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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

How to Avoid the Next 50% Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Michael_Pento

This ageing bull market may soon face the third market collapse since the year 2000. Nobody can predict the exact starting date of its decline—but either a recession or stagflation will surely be its catalyst. During the next debacle, the typical balanced portfolio designed by Wall Street, which consists of approximately 60% stocks and 40% bonds, will no longer provide much protection at all. In fact, that type of portfolio construct has become downright dangerous.

The simple reason for this is that for the first time ever both stocks and bonds are in a massive and unprecedented bubble; and are therefore both vulnerable to significant selloffs. Bonds will no longer provide a ballast or offset to your stock portfolio once reality hits both of those asset classes. If a bond has a 5% yield and has 30 years left to maturity; that holder would lose 25% of his principal if interest rates rise by just 2%. Given the fact that bond yields are the lowest in history, an increase of 2% is certainly not out of the question; and is in fact most likely inevitable.
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Commodities

Monday, October 28, 2019

GATA’s Powell: Attacks on Gold & Silver Prices Are Losing Their Impact / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Chris Powell of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee joins me and updates us on the recent developments in the gold and silver manipulation prosecutions and discusses how the price spoofing schemes by the bullion banks may be tied to trades by central banks working to keep a lid on prices.

Chris also explains why he thinks the “powers at be” are losing control of the price and how the recent positive price action in the metals markets suggests they have lost some of their influence in the markets. So be sure to stick around for a jam-packed interview with Chris Powell of GATA, coming up after this week’s market update.

Well, another week, another new and expanded repo market intervention by the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York intervened twice with fresh liquidity injections. Fed officials raised their offerings for overnight repos up from $75 billion to a staggering $120 billion.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My in-depth analysis of 30th September 2019 Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct to Dec 2019 concluded in expectations for a probable deep correction during October which would set the market up for a santa rally into the end of the year -

Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion

Therefore my forecast conclusion as illustrated by the below chart is for the Dow to target a trend towards Dow 27,500 by the end of this year following a significant correction during October that could see the Dow trade as low as 24k.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

A Stock Market New All-Time High Is Not Always Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

There is a significant amount of frustration from the bulls and bears alike as the market has been basically in a trading range for many, many months. So, before we go into my expectations for the coming months, I want to review how we got here.

As the market began its rally off the December lows of 2018, my initial expectation was that we could top out as we headed into the March/April time frame.

Clearly, the market had other intentions as it extended the timing for my correction expectations, and in quite a similar fashion as to what we saw in 2014-2015. Yet, we are still well within the price target expectations I outlined at the end of 2018.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 28, 2019

What if the Fed Stops Cutting Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Fed rate cuts have been the driving force of the recent gains in precious metals.

This is not a surprise to our readers as since 2018 we argued that a shift in Fed policy from rate hikes to rate cuts would springboard the next big move. History argued the same.

The market is showing a roughly 90% chance the Fed will cut rates this week which indicates the market has essentially already priced in the rate cut.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

Stock Market Final Touch? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

Three Stock Charts Every Investor Needs to See This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks broke upwards last week from the consolidation pattern we’ve been watching.

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Companies

Monday, October 28, 2019

The Hottest Tech Stock For 2020 / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Stock Market Dynamics Changing for Year End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

Last week saw the US equity markets testing the all time highs and moving back a little. The action has been healthy. Markets are almost sanguinely comfortable that everything everywhere is doing great. The risks to the downside in economy seems not as important to investors.

We look at a plethora of charts and setups to drive the point which we have been making that market crash is not coming and we have saying that for over 6 months now. There might be a blip here and there but things are healthy.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Money Saving HALLOWEEN 2019 Scary Shopping at Morrisons / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

We are fully into Halloween season now and we head out to Morrisons supermarket to see what kind of Halloween type stuff we can find!

Lots of scary stuff at cheap prices on show, we had to buy some.

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Currencies

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Here is why Bitcoin jumped 20% (2019-10-25) / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: readtheticker

If you are having trouble finding the news behind the bitcoin price move, don't fret here is the answer.

1) Gold and silver starting to react to US FED repo non QE US Dollar creation.
2) Congress questioning of Zuck on Libra did not surprise.
3) Bitcoin price hit trusted outer demand channel line (see chart below).

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Currencies

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Latin America Sinks Under The Weight Of Its Third-Rate Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Latin America is plagued with many endemic economic problems. As a result, slow growth and economic instability are the order of the day. Latin America is sinking. In the grand scheme of things, it’s become irrelevant.

