Monday, August 22, 2016

Proof US Economic Recovery Has Ended / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Michael_Pento

The primary data point that the perennial bulls on Wall Street claim as evidence for an improving economy is the monthly jobs number. The Non-farm Payroll Report claimed that 255,000 jobs were added in July on a seasonally adjusted bases. This number was well above the 12-month average of 190,000. And according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), at total of 1.66 million additional people have been employed thus far in fiscal 2016, making this the one bright spot in the economy.

Monday, August 22, 2016

Stocks Remain Close To Record Highs - Top Or Just Pause Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Monday, August 22, 2016

Cash ISAs still have some fight left in them / Personal_Finance / ISA's

By: MoneyFacts

Savers are likely to have lost all enthusiasm in getting a decent return on their cash, thanks to a lack of competition in the market fuelled by consecutive rate cuts over the years. In times of despair, savers are being warned of investing their cash in poor easy access accounts and instead to consider a cash ISA.

Monday, August 22, 2016

WTI Crude Oil Pattern Still on Target for Higher Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ken_Ticehurst

Since our last article WTI has behaved perfectly, clearing all our daily hurdles. Our longer term patterns show the strong possibility of a rise to $60+ during the second half of this year before a further decline in to 2017.

Monday, August 22, 2016

BrExit Win's Britain Olympics Success Freedom Dividend, Economy Next / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's Olympic team has beaten all expectations of a target 48 medals by achieving 67 that includes 27 Gold's and just as importantly Britain places second to the American sporting hyper power and thus even out doing the highly successful London 2012 home games tally when Britain placed 3rd to the US and China.

Monday, August 22, 2016

China Announces its’ new loan in International Reserve Asset (SDRs) / Interest-Rates / China Currency Yuan

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has received approval from the World Bank allowing its’ issuance of bonds which are denominated in Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). The World Bank is the first entity to approve of it and consequently marks the launch of the SDR bond market of the worlds’ second-largest economy.

Monday, August 22, 2016

Stock Market Top Forming, but Slowly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The uptrend from 1810 continues.  It could soon enter a corrective phase.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, August 22, 2016

Ron Paul - What Should We Do About Crimea? / Politics / Ukraine Civil War

By: Andre_Gratian

Is Crimea about to explode? The mainstream media reports that Russia has amassed troops on the border with Ukraine and may be spoiling for a fight. The Russians claim to have stopped a Ukrainian sabotage team that snuck into Crimea to attack key infrastructure. The Russian military is holding exercises in Crimea and Russian President Vladimir Putin made a visit to the peninsula at the end of the week.

Monday, August 22, 2016

Precious Metals and Financial Blasphemy, Part 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“...legitimate powers of government reach actions only, & not opinions, I contemplate with sovereign reverence that act of the whole American people which declared that their legislature should 'make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof,' thus building a wall of separation between Church & State. Adhering to this expression of the supreme will of the nation in behalf of the rights of conscience, I shall see with sincere satisfaction the progress of those sentiments which tend to restore to man all his natural rights, convinced he has no natural right in opposition to his social duties.” ― Thomas Jefferson, Letters of Thomas Jefferson

Monday, August 22, 2016

(Really) Alternative Banking Systems / Politics / Social Issues

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Our by now regular contributor Dr. Nelson Lebo III, the New Englander ‘lost’ in New Zealand, sent me another article, and it’s great (well, in my view). His title for the article may put some people on the wrong foot, but I think that’s alright.

I’ve been to New Zealand a few times, and Nicole of course has even moved there, so I was aware of how poorly constructed many homes are -and often made of wood-, but I’d never heard of ‘curtain banks’. Still, they exist all over the country. Turns out, lots of New Zealand homes are so damp and moldy that curtains can literally save lives, and certainly make them more comfortable/bearable. But many people are too poor to be able to afford curtains. Hence the curtain banks. I’d be curious to know if similar initiatives exist anywhere lese on the planet. Do let me know.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Vauxhall Zafira Fires - Second Recall Issued - Inspection Before Bursting into Flames? / ConsumerWatch / Auto Sector

By: HGR

Just when you think it's safe to drive your Zafira, within a few weeks of of the first recall inspection after a 6 month long wait. What do Zafira owners get through their letter boxes? Another urgent warning letter asking to call and arrange a 2nd recall so as to prevent your Zafira from bursting into flames that the first waste of time recall apparently did NOT fix!

