Friday, June 09, 2017
Precious Metals’ Reply to US Dollar’s Small Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold, silver and mining stocks finally moved lower after several days of higher prices and one can say the opposite about the USD Index. Was this just a pause or a beginning of a bigger downtrend?
The latter is quite likely and the reasons come from the precious metals charts as well as from the one of the USD Index. In short, the points that we made in the previous alerts this week remain up-to-date, especially those that we discussed yesterday regarding the “when” factor. We will move to this issue in a few minutes and in the meantime, let’s start today’s discussion with gold’s short-term chart (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Create a Compelling Landing Page in Less than 30 Minutes / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
In case you’re not familiar with the term, a landing page is a page that a visitor arrives at by clicking on a link or an ad. In the context of digital marketing, a landing page is a web page completely detached from your main website. It’s a single-page site created solely to serve one purpose – conversion.
Creating a compelling landing page is a quick and easy process, especially if you’ve got a few inside tips and tricks. No designing or coding skills necessary. And did we mention you can do it in under 30 minutes as well?
Set your timer and let’s get started.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
U.S.Bond and Small Cap Stock Soaring Together? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
U.S. Stock Markets just keep going higher and higher! How much higher will they go? I am FORECASTING another 25% higher for U.S. Stocks! The ‘bullish trend’ from the breakout continues, as expected. Breadth has become strong, once again, including a new all-time high on the SPX Advance/Decline line to match the new all-time high for the SPX. My breath thrust index reissued another buy for the SPX on May 31st, 2017! Once the markets wake up and realize that there will be no U.S. tradewars, they will then begin their assent.
Friday, June 09, 2017
How to Secure the Best Business Line of Credit / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Good Sized Drop in Equities, Rally in Gold Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Today (June 8) is the 4/16 TD top. The next low is due on June 12. A sudden sharp sell-off in equities (likely June 9) and a rally in gold is due into Monday. My best guess now is that we see a move into the 2380/90’s. GDX could easily move from the 22.90’s (forecasted 2 days ago) into the low 24.00’s.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Why The US’ Withdrawal From The Paris Climate Agreement Makes Sense / Politics / Climate Change
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : 70 years ago, US Secretary of State George Marshall gave a speech at Harvard University. Few speeches in modern times have had as much geopolitical consequence.
In just eight paragraphs, Marshall made the case for significant US involvement in Europe’s economic reconstruction after World War II.
Within 10 months, the United States passed the Foreign Assistance Act of 1948. Better known as the Marshall Plan, it provided over $13 billion to 16 European countries (about $150 billion in 2017 dollars).
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Theresa May to Resign, Fatal Error Was to Believe Worthless Opinion Polls! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Opinion pollsters have done it again, have got another major election very, very badly wrong. What's worse is that before the start of the campaign were projecting a 20%+ lead that forecast a landside Tory election victory of well over 400 seats, that had convinced a technocratic Theresa May to call a snap general election, that is likely to cost her job as Prime Minister.
I am sure Theresa May is pondering when she should resign, likely immediately given the dismal results as per the BBC's revised forecast of their Exit poll adding 8 seats to their earlier Tory tally of 314 to now 322. Whilst at the same time cutting Labours seats estimate from 266 to 261. Suggesting a disastrous result for the Conservatives, hence triggering Theresa May's resignation.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Scotland Saves Tory Government, BBC Revises Exit Poll Forecast to 322, Labour 261, SNP 32 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The BBC have revised their earlier hung parliament exit poll forecast in favour of the Conservatives by adding 8 seats to their earlier tally of 314 to now 322. Whilst at the same time cutting Labours seats total from 266 to 261. Suggesting a disastrous result for the Conservatives. Though at the rate the BBC are revising the Tory seats total higher then they may still achieve an overall majority which means, even at 322 it most definitely is not over for the Conservative government who could continue in government despite damage done to their political capital.
Friday, June 09, 2017
UK Financial Markets Calm in Election Storm, is the BBC Exit Poll Wrong? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Within minutes of Britain's 50,000 polling stations closing at 10pm tonight, the BBC / ITV / Sky joint Exit Poll has been released for the UK General Election 2017 that forecasts a shock election result - Conservatives on 314, Labour on 266, Lib Dems on 14 and the SNP on 34 which implied a shock hung parliament election result that was expected to trigger market panic as happened following the EU Referendum.
