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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Gold Corrects Lower Following Oil Price Plunge Below $130 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $948.20, down $15.20 and silver was down 44 cents to 17.93. Gold continued to fall in Asia and in early European trading it is down by nearly 1.3%.

Gold was due a correction after its recent surge in price and remains up some 6% in the last month (from $882 to  $935) unlike oil and the majority of stock markets (which are down by similar amounts). Gold's recent outperformance may have led to a bout of profit taking and further consolidation is likely prior to challenging the March highs of $1030 per ounce in the coming weeks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Soft Commodities Price Trends / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

With paper oil prices having peaked, we keep hearing a question that demonstrates the uninformed minds of many strategists and talking heads in the business media. That question is, “Have commodity prices peaked?” Again, commodities is not a homogeneous asset class. Comprising it are actually three separate and distinct commodity groups. Energy, minerals, and Agri-Food are the three major genus of the family referred to as commodities. Each is driven by different and unique factors. Each will have a individualistic investment cycle that will drive prices and returns. Falling oil prices may tangentially influence some Agri-Food prices, but do not dominate them. However, the greater impact of lower oil price may be the reduction in costs and improved profitability.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Financial Sector in Crisis as Gold Stocks Set to Go Ballistic / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRight now, those holding financial stocks can be viewed as a frog in a pot of boiling water. As long as the water does not boil, the frog is safe…but mark my words, before the year closes out, the water will boil.

Trying to have a realistic and “contrary view” when someone is directly involved in a particular market is extremely difficult, especially when being stuck in the pot. This will apply to those in the commodity market within 3-4 years, so everyone involved will have to try and have a level head. As gold bugs, we are trying to stick are toes into the water but are repelled by the heat. It will be important to make sure all participants are carrying a thermometer in their pocket to realize when the markets become overheated to a near boiling point, causing everything to spill over.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Gold Rises as Stock Markets Fall on Poor US Earnings / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD rose sharply in London on Tuesday, touching a four-session high of $975 per ounce as European stock markets fell hard.

Crude oil held just above $130 per barrel as Tropical Storm Dolly passed by the oil-rich Gulf of Mexico . The US Dollar bounced from a one-week low vs. the Euro and traded at $2.00 to the British Pound.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Gold Forecasts Revised Upwards to $1200 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $963.40, up $7.00 and silver was up 25 cents to 18.37. Gold traded sideways to slightly up in Asia before rising in early European trading by nearly 1%.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

The Insanity of Rising Crude Oil AND Gold Prices / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne characteristic of the charts is that they show patterns which demand attention, regardless of any preconceptions or prejudices one might have.

I have been writing fairly extensively recently about a psychological phenomenon known as “cognitive dissonance” which – broadly speaking – means that a healthy mind cannot comfortably hold two conflicting thoughts simultaneously. Typically what happens if one has a fairly well entrenched view on any subject, and a piece of conflicting evidence manifests, is that one either rejects the new evidence as being “obviously” (?) wrong, refuses to acknowledge its existence, or rationalises it away as being unimportant.

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Commodities

Monday, July 21, 2008

Gold Bullion and Stocks Flashing Seasonal Buy Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold and Silver Stocks of the HUI index, past and present, as well as future expectations. This essay looks at the seasonal lows for the HUI index, and examines the rise that followed this low, for the past 9 cycles (1999 – 2008). This study should give us a good idea for future expectations, regarding the remainder of 2008. “As the HUI goes, so goes the gold price”.

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Commodities

Monday, July 21, 2008

Primer in Mining Equity Market Investments / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the past paper, we talked about the vast performance disparity among metals, and offered our take on which metals to buy (Gold, Zinc) and which to avoid (Copper) going forward.

Not all metals are created equal - metals review: http://new.goldmau.com/article.php?id=224 In this paper, we will provide the rationale behind mining equity investment, how to choose between metals futures or metals miners, and conclude with which mining sectors to buy and which to avoid.

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Commodities

Monday, July 21, 2008

Gold Turns Bullish on Surging Global Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD rose in London on Monday morning, undoing most of last week's 1% loss to trade above $963 per ounce as the New York opening approached.

Crude oil bounced from a seven-week low beneath $129 per barrel after US forecasters put a 29% chance on Tropical Storm Dolly reaching hurricane strength as it enters the oil-rich Gulf of Mexico .

