Wednesday, July 22, 2020
Gold and Oil: Be Aware of the "Spike" / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: EWI
"Hope and fear look different on a chart"
Recently in these pages, we noted that bull markets in stocks tend to end with "a subtly slowing ascent" rather than with a final "spike" higher, as many investors believe. Historical examples were provided.
It was also pointed out that, by contrast, commodities do tend to end major uptrends with a price spike.
The Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, by Frost & Prechter explains why (keep in mind regarding the quote from the book that fifth waves are the final wave in the main trend of a financial market):
Wednesday, July 22, 2020
US Online Casino Demographics: Who Plays Online For Money? / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035! / Stock-Markets / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the third and final article in my 3 part series of analysis that concludes in a detailed 15 year stock market trend forecast for AI stocks, including a stand alone forecast for Alphabet (Google) into 2027.
Part 1 The AI Stocks Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
Part 2 Tech Stocks Trending Towards the Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
However the whole of this extensive analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work - Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035!.
- Why Investors Should Buy Deviations against the Bull Market Highs
- The AI Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
- QUANTUM COMPUTERS
- The Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
- Capitalising on the AI Mega-trend
- AI Stocks Mega-trend
- Formulating a AI Stocks Mega Trend Forecast
- AI Stocks Mega-tend 15 Year Trend Forecast Conclusion
- Dow Quick Technical Take
- Getting Started with Machine Learning
- Black Lives Matter Protests To trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave?
Tuesday, July 21, 2020
How to benefit from the big US Infrastructure push / Economics / Infrastructure
By: Richard_Mills
The US economy continues to flounder like an East Coast freighter bashed by a mid-winter Nor-easter.
Fifty million claims is the latest unemployment milestone surpassed by the American workforce during the ongoing coronavirus pandemic that has drubbed the United States worse than any other country including China, where it started.
In a stark contrast of how the two biggest economies have fared, on Wednesday China reported its gross domestic product grew by 2.5% in the second quarter, beating analysts’ expectations and rebounding from a sickly first quarter when the country was assailed by the coronavirus. (Q1 output fell by 6.5%, the first quarterly GDP decline in China since 1992 when official records started being kept)
The news came as lockdowns to contain a second wave of covid-19 eased, and Beijing rolled out stimulus measures to keep its economy growing, including fiscal spending, cutting interest rates and lowering the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Gold and gold mining stocks are entering a strong seasonal phase / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Dimitri_Speck
You may have heard that gold typically rallies seasonally from the middle of the year. This trend is driven by jewelry demand, which increases ahead of the Christmas business, the Indian wedding season and the Chinese New Year celebrations on the back of advance purchases by jewelers, which tend to put upward pressure on prices.
But what about the seasonal trend in gold stocks? Since the earnings of gold producers are highly geared to the gold price, a relationship should be discernible.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Silver Eyes Key Breakout Levels as Inflation Heats Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Gold and silver markets advanced early this week, with silver leading the way. On Thursday, the metals sold off a bit as the U.S. dollar gained.
The major trend for the dollar, however, is down. The Dollar Index has been grinding lower since mid March, when it put in a spike high.
Silver finally broke through $19 level with a strong close above it on Monday. There hasn’t yet been much follow-through. Although silver has continued to close above $19, we’re not seeing a big momentum push higher.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Gold During Coronavirus Recession and Beyond / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It’s official now! On June 8, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research stated that economic activity in the United States had peaked in February 2020 (and in Q4 2019, when it comes to the peak in quarterly economic activity), marking the start of a recession. The peak also designates the end of the expansion that began in June 2009 and lasted 128 months, the longest in the history of business cycles dating back to 1854.How did gold behave during the last U.S. economic expansion? Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, a lot happened in the gold market during 2009-2020 period. Initially, the yellow metal rallied until 2011, doubling its price from about $900 to $1,900 in September 2011.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
US Election 2020: ‘A Major Bear Market of Political Decency’ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: John_Mauldin
I know many of you are wondering what happens if Joe Biden wins the 2020 presidential election? What happens if Donald Trump wins?
So, I called my friend Doug Kass to basically “wargame” the next 12 to 24 months. He’s a veteran trader and investor, one George Soros tried to hire on several occasions. So, when he has something to say, I listen closely.
Doug and I went back and forth on a few issues, but the bottom line is the same: We are in for a very rough ride.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Summertime Sizzle for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Summer doldrums? Not for precious metals markets!
In early July, gold and silver each broke out to fresh multi-year highs. The yellow metal is within striking distance of new all-time highs and the headline worthy figure of $2,000/oz.
The white metal, meanwhile, has a lot of catching up to do. And as it does, the gains in percentage terms could be explosive.
