Monday, March 30, 2020
Are Gold and Silver Mirroring 1999 to 2011 Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team continues to dig into underlying patterns and set up in the global markets to assist skilled technical traders in understanding the current Covid-19 virus event and other key technical data. Recently, we’ve authored a number of detailed research articles that we believe helped prepare traders for the events of the past 30 to 90+ days. If you missed them, please take a moment to review some of our critical market research posts:
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 30, 2020
Stock Market Next Cycle Low 7th April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketSPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
United States Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Forecasts Into End April 2020 / Stock-Markets / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the final part of my analysis that concludes in detailed trend forecasts for UK and US Coronavirus Infections and deaths into the end of April 2020. The importance of which being to act as indicators for the primary driver for stock market trend since Mid February. Where as was the case with my preceding forecasts into the end of March, deviations against the Coronavirus trend warned of worse prospects for stock prices as the UK and US FAILED to follow the South Korean model of containing the pandemic, instead either proved completely incompetent in doing nothing despite having had well over a months advance warning of what to expect. Or perhaps by design so as to allow the virus to infect the general population as it was deemed to be impossible to prevent in the long-run given the movement of people, goods and services and so a quick sharp deadly shock was deemed to be the most cost effective solution.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
Fed President Declare: “No End in Our Ability to Print Money…and Congress Has Told Us To.” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
The roller coaster ride in markets took a sharp turn higher this week after the Federal Reserve and Congress together pledged over 6 trillion dollars to rescue the financial system.
Perhaps this week was an inflection point for the mass fear and panic that has cleared out bullion dealers of coins and grocery stores out of toilet paper. Although the number of coronavirus cases hasn’t yet peaked, there are some signs that the hysteria surrounding the deadly outbreak has.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
Some Positives in a Virus Wracked World / Politics / Social Issues
By: John_Mauldin
It should be pretty obvious that we need to rethink how our supply chains are constructed. The U.S. is running out of something as simple as mouth-testing swabs. It seems the entire world supply is made by two companies.
When asked where I thought those were, I replied “China.” It is worse. They are both in Milan, Italy.
Milan is currently under siege in total lockdown, and the swabs are stranded on the docks in their own kind of quarantine. The link in that supply chain has snapped.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
Expert Tips to Save on Your Business’s Office Supply Purchases / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Without a doubt, one of the most common overhead expenses that nearly all businesses share is that of office supply purchases. Chances are your business needs furniture, pens, paper, envelopes, checks, etc. in order to effectively operate. The problem with this is that these costs can quickly add up, and can have a stronger impact on your business’s bottom line than you might imagine.
Whether you’re a small business or a mid-sized regional vendor, you’re probably looking for ways to save on your monthly office supply costs. Overspending is a huge problem among small businesses (and mid-sized businesses alike). Luckily, there are many ways to counteract overspending.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
An Investment in Life / Politics / Pandemic
By: Patrick_Watson
If you’re following the coronavirus news from home, thank you for helping society through this hard time. Home is where we should all be, except for medical, food, public safety and other such essential workers. Please be careful if you do have to run out for necessities.
None of us have seen anything like this. Even in wartime, there are rear areas and safe zones where people can breathe easily. In this situation, we’re all vulnerable everywhere.
Virus mitigation measures, while necessary, are severely straining the economy. Places like mainland China, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore show that early, aggressive measures can work. But they come at tremendous cost.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2020
Sheffield Coronavirus Pandemic Infections and Deaths Forecast / Politics / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
So how bad are things about to get in the city of Sheffield which like London and Birmingham is coronavirus hotspot, so it's likely we'll be getting our own temporary Nightingale Hospital probably at the English Institute of Sport or Arena. The starting point for that is likely to happen next is my trend forecast of 22nd March, but first.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK government started the ball rolling in announcing a number of measures in attempts at slowing the parabolic curve that the pandemic was on, first of which was to close all schools as of Friday 20th March, which in my opinion was about 2 weeks later than they should have closed the schools. Still in terms of pandemic time line it is about 5 days ahead of when Italy closed all of their schools, so 'should' help resolve towards a better outcome.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
The Great Coronavirus Depression - Things Are Going to Change. Here’s What We Should Do / Economics / Coronavirus Depression
By: John_Mauldin
In the aftermath of the coronavirus, we face the strong possibility of a deflationary depression. We cannot allow that to happen.
This is going to mean significant amounts of government debt, and much of it will have to be monetized by the Federal Reserve. I fully get that means risking an inflationary episode as a result.
In order to get inflation, there has to be a big rise in demand along with a jump in the money supply.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
One of the Biggest Stock Market Short Covering Rallies in History May Be Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund considers the opportunities posed by recent market and fiscal news.
In recent days the Fed has made it plain that it is prepared to buy anything and everything to prevent imminent total collapse, and you don't have to join many dots to see that this will extend to buying stocks. It's not that hard for them—all they have to do is enter a few keystrokes, add a few 0s and it's sorted—and as Gregory Mannarino repeatedly points out, the more debt they issue the more powerful they become.
