’ moment on Sep. 29, the central bank chief’s skittish words helped light a fire under the USD Index. For context, I’ve been warning for months that Powell remains materially behind the inflation curve. And with his indecisive speech upending the Fed’s confidence game, the gambit is showing signs of unraveling.
Speaking at an ECB panel discussion on Sep. 29, he said:
“The current inflation spike is really a consequence of supply constraints meeting very strong demand. And that is all associated with the reopening of the economy, which is a process that will have a beginning, middle and an end. It’s very difficult to say how big the effects will be in the meantime or how long they last.”
For context, first it was “base effects,” then it was “transitory” and now “it’s very difficult to say.”
Sunday, October 03, 2021
Original Oculus VR HeadSet Rift Dev Kit v1 Before Facebook Bought Oculus / Personal_Finance / Virtual Reality
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's a blast from the past! The original Oculus VR HeadtRift Dev Kit v1 Before Facebook Bought Oculus in early 2014.
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Friday, October 01, 2021
Microsoft Stock Valuation 2021 vs 2000 Bubble - Buy Sell or Hold Invest Analysis / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Microsoft's stock price in March 2000 was trading at $120 on a earnings multiple of 56 as the stock was in a race to become the worlds first $1 trillion market cap stock. Set this against today's price of $289 and multiple of 36, coupled with an EC score of 71.
This video is an excerpt form my recent in-depth analysis evaluates the current state of the tech stocks bubble of 2021 in comparison to 2000. AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels, Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021
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Friday, October 01, 2021
How to profit off the Acquisition spree in Fintech Stocks / Companies / Fin Tech
By: Stephen_McBride
By Justin Spittler: A buying frenzy is underway on a stock not many investors have heard about…
Even fewer have positioned themselves to cash in on it.
But RiskHedge subscribers have been making a killing off this buying frenzy.
I’m talking about returns of 47% and 35% in a single day.
In a minute, I’ll share the name of the stock that’s delivering these fat returns. And how you should play it to take advantage.
But let’s start by looking at what’s unfolding…
Friday, October 01, 2021
🎃 Halloween 2021 TESCO Shopping Before the Next Big Panic Buying! 🎃 / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Anika_Walayat
��Halloween is just around the corner, so this year we were determined to shop early before the shelves empties of stock as happened last year by Mid October due to pandemic panic buying where this year its been panic buying of petrol, so off we went to the local Tesco supermarket to buy halloween stuff to put up during October. Unfortunately it looks like this year we were a little bit too early as the staff had only just putting stuff up the very day we shopped so not much to buy yet.
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Friday, October 01, 2021
The Guide to Building a Design Portfolio Online / Stock-Markets / Investing 2021
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Building a design portfolio is much like the chicken-and-egg scenario: You need one to secure a job, yet without some professional experience to bolster your portfolio, you may struggle to find projects to display. It is not uncommon to feel stuck, regardless of whether you are a graduate, in a school, or in a position where you want to be hired. You can nonetheless find unusual ways to make work that is worth displaying when you break away from a customary attitude about how to create a portfolio. This article includes a few essential tips on how you can start with a portfolio website.
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Thursday, September 30, 2021
BioDelivery Sciences International - BDSI - High RIsk Biotech Stocks Buy, Sell, Hold Investing Analysis for the Long-run / Companies / BioTech
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Five more biotech stocks to add to the strategy of invest and forget for a potential X10 return. a reminder of why I am engaging in this binge on biotech stocks after having been focused on AI stocks for the past 5 years.
1. Biotech stocks are an unloved stocks sector whilst tech stocks over valued, even the ultra safe stocks such as the Top 10, so I am reluctant to add at current valuations hence why I hit the SELL button for the first time in many years and reduced my exposure to AI stocks by about 40%.
2. That biotech is a derivative of AI, we'll most sectors will soon become a derivative of AI because it is the PRIMARY tech megatrend of our age that will continue to broaden its reach to encompass all sectors of the economy.
3. That one of my former biotech 12xers got taken over (GW Pharma) that flooded my account with cash early May and so that focused my attention on repopulating my portfolio with 10 more biotech stocks where I expect at least 3 to 10x, with most of the rest expected to survive to varying extent. Though this is the stock market and so there are never any guarantees especially where such smallish cap stocks are concerned.
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Thursday, September 30, 2021
America’s Revolving-Door Politics Behind the Fall of US-Sino Ties / Politics / China US Conflict
By: Dan_Steinbock
The US-Sino ties plunged in the Trump era, but the downfall has intensified in the Biden era. Without policy shifts, the tensions, fueled by defense contractors, translate to arms races and elevated nuclear risks in Asia.
