Thursday, August 18, 2016

SPX Easing Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket has gone from flat to lower this morning. Should the decline continue, the key level is the combination trendline/Short-term support at 2175.24.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Gold Stocks Cognitive Dissonance & Denial / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Denali_Guide

Obviously if your NOT in denial, you know this cannot end well, no matter how much the so-called  "Monetary Authorities" keep queering up the money supply, digitally, or thru debt issuance or otherwise.   The question popped up " Is there an edict that the Non-PM stock markets will keep ramping until the US Election?"

To which I'd tell people to look around at all the new jobs and new cars.   What, lots of new cars, on loans at any cost, but no new jobs ?  How does that work ?

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Gold – “Mother of All Bull Markets Has Only Just Begun” – Grandich / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

There are many reasons to believe that “the mother of all bull markets has only just begun” for gold.

So believes Peter Grandich, the market analyst dubbed the “Wall Street Whiz Kid” whose track record speaks for itself. He called the Wall Street Crash in 1987 and subsequent sharp stock market recovery, the end of the bull market in stocks in 2000 and the global financial crisis in 2008.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Low / Negative Interst Rate’s Legacy / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Raymond_Matison

In all of global human history, interest rates have never been this low.  Indeed, Europe has trillions of Euro bonds yielding a negative interest rate, meaning that an investor pays for the privilege of having lent to a borrower with its attendant credit exposure, and agrees beforehand to get less in return than he originally “invested”. America’s fixed income yields have been declining for over thirty years, and now are also at record lows – hovering close enough to zero such that some expect negative rates to come to our domestic market in the not too distant future.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Corporations – And Corporate Execs — Fall Out Of Love With Their Shares / Companies / Corporate News

By: John_Rubino

It’s no secret that one of the main things propping up the US stock market has been corporations’ willingness to buy back their own shares with borrowed money. The following chart illustrates the rather amazing correlation between share repurchases and share prices.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

The 45th Anniversary of The Most Destructive Event In Modern Monetary History / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

The US government, bankrupt yet again after another disastrous war of aggression, had its back pushed to the wall in 1971.

Up until that point, foreign central banks could redeem US dollars directly with the US Treasury in exchange for gold.  And, recognizing that the US was essentially bankrupt, foreign central banks, especially France, began to demand gold instead of the dollar.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Stock Market Turn-Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an interesting down day, and then up day, finishing in the plus column after the FOMC announcement indicating no interest-rate rising. The day started out with a move to the downside, they formed bear wedges, went lower, and by midday they were at their session lows. They rallied during the noon hour, and when the FOMC announcement came, they spiked up, and after pulling down briefly, they pulled back and spiked up again, and closed near the highs for the day.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

USDU - An Important Perspective on the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

We started following this US dollar index about a year or so ago which has a more equal weighting of different currencies than the $USD. Even though I don’t post it much this Alternative US dollar index has some very interesting Chartology on it which may be giving us an important clue as to the intentions of the Dollar .

If you recall the Standard US dollar index ($USD) was testing a major inflection point in May around the 92 area earlier this year. It did finally bottom but left some unfinished business behind. This is the daily chart I was following at the time for the USDU which shows the H&S top in place and the decline that took the price action down to the low at the 25.50 area. From that low the USDU began a decent rally but couldn’t trade above the neckline extension line at reversal point #2 before the bears took charge again. The bulls were able to stop the decline at reversal point #3 and a laborious rally took the USDU back up to the top of the trading range where the neckline extension line came into play again along with the 200 day moving average.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

SPX Completes Wave 1 Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed a Wave 1 decline, or nearly so. It still has a bounce higher after that in wave 2. It may try to “fill the gap” up to 2190.00 in the process. There is no signal, yet.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

How to Quickly Spot Common Fibonacci Ratios on a Chart / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Free video lesson from our training service for aspiring traders, Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom

Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.

In other words, Fibonacci ratios are excellent tools to help you decide where to enter and exit your trades.

Learn more in this clip from Jeffrey Kennedy's service for aspiring traders, Trader's Classroom.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

When Does a Forecast Become a Trade? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Learn why it's important to wait for confirming price action before pulling the trigger

Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our popular Trader's Classroom educational service, weighs in on how you know when it's time to enter a trade.

