Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Stock Market Most Overvalued On Record — Worse Than 1929? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: GoldCore

The US stock market today has never been more dangerous and overvalued, according to respected Wall Street market analyst John Hussman.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

A Response to “Bitcoin Won’t Work When SHTF” / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

I’ve been commenting a lot on bitcoin lately as it has had an amazing and volatile week.

One thing that I keep noticing in the comments, though, is at least one or two people always chime in and say, “Bitcoin is screwed when SHTF”.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Forget 3% Growth with This Deficit, US Approaching 150% Debt-to-GDP Ratio / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Studies have shown that when government debt rises above 90% it begins to have an effect on the growth of GDP. That conclusion is a bit controversial in economic circles, as some say the critical level is higher or lower.

Understand, those studies are not examining some theoretical proposition; they are looking at actual debt and growth levels in countries over a long period of history. And the data show that excess debt inhibits growth.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Desperate Saudi Arabia Turns to Asia for Investment / Economics / Saudi Arabia

By: John_Mauldin

BY XANDER SNYDER : King Salman of Saudi Arabia visited Malaysia on February 26. It was the first trip to the country for a Saudi monarch in over a decade. In his tour through Asia, visits also included Brunei, Japan, China, and Indonesia. Jakarta has not received a formal Saudi visitation in nearly five decades.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Startups Will Define the Future of US Employment / Economics / Employment

By: John_Mauldin

Research shows that technology has net-net created far more jobs than it has destroyed. A recent study by Deloitte drew on data going back to 1871 in England and Wales and found that technology has been a job-creating machine.

Part of that is because technology increases people’s spending power, which creates a surge in the demand for hairdressers, bar staff, etc.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Inflation + Populism = Soaring Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

Inflation is back, thanks to the past few years’ exuberant borrowing and currency creation. Meanwhile, populist politicians are gaining traction in Europe, threatening both the European Union and the eurozone.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

What's Preventing the Dow from Exploding? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Clif_Droke

The stock market has once again entered a period of consolidation as investors wait for the results of the most important legislative decision of the year.  The fight to repeal and replace Obamacare has taken the spotlight as Congress debates the passage of legislation that would eliminate its most burdensome aspects for businesses and individual taxpayers alike.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Fed Rate Hikes, Fiscal vs. Monetary Policy and Why Again the Case for Gold? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Gary_Tanashian

I’ve been thinking about the current Fed Funds rate hike cycle, which is logically gaining forward momentum now that the Fed can stand down from its 8-year, ultra-lenient monetary policy cycle.  That is because the Obama administration’s goals required a compliant Federal Reserve to continually re-liquefy the economy as its fiscal policies drained it.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Energy Stocks Preparing a Bounce / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

2016 was a good year for Energy Stocks as Oil & GAS price rose significantly helping the Energy sector to recover from the drop that started since 2014 . However since the recent peak early this year , Oil price stabilised in a tight range and failed to move higher before the recent 9% drop last week in both Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate .

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

SNP Declare Scotland to Commit Economic Suicide Early 2019, 2nd Independence Referendum / Politics / UK Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The cult like SNP that sees Independence as the answer to EVERY question and so IS are once more demanding another once in a generation Independence referendum, barely 2 years since the last one. This despite current opinion polls stating that 55% of Scots want to remain within the United Kingdom. Though facts on the ground barely register with Scotland's IS fundamentalists who could be seen as being just as dangerously determined to destroy the United Kingdom as are their Levant namesakes. Permanently deaf, dumb and blind to the real world consequences of that which they zealously seek, an outcome that would amount to Scotland committing economic, social and territorial suicide, for that is what happens when nations tear themselves apart and this whilst Britain is attempting to pull itself away from the European Union is clearly meant to do maximum damage to England and Scotland, in their never ending quest for suicide as is the ultimate goal of all cults.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

SPX Futures are Down this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are down this morning, but haven’t yet crossed either Short-term support at 2359.10 or the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2355.00. There is still a considerable distance to go. From a timing perspective, the time elapsed between that March 1 high at 2400.98 and the March 10 high at 2376.86 was approximately 45 hours. That is one-half the 12.9-day (90 hour) Cycle that we saw in last January’s decline. Should that observation be correct, it suggests the decline may extend to the close on Monday, March 20.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold, Oil, CRB, Bonds - Beware The Bearish Rising Wedge / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to show you a chart pattern that seems to be showing up in a lot of different area’s of the markets, in particular the commodities complex. We looked at some of them in the last Weekend Report which were maturing, but in some cases hadn’t broken down yet. The chart pattern I’m referring to is the bearish rising wedge.