In just nine months, Biden’s net ratings have plunged by a stunning 20 percent, which leaves him behind all U.S. postwar presidents except for Trump, many of whose policies his White House has embraced. Today, Biden’s performance divides the nation, just as Trump’s did before him.
True, Biden pledged to end America’s longest war in Afghanistan. That does not spell end to the “forever wars.” It only means shifts of resource allocations to new regions. Last June, Bernie Sanders warned that such policies could "start another Cold War” against China.
The global challenges America faces – climate change, pandemics, nuclear proliferation, massive economic inequality, corruption and authoritarianism – are shared challenges. They cannot be overcome unilaterally, Sanders warned. It is “distressing and dangerous that a fast-growing consensus is emerging in Washington that views the U.S.-Chinese relationship as a zero-sum economic and military struggle.”
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Thursday, September 30, 2021
Dovish to Hawkish Fed: Sounds Bearish for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
With a more hawkish Fed disposition, non-commercial traders remaining dollar-strong, and the EUR/USD sinking, it doesn’t bode well for the metals.
With U.S. Treasury yields continuing their ascent on Sep. 28, the mini taper tantrum pushed the NASDAQ 100 over a cliff. And with the USD Index loving the surge in volatility, the greenback further cemented its breakout above the neckline of its inverse (bullish) head & shoulders pattern. And looking ahead, the momentum should continue. Case in point: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee on Sep. 28. In his prepared remarks, he said:
“Inflation is elevated and will likely remain so in coming months before moderating. As the economy continues to reopen and spending rebounds, we are seeing upward pressure on prices, particularly due to supply bottlenecks in some sectors. These effects have been larger and longer lasting than anticipated, but they will abate, and as they do, inflation is expected to drop back toward our longer-run 2 percent goal.”
Furthermore, while I’ve been warning for months that Powell remains materially behind the inflation curve, his prepared remarks didn’t have a single mention of “base effects” or “transitory.” Instead, the Fed chief’s new favorite buzz word is “moderating.”
Thursday, September 30, 2021
Stock Market Gauntlet to the Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 was unable to sustain intraday gains, and both VIX and volume show the bears want to move. Arguably, the key market to watch, are the Treasuries – the 10-year yield continues rising, knocking on the 1.50% door again. On the day of Powell‘s testimony, that‘s quite a message to the central bank.
As I wrote yesterday:
(…) Rising yields (the market believes in taper, it appears) across the board, with high yield corporate bonds holding up much better than quality debt instruments – I have seen stronger risk-on constellations really.
Importantly, the huge weekly jump in Treasury yields (the 10-year yield jumped over 20 basis points to 1.47%) failed to lift the dollar, which says a lot given the risk-off entry to the week. Meanwhile, the Fed jawboning continues, and the bigger picture leaves the ambitious Nov tapering suspect.
At the same time, the Fed‘s foot is to a large degree off the gas pedal, and even global liquidity is shrinking. New taxes are kicking in, job market woes are persisting, inflation isn‘t going away any time soon, challenged supply chains are forcing globalization into reverse, workforce is shrinking, GDP growth is decelerating, and no fresh fiscal initiatives are on the horizon – sounds like a recipe for stagflation.
The Fed can adjust (and even reverse) the tapering projections any time it pleases – it has played the job market card already. The dollar failing to gain traction though, is telling. Not even commodities as such are rolling over to the downside – actually, energies (oil, natural gas) have been the star performers (even within the S&P 500 sectors), and agrifoods are well positioned to do great as well. Copper and precious metals are feeling the short-term heat (still, the red metal offered a great entry point earlier today, making the open position profitable from the get-go), but the metals would stop reacting to the bad news while ignoring negative real rates (yes, transitory inflation is another myth the market place believes in) at some point. All roads lead to gold – inflationary and deflationary ones alike.
Thursday, September 30, 2021
Should you include ESG investments in your portfolio? / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Sumeet_Manhas
The coronavirus pandemic has undeniably altered society in many immeasurable ways. It’s even had an impact on the world of investment. Indeed, it proved to be a major turning point for ESG investing as the pandemic not only altered the way we interact with one another but societal values too.
The experts at Saunderson House recently ran a study on financial well-being and put a greater focus on responsible investment. Their results reveal that, from a moral perspective, there is a major appetite right now for ESG or responsible investing. But what is ESG and why should you include them in your investment portfolio?
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Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Takeda - TAK - High RIsk Biotech Stocks Buy, Sell, Hold Investing Analysis for the Long-run / Companies / BioTech
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Five more biotech stocks to add to the strategy of invest and forget for a potential X10 return. a reminder of why I am engaging in this binge on biotech stocks after having been focused on AI stocks for the past 5 years.
