Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 26, 2010
Why Do U.S. Asset Managers Fear Government Gold Confiscation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Mr Levine of HSBC in a recent gold conference pointed out that some top U.S. Asset Managers were fearful of the possibility of government confiscation of gold. He explained, that on being told that the bank's U.S. vaults had sufficient space available for their gold he was told that they did not want their gold stored in the U.S.A. but preferably in Europe because they feared that at some stage the U.S. Administration might follow the path set by Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1933 and confiscate all U.S. gold holdings as part of the country's strategy in dealing with the nation's economic problems.
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Monday, July 26, 2010
Crude Oil Headed Unimaginably Higher! / Commodities / Crude Oil
A very well-known and internationally respected forecasting firm believes the price of oil is headed “unimaginably higher” in the next few years. To somewhere north of $300 a barrel. I couldn’t agree more.
What will drive the price of oil so much higher, when most of the western world is either in a deep recession, or worse, a depression?
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Monday, July 26, 2010
Gold Supported by Physical Buying Amid Slow Summer Dealing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD gave back an early rally on Monday morning to trade just below Friday's close of $1190 an ounce amid what one Hong Kong dealer called "a typically slow summer day."
"There is physical gold buying coming in as prices are below $1200," said a Seoul-based trader.
Sunday, July 25, 2010
Metals Investing in Burkina Faso, The Land of Upright People / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Burkina Faso is a landlocked country in West Africa. It is surrounded by six countries: Mali to the north, Niger to the east, Benin to the southeast, Togo and Ghana to the south, and Côte d'Ivoire to the southwest.
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Sunday, July 25, 2010
The Golden Chalice and Gold’s Greatest Correction Since 1980 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold has been on a tear since the low in 1999 at $252.50 ($GOLD) per ounce, thrashing virtually every other asset class for over a decade as it soared to its $1265 high in June 2010. A solid case can certainly be made that as long as the dollar is being destroyed by loose fiscal and monetary policy that gold has a one-way ticket to higher prices. However, no market runs to the sky. There are always corrections, some major. Gold is now potentially facing its largest correction since 1980. Contemplating what happens when the golden chalice formation breaks is a worthy exercise. The Fibonacci golden ratio is the place to start.
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Saturday, July 24, 2010
Crude Oil Prices Show Little Momentum for Breaking Through $80 Barrier / Commodities / Crude Oil
Prices of crude oil futures slumped below $79 a barrel on Friday despite a stock market rally and the rise of Tropical Storm Bonnie in the Gulf of Mexico.The downward turn on Friday followed a sharp gain Thursday amid positive corporate earnings reports that some saw as a signal of economic recovery and the brewing tropical storm.
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Saturday, July 24, 2010
Silver, Beware of Who You Buy From / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
With silver attracting headlines, cult-like following, and higher prices, silver investors should be on high alert for a scam being perpetrated on the internet. Newly minted fake coins are finding their way from Chinese counterfeiters to Ebay and then to investors who unknowingly purchase $20 rounds that are in reality only a few dollars worth of metals. As prices tread higher, these scams will only continue to grow in their influence. Here's a simple guide to evaluate silver, and whether or not it is indeed real:
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Saturday, July 24, 2010
How to Pull Cash Out of Your Silver Holdings Without Losing Ounces / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
With silver on a bull run, you might be tempted to take some cash out of your silver holdings. However, if you're like most silver investors, who have an array of different silver coins, rounds, and other metal pieces, you might just be able to cash in without reducing your total holdings.
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Saturday, July 24, 2010
U.S. Economy Never Came Out of Recession, Pray and Hold onto Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Newsletter Writer Ron Struthers is an old-school straight talker who doesn't mince words. Ron believes the U.S. economy never came out of the 2008 recession and predicts America is about to face a whole new set of debt problems at the state level. "Any one of the U.S. states is bigger than Greece and 40 or more of them are in the same bad shape," he warns. Ron recommends investors fortify their portfolios with 15%–20% physical gold and another 40% in cash, ready to jump on any opportunities the moody markets present. In this short but sweet interview with The Gold Report, Ron also offers some of his favorite gold and silver plays, many of which are in Mexico. ¡Ole!