Right now sentiment is "end of the world" negative, and any positive development will be enough to trigger a gargantuan, self-feeding, short-covering rally. Gold's huge recovery is a sign that this may be about to start.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
The Fed, the Coronavirus and Investing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable speaks to Bob Moriarty of 321gold about his thoughts on the current financial markets and investment opportunities.
Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. Today, we will discuss the Fed, the coronavirus and your investment portfolio.
Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, a world-renowned, best-selling author and founder of the websites 321Gold and 321Energy.com.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
Women’s Fashion Trends in the UK this 2020 / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Dylan_Moran
...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
The Last Minsky Financial Snowflake Has Fallen – What Now? / Economics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Raymond_Matison
For more than a decade financial markets had been in denial of economic reality – as long as the Federal Reserve continued supporting bubbles. Numerous money managers and financial pundits cautioned investors in vain, as their warnings did not result in a market meltdown – until now.
An economist of the last century, Hyman Minsky, had likened the economy and stock market to a mountainside which is slowly accumulating snow. That snow appears stable until one last snowflake falls and it starts an avalanche. In the last month we did not just get one financial snowflake, but a huge snowstorm in the form of the corona virus – and it, with the already overextended markets caused this real financial avalanche.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 28, 2020
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast Into End April 2020 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis concludes in detailed trend forecasts for UK and US Coronavirus Infections and deaths into the end of April 2020. The importance of which being to act as indicators for the primary driver for stock market trend since Mid February. Where as was the case with my preceding forecasts into the end of March, deviations against the Coronavirus trend warned of worse prospects for stock prices as the UK and US FAILED to follow the South Korean model of containing the pandemic, instead either proved completely incompetent in doing nothing despite having had well over a months advance warning of what to expect. Or perhaps by design so as to allow the virus to infect the general population as it was deemed to be impossible to prevent in the long-run given the movement of people, goods and services and so a quick sharp deadly shock was deemed to be the most cost effective solution.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2020
DJIA Coronavirus Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Short-term Trend Analysis
The bubble that was the Dow's early year bull run has well and truly burst with the Dow literally crashing to a low of 24,700, and if it wasn't for the Coronavirus than the Dow would still have fallen to trade down to a low of about 27,500. Instead we have gone beyond that which technical analysis can determine, hence my continuing heavy focus on the Coronavirus trend which on the 27th of February concluded in expectations for the Dow to fairly quickly trade down to about 25,500 that it soon sliced through during it's multi day crash.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2020
US and UK Case Fatality Rate Forecast for End April 2020 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The US AND France are on a similar trend trajectory of under testing, thus as I have been warning for a month now that the US has probably a huge pool of infected, circulating and doubling every 3 or 4 days. That I estimated 2 weeks ago to be about ten times the official number to total at least 4000. Where US current tally of 23,000 suggests that the actual number of infected could easily exceed 250,000, more than ten fold the recorded infected number due to the fact the US IS STILL NOT TESTING ENOUGH!
110,000 tests to date is a mere pinprick, the US should be testing that number EVERY DAY!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2020
US Stock Market Upswing Meets Employment Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The much-anticipated upswing continuation came yesterday, and the bulls certainly fought hard to keep up the upside momentum. To what degree have they been successful with most of the intraday gains evaporating before the closing bell?
The intraday volatility is high and offers many opportunities to profit on both long and short positions. And that’s certainly what we did earlier this week, cashing in a 168-point gain on Friday-opened short position, and two more profitably closed positions (both were long trades) yesterday for an 82- and 52-point profit respectively. In total, that’s 302-point gain this week so far!
But going into the employment data later today, how does the technical outlook look like right now?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2020
Will the Fed Going Nuclear Help the Economy and Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
On Monday, the Fed introduced QE-infinity. What does it imply for the US economy and the gold market?
Fed Drops Bazooka… and Goes Nuclear Instead!
On Monday, the Fed pulled out an even larger bazooka than it did previously. Or, forget about the bazooka. The US central bank has gone nuclear! Indeed, the US central bank announced extensive new measures to support the economy. On March 15, the FOMC had announced it would purchase at least $500 billion of Treasury securities and at least $200 billion of mortgage-backed securities. On Monday, the Fed expanded its asset purchasing program by including purchases of agency commercial mortgage-backed securities in its agency mortgage-backed security purchases. In addition, the FOMC introduced unlimited quantitative easing. Yes, unlimited! The QE-infinity is back!
Friday, March 27, 2020
What you need to know about the impact of inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Submissions
When it comes to investment risks, one that investors seem to overlook is the risk that their money may not be able to grow enough to keep up with inflation. It can play a significant role in the protection of an investment and therefore, should be taken into account when evaluating the potential success of an investment.
Read full article... Read full article...