Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Can Commodity Trading Be An Inflation Hedge / Commodities / Commodities Trading
With all the money printed last year by governments all over the world, Is it possible that commodity trading can be a source of hedge against inflation or even hyperinflation? As I have repeatedly stated, Inflation is a wealth destroyer. Instead of being a victim of inflation which stands the definite chance of occurring with all the stimulas money floating around ( or evaporated) one could potentially ride the wave of inflation and potentially make money.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Crude Oil Forecast Summer 2009 / Commodities / Crude Oil
This is a quick update to the analysis of December 2008 that projected an uptrend in the Crude Oil price into mid 2009 targeting $75, to be followed by a downtrend back below $50 towards $40 as illustrated by the original graph.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Where Have Russia's Vast Gold Reserves Disappeared to ? / Commodities / Russia
The legend about the so-called White Guard Gold of Russia’s Admiral Kolchak, ataman Semyonov, Baron Ungern and other prominent historical persoans is still alive. Legend has it that a whole carriage of Kolchak’s gold sank in Baikal Lake at the end of 1919. Specialists continue searching for the mysterious treasure: Russia ’s renowned Mir submersibles were involved in one of the recent scientific missions to find the treasure.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Why Trillion-Dollar Infusion May Not Produce Inflation—or Drive Gold Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Where is the aggressive inflation that was supposed to follow the government's tremendous expansion of the money supply? Why hasn't the new money propelled the price of gold higher? Pierce Points author Dave Forest shares his answers, which counter traditional theories, in this exclusive Gold Report interview. He also talks about some of the companies he likes no matter which way the pendulum swings. Juniors with plenty of project options to choose from are among the equities Dave favors. In his view, those with a strategy for discovery and the cash to do it are good protectors of investment that will do well regardless of what happens on Wall Street—in either an inflationary or deflationary environment.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Gold "Nearing Break-Out" as Obama Economic Stimulus Fails / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD gained more than 1.0% for both US and UK investors on Tuesday morning in London, unwinding yesterday's losses as European stocks rose but volatility hit the currency markets.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Gold Looks to Currencies for Guidance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold: Gold is presently trading at $925.00 and seems to be looking for guidance from currency movements. The market remains directionless with GBP/USD, EUR/USD and stock markets having come off their yearly peak at the start of June. The range still remains $913 to $945. One should be cognisant that this drifting price range remains despite the unfolding deteriorating economic backdrop.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
$20 Crude Oil Is On The Table Again: Can Obama Pull The Israeli Rabbit Trick? / Commodities / Crude Oil
The bears are out again and there is talk of $20 oil; the logic is:
- All the oil stored up in super-tankers will flood the market.
- World GDP growth is low and perhaps getting lower or at least not likely to rocket any time in the immediate future.
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Bad News for Gold Bulls / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Don't shoot the messenger. In the last Gold Market update (click here to access), we mentioned the range in which Gold was trading then.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Who Will Buy the I.M.F. Gold and When? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
At last, the U.S. Congress has permitted the U.S. representative at the I.M.F. to vote to sell the 403 tonnes of gold the I.M.F. bought from Brazil and Mexico. As it is not an individual member's gold we fully expect the members of the fund to OK its sale. The legislation will permit U.S. representatives to the I.M.F. to agree to its planned sale of 13 million ounces of gold, one-eighth of the organization's holdings.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
GOLD Futures Analysis & Trading Strategy July 6th, 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold Spotprice Analysis - Gold in USD (one ounce = US$931.50)- During the last two weeks the price of gold moved sideways between US$948 and US$913. It looks like the correction since early june took at least a break. Exactly at the 61,8% Retracement of the last rally at US$912,70 the market found a shortterm bottom and Gold went up to nearly US$950 pretty quickly. At this level resistance was too strong and selling started again. At the end of last week Gold was down already more than 15 dollar closing at US$931.
Monday, July 06, 2009
Fed Monetization of U.S. Debt to Drive Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Global condemnation of the Obama Regime’s failing economic policies continues to grow. India is now questioning their investment in U.S. dollar denominated assets. That nation is the latest to join China, Russia, and Brazil in publicly worrying over the consequences of those misguided policies. BRIC has now become the most prominent activist investor group trying to either create an alternative to the U.S. dollar or force sound financial policies on the U.S.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Are Gold and Silver Both Ready For Their Next Substantial Upleg? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I like gold and the whole precious metals market which is why I follow it, invest in it and base my professional life around it. Warren Buffet, one of the world’s savviest investors, doesn’t like gold at all. He doesn’t believe in it. In fact, in a speech he gave at Harvard University in 1998 this is what he had to say about gold:
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Crude Oil Points Lower / Commodities / Crude Oil
Now that oil prices have broken key support at $66.00/20 and have followed-through to $63.50 so far, let’s notice that today’s low represents a test of the rising 50-day moving average, which so far has contained the selling pressure. However, let’s also notice that my daily RSI momentum gauge remains pointed sharply lower, which is a warning signal that we should expect oil prices to break the 50 DMA and press lower towards $62.00 and possibly $60.00 thereafter.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Gold Down vs. "Safe Haven" U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD for US investors fell 1.2% in London on Monday morning, but held flat against other major Western currencies as all markets bar government bonds fell against want one dealer called the "safe haven" Dollar.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
The Technical Trader Dow, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil & Nat Gas Charts / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The technical trader looks at the market much differently than most. While many investors are confused when looking at charts which have been marked up by a technician, more experienced traders look at these charts as a map. Short term financial charts are riddles/maps allowing us to put all the pieces together creating a conclusion on how to profit in the near future.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Major Profits for Commodity Futures Trading In a Crisis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Every crisis has created major profits for commodity futures trading. When utilizing a Trend Following strategy a commodity trading advisor makes himself ‘available for oppurtunities”. Most of the time in commodity futures trading nothing happens. Interestingly enough, really nothing has to happen. However in commodity futures trading history virtually all of the crisis of the world have generated LARGE profits for commodity trading advisors. All one has to do is look at last years economic collapse.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Gold Outperforms the U.S. Dollar During Deflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Karl Denninger over at Market Ticker just came out with his 2009 prediction review bashing Gold and Robert Prechter has considered the entire run in Gold since 2000 some kind of weird Elliott Wave correction despite a 300% advance from the early 2000s. Deflation and Gold are not incompatible and it seems odd to me that such seasoned commentators are blind to it. I respect both of these gentlemen and their opinions but I disagree with their views on Gold.
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Friday, July 03, 2009
The Smart Grid Will Offer Exceptional Investing Opportunities / Commodities / Investing 2009
With the likely passage of the “Cap and trade” bill, many people are excited that renewable energy is set for further growth. Investments in wind turbines, solar panels, biomass, and capturing the power of ocean waves continue to interest investors. All of these technologies generate electrical power with minimal carbon emissions. Other investors are looking for ways to benefit from a cap and trade system.
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Friday, July 03, 2009
Gold is Money and Nothing Else / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The title of this post is actually a quote from Mr. JP Morgan in the early 1900s during a Congressional hearing in the United States. Big league bankstas know the role of Gold in the system. Gold is the asset base upon which paper schemes and leverage are constructed. Gold is not a way to get rich, but it is savings and it is money.
Friday, July 03, 2009
Like the Crude Oil Spike Never Happened / Commodities / Crude Oil
Pricing crude oil out of the Dollar this Fourth of July...
SO THIS WEEK'S spike in the price of Brent crude oil to $73.50 was due to a "rogue trader".
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