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Commodities

Monday, July 21, 2008

Both Inflation or Deflation Point to Recession, Gold Outperforms Gold Stocks During Bear Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold finished trading in New York on Friday at $956.40, down $12.70 and silver fell 53 cents to 18.12. Gold traded sideways to slightly up in Asia before rising in early European trading by nearly 1%.

Despite the very sharp fall in oil prices and other commodities last week, gold only fell by 0.2%. Silver was down by 3%. August Crude fell by more than 11% - it fell $16.34 from over $145 to $128.74.  And Prudent Bear's Doug Noland points out that August Gasoline sank 11.5% (up 27.8% y-t-d), and August Natural Gas dropped 10.2% (up 42.9% y-t-d). September Copper declined 1.9%. September Wheat fell 3.2% and August Corn sank 11.8%. The CRB index was hit for 7.4% (up 19.1% y-t-d). The Goldman Sachs Commodities Index (GSCI) sank 9.5% (up 30.5% y-t-d and 55% y-o-y).

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Commodities

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Gold Projects Bullish Trend to $1215 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold has basically been on a roll for over a month, maybe it's time for a little rest. At this point it looks like no more than a rest but let's go through the routine.

GOLD : LONG TERM - I've been away for a few weeks so this week is sort of a “catch-up” week. The long term P&F Chart shows an upside break-out with a projection to the $1215 level. That would put us into new all time high territory and could cause the price to continue towards that long held, very long term, projection to the $1600 mark.

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Commodities

Friday, July 18, 2008

Gold Slips as US Dollar Bounces, Soros Buying Gold Shorting Crude Oil / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD dropped 1.3% at lunchtime in London on Friday, sliding into the US open – and heading for its first weekly loss in five – as world stock markets ticked higher.

The US Dollar rose on the forex market. Crude oil futures jumped 2.1% – "a dead cat bounce," according to one trader – after suffering their worst drop since Dec. 2004 so far this week.

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Commodities

Friday, July 18, 2008

George Soros Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $957.00, down $4.00. Gold traded sideways rose in Asia before rising in early European trading and then falling again and is now down  0.15% for the day.

Equity markets have bounced on what is likely to be another  short term correction on massive short covering. Poor earnings from Google, Microsoft, Merrill and now Citigroup this morning should result in gold remaining well bid and support is at $950.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Crude Oil Breaks Below Major Support as Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude Oil confirmed its forecast downtrend by decidedly breaking below support of $135. The Market Oracle forecast as of 4th of July 2008 and at a price of $146, has been for an initial downtrend to support of $135, on break of which crude oil would target a trend towards major support at $110.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Gold More Weakness Ahead? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) peaked on Tuesday at 97.50 at the top of its June-July price channel, and in the past 48 hours or so has traversed the channel to test its lower support line just above 93.50, which so far has contained the decline.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Commodity Market Forecasts for Soft's, Agricultural's and Livestock / Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe're excited to announce that our friends at Elliott Wave International have made available to our readership a FreeWeek of expert commodity forecasting services until noon Wednesday, July 23.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Traders Only– Prepare to SELL GOLD / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ronald_Rosen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many of you know, I use many different methods to achieve my trading signals but one of the most important is the measurement of TIME. We have always had the quote from W.D. Gann as the banner on this newsletter, “Time is more important than price; when time is up price will reverse.”

As I have pointed out before, TIME can be measured in many ways. Sometimes I measure in trading days and sometimes it is in calendar days whilst other times I am measuring Fibonacci ratios of previous waves in time to give us projections for possible dates for change of direction.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Gold Follows Crude Oil Lower, ECB Warns Inflation Won't Fall in an Recession / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES fell back at lunchtime in London on Thursday, slipping 0.7% towards this week's low of $955 per ounce as Western stock markets continued to rally on falling oil prices.

The price of crude oil has now dropped $12 from Tuesday's high above $146 a barrel.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Invest in Gold and Silver as Protect from US Economic Catastrophe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Our nation may be on the cusp of economic catastrophe — call it a panic, a meltdown, an implosion; I don't care what you call it. But it's bad. And it's coming straight at you like a runaway bus.

In times of crisis, people naturally gravitate toward gold, because it's the one investment that can hold its value when the fertilizer hits the fan.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Gold Hedge Against Credit Crisis Risks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION gave back an overnight rally of 0.8% late-morning in London on Wednesday, recording an AM Fix of $974 per ounce as European stock markets tumbled for the seventh time in 11 sessions.

The FTSE index of UK blue-chips sank 1.4%, while crude oil held near $136 per barrel, down almost $10 from Tuesday's near-record high.

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