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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Gold Wedged Between Support and Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Very interesting situation developing in spot gold -- and by extension, the GLD (streetTRACKS Gold Shares). Let's notice that the price structure is wedge-in between the rising 200 DMA (support at $859), and the 50 & 21 DMAs (resistance) as well as the March-June resistance line all clustered around $900. My sense is that if gold hurdles and sustains above $900, gold prices could rocket towards $1000 again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Smart Money Heading Back into Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The current lull in the gold market may signal a great chance to buy before the price moves sharply higher once more..."

WHAT YOU MAKE of the gold market right now depends on what you make of the kind of data UBS's precious metals team follow.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Energy Sector Strong Bullish Trends Due to Demand Growth Fundamentals / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

The price of crude oil hovered around $100 a barrel last month, while natural gas futures pushed toward $10 per thousand cubic feet. Both are impressive due to the fact we are in ‘shoulder season' – a time when moderating weather tends to weaken prices. Long term demand and supply trends remain powerfully bullish. Last month the following events occurred in the energy sector:

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Gold Cheap on Oil Ratio Basis / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold closed at $883.20  in New York  yesterday and was  up $13.30  and silver closed at $1 7.24 up 67 cents. Gold traded in a range between $880 and $890 in Asia n and in European trading this morning prior to selling off at the open on the NYMEX . 

With oil selling off and the dollar stronger versus the euro today, gold has come under pressure. But the inflation genie is well and truly out of the bottle and central banks internationally are in an extremely difficult situation. Unfortunately, present macroeconomic conditions look set to worsen (possibly considerably) in the coming months before they get better. Stagflation is increasing by the day and this will result in gold outperforming other asset classes in the coming months as it did in the 1970's.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Western Policy-Makers Refuse to Raise Interest Rates to Combat Surging Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped out of a tight range just before the US open on Tuesday as strong volatility hit bonds, commodities and currency markets worldwide.

Shanghai stocks dropped almost 3% on average, while crude oil slid $7 per barrel from Monday's new record highs near $140.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

New Socio-Economic Era Dawning Out of Credit and Fuel Crisis / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral weeks ago this analyst expressed the view that the US Equity markets were in the early stages of a Primary Bear Market and that investors should be more focused on capital preservation than on capital growth.

In hindsight, I continue to hold this view.  The core issue seems to be that banks (led by Citigroup), in moving to bring off-balance-sheet items back onto their balance sheets, will likely expose the weaknesses in those balance sheets in the process; and there will likely be a deterioration in their ability/willingness to lend. Additionally, for reasons set out in the body of this article, it seems that the US Fed's ability to create money “out of thin air” is also waning. On balance, it seems that a higher reliance will be placed on equity than on debt in the capital markets. Where will this equity come from?  Between them, the BRIC countries and OPEC may have up to $5.8 trillion to invest.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

Gold Jumps on Strong European Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD jumped almost 1.3% from an early dip in London on Monday, rising above $879 per ounce as the latest European inflation data showed the cost of living rising at a 16-year record.

"Everywhere I turn, inflation is out of control," said Peter McGuire of Commodity Warrants Australia to Bloomberg TV overnight.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

Changes- Living in the Last Days of Cheap Resources and Cheap Commodities / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: David_Vaughn

Went to the store and paid 7 bucks for 2 pounds of fresh North Carolina blueberries. Does that sound like a good deal? Milk was close to 5 dollars a gallon. Evidently, trying to compete with gas prices. Anyone confused where things are headed? Need tech support on your PC and you will find yourself talking to someone in India .

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Commodities

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Global Economic Growth Drives Energy Sector Demand Upward / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the cost of crude oil has soared in recent years, the amount produced hasn't kept pace with demand. Worldwide oil production has barely budged, despite record prices. Since 2004 the price of oil has gone from $33 per barrel to $132 – meanwhile production has risen just 1.8 percent, to 84.6 million barrels per day.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Gold Longterm Trend Turns Bearish / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThese $10 and $20 moves are quite frustrating, especially those on the down side, BUT if one looks closely on a chart there might be things that may be encouraging (or not). So, let's look at some charts.

