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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Sugar Commodity Trade Setup / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Before I dig into the nitty gritty of this potentially sweet trade setup, I would like to first wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday!

Being from Canada, I’m very lucky to be able to spend quality time with my family for the next month down in the sunshine state of Florida. I sure love the ocean breeze, sand between the toes, palm trees, and heat. Its amazing how cold Floridians make a sunny 70-degree day look being all bundled up in pants, jackets, and hats while I live in my bathing suit practically the entire time I’m down here. I don’t put on pants or a sweater until its 65ish outside or a restaurant demands I must wear pants and I’m still sweating wearing all that clothing. Its great to be back in America!

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Silly Myths About Gold During Rising Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Fed Hikes; Silly Myths about Interest Rates & Gold Persist

The Fed finally acted this week – upping its benchmark Federal Funds rate by 0.25%. Now that the speculation over whether the Fed will hike has been put to rest, analysts are busily speculating about what the Fed's move means for the economy and markets.

Many of these speculations are unfounded. It's time to bust some silly myths.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

How Much Oil Is Needed To Power Santa's Sleigh? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Every year around the world, hundreds of millions of children wait anxiously for Santa Claus to arrive and bring presents and good cheer. But what if Santa never came? What if this year the reindeer all fall ill, perhaps due to Crazy Reindeer disease (the analog to Mad Cow) and Santa is forced to cancel Christmas? The result would be devastating.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Gold Thrives, Paper Dies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

(From “Bobby,” a reader – posted as a comment)

Both Gold and Silver it is said
Are jeered yet feared by the Fed
For if they rise it will but show
The dollar’s worth is very low
So if they rise in upward trend
The Fed then feels it must defend
The things they do we know aren’t right
But they don’t care, they have the might

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

History Shows that Gold Has Been In Worse Situations Before, But Still Managed to Recover / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Gold has always been seen as one of the best when it comes to investments. Unlike other forms of investments, the price of gold does not rely on certain aspects that are guaranteed to change at some point in time like company management or competition.

This is what makes the yellow metal a haven for most investors during tough economic times. On the contrary, when economies are doing well, and particularly the US economy, gold does seem to struggle a bit due to its links with the US dollar.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Gold Price Rises on Fed Interest Rate Hike, as Contrarians Predicted / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Predicting is a risky sport and predicting markets an extreme one. But understanding can be much more lucrative. After years of speculation about the negative impact a Federal Reserve rate increase could have on gold, a number of our experts took a contrarian view and based on an understanding that the hike was already priced into the gold price, they explained that it would actually benefit the gold price because it would remove the overhanging doubt. And that is exactly what happened. Within hours of the unanimous announcement on Wednesday that the Fed's benchmark short-term borrowing rate would go up a quarter point, gold was up $14/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Silver: Until Paper Currencies Stop Losing Value / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Alasdair McLeod wrote an excellent article in which he said,

“So if anyone asks you when you might take your profits in gold and silver, smile sweetly and just say, ‘When paper money stops losing its value.’”

When will paper money stop losing its value?  I submit that unbacked fiat paper money will, based on history, never stop losing value – as long as it is backed by dodgy sovereign debt issued by governments descending deeper into debt ever year.  A viable alternative is currency backed by gold and silver, but even though precious metals have been used successfully as money for centuries, there is far more profit for TPTB when they use the paper stuff.  Consequently paper and digital currencies will not disappear anytime soon.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Will Lower Crude Oil Prices Cause the Fed to Delay Tightening? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Bob_Kirtley

The FOMC has been moving towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle for a considerable amount of time. Throughout this year Fed statements and the accompanying press conferences have been preparing the markets for the first rate hike. Since the October FOMC various Fed speakers have signalled to the market that the first hike would come at the December meeting, which is this week.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Whither Silver Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

In a bit of a surprise today, crude oil somehow managed to pop high after falling below $35 at one point. It seems like it was more a case of running out of sellers rather than aggressive new buying.

Part of the reason for the move higher was that same pestilential macro trade that seemingly surfaces every single time the Dollar moves lower, namely the macro boyz start buying commodities in general.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Santa Claus Gives Away Top 5 Junior Gold Mining Stock Picks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Thibaut Lepouttre, editor of Caesars Report, knows 'tis the season for generosity, so when we asked him for his top three picks among junior mining equities, he gave us five—four gold plays and a phosphate name. Belgium-based Lepouttre also discusses different "black-swan" events and their potential impact on the gold price, as well as some naughty and nice mining jurisdictions. But this is the interview that keeps on giving, so before he left Lepouttre added two micro-cap oil names he believes would make great "stocking stuffers." He's not Santa Claus but you'll appreciate his magnanimity in this interview with The Gold Report.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Crude Oil Extends Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil lost 3.34% as a bearish report from the International Energy Agency added to worries over a supply glut and affected negatively investors' sentiment. In this environment, light crude dropped to a fresh 2015 low, slipping to the lowest level since Feb 2009. What's next?