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold BubbleOmics Revisited / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The recent gyrations of the Gold price are rather typical of a bubble about to pop, with lows coming in lower than the upward trend-line of lows. Although figuring out exactly when a bubble will pop is a bit like figuring out when a volcano will blow…there are rumblings, false alarms…more rumblings…and everyone says “don’t be a scaredy-cat” then….BOOM.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold Market Spooked by Deflationary Double-Dip Recession Fears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Last week, the price of gold again broke below its new base at $1,200, and the U.S. stock market was again under strong pressure, due to a confluence of fears, most of which point to a deflationary double-dip. The fears were fanned by disappointment in the just-released early quarterly results, by the latest CPI reports that show inflation continuing to moderate, and by yet another poll revealing faltering consumer confidence.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
U.S. Dollar's Never-Ending Plunge and Its Gold Consequences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The previous weeks have been characterized by a steady pattern - USD Index is either plunging or is consolidating and it's likely to plunge within several days. The general truth is that no trend moves in any direction in the form of a straight line. Yet, so far the dollar tries to prove this saying incorrect by moving lower over and over again.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold and Silver For Investor Profit and Protection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Equities-in-general have gone nowhere for the past decade (and have lost 30% or more when their prices are adjusted for inflation), and are in a Bear Market, with no end realistically in sight.
And most Bonds and CD’s provide niggardly or negative returns after adjusting for Real Inflation.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Both Euro and Gold Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The markets appear to be very nervous in general and particularly nervous about the EU stress test results, which have pressed the euro lower versus the U.S. dollar, which makes sense, but also has been accompanied by a sell-off in spot gold from $1204 to $1190. The gold sell-off does not make sense in relation to the flight away from euros, but is understandable if some investors continue to use any strength in gold to liquidate long positions to raise cash.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold Diverging Trend From Weak U.S. Monetary Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We seem to do a lot of waiting. As 2009 ended, U.S. dollar was being forecast to be approaching the end of its existence. Presumably, we must continue to wait for that event. Moving on, forecasters had more recently been calling for imminent collapse of EU and vaporization of the Euro. Presumably, we must continue to wait for that event too. Many are still forecasting an imminent replacement of global currencies with Gold. Presumably, we must continue to wait for that too.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Oil Stocks XOI Undervalued / Commodities / Oil Companies
Oil stocks have to be one of the most unloved sectors in the markets today. The recent general-stock-market and oil corrections combined with the incredibly-negative psychology spawned by the BP oil spill have driven oil stocks down to deeply-oversold levels. This swoon has also left this sector very undervalued, a barren wasteland strewn with great bargains for investors.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Market Vectors Gold Miners GDX ETF Forming A Top / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (symbol: GDX). The pink and black dots represent key pivot points or areas of support (buying) and resistance (selling). There are two bearish signs that point to GDX forming a market top.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold Market Manipulation, Swaps Signal the Roadmap Ahead, BIS The Super SIV Solution / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The news rocked the global gold market when an almost obscure line item in the back of a 216 page document released by an equally obscure organization was recently unearthed. Thrust into the unwanted glare of the spotlight, the little publicized Bank of International Settlements (BIS) is discovered to have accepted 349 metric tons of gold in a $14B swap. Why? With whom? For what duration? How long has this been going on? This raises many questions and as usual with all $617T of murky unregulated swaps, we are given zero answers. It is none of our business!
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Gold Breaks $1200 as Europe's Secretive Bank-Stress Tests Fail to Reassure Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose to a 5-session high above $1200 an ounce early Friday, showing a week-on-week gain for US, Euro and Japanese investors but holding unchanged against Sterling and Swiss Francs.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
How to Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Peter Krauth writes: As an analyst and editor who specializes in the natural-resources sector, I spend a lot of time writing about gold, gold mining, and gold investing. Those are popular - and even emotional - topics with investors, which means that the columns, essays and advisories I write tend to generate a lot of comments and questions.
I think that's great. After all, an engaged investor tends to be a successful investor.
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