Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Gold Bull Resliant As US Dollar Falls to Record Lows / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $4.20 to $784.40 in New York on Tuesday. Since closing in New York it traded sideways in the New York Access market, in Asia and early in Europe rose slightly to trade at $785.90 at 1100 GMT.
Gold is trading at £379.16 (GBP) and €543.86 (EUR). It is thus near record nominal highs in terms of GBP and EUR respectively.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
US Economy - Into the Night / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, gold continues its upward trek. Now coming closer to 800 an ounce. Where oh where now are gold's detractors.
Oil now has closed above 90 and ounce. Nearing its all time high. Saber rattling over Iran 's nuclear armament program receives renewed scrutiny by the Bush administration. Just a matter of time before US troops find their selves marching into Iran .
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Gold in " Bull Run " Ahead of US Interest-Rate Decision; Japan Remains in Post-Bubble Depression 18 Years Later / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose sharply late-morning in London on Wednesday, recovering an overnight drop in Asia to break above last week's 27-year closing high above $785 per ounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Agricultural Foods Price Changes Since Feb 2002 / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Preparing comments on any investment topic day before FOMC announces U.S. interest rate policy is probably a futile gesture. That the announcement comes on Halloween provides an opportunity for cutesy comments which will be avoided. However according to the UN FAO, the world consumed 18.774 million tonnes of pumpkins, squash and gourds in the latest reporting year.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Weakness Developing in Energy / Commodities / Crude Oil
Today's weakness in the Energy Select SPDR (AMEX: XLE) coupled with the developing downtrend in my daily RSI pattern suggest strongly that last week's near-vertical advance indeed was a vicious counter-trend climb to a lower-high, rather than a new upleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Gold vs. Sterling : New All-Time High for British Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...If you think the US Dollar's losing ground against gold, just take a look at what's happening to Sterling..."
WHAT WILL IT TAKE for the mass of investors to wake up and buy gold?
Are they still waiting for a new all-time high perhaps, even after watching the metal beat stocks and bonds for more than six years?
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Monday, October 29, 2007
Crude Oil Nearing Major Peak / Commodities / Crude Oil
Time to consult with the very long-term chart pattern in crude oil, from the December 1998 low at $10.35, which has a very bullish pattern, into today's high, but also a pattern that is in its final few percentage points of making a multi-month if not a multi-year high. All of the action off of the Jan 12, 2007 pullback low at $49.90 represents the final upmove in the larger 1998-2007 upleg. The relationships between the various legs during the most recent 10-month upmove point ot a target zone of $97 to $102, or an additional 4%-10% climb in crude oil prices prior to the anticipated peak and reversal.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Digital Nirvana And The Unfolding Mania In Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold is set to move higher over the next few days towards $800 in a blow-off of the larger sequence since summer. This could send some precious metals stocks far higher than may be contemplated by some, where corrections would only take complex components back to current proximities. That being said, while such an assessment may or may not prove correct, one thing is for sure, anybody attempting to time inter-waves within larger sequences could find themselves left ‘standing at the station', unable to get back in without paying up. This of course will depend on how quickly the ‘cake eaters' (for our Italian friends) decide to debase fiat currencies around the world in preemptive monetary largesse.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Gold Hits All-Time High for British Investors; Surge in Bond & Equity Markets Gives the Fed "No Alternative" to Destroying the Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES surged at the Asian opening on Monday, quickly gaining another $10 from last week's 27-year closing high and racking up a new all-time high against the British Pound.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
How Undervalued Are Austrailian Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Don't think for a minute that the world has not become a “one market place” game or you will miss out. Investment strategy must follow the money or money flows to stay with trends and the earlier you catch one the more you make if you can hang in there – simple isn't it. I have an early trend for you to consider and it is misunderstood by most – with low sovereign risk.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Could Crude Oil $100 Cause the Next Credit Crunch? / Commodities / Credit Crunch
The Financial Sector is still coming to terms with the US Subprime Mortgages induced credit crunch, could again be in the line of fire of a new credit crunch caused by crude oil surging to $100, triggering a similar collapse of hedge funds and put the banking sector under renewed pressure as the crude oil credit crunch contagion spreads.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - Surge in Shorts Open Interest Trying to Cap Golds Bull Run / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Wow! what a week. It starts with a plunge and ends with a zoom. Which, oh which is the REAL direction of least resistance?