Silver has already packed on 60% since its March panic-selling low. Importantly, it has shown leadership by narrowing its historically large discount to the gold price.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Overclockers UK Custom Built PC Review - Delivery and Unboxing (3) / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
The big day has finally arrived when our OverClockers UK custom built £1,000 PC is to be delivered. Find out what to expect in terms of communications, delivery and of course unboxing, how the PC is packaged and what it comes with in our latest video in buying a custom built from Overclockers UK series.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2020
How to Tell Your Young Budgies Gender, Male or Female? / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets
By: Anika_Walayat
Virtually every budgie being sold in the pet shops are less than 3 months old, which means the usual brown nose / purple nose test for whether a budgie is male or female is not going to work. However, this video explains who you can increase the odds of selecting a budgie of the right gender, so that you end up with a male and female budgie if that is what you are looking for.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
Will Coronavirus Vaccines Become a Bridge to Nowhere? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Michael_Pento
The monthly U.S. budget deficit for June 2020 was a heart-stopping record $864 billion. For reference, last year's deficit for all of fiscal 2019 was just under $1 trillion. In other words, the June deficit was almost as much as the entire amount of red ink spilled one year ago. This year will see the worst annual amount of fiscal hemorrhaging ever—and by a whole lot. The figure will be at least $4 trillion in total, which is $2.6 trillion more than the peak suffered under the Great Recession. One has to imagine that with the Department of Labor reporting, there are now 32 million people collecting unemployment insurance as of June 27th--the amount of additional debt continues to pile up fast.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
Stock Market Time for Caution? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the next few days.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
ClickTrades Review - The Importance of Dynamic Analysis and Educational Tools in Online Trading / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Justin_Weinger
During challenging periods as recent months have been, trading the financial markets needs to be done with dynamic analysis and with the assistance of proper educational tools. We’re living in unprecedented times, so we need to be minded about how assets might behave in the long run.
Fully aware of its customers’ need for such resources in order to have a better in-depth view of market conditions, ClickTrades had developed a comprehensive trading offer, designed to help traders navigate the volatile behavior of prices.
ClickTrades is a reputable International trading brand owned by KW Investments Limited, authorized and regulated by the Seychelles FSA. It provides access to 2,100+ instruments (CFDs on FX, shares, blends, indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies, bonds, and ETFs) as well as an innovative trading software compatible with any device, and multiple trading tools like Trading Central.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
US Housing Market Collapse Second Phase Pending / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this second part of our research into what we believe is the US pending real estate collapse, we’ll explore more data supporting our expectations. In the first part of this article, we highlighted the Case-Shiller data showing home price levels had already exceeded 2006-07 levels and how earning levels have collapsed after the COVID-19 virus event. Our research team believes thee extremely high price levels, combined with the uncertainty of future earnings, unemployment, layoffs, and other economic contractions will result in a late 2020 or early 2021 shift in the residential real estate market.
We already know that commercial real estate has experienced one of the worst declines in decades. Delinquencies have skyrocketed and thousands of US businesses have entered bankruptcies. Main street and consumer services sectors will likely continue to feel the pain related to the post-COVID-19 economy for many months still. The question before all investors should be “how will the price levels reflect the changes in earning and economic data throughout this transition?”
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Monday, July 20, 2020
Capitalising on the AI Mega-trend / Companies / AI
By: N_Walayat
Machine Intelligence has become a broad church that has fragmented or branched off into a myriad of sectors and the number keeps growing each year. Many years ago I broke the machine intelligence mega-trend down into 10 key sectors to invest in.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
Getting Started with Machine Learning / InvestorEducation / AI
By: N_Walayat
Of course investing in the AI stocks is just ONE means of profiting from the exponential machine learning mega-trend. Another way that everyone should consider is to LEARN to program and train neural nets which these days is a LOT easier to do than was the case 10 years ago!
No, you don't need to rush out and invest in a $15,000 3990x system with 4 Titan GPU's and 256gb of ram to get started with machine learning.
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Monday, July 20, 2020
Why Moores Law is NOT Dead! / Companies / Computing
By: N_Walayat
For as long as I can remember the argument has been that Moores Law (doubling in cpu processing power every 2 years) was always just about to end due to the inability to shrink the cpu dies further and thus an end to exponential increase in processing power that is usually measured in cpu transistor count , I did not agree with this 5 years ago when I first started writing about the exponential AI mega-trend where to date it has not turned out to be true on either transistor count or the COMPUTE power basis which is what people should actually be focused upon, after all that is what one actually utilises COMPUTE POWER.
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Sunday, July 19, 2020
Help the Economy by Going Outside / Economics / US Economy
By: Patrick_Watson
COVID-19 cases are growing fast in large parts of the US. The same folks who said the virus would just go away now say not to worry because fewer people are dying.
A lower mortality rate helps, but it’s still too high. The sheer number of sick people is straining hospital capacity some places. Viruses don’t care what anyone thinks; they just spread until something stops them.
The economy can’t recover if people fear infection everywhere they go. We need to balance public health and economic necessity.
Fortunately, scientists are learning how to reduce risk with fewer economic side effects.
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Sunday, July 19, 2020
Stock Market Fantasy Finance: Follow the Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger takes a look at the latest moves in the financial and precious metals markets, and updates his investment strategy moving into late summer.
I've only just returned from the majesty of Georgian Bay, where the first fishing derby of the season had me summarily trounced by my female partner 12 to 5, with most of her catches in the 1- to 2-pound category and mine barely larger than the lure that attracted them.
Adding to this humiliation was that, despite that I have harangued incessantly about the urgency of "setting the hook" once you get a strike, I lost four 1-pound-plus bass within three feet of the dinghy by failing to properly execute that about which I constantly lecture.
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