Thursday, June 08, 2017
Nick Clegg Forecast to Win Sheffield Hallam - 75% Probability / ElectionOracle / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
Whilst the BBC's shock hung parliament exit poll currently forecasts that Nick Clegg's Sheffield Hallam seat is too close to call meaning that Labour could take it. This is backed up by BBC reporting of worried voices out of Lib Dems at the count. However according to the betting markets as illustrated by Betfair have following the close of polls marginally shifted in Nick Clegg's favour currently pricing Nick Clegg on 1.14 against Labour on 1.44 which converts into an implied probability of about 70% to 75% for Nick Clegg winning Sheffield Hallam (when taking into account Labour trading at 1.44).
Thursday, June 08, 2017
BBC Exit Poll Forecasts Shock Hung Parliament - Conservative 314, Labour 266, SNP 34 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Within minutes of Britain's 50,000 polling stations closing at 10pm tonight, the BBC / ITV / Sky joint Exit Poll has been released for the UK General Election 2017 that forecasts a shock election result - Conservatives on 314, Labour on 266, Lib Dems on 14 and the SNP on 34 which implies a shock hung parliament election result! - MARKETS PANIC!
Thursday, June 08, 2017
UK General Election BBC Exit Polls Forecast Accuracy / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Over 50,000 polling stations are open today across the UK to cope with the expected demand from an estimated 32 million voters out of a total of approx 47 million eligible to vote. With all eyes turned to the next big event of election night, the BBC EXIT POLL to follow within minutes of the polls closing at 10pm. Which unlike the multitudes of daily opinion polls that have been all over the place for the past month, the exit poll should provide an accurate gauge of what is the probable outcome of the general election some 6 hours before enough seats have been counted to make the actual result clear.
Thursday, June 08, 2017
Hidden Costs You Need To Be Careful With When Taking Out A Business Loan / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
There are various situations in which a business loan is necessary. This is a very important decision, no matter why the money is needed. The problem with various business loans is that the borrower does not fully read the contract. Automatic signing is much more common than it should be. There are so many possible hidden costs that could appear and that have to be identified. It is easy to learn how to apply for a debt consolidation loan online or any other loan but it is more difficult to avoid those hidden costs. In order to help, here are those that appear more often than others. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 08, 2017
FTSE Stocks, Bonds and Sterling Calm Ahead of UK Election Result Storm? / ElectionOracle / Financial Markets 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK stocks, bonds and sterling were calm ahead of the result of the UK general election, where effectively the financial markets are discounting a Conservative election victory on an INCREASED majority in Theresa May's BrExit election, where the higher the number of seats gained by the Tories then the more positive the market response is likely to be. However should the markets also get it wrong this time as they had for the EU Referendum then all hell could once more break lose. But for the time being the markets are calm.
Thursday, June 08, 2017
This Is The Most Profound Shift The US Economy Has Ever Seen / Economics / Demographics
By: John_Mauldin
By Stephen McBride : This year, the first Baby Boomers turned 70, and that spells trouble for the economy and financial markets.
Speaking at Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff, David Rosenberg, dissected the wide-ranging implications of the wave of Baby Boomers now retiring.
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
People Will Live Past Age 100, Yet Most Of Them Won’t Afford It / Personal_Finance / Longevity
By: John_Mauldin
I have good news and bad news.
The good news is that you and your children will probably have much longer lives than you imagine. The bad news is that you’ll have to pay the bill for it.
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
Stocks Trade At Record Highs, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, June 08, 2017
This is the Energy Company the Market Wants to Buy Now / Companies / Energy Resources
By: WallStreetNation
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
GBPUSD Remains in Uptrend from 1.2109 / Currencies / British Pound
By: Franco_Shao
GBPUSD moved sideways in a trading range between 1.2756 and 1.3047. As long as the pair is above 1.2756 support, the sideways movement could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend from the March 14 low of 1.2109, and further rise could be expected after the consolidation. Near term resistance is at 1.3047, a break of this level could signal resumption of the uptrend.
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
General Election Latest Opinion Polls and Betting Market Forecasts / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 2017 General Election has proved to be one of the most volatile elections in terms of the polls for decades, which has seen the opinion polls based forecasters literally playing pin the tail on the donkey since Theresa May called the BrExit election. Virtually all of the pollsters started the campaign by forecasting a Tory landslide Conservative election victory of over 400 seats that mostly persisted until barely to 2 weeks ago as the following table illustrates: