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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Gold & Miners to Rally as US Equities Fall On Fear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Equities markets rotated over 1.35% lower on Monday, June 25, after a very eventful weekend full of news and global political concerns.  Much of this fear results from unknowns resulting from Europe, Asia, China, Mexico and the US.  Currently, there are so many “contagion factors” at play, we don’t know how all of it will eventually play out in the long run.

Europe is in the midst of a moderate political revolt regarding refugee/immigration issues/costs and political turmoil originating from the European Union leadership.  How they resolve these issues will likely be counter to the populist demands from the people of Europe.

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Commodities

Monday, June 25, 2018

This Is It For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GLD.

While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD ETF is a wise long-term investment hold, I still use it to track the market movements. For those that have not seen my webinar about why I don’t think the GLD is a wise long-term investment, feel free to review this link for my webinar on the matter.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 24, 2018

Soybean Price Hits 9 Year Low Due to Trade War / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Early this week the price of Soybean futures (ZS_F) plunged to a new low in more than 9 years due to the tit-for-tat trade war between U.S. and China. Soybean Futures started to drop on Friday last week after Trump administration decided to go ahead with 25% tariff on $50 billion worth of goods from China. The list of targeted goods includes technology products which are part of Beijing’s Made in China 2025 initiative.

China quickly retaliated with its own 25% tariff on 545 U.S. goods worth equal value, including agricultural products such as soybeans, corn, and wheat. Soybean futures for July delivery dropped more than 7% to $8.415 a bushel, the lowest since March 2009. The price is now 10% down for the year, and more than 17% down for the quarter.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 24, 2018

Platinum Price Technical Chart Analysis 22nd June 2018 / Commodities / Platinum

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – $873.30

Pattern – a downtrend has clearly been in force…one that I believe ended today with a low at $857.60. And a bullish outside reversal candle to go with it. This will obviously need follow through to the upside while there may be some consolidation of this candle in the very immediate term.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Gerald Celente: Why You Still Need Guns, Gold, and a Getaway Plan... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world, and it's always great to have him on with us. Gerald, thanks for taking the time again today, and welcome back.

Gerald Celente: Thanks for having me on.

Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, the potential for a trade war is the hot topic in the financial press these days. Around here, the question is what escalating concerns over trade might mean for the precious metals markets, and we would like to get your thoughts on that. But first, please give us your take on the President's trade policy in general. Some people think the U.S. has been a major beneficiary of trade. We've been able to import real goods and services in exchange for increasingly worthless dollars. Others hate what so-called globalization has done to U.S. manufacturing and think Trump is delivering a long overdue warning shot to nations who have taken advantage of the U.S. So, where do you stand on all this?

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Cheap Gold Stocks Bottom Basing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are drifting listlessly in the summer doldrums, largely forgotten by investors and speculators.  They are missing a fantastic opportunity to buy low in this barren sentiment wasteland when no one else wants to.  The gold stocks remain exceedingly cheap relative to the metal which drives their profits, and they continue to establish a strong technical base.  They are ready to soar as gold returns to favor.

Gold-stock investing feels pretty thankless these days, like an exercise in self-flagellation.  Thus there aren’t many traders left in this realm.  Week after week as gold stocks continue to drift on balance, the ranks of remaining investors and speculators dwindle.  Interest in this sector is among the lowest I’ve ever seen in decades of actively trading gold stocks.  They’ve been left for dead as contrarians vanish.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Gold - How Long Can This Last? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Yields are rising. The global economy has adapted so far without any major problems. So far. But how long can this last? And what does it ultimately mean for the gold market?

Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the U.S. long-term interest rates have been rising since September 2017. And they breached 3 percent in the second quarter of 2018, attracting investors’ attention all over the world.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Gold's Relative Strength Index Indicating a Bottom Is Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he believes gold is bottoming. Today's missive is going to be brief as there are no need for words when you have the chart below indicating every major low in gold was accompanied by an RSI reading below 30. GLD (the physical gold ETF) is sporting a 27.46 RSI this morning and while we have seen readings lower than this at other bottoming periods, it is time to open a 25% position in the GLD July $120 calls at $1.40, where I was filled shortly after the New York opening. I am now attempting to add a second 25% tranche at $1.50 with the current market $1.54.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Contrarians See Gold and Silver Opportunity in Negative Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver markets entered this summer with sentiment toward the metals in something of a deep freeze.

For several months, precious metals prices have gone essentially nowhere. No sustained rallies to attract momentum traders; no washout plunges to attract bargain hunters. The long, protracted stalemate between bulls and bears has frustrated metals investors and, frankly, bored the public.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price May Have Turned Down for Good! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Enda_Glynn

Hi everyone,
Hope the day went well for you.

