Wednesday, January 31, 2024
What the Stock Market "Fear Index" VIX May Be Signaling / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: EWI
"Note the succession of higher closing low relative to higher highs in..."
First, just a quick basic fact about the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) -- also known as the stock market's "fear gauge": the lower the reading, the higher the complacency among investors. Higher readings indicate increased investor nervousness.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 31, 2024
Stock Market Trend Forecast Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Stock Market trend forecast mission accomplished, a rally to 4600 July 2023 to resolve in a correction to 4100 by late October 2023 followed by a rally into the end of the year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 28, 2024
The Roaring AI Tech Stocks 2020's / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Just pause for a moment and take in the chart below that I have been iterating since June 2020, the message one should be receiving is that I expect this bull market to run for many more years, that I expected to target a return of X6 over some 7 years on where AI tech stocks stood June 2020, whilst my best guess 3.5 years ago was that we could see a major top during 2027, as long as run away valuations moderated from time to time delivering buying opps as they did during 2022 then I don't see why this should not still remain the big picture, thus the bull market that began March 2009 could continue to fulfill my original expectations for a 18 year bull market, where even the bear market that follows it will prove temporary as the bull market once more resumes during the 2030's.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 27, 2024
BP Oil Stock Bullish Formation and Its Consequences / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: Submissions
The combination of supports and a candlestick formation encouraged the bulls to fight.How high could stock go?
Last week turned out to be a breakthrough for the bulls. They managed to maintain important support, which attracted buyers to the trading floor and resulted in further positive technical changes. How high can the bulls climb in the following days? You will find the answer to this question in the article below. Have a nice read.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 27, 2024
Gold:Silver Ratio Signals Silver on Sale / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024
By: MoneyMetals
Silver is underpriced.
In other words, silver is on sale.
The current gold-to-silver ratio reveals this.
This ratio tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. Or to put it another way, the gold:silver ratio tells you the price of gold in silver.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 27, 2024
Investing in the Stock Market is Like Boxing With Mike Tyson - Investor Psychology / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Most market participants soon learn that stock market investing isn't as easy as the clowns on the CNBC cartoon network sales pitches present it to be. Investing is like getting into a boxing ring with Mike Tyson, become arrogant and you will get knocked out in the first round. Whilst all those fund managers and analists on the financial cartoon networks never even fund set foot in the ring. Think of the stock market as Mike Tyson, it will knock you out! All one can do is to learn through experience to dodge as many as those punches as possible, that is the way to win in the stock market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 24, 2024
S&P Stock Market Detailed Trend Forecast 2024 - P1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The S&P ends 2023 at 4770, a raging bull market that has been missed by most as 2023 proved to be another year where the consensus got it badly wrong, doom and gloom, a recession was seen as being a done deal as it was for 2022, then there was the debt ceiling nothing burger, QT! What QT? We had stealth QE via the reverse repo market, and the banking crisis nothing burger, plenty of reasons why NOT to invest all the way down from the likes of Stanley Druckenmiller through to the perma fools on the CNBC cartoon network, blogosFear all convinced most to park their funds into T-bills and money market accounts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 24, 2024
Make Bitcoin's Volatility Work for You / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Here's a bullish forecast when a "crypto winter" was proclaimed
The price action of bitcoin has been the very epitome of volatility.
The good news for Elliott wave practitioners is that the greater the emotional swings in a financial market, the clearer the Elliott waves -- but not at every juncture along a market's price path.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 23, 2024
Synthetic Intelligence / Personal_Finance / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Is Artificial the right word to use for what is taking place as we enter 2024?
Artificial - made or produced by human beings rather than occurring naturally, especially as a copy of something natural.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 22, 2024
Is Natural Gas a Complete Failure? / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Submissions
Thanks to the last week’s declines, natural gas lost 32% and approached the support area. What are the implications?
Major Decline in Natural Gas Prices
Last week, natural gas recorded its biggest decline in months. Could this have been predicted? What technical factors encouraged the bears to attack? What changes did this movement leave behind on the chart? You will find answers to these questions in today's article. Have a nice read!
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 21, 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks / Companies / Investing 2024
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My focus for much of 2023 was to what degree one would get lucky in ones target stocks during the year, as it can be a case of playing with fire to heavily trim ones holdings, especially the primary and secondary AI tech stocks, all because one thinks one can then rebuy on the next dip. In which respect 2023 proved to be a great year because we got lucky TWICE during the year! Firstly March's correction to S&P 3800, can you imagine that the S&P traded down to 3800 in March! And then again following the July high of 4600 all the way down to 4100! Which even I had started to give up on happening given support at 4200.
