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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, February 23, 2018

Gold Bull and Bear Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the previous part, we thoroughly analyzed the bull and bear trends in the U.S. dollar. But what about gold cycles? Let’s look at the chart below, which shows the long-term behavior of gold prices.

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Currencies

Friday, February 23, 2018

Why Recent Lows Are Crucial for US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Since Friday, the USD Index extends increases and makes up for lost points. Looking at the daily chart you can even conclude that the bulls use every opportunity to push away their opponents from the recent lows. Why are they so important to them? We took a closer look at the situation and we already know the Achilles’ heel of the bulls. Do you also want to know it? We invite you to read today's alert.

Focus on the USD Index

Before we analyze the recent changes in our currency pairs, we decided to take a closer look at the current situation in the USD Index as it is the key driver who generates the major changes on the currency market.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 23, 2018

Are Stocks About to Start the Next Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

A key issue to note if you want to time market turns is that stocks are always the last asset class to “get it.”

Consider that high yield credit or Junk Bonds (HYG) have lead stocks from the January ’16 lows.

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Currencies

Friday, February 23, 2018

Will Bitcoin be Larger Than NEO in 2018? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

NEO is currently the 7th largest cryptocurrency, and it is growing fast. Just one year ago, NEO was only worth roughly 12 cents per coin. However, the currentprice of NEO is roughly $117.  Despite the fact that bitcoin is currently about 22 times larger than NEO by market cap, if NEO keeps growing at its current pace, it could hypothetically catch up to bitcoin. This is especially true if bitcoin experiences a slump, or if NEO increases its growth rate.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 22, 2018

How to Trade Stock Index Price Spikes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last night the stock market flashed us a quick price spike on the SP500 index and we sent this out to our members as soon as we saw it. Price spikes are the markets way to tipping its hand for us to see where the big player’s should move in the next 1-3 trading sessions. Most spikes trade targets are hit within 12 hours. Last night spike provided trades with a $300. $550, or $1050 profit per ES mini contract they traded. But with that said, spikes can be traded with SP500 index ETF’s as well as long as your broker allows you to trade Pre/Post market hours, which most brokers do allow.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Stock Market Bounce May be Over... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has met its 50-day Moving Average at 2729.61 and the 61.8 Fib retracement level at 2730.00. Its high was 2731.26.

ZeroHedge comments, “Sigh...

Cash markets are open!! Buy 'em!!!”

JPM’s head quant, Marko Kolanovic now thinks it’s time to start buying.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Interest Rate Hikes Are Coming! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Are they? As usual, the FOMC minutes provoked diverse interpretations, both dovish and hawkish. Let’s analyze them, separating the wheat from the chaff. What do the recent minutes really mean for the gold market?

Hawks Attack Bullion

We have long warned investors about the hawkish treat. For example, as early as in the October edition of the Market Overview, we wrote that the Fed under Powell could be more hawkish than under Yellen. In December, after Powell’s nomination, we elaborated on our stance, pointing out two important changes: (1) the distinct macroeconomic environment – think about faster economic growth and more expansionary fiscal policy – in which Powell would have to act; (2) the composition of the FOMC in 2018 will move slightly from the dovish to the hawkish side. As a result, we stated that “a more hawkish policy would be a headwind for gold prices.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Are These Stock Market Bear Patterns Unfolding Before Us Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Harry_Dent

Last week, markets fell out of bed. Yesterday, they got up and dusted themselves off.

I’ve been warning for months now that U.S. markets are in a rising bearish wedge. This pattern tends to be the last move in a long bull market.

Stocks go up in a last orgasmic move in a narrowing channel – or wedge – with little volatility. And then, suddenly, the music stops.

It was thanks to me identifying this wedge that I called the May 2013 top in the junk bond market – to the day!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Stock Market SPX Probable Pop-n-drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX had a bearish outside reversal yesterday. There is a slight difference between an outside and key reversal. The key reversal happens at the peak of the rally, while an outside reversal may have a lower high. Both appears to be equally bearish in these circumstances.

SPX futures bounced in overnight trading, suggesting a possible retracement as far as the 50-day Moving Average at 2729.78. Short-term support/resistance has performed a death cross with the mid-Cycle and 50-day. You can see that a violation of Short-term support is like opening the trap door.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The first part of yesterday's trading session was controlled by the bulls and the S&P 500 index was gaining ahead of the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. Then the uptrend reversed and stocks fell below Tuesday's closing prices. Investors continued taking short-term profits off the table after week-long move up from previous Friday's lows. The market trades around 6% below its late January all-time high. Stocks are expected to open slightly higher today, but will they extend their yesterday's late session sell-off or bounce and continue trading within three-day-long consolidation?

The U.S stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.7% on Wednesday, as investors continued taking profits after week-long rally from February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term fluctuations along the level of 2,700-2,750. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off. However, it bounced off that resistance level again and reversed its intraday uptrend following the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. The broad stock market index currently trades 6% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Wednesday.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Why We Should Buy Essay / Personal_Finance / Education

By: Submissions

...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 22, 2018

The Latest US Debt Blow / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rodney_Johnson

Count me among the worriers that thought our debt was a problem at $10 trillion… and then at $15 trillion.