SHORTS
If that open interest is mostly shorts, someone is sure set on losing their shirts. They've added another 16000 short contracts this past week and that's not including Friday. I'll bet that the open interest really moved on Friday. All that money trying to cool the bullish run on gold. Who, oh who could be that speculative to be risking all that capital on the short side when the strength is on the up side? Unless – maybe the shorts are not playing with their own personal money.
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Oil hits $92.22! Gold up $16.50! Emergency Strategy Update / Commodities / Resources Investing
Earlier this week, when Larry and I called an Emergency Strategy Update to alert you to a new, even more dramatic surge in gold and oil … and in nearly every resource under the sun …
When we told you about stocks that can leverage these rises by many times …
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Saturday, October 27, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: The Mighty Ben Bernanke / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The 5-week simple moving average in gold has been explicitly mentioned in the TTC forums and chatroom as the bare minimum for confirmation of a reversal. Without even a retest of the 5-week moving average, it's impossible to expect anything but a consolidation leading to new highs. Silver has not been reacting as closely to developments in the currencies, central banks and economic data, it's future will probably be decided by the direction gold takes, either sharply to new highs or into a much deeper retracement. With volatily again on the rise, the importance of support at about $13.25 will also be increasing.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Reasons for Buying and Investing in Gold - Part 1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Moving away from the US Dollar
1. Vietnam is planning to cut its purchases of US Treasuries and other dollar bonds, raising fears that Asian central banks with control over two-thirds of the world's foreign reserves may soon join the flight from U.S. assets. The State Bank of Vietnam was abandoning the attempt to hold down the Vietnamese currency through heavy purchases of dollars. The policy is causing the economy to overheat, driving up inflation to 8.8%. Vietnam, which has mid-sized reserves of $40 billion, is seen as weathervane for the bigger Asian powers.
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Friday, October 26, 2007
Why Silver Is Lagging the Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Since the middle of August alone, gold has powered 18% higher driving a 40% rally in the HUI gold-stock index. Just a week ago the Ancient Metal of Kings closed near $768, its highest nominal levels seen since its famous January 1980 super spike. And both gold and HUI seasonals now argue for more gains in the months ahead. Today really is the best of times for gold investors.
Despite this good fortune, a nagging doubt is gnawing away at the minds of many traders. Silver, which tends to run higher with gold, has not been confirming gold's move. While gold carves majestic new bull highs, silver hasn't even come close yet to exceeding its May 2006 high of just under $15. Though it has run 20% higher at best since mid-August, barely beating gold's gains is considered a failure for silver.
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Friday, October 26, 2007
Gold Nears 9th Weekly Gain in Ten as Financial Traders Bet on Cheap Money Bail-Out for US Housing / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES hit a new 27-year high above $778 per ounce on Friday morning before dipping $2 by lunchtime in London .
Asian stock markets leapt, bond prices rose, and oil prices also surged on a fresh record low in the Dollar after S&P and Moody's – the global ratings agencies – cut the credit-worthiness of debt issued by Merrill Lynch, the troubled US investment bank.
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Thursday, October 25, 2007
Credit Crunch Meltdown and For Gold the Trend is Your Friend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was trading sideways in Asia and early in Europe and is trading at $764.50. Resistance is at last week's 28-year high of $770, while support is at $750 and there is strong support at $725. Gold's price oscillator (PPO), is showing that gold is not particularly overbought. It is still below 3 whereas after the last serious move in the gold price into the May 2006 highs, the PPO reached as high as 6.
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Thursday, October 25, 2007
Filtering the Opportunities and Location of Mining Properties / Commodities / Metals & Mining
There are literally no geographical boundaries for companies in search of natural resources. Nearly every country from the United States , Peru , Ecuador , Brazil , Argentina , Venezuela , China , Turkey , Mexico and even under the ocean floor, offer the potential for incredible opportunities.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Where Does Gold Go From Here? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
A picture of gold's price action Tuesday shows it bouncing up and down. This is normal and to be expected in a classic bull market.
So, where to from now? And maybe we should ask where we presently are at the moment? Gold remains strong and staying well above 700.
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