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2015

Fed, ECB “Monetary Insanity” Is “Frightening” – GoldCore on Keiser Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Max Keiser interviewed GoldCore Research Director, Mark O’Byrne last week and the video was released on Saturday.

Key points and topics covered:

– “Monetary insanity” of ECB and Fed is “frightening”
– “Absolutely nothing has been learned” since financial crisis
– “Financial hypocrisy on a grand scale”
– Ireland was vassal of Bank of England and now ECB

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2015

Why Gold-Backed Money Doesn’t Bring Economic Booms and Busts / Commodities / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

According to popular thinking, not every increase in the supply of money will have an effect on economic activity. For instance, if an increase in supply is matched by a corresponding increase in the demand for money, we are told, then there won’t be any effect on the economy. The increase in the supply of money is neutralized, so to speak, by an increase in the demand for money, or the willingness to hold a greater amount of money than before.

What do we mean by demand for money? And how does this demand differ from demand for goods and services?

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Commodities

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Are Low Crude Oil Prices a 'Boom Or A Curse' For The World Economy? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The energy markets are tanking and are at levels that have not been seen since "The Recession" of 2009. Opinions are divided on the effects of the fall. Some say it is good for consumers, whereas, others say it is bad for the global economy. This article will analyze the overall effects of low crude oil prices on the industry, the major oil-producing nations, consumers and the overall global economy. The severity of the fall can be seen in the chart below.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Gold And Silver– Problem, Reaction, Solution Does Not Apply To Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

The Rothschild-now-globalist template for gaining control over all money, and now the world, has been create a Problem, let an adverse Reaction develop, then present the desired Solution. On a grander scale, there was the US Civil War to divide the country, then the manufactured Roaring ’20s and the stock market bubble, burst when the money changers purposefully tightened the money supply creating massive margin calls and the Crash of 1929.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 12, 2015

The Effect of a Fed Rate Hike on Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The markets have for the most part already priced in a Fed rate hike which is expected next week. Yesterday fed funds futures indicated an 80% chance of a rate hike. It would be the first hike in roughly 9 years. The Fed last began a new hiking cycle in 2004. We consult history to decipher the potential impact (of a rate hike) on the embattled precious metals sector.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 12, 2015

The Gold Market - Mario Draghi is a Hype Machine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: EconMatters

The Gold Market is pretty interesting here as investors realized on Thursday that much that comes out of Mario Draghi`s mouth is complete hyperbole, because things aren`t nearly as dire in Europe as some bankers try to persuade for additional stimulus out of the ECB, and Germany isn`t going to sign off on the extreme bazooka stimulus measures because Germans by nature are conservative, and there is a commensurate symmetry between ratcheting up extreme monetary measures and stoking the fire of unintended consequences.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Gold Sector Inputs That Actually Matter and Stock Market Refugees / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

The word play in the title is in reference to the ridiculous fuss over COMEX gold inventory and other promotions masquerading as fundamentals put out by cartoons masquerading as analysis.

30 year divided by, and 30 year minus 5 year are neutral at best.  Yield spreads would be rising in a gold-positive environment.  As a side note, this spread also tends to bring trouble for the stock market during its initial stages of rising.

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Commodities

Friday, December 11, 2015

Gold Thrives in Fed Interest Rate Hike Cycles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s deep new secular lows of recent weeks were fueled by American futures speculators’ overpowering fear of Fed rate hikes.  They believe zero-yielding gold is doomed in a higher-rate world, so they dumped gold futures at astounding record rates.  The problem is history proves just the opposite, that gold tends to thrive during Fed-rate-hike cycles.  This revelation is a super-bullish near-term omen for gold.

Some brief context is essential to frame gold’s apparently dire predicament today.  Late July saw gold crushed to new secular lows by a record extreme gold-futures shorting attack brazenly executed to blast through long-side stops and foment panic selling.  But this burst selling soon fizzled, leading to a major gold bottom in early August.  Over the subsequent few months, gold carved an impressive new uptrend.

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Commodities

Friday, December 11, 2015

Gold and Silver Exceptional Hypocrisy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

Gold and silver finished largely unchanged in a lightly traded session.

There were no deliveries worth noting at The Bucket Shop yesterday. Nothing in gold, and a few bars of silver.

The gold warehouses were completely quiet, sitting tight with warranted (registered) bullion sitting at decades long lows, and with little historical precedent for their ratio to open interest.

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