GOLD: LONG TERM - What we have here is a long term point and figure chart of the gold price movement since 1987. The red lines are bear trend or resistance lines while the blue lines are bull trend or support lines. The thickest lines are primary lines while the thinner lines are secondary.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Black Swans and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: John_Needham

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile it is all white swans and their cygnets on the common at this time of the year in London , black swan events are a very real possibility as John Needham explains in the following article. - Yvonne Lundon-Marchant - The Daniel Code U.K. and Europe

With Fed chief Bernanke trumpeting that the credit crisis is abating, a postscript to his promise that “the subprime problem is contained”, and asserting that the US will not see recession, punters are feeling warm and fuzzy about US markets and apart from an occasional frown about gasoline prices, generally the thrust is that the worst is over. If you are in that camp you may have to think again. As our theme photo shows, tree climbing skills come in handy when bears are on the loose.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

The Danger of Government Intervention in the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Government Intervention

By: Clive_Maund

Just a week ago gold and silver were well placed to begin a new uptrend and while they are still are, we have over the past week witnessed severe testing of - and erosion of - support at a critical level that is leading to rapidly increasing downside risk.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

How Will the Oil Market Drive Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The oil price rose to $139 on Friday and looked like it was 'spiking' to over $150. But is it? That's a rise of 44% this year. A great deal more than technical chart pointers will be needed to understand where oil, food, gold and silver are headed in this environment. If this is the time when consumer and investor demand will rise beyond supply's ability to provide enough, then this is not a 'spike' but a structural change in the market. It will produce a systemic crisis that has to be resolved in collaboration by the world's governments. Are they capable of such cooperation? The prospect of $200 oil then comes into view.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Energy Stocks that Will Profit from Widening of the Crude Oil Crack Spread / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere at Money Morning over the past six months, we've talked a great deal about oil and gasoline prices. We've offered our predictions about how high those prices were going , and have detailed a number of investment opportunities - chosen as much for their margins of safety as for their profit potential.

This time we're going to detail three energy stocks with the potential for double-digit - or even triple-digit - profit gains. Admittedly, these are longer-shot, speculative plays. But we used a special energy indicator to help ferret out these energy plays.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Gold Rallies on US May 4.2% CPI Inflation  / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rallied into the US opening on Friday, bouncing from their second dip below $860 per ounce on news that US consumer-price inflation rose to 4.2% in May.

Crude oil and the Euro held flat, meantime, while Asian stock markets closed out their worst week since the global banking crisis began in summer '07.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Gold Sell off Despite Building Inflationary Pressures / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $869.50 in New York and was down $10.50 and silver closed at $16.48 down 29 cents. Gold rallied initially in Asia but has subsequently given up those gains and has fallen in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

The Treasury Yield Curve and the Gold Bull Market Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome very confusing factors are at work relating to the US Treasury Bond market and the gold market. To assume that gold will rise in knee jerk fashion in response to the gargantuan grotesque growth in monetary inflation (aka US$ money supply) is simply naïve for the public and amateurish for professionals. Never in the US history has more confusion reigned within the body financial. This is to be expected, since the US banking system is insolvent, in parallel to the US housing landscape being increasingly insolvent. The nation must soon make difficult decisions on rebuilding the United States , its infrastructure, its energy supply industry, and put down its military weapons used abroad. Some strange effects are detectable regarding the US Treasury yield curve changes in recent weeks.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Elliott Wave Analysis of Crude OIl and the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Dan_Stinson


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD has completed a leading diagonal and is currently in a wave (2) correction. The current wave up is close to completion and we should see one more wave down to complete wave (2) down. Once this wave down completes, we should see a strong rally in wave (3) up.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Nothing Sweet About Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne thing that I have noticed whenever I publish an article on gold that concludes with a bearish outlook, it tends to be followed by an healthy email response usually informing me that I am completely wrong and that gold is destined to travel to the moon. No other market analysis generates such a response. This clearly signals to me that many, many investors are over weighted in the gold and precious metals which in itself is a warning sign of an imminent peak.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Crude Oil Rising, Clean Energy Reversing? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen I look at the daily chart of crude oil, now it appears that a new upleg is in progress with a target of ... $150? ... $160? ... who knows? What is really interesting to me now is the potential geopolitical connections that could be the underlying reasons why crude just never sustains lower prices for very long.

It seems to me from what I have been reading that the three leaders around the globe who are in trouble are Bush, Olmert, and Ahmadinejad. And all three could be looking at confrontation as a way to save their presidencies, and/or to try to ensure that their political party remains in office. Confrontation?

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