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Will the Stock Market Bubble Pop Regardless if the FED Never Raises Rates? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The current overall SPX pattern is a broadening top, which is usually a very reliable pattern.  The market continues to look as though it wants to go even lower. The momentum shift, which I have been expecting, has been slow to start, however one should be prepared for this occurrence ahead of time.

Nevertheless, the large divergences which I have been viewing, in my proprietary oscillators, are most real, and, once the selling starts, the momentum should quickly move to the downside. 

Sunday, August 21, 2016

The Quotable Contradictory Donald Trump / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

The man formerly known as The Donald is entwined in a ball of contradiction.

He was a registered Republican until 2001 when he became a Democrat, and then eight years later switched back to the Republican party.

He says he believes in democracy, but also says if he loses Pennsylvania in the November general election it will be because the election is rigged.

He campaigns on a platform that boldly proclaims him to be an outsider to politics and a great business executive who will “Make America Great Again!” But Trump is not an outsider—he has the presence to command legislators, lobbyists, and business executives from the highest levels. Although he claims to be worth about $10 billion, companies under his control have filed for bankruptcy four times—Trump says it’s just good business practice; if he becomes president, he won’t have that option to reduce the nation’s debt. He believes the U.S. is the best place to live, but uses an empty campaign slogan to rally his hard-core ultra-right base of voters.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

US Government Spending - 3 Big Stories Not Being Covered – Part III / Economics / Government Spending

By: Andy_Sutton

The third and final (for now) portion of this series might be a tad anticlimactic. If so, we apologize. Most people know America is in debt beyond comprehension. A small subset of people understand that the numbers published by the government are missing a whole bunch of important items and use accounting methods that would land most business people in prison. An even smaller subset understands the idea of generational accounting.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Another Billionaire Goes All In On The “Barbarous Relic” Gold While Mainstream Media Remains Silent / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Billionaire Crispin Odey recently released a management letter to his hedge fund clients praising gold and explaining gold products constituted the next, great investment wave.

He is yet another in a wave of billionaires who have all, suddenly, been moving massive portions of their portfolio into gold… with one of the latest being George Soros, who moved a significant amount of his portfolio into gold just a few months ago.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Nasdaq Short Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Nasdaq Weekly Chart with Fib. Spiral @ Week 34

Many traders are frustrated with the current market, sideways to slow melt up process.  I will reserve some info. for paid subscribers only.  Arguments can be made for the Bull's or Bear's but honestly the bottom line is to make money, period.  Money is all that matters, that IS the bottom line.

Below is a current chart of the Nasdaq Composite, using weekly candlesticks.  Note the breakout and upcoming backtest.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Precious Metals Markets : Zoom Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

When looking at the short term minute charts things look very volatile in the precious metals complex but the further you look back in time the less volatile the price action becomes. If one is a day trader then the minute charts are the ones to focus in on but if you’re an intermediate term trader perspective is everything.

Saturday, August 20, 2016

Silver Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

As I have been noting of late, both gold and silver have been trapped in sideways trading patterns for some time now, meaning that there really has not been a whole lot worth saying about the price action in either metal.

That MIGHT POSSIBLY be changing in regards to silver. The reason is simple – price is down at the very bottom of the sideways trading range that has been intact for nearly seven weeks.

Saturday, August 20, 2016

SPX New Highs, Correction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2184, rallied to 2194 on Monday, pulled back to 2169 by Wednesday, then rallied to end the week back at 2184. For the week the SPX/DOW slipped 0.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the downtick: the NY FED and building permits. On the uptick: the NAHB, housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the Q3 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the Q2 GDP, durable goods and more housing reports. Best to your week!

Saturday, August 20, 2016

The Chimera Of Stable Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Since the early 19th century, economists have consistently preached that the value of money or its purchasing power should be stable or relatively stable. David Ricardo, in 1817, said: “A currency, to be perfect, should be absolutely invariable in value.”

According to this view, money as a unit of account should be equivalent to a yardstick measuring an immutable distance. Over the last century, this view of money has led economists to suggest that prices, reflecting the purchasing power of money, as measured by a price index [1], should also be stable and that central banks should actively interfere with the market economy to bring stability to such an index. The U.S. Central bank has essentially been following such a policy since its inception in 1913. Price stability is inscribed in the Maastricht Treaty, and the goal of hitting a 2% CPI inflation target is a variant of this widely-held view.