[Editor's Note: A text version of the video is below.]

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Kondratiev Wave - The Financial Winter Is Nearing! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Nature functions in cycles. Each 24-hour period can be divided into smaller cycles of morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The whole year can be divided into seasonal cycles. Similarly, one’s life can also be divided into cycles. Cycles are abundant in nature – we just have to spot them, understand them, and be prepared for them, because they happen whether we like it or not. Likewise, economic experts have noticed that the world also follows different cycles. An important pioneer in this field was the Russian social economist, Nikolai Kondratiev, also called Nikolai Kondratieff, a relatively unknown genius.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Welcome to the 3-D Economy / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Eight years after the Fed went bananas by setting interest rates near zero, the weirdness still hasn’t stopped. In fact, the weird part is how unsurprised we are at the bizarre economic news that comes out every day.

Just one example: Almost half the western world’s outstanding sovereign debt—$12.6 trillion worth—traded at negative yields last week, according to the Financial Times. Investors are buying a guaranteed loss with every trade. Still, they can’t get enough.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Europe Has Two Options: Revolution or Elections / Politics / European Union

By: John_Mauldin

In my recent Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), Charles Gave offered an incisive and absolutely scathing indictment of the latter-day European project.

Charles thinks that European leaders have responded to new challenges in this post-war era with old solutions. Chief among them is the forced integration of Europe into a single political and economic construct.

The elite are starting to admit that they’ve made Europe’s problems worse.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

The Lurking Disaster Germany and Saudi Arabia Have in Common / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

The global exporters’ crisis is intensifying (read my free special report on Germany’s inevitable crisis).

Germany’s largest bank said it is deeply concerned about stagnation in the United States. Separately, Saudi Arabia’s central bank gave $4 billion to the country’s banks to help them deal with liquidity issues.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Rio Olympics like the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

Olympic host, Rio de Janeiro, is getting a lot of coverage in the media and not all of it good.  Much of the news is very bad and yet the games go on… similar to the equity market.

Lindsay’s Three Peaks/Domed House pattern has passed point 21 (July 20) and the question becomes ‘is the Dow headed into the final top at point 23 - or is it engaged in the typical 3-5 wave correction seen most of the time at this point in the pattern?’ An example can be seen in March 2015 (lower case roman numerals in green).

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

The Preservation of Perks, Privileges, and Power: The PPPP / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The picture is clear – The Powers-That-Be in Wall Street and Washington, the “Deep State,” military contractors, Big Pharma, Big Ag, The Federal Reserve, Mainstream Media, the DNC and RNC, and others want to maintain the transfer game … because the following will continue:

1. The transfer of wealth to the political and financial elite
2. Payoffs to the President, Congress, and lobbyists
3. Military adventures – very costly adventures – must be maintained to feed the massive military-industrial-security complex
4. Ever increasing debt
5. Power and influence over institutions and other countries

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Gold In UK Pounds Near Post-Brexit Highs As Sterling Falls 38% Year To Date / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold in UK pounds neared its post-Brexit high overnight as sterling fell sharply on currency markets due to concerns about rising inflation as shown in data today and the outlook for the UK economy.

Gold is up nearly 4% in sterling terms in August and by a whopping 38% year to date.  ‘Sterling silver’ has surged by even more this year and is now 56% higher in sterling terms year to date.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Average Two-year Tracker Mortgage Breaks Below 2pc Barrier / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Over a week has passed since the Bank of England base rate dropped to 0.25%, its lowest level in over 300 years. This has led to a spur in activity in the tracker mortgage market. The average two-year tracker mortgage deal has just broken the 2% barrier for the first time on record, according to the latest figures released by Moneyfacts.co.uk.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Deutsche Bank Analyst Says a Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

We don’t know if the internet is just enabling us to hear things we previously didn’t hear… of if this is the most predicted stock-market crash in history!

It seems barely a day goes by now where someone hasn’t jumped on our bandwagon and is predicting, or calling for, a major crash.