Some of the bearish rising wedges have a common theme which is the late 2015 low, when commodities and the PM complex finally bottomed out after that massive impulse move down. At a minimum the price objective for a rising or falling wedge is the first reversal point in which the wedge began to build out. Prices can go much lower, but the first reversal point is a good first price objective.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Strong Stock Market Still, Won’t Give Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an interesting day today, and a lot of our stocks did very well. The indices, however, were mixed.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 21.50 at 20,881.48. The S&P 500 was up .87 at 2373.47. The Nasdaq 100 was up 8.67 at 5394.57.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Bitcoin Price Returns To All-Time Highs As Cryptocurrencies Explode Higher / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the wake of the Winklevoss ETF being shot down by the SEC, bitcoin’s price took a major dive of nearly $300, briefly going below $1,000 last Friday.

Now, just a few days later, the price has nearly made a full recovery shooting past $1240 and surpassing, once again, the spot price of gold.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

McCain Great £3 Million Prizes Raffle Draws, Cars and Holidays to be Won / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

McCain's have just started a new £3 million promotion, with 30,000 prizes including 10 cars 5,500 holidays, and 5000 burgers! The top prize is apparently to step into the shoes of an Emmerdale TV programme Actor. So find out what needs to be done to easily win 1 of over 30,000 prizes before the promotional packs are withdrawn before the end of April 2017.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Raising the Ides of March US Debt Ceiling Limit / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: BATR

One of the most played out scenarios in the rarified air of Washington life support is keeping the debt balloon inflating without blowing. Dismissing all the drama from the Kabuki theater that relies upon passing another continuing resolution to raise the debt limit seems to be one of the most reliable predictions that can be made about Congress. Come hell or high water, the borrowing ceiling goes up. So when Mnuchin calls on Congress to raise debt limit as deadline approaches, all seems ready to follow the familiar pattern of kicking the can down the road.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold and Silver Commercial Traders Begin to Cover Short Positions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jason_Hamlin

Does the trend change in the short position of commerical traders signal a bottom for precious metals?

Gold and silver posted a strong start to the year in 2017, despite the December rate hike. This was a repeat of last year, when the December 2015 Federal Reserve rate hike was followed by a massive rally in precious metals. However, both gold and silver have pulled back sharply over the past few weeks. Gold is down $60 or 4.5% to $1,200, while silver is down $1.40 or 7.5% to $17 per ounce.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Stock Market Elliott Wave Target: SPX 2,700 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Looking at the bull market advance since 2009, we can see at least two options for counting. The options are that wave 3 ended in May'15 (blue) or wave 3 is ongoing (green).

The late 2015 decline certainly looks like a potential wave 4 except that the high earlier in May that year came with a negative divergence in RSI. Third waves usually have a strong RSI reading (like now).

Monday, March 13, 2017

Caesar, Turkey and the Netherlands Ides of March / Politics / European Union

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I don’t think Holland realized they planned their election on the Ides of March, don’t remember the date or event ever being mentioned when I lived there as a child. That Washington knew what it was doing when back in 2013 it set the end of the latest debt ceiling compromise to March 15 is not likely either. Nor is Janet Yellen deliberately setting the Fed’s ‘next’ rate hike on the date. They may all, in hindsight, wish they had possessed a little more historical knowledge.

Monday, March 13, 2017

Gold Bear Market Return? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Energy_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan sets forth data that signals the potential return of a bear market in the precious metals.