When it comes to listing culprits that account for the zombie growth rates in Latin America, the laundry list usually includes: high levels of corruption, a weak application of the rule of law, poor public services, a lack of public safety, and so on.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Land Rover Discovery Sport Car Money Saving - OBD2 Diagnostic Port Location DIY Diagnosis / Personal_Finance / Motoring

By: HGR

As soon as my Discovery Sports 3 year manufacturer warranty is up, up popped the dreaded yellow engine management warning light prompting a visit to the local land rover dealer for a diagnosis that they said would cost £150 if the my extended warranty (a few months under approved used) was rejected. £150! just to read the codes! Likely it will be much cheaper at a local garage, maybe £50 to £75. This prompted me to go on the hunt for my own ODB2I ECU reader, one that is likely to work with a Land Rover Discovery Sport. But first to take a look at the OBD2 port / socket so as to ensure whatever I buy actually fits the port which this video illustrates.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 26, 2019

The Fed’s “Not QE” Is Morphing into “QE4ever” / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: MoneyMetals

Another week, another new and expanded repo market intervention by the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York intervened twice with fresh liquidity injections. Fed officials raised their offerings for overnight repos up from $75 billion to a staggering $120 billion.

This comes on top of the $60 billion per month in Treasury bill purchases that will extend well into next year and possibly beyond. Over the past month alone, the Fed's balance sheet has soared by $200 billion.

You might think numbers like these should be quite alarming to investors and to anyone who holds U.S. dollars. But the strange thing about these Fed interventions is that hardly anyone seems alarmed. There’s no sense of rising risk being priced into the stock market. And the mainstream media is barely even mentioning these massive transfers of paper wealth.

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Companies

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Virgin Galactic Will Take Justin Bieber to Space—and It’s a Damn Good Investment / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

By Justin Spittler : Rumor has it, pop star Justin Bieber and actor Leonardo DiCaprio are taking a trip to outer space...

It sounds like a sci-fi movie, but have you heard of Virgin Galactic? Founded by British billionaire Richard Branson, the company has built the world’s first spaceship.

Let me be clear...

It’s not just an idea. It’s not just a concept. It’s not just a glorified airplane.

It’s a real, working SPACESHIP… tested and approved by the US Federal Aviation Administration.
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Commodities

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Will Central Banks Prevent Recession and Push Gold Down? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trade wars, geopolitical tensions and slowing economic indicators. Both the ECB and the Fed have recently cut interest rates to stimulate slowing growth, hoping to escape possible recession. Will they succeed? After all, they don’t have the most reliable record when it comes to preventing busts. Let’s get into the central flaw of central banking and what it implies for gold.

Both the ECB and the Fed have just cut interest rates to stimulate slowing growth and to escape possible recession. Will they succeed? The question is, of course, rhetorical. The recovery from the Great Recession has been the slowest postwar recovery, despite the massive monetary (and fiscal) stimulus, as the chart below shows.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Silver & Gold to Inform Dr. Copper and so, the Macro / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

They call copper the metal with the Ph.D. in Economics. But these days Doctor Copper is little more than a quack in that regard, taking a cue from the metals whose interplay will be critical to deciding the coming macro for 2020 and the run up to the next US election. Thus, they are the 3 Metallic Amigos, riding together but providing different signals at different times (this being nftrh.com, you will have to put up with the odd shtick from time to time).

As we have noted repeatedly, the Silver/Gold ratio takes it place alongside other indicators (like long-term Treasury yields, yield curve, TIPs ratios, inflation breakevens, etc.) of a would-be inflationary environment. When silver (more cyclical, commodity-like characteristics) rises vs. gold (more counter-cyclical, liquidity haven characteristics) it is a hint toward an inflationary macro.

A daily chart of silver/gold shows a constructive ratio at yesterday’s close and this morning in pre-market silver is +2.77% while gold is +.77%. The implication could well be an end to the current bull flag consolidation at the moving averages and the next upturn in silver/gold, the miners and possibly the inflation/reflation trades that tend to follow.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 25, 2019

Stock Market Trend Forecast October to December 2019 (2/2) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 of 2 of my in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the DJIA stocks index into the end of 2019. However, the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct to Dec 2019

  • Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
  • Yield Curve Inversion Current State
  • US Presidential Cycle 
  • ELLIOTT WAVES 
  • Short-term Trend Analysis
  • Long-term Trend Analysis
  • MACD
  • VIX
  • SEASONAL ANALYSIS
  • Formulating a Stock Market Forecast
  • Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
  • AI Stocks Buying Levels

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Economics

Friday, October 25, 2019

The Mystery of China’s Third-Quarter Growth - Resilience or Gloom? / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

Despite trade wars and geopolitics, Chinese economic growth shows resilience. So why is there a deep gap between the third-quarter data and gloomy international headlines?

After the release of third-quarter data, The Wall Street Journal headline sounded a warning: “China’s economic growth slowest in decades.” CNN seconded: “China’s economic growth drops to lowest level since 1992.” Reuters extended the timeline: “China’s GDP growth grinds to near 30-year low as tariffs hit production.”

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Personal_Finance

Friday, October 25, 2019

Diving Deep Into The World Of Europe's Best Casinos / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Sumeet_Manhas

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