Tomorrow,
the big three central bank heads,
will open their mouths and potentially cause havoc!

I am on record with my recommendations for how central bank chair persons should be treated when entering office.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Gold GLD ETF Update… Breakdown ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Just a quick update on a few of the GLD charts we’ve been following closely. Below is the daily line chat which shows the breakout from the blue triangle that formed as the backtest to the larger 5 point bearish falling wedge reversal pattern. The bulls tried as hard as they could but they couldn’t take out the bottom rail of the falling wedge reversal pattern. Friday’s decline was on heavy volume.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

The Fed Is Driving Down Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The U.S. dollar has jumped to its strongest level in nearly a year, raising questions about how a strong greenback could act as a drag on debt and oil demand in much of the world.

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced another rate hike a few days ago, which helped edge up the dollar to a new high for the year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Major Turnaround in Crude Oil’s Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Crude oil’s Friday’s huge daily decline was not followed by yet another daily slide, but by a profound reversal. The price has surely turned by 180 degrees, but can we say the same thing about the outlook for the following days?

No. The volume doesn’t support this outcome and as you’ve seen in the previous several days, indications and confirmations from volume are very important. In fact, the low volume was one of the key reasons that made us open the short position at $66.78 on Wednesday.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Natural Gas Setup for 32% Move in UGAZ Fund / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we all know a picture says 1000 words, which is one of the reasons why I gravitated to trading using technical analysis. I can look at a chart and in seconds understand what price has done and is likely to do in the near future, without knowing a single thing about the company, index, or commodity. Why spend time reading news, financial statements, and other opinions when you can fast-track the entire process with a chart.

So, let’s just jump into the 30-minute chart of natural gas which shows the regular trading hours 9:30am – 4pm ET.

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Commodities

Monday, June 18, 2018

Cocoa Commodities Trading Analysis / Commodities / Cocoa

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – $2552

Pattern – we have a pattern of lower lows and lower highs on this chart signifying a downtrend. Given that price has risen sharply this year so the question becomes is this the start of a new bull trend? No, not in my opinion.

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Commodities

Monday, June 18, 2018

Orange Juice Commodity Trading Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – $159.90. Previous analysis updated – price has traded exactly as outlined, rallying before finding resistance and I now believe the next leg up has commenced.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2018

How Oil Prices Are Affecting Real Estate / Commodities / US Housing

By: Rodney_Johnson

I had a finance professor in college who referred to self-evident ideas as BGOs, or blinding glimpses of the obvious.

The term stuck with me, and my kids have heard it their entire lives.

And it came to mind recently when I considered if rising oil prices weighed on the real estate market.
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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2018

North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold, in a wide-ranging conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses issues from North Korea to Bitcoin. Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, the founder of 321gold, and 321energy.com, and the author of two of my personal favorite books, "The Art of Peace," and "Nobody Knows Anything." Welcome to the show.

I recall when President Trump took office, you shared he will either be the best president or the worst president we've ever had. Now I don't know where he fits into that narrative for you so far, but I have to say that President Trump is not afraid of breaking paradigms. There are series of geopolitical events occurring right now, that have the world’s attention, and I'd like to get your thoughts regarding those. Beginning with the G7 Summit, which just concluded last week. And it got a little testy, if you will, between the United States and the other members, in particular Canada. Give us your thoughts on why these events unfolded, and what do you see being the likely outcome?

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Commodities

Saturday, June 16, 2018

Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold weathered the Federal Reserve’s 7th rate hike of this cycle this week.  Gold-futures speculators and to a lesser extent gold investors have long feared Fed rate hikes, selling ahead of them.  Higher rates are viewed as the nemesis of zero-yielding gold.  But contrary to this popular belief, past Fed rate hikes have proven very bullish for gold.  This latest hike once again leaves gold set up for a major rally in coming months.

The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meets 8 times per year to make monetary-policy decisions.  These can really impact the financial markets, and thus are closely watched by gold-futures speculators.  These elite traders wield wildly-outsized influence on short-term gold price action due to the truly extreme leverage inherent in gold-futures trading.  What they do before and after FOMC decisions really impacts gold.

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Commodities

Friday, June 15, 2018

Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

I am sure you remember the lead up to Q1 2016. The US economy and stock market were transitioning from a Goldilocks environment and narrowly avoiding a bear market while the rest of the world was still battling deflation. Precious metals and commodities were in the dumper and try though US and global central banks might, they seemed to fail to woo the inflation genie out of its bottle at every turn.

Then came December of 2015 when gold and silver made bottoms followed by the gold miners in January of 2016. Then by the time February had come and gone the whole raft of other inflatables (commodities and stocks) had bottomed and begun to set sail.

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