I was wrong.

Or, at least, those levels didn’t seem to phase investors, who kept putting down their cold, hard cash to buy U.S. Treasury bonds.

As I shook my head over the past several years, we continued our profligate ways, and now our national debt stands at a whopping $20.5 trillion, slightly more than our annual GDP.

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Companies

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Youtube Partner Programme New Rules 2019 - 4000 Subscribers, 10000 Hours Watch Time... / Companies / Google

By: N_Walayat

On the 20th of February Youtube demonetized all channels with less than 1000 subscribers and 4,000 hours annual watch time, ejecting them from the Youtube partner programme that amongst several benefits included monetization of videos which in most cases for Youtubers resulted in a token return of typically about $5-10 per month. So the blow for being ejected from the youtube partner programme was not financial. This leaves small youtubers with a continuing up hill battle to reach the new bar set at 1000 subs and 4k watch time hours before they will be reconsidered for joining the Youtube partner programme.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 22, 2018

The Fastest Growing State Populations / Housing-Market / Demographics

By: Harry_Dent

One of the buzzwords since Trump became president is “growth.” He’s made ridiculous promises about economic growth that he can’t possibly make good on.

But let’s take a look at another type of growth that affects us all: population growth, specifically in the continental U.S.

It should be no surprise that very high-cost states like New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, California, and Hawaii are NOT growing very fast.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 22, 2018

The Correlation Between Cryptocurrenices & GDP / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Rodney_Johnson

It was the best of times, it was the best of times. OK, that’s not exactly the Dickens quote from A Tale of Two Cities, but even with the recent volatility and inflation jitters, the sentiment seems to fit the mood of the marketstoday. And what’s not to like?

Tax reform will put more coin in most people’s pockets in the weeks ahead, not to mention fill corporate coffers to the point of overflowing. Based on estimates of future spending and earnings, investors are driving stocks higher from what were already record levels.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 22, 2018

6 Tips For Seamless Business Foreign Exchange / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

For thousands of Australian individuals and businesses across the country, foreign currency exchange is just a fact of life - and also the cause of many a headache.

Perhaps you're just making a payment for a good or a service that's located overseas.  Perhaps you're sending some cash or a gift to another country, or heading there yourself.  Maybe you're buying foreign land, assets, shares or bonds.  Maybe you're in the foreign market game and you make money from the clever appreciation of currencies.  Or perhaps you're an Australian business that makes money from importing or exporting or transacting with overseas entities.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

How to Anticipate Stock Market Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

See one forecasting method that gave ample warning of the recent dramatic volatility

Every active stock market investor wants to know: Where are prices headed next?

Most will scour the financial headlines, tune into financial television and talk to their broker or financial advisor in hopes of finding the answer. But, alas, this quest for market insight often leaves investors just as uncertain as before.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Gold Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Remember how mining stocks soared on Valentine’s Day and how we wrote that a rally is not necessarily bullish? Guess what – this rally has been more than erased. Miners not only closed below the February 14th opening price, but also below the February 13th and 12th closing prices. Mining stocks big rally turned out to be nothing more than just a regular 50% retracement during a decline – something that we saw many times in the past and that we described as likely. But, since the rally was rather inconsequential, then perhaps the decline is inconsequential as well?

Not likely.

It’s not likely because of the context. Gold is still relatively close to its recent high, but mining stocks are very close to their recent low. The latter are underperforming, and Valentine’s Day rally was just a verification of the breakdown in the HUI to gold ratio. Let’s take a look at the details, starting with the currency market (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Economics

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets.

That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Goofy Indictments Divert Attention from Criminal Abuses at the FBI and DOJ / Politics / US Politics

By: Mike_Whitney

“If the election is ‘disrupted’ by voters changing their votes due to Russians posting on Facebook, then the problem is not that Russians are posting on Facebook, the problem is that voters are changing their votes based on posts they read on Facebook.” Bill H, comments line Sic Semper Tyrannis “God help America. We’ve lost our damn minds.” Publius Tacitus

Robert Mueller’s Friday night indictment-spree, is a flagrant and infuriating attempt to divert attention from the damning revelations in the Nunes memo (and the Graham-Grassley “criminal referral”) which prove that senior-level officials at the FBI and DOJ were engaged in an expansive conspiracy to subvert the presidential elections by spying on members of the Trump campaign. The evidence that the FBI and DOJ “improperly obtained” FISA warrants to spy on Trump campaign affiliate, Carter Page, has now been overshadowed by the tragic massacre in Parkland, Florida and the obfuscating indictments of 13 Internet “trolls” who have not been linked to the Russian government and who are being used to conceal the fact that the 18 month-long witch hunt has not yet produced even one scintilla of hard evidence related to the original claims of “hacking or collusion”.

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