1. Biotech stocks are an unloved stocks sector whilst tech stocks over valued, even the ultra safe stocks such as the Top 10, so I am reluctant to add at current valuations hence why I hit the SELL button for the first time in many years and reduced my exposure to AI stocks by about 40%.
2. That biotech is a derivative of AI, we'll most sectors will soon become a derivative of AI because it is the PRIMARY tech megatrend of our age that will continue to broaden its reach to encompass all sectors of the economy.
3. That one of my former biotech 12xers got taken over (GW Pharma) that flooded my account with cash early May and so that focused my attention on repopulating my portfolio with 10 more biotech stocks where I expect at least 3 to 10x, with most of the rest expected to survive to varying extent. Though this is the stock market and so there are never any guarantees especially where such smallish cap stocks are concerned.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Stock Market Wishing Away Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 bears did indeed move, and the dip wasn‘t much bought. VIX with its prominent upper knot may not have said the last word yet, but a brief consolidation of the key volatility metrics is favored next. Even the overnight rebound (dead cat bounce, better said), is losing traction, prompting me to issue a stock market update to subscribers hours ago – fresh short profits can keep growing:
(…) Following yesterday’s slide, the S&P 500 upswing appears running into headwinds as credit markets keep putting pressure on the Fed. Rising dollar is thus far having little effect on commodities, and precious metals have retraced a sizable part of the intraday downswing. Tech remains more vulnerable than value, and this correction appears as not (at all) yet over.
While the dollar upswing hasn‘t been strongest over the prior week, higher yields are causing it to rise somewhat still. The commodity complex is remarkably resilient – the open long positions are likely to keep doing well – and I don‘t mean only energies. Copper is holding up in the mid 4.20s while precious metals are giving the bears a break – a tentative one, but nonetheless encouraging – as I have written yesterday:
(…) the metals would stop reacting to the bad news while ignoring negative real rates (yes, transitory inflation is another myth the market place believes in) at some point. All roads lead to gold – inflationary and deflationary ones alike.
Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Why Workers Are NOT Returning to Work as Lockdown's End - Wage Slaves Rebellion / Politics / Social Issues
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britains has a record near 1 million vacancies despite economic contraction courtesy of the Chinese virus global pandemic. And similarly is true right across the western world as millions of workers even in relatively well paid jobs are refusing to return. This video answers why it is happening as a message I have been iterating for over 2 decades resonated with the west's wage slave workers, as to why are they wasting their lives creating wealth for others when all they had to do was gather enough courage to take the leap and do what the rich and wealthy have been doing for centuries!
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Wednesday, September 29, 2021
UK Fuel PANIC! Fighting at the Petrol Pumps! As Lemmings Create a New Crisis / Politics / Social Issues
By: N_Walayat
The lemmings are at it again Last year it was toilet paper. This year it's petrol and diesel. Crazy, insane lemmings. Even fighting at the pumps!
\As soon as their fuel needle drops from 100% to 99% off they go to join the queues to full up their tanks back to 100%.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Gold Could See Tapering as Soon as November! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It’s Powell’s doing, as always... the Chair signaled that tapering could be announced as soon as next month. What does this mean for gold bulls?In the latest edition of the Fundamental Gold Report, I covered the FOMC’s newest statement on monetary policy and the dot-plot. I concluded that “gold will struggle until the Fed’s tightening cycle is well underway”. As the chart below shows, the yellow metal has been struggling for the most part of this year, and I don’t expect any shifts from that trend anytime soon.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2021
Cara Therapeutics - CARA - High RIsk Biotech Stocks Buy, Sell, Hold Investing Analysis for the Long-run / Companies / BioTech
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Five more biotech stocks to add to the strategy of invest and forget for a potential X10 return. a reminder of why I am engaging in this binge on biotech stocks after having been focused on AI stocks for the past 5 years.
1. Biotech stocks are an unloved stocks sector whilst tech stocks over valued, even the ultra safe stocks such as the Top 10, so I am reluctant to add at current valuations hence why I hit the SELL button for the first time in many years and reduced my exposure to AI stocks by about 40%.
2. That biotech is a derivative of AI, we'll most sectors will soon become a derivative of AI because it is the PRIMARY tech megatrend of our age that will continue to broaden its reach to encompass all sectors of the economy.
3. That one of my former biotech 12xers got taken over (GW Pharma) that flooded my account with cash early May and so that focused my attention on repopulating my portfolio with 10 more biotech stocks where I expect at least 3 to 10x, with most of the rest expected to survive to varying extent. Though this is the stock market and so there are never any guarantees especially where such smallish cap stocks are concerned.
Read full article... Read full article...