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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Rally Approaching Key Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As we speak the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) is pushing up against a 3-month resistance plateau around 93.30/40, which if hurdled should trigger upside acceleration of the March-July rounded base-like pattern. All of the action between March and July represents a correction that turned out to take the form of a high-level rounded base formation as well, which is exerting intense upward pressure on a series of rally peaks that occurred since March. If (when) hurdled, the GLD should accelerate towards 99-100.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Jumps as European Equities Sink / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD leapt 1% to a one-week high at the US opening on Thursday while oil prices struggled near $136 per barrel and European stock markets caught up with the S&P's latest 2% drop.

The Dollar was little changed against the Euro and British Pound, despite news of a 53% jump in US home foreclosures last month from June '07.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Homing in on $1000 Barrier as Stocks Deliver Zero Growth over Last 10 Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold  finished trading in New York yesterday at $926.30 , up $ 5.40 and silver  was up to $18.07 , up 23 cents . Gold  rose again  in the New York Globex electronic market  and in early trading in  Asia  and has remained firm in early European trading .

With geopolitical risk remaining high and financial risk elevated (as seen with U.S. financial stocks yesterday experiencing their largest one day fall since the start of the current financial crisis nearly a year ago - meaning that the benchmark S&P 500 is officially in a bear market) gold is again receiving safe haven and inflation hedging investment flows which is resulting in higher prices. 

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold's Underlying Truth and Dow Jones Potential to Fall by 75% / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a reasonably intelligent man of 61 years of age, this analyst is not unmindful of the fact that his recent preoccupation with the wisdom of the Ancients has been raising eyebrows – if not questions as to his sanity – amongst regular and (previously?) loyal readers. What possible linkage could an understanding of the Ancients have with investment and making money?

Those who have been puzzled may rest assured. I have not been going off with the pixies. There are solid reasons; and one of these reasons flows from the fact that, in today's markets, everyone and his brother is a technical analyst.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Crude Oil Minor Recovery Bounce Underway / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a near-term technical perspective, today's geo-political "strength" in crude oil and its ETF the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) has the look of a minor recovery bounce rather than the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of the $6 and 5.5% decline since the July 2 high of 117.94 in the USO (to yesterday's reaction low at $111.63).

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Gold Corrects After Recent Bullish Run as Iran Tests Long-range Shahab-3 Missile / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back a 1% rally in London on Wednesday, trading $20 per ounce below this time last week as crude oil managed only a slight bounce on news of an Iranian missile test.

Already subject to international sanctions over its nuclear research program, Tehran said today it successfully fired a Shahab-3 missile overnight, capable of reaching Israel.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Osama Bin Laden's Oil Price Victory Fueling Red-Hot Inflation / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Sometimes your worst fears come back to bite you in the rear. Case in point: In the New York Times, on October 14, 2001 the managing director of an oil consulting firm warned: "If Bin Laden takes over and becomes king of Saudi Arabia, he'd turn off the tap ... he wants oil to be $144 a barrel."

At the time, oil traded at $23, and $144 a barrel seemed downright impossible. Well, terror mastermind Osama Bin Laden, safe in his undisclosed rat hole, must be grinning like a Cheshire cat, because last week oil soared past $144 a barrel.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Gold Forecast to Rise to £1,800 (GBP) / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold  finished trading in New York yesterday at $920.90 , down $ 5 and silver  fell to $17.8 4 , down  1 cents . Gold  again traded down in the New York Globex electronic market  and in early trading in  Asia  prior to rallying in late trading in Asia and and early European trading  back above it's opening price in New York yesterday . 

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Oil Stocks Will Continue To Under Perform The Oil ETF / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOil stocks will under perform crude oil and the o il etf for the next several years - but Energy Juniors will outperform both. The market is now setting up for a great entry point into junior oil Stocks!

When it comes to morbid fascination, this chart takes the Cake!