Furthermore these corrections resulted in huge draw downs in target stocks i.e. we had Google in March that prompted many to ask if they should sell their Google to buy something else because all of the news was bad, to which my response was I AM BUYING MORE GOOGLE! This is another problem with most investors, for some reason they imagine that stock prices fall on good news, if so then buying the dips would be EASY! Instead stock prices tend to plunge on BAD NEWS! YOU DO NOT GET GOOGLE TRADING DOWN TO $86 ON GOOD NEWS! And this is why most investors fail to buy when stocks are cheap!
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 21, 2024
Which Countries Have the Most Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024
By: MoneyMetals
Which countries have the most gold?
Central banks around the world have aggressively added gold to their reserves over the last several years.
In 2022, central bank gold buying came in at 1,136 tons. It was the highest level of net purchases on record dating back to 1950, including since the suspension of dollar convertibility into gold in 1971. It was the 13th straight year of net central bank gold purchases.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 21, 2024
S&P 500: What to Make of Fear Versus Greed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: EWI
This sentiment index combines seven indicators into one useful trend measure
That is -- market participants generally go from feeling deeply pessimistic all the way to feeling highly optimistic -- and then back again.
These swings in investor psychology tend to produce similar circumstances at corresponding points in the Elliott wave structure of the main stock market indexes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 21, 2024
What’s Next for Exxon Mobil? / Companies / Oil Companies
By: Submissions
The sellers hit a fresh multi-week low during yesterday’s session, testing important supports.
Pushing to a New Low
As I mentioned at the beginning, the bears managed to push the price to a new low - to the lowest level since mid-March 2023! What events contributed to this deterioration? What can we expect next week? Answers to these questions you’ll find in today's article. Have a nice read!
Saturday, January 20, 2024
Kubet: Thailand's Love Affair with Online Casino Magic / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Introduction
In the vibrant landscape of online casinos in Thailand, one platform has managed to capture the hearts of many—Kubet. This article delves into the love affair that Thailand shares with Kubet, exploring the emotional connection that transcends traditional gaming experiences.
Friday, January 19, 2024
Stock Market 2024 Rally to the MOON! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Understand this if you invested in the stock market to any significant degree during 2023 then you went AGAINST the herd because the herd (Institutions and retail investors) plowed most of their money into money market accounts having been talked into by the likes of the clowns on the CNBC cartoon network, MSM and the blogosfear. In fact it is even worse than that as Equity Funds experienced a net outflow of about $250 billion during 2023. so not only did investors not invest, they actually sold stocks. So what is going to happen when they see rates on their money market accounts drop? They are going to BUY STOCKS! Which will be NEAR ONE AND HALF YEARS LATE TO THE PARTY!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 19, 2024
Toward China's Soft Economic Rebound / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
Last year, international observers charged China for global inflation, deflation and economic collapse. In reality, Chinese economy is inching toward a soft rebound, despite the dire global landscape.As global business and political leaders swarmed to Davos for the World Economic Forum, Chinese Premier Li Qiang took the podium. Chinese economy has rebounded and moved upward, Li noted, and was estimated to have grown around 5.2% in 2023. That’s slightly better than the official target of around 5%.
No matter how the world’s situation changes, Li added. China will adhere to its fundamental national policy of opening up, and its door will only get wider and wider.” he said.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 19, 2024
U.S. Real Estate Market: A 24% Problem / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
"...24% of U.S. single family homes are owned by investors."
A big reason that U.S. home prices have skyrocketed is that big investors like corporations did a lot of buying.
As a Redfin.com headline noted nearly two years ago (Feb. 16, 2022):
Real Estate Investors Are Buying a Record Share of U.S. Homes
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 19, 2024
SoftBank: A Possible Stock Market Omen for What's Ahead / Companies / Stock Markets 2024
By: EWI
Here's what happened to the once most valuable U.S. startup
SoftBank, the multinational holding company which is heavily involved in the technology sector, has had a tough go of it.
Its stock price has been in a steady decline for the past few years and one has to wonder if this is a preview of what may be ahead for many other firms, especially those in the technology sector.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 19, 2024
Gold Builds Support at $2,000; What's Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024
By: MoneyMetals
Gold appears to have built solid support above $2,000 an ounce, but momentum to move higher in the short term has eased with uncertainty about the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
But short-term sentiment aside, there are plenty of reasons to remain bullish on the yellow metal.
The Fed appeared to surrender to inflation at its December meeting. While the central bank held rates steady, it signaled three rate cuts for 2024 with another four cuts in 2025. That would lower rates to between 2 and 2.5 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...