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

The Indian Gold Train is Leaving the Station ... / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIndians who sold their gold in 2007 to buy stocks are now paying out the wazoo for their gross misjudgment. In January of 2008, the Bombay Stock Exchange fell by more than 4,000 points. It is now a full 8,000 points short of its January 8th peak,

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Bernanke's Indecision on Interest Rates Opens the Door for Resource Juniors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn June 25, Bernanke left key short term rates unchanged at 2%, citing "considerable stress" in financial markets and tight credit conditions. The Fed also cautioned about the upward pressures on prices caused by rising oil and other commodity prices. On the same day, Mr. Warren Buffett fingered "exploding" inflation as the biggest risk to the economy. Buffett said on CNBC "It's huge right now, whether it's steel or oil. We see it everywhere."

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Agri-Food Funds Hit by Credit Crisis Hedge Fund Margin Calls / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVirulent fall of equity markets may have more to do with date of 30 June than temporarily high paper oil prices. Last day of June is associated with end of quarter financial statements. Around the world, financial institutions were preparing for and then creating balance sheets for that important date. Those financial institutions felt compelled by market forces to make their balance sheets look good. That desire translated into a continued reduction in available lending to funds of all kinds.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

The Oil Crisis and Gold / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: David_Vaughn

One of the hardest things about life is when we have to close a chapter. Yesterday becomes merely a collection of happy memories and those memories are all that remain. That perhaps is why we have always clung so hard to nostalgia. The world is constantly changing and that unfortunately even includes our own lives. In life personal actions always produce consequences. Unfortunately, this principal even includes things of material value. And the consequence of less oil produces the consequence of higher prices.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Gold Volatile as Bear Market Grips Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD surged and then fell back in yet more volatile trade early Tuesday, regaining all of yesterday's 1.9% drop before slumping $14 per ounce.

The Gold Price then picked up again as world stock markets sank, oil prices ticked below $140 per barrel, and government bonds rose further.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Grim Economic Outlook Drives Gold and Equities Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $925.90 , down $6 and silver fell to $17.85 , down 43 cents . Gold then sold off somewhat in the New York Globex electronic market before rising again in Asian and early European trading to over $930 per ounce. A lessening likelihood of a military confrontation with Iran contributed to the fall in oil and gold's slight sell off.

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Commodities

Monday, July 07, 2008

So You Think Oil's Expensive Now? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Robert_Carpenter

Oil's move above $140 a barrel and the pronouncement by OPEC that oil prices could rise between $150 and $170 a barrel this summer is another hit for US consumers whose budgets are already at the breaking point. In addition, rumors on Tuesday that Israel had bombed Iran 's nuclear facilities resulted in a sharp spike in oil prices, reminding investors how painfully delicate the market is.

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Commodities

Monday, July 07, 2008

Silver Short Positions Fallacies / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI recently read an “advotorial” suggesting silver to be a fantastic investment, and I could not agree more. However, the author was stating that all short positions have to eventually be covered with physical silver and that when this took place there would be a price explosion.

It is a fallacy that all short positions have to be covered and the shorts will have to buy silver to cover. First, to state that all positions have to be covered is misleading; a position can remain open for a very long time, because as the contract becomes due, it can be rolled over. Technically, it is not the same position, because when it is “rolled forward,” it is a different month and involves a different contract, but basically the contract is moved out to a later date. This rolling takes place all the time in the futures markets.

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Commodities

Monday, July 07, 2008

Commodities Are Strong, But Which Ones Are the Strongest? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's been plenty written about how well commodities have performed in recent years.

But do you know which of these commodities have done the best between 1999 and 2007? Do you know which ones have been the brightest stars so far in 2008?

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Commodities

Monday, July 07, 2008

Gold Drops 2% from Post-Bear Stearns High / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION PRICES fell hard in Asia and London early on Monday, dropping almost 2% from Friday's 15-week closing high – their best level since peaking above $1,000 per ounce as the Federal Reserve stepped in to rescue Bear Stearns in mid-March.

Crude oil futures dropped more than 1.5% to dip below $143 per barrel, almost 2.3% below the most record high, hit last Thursday.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 06, 2008

Gold Stocks - The Next Big Winners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold Stocks - A contrarian view on where the next Gold Stock winners will emerge.
Searching for the Golden Goose?

For years we have been speaking and writing about the massive bind the Fed now finds itself in. With price inflation rising – read as food and energy skyrocketing -- and little hope for nominal interest rate increases – read as housing too weak for higher rates – negative Real Interest Rates (nominal rates less inflation) looks set to persist for some time.

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