Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, March 13, 2012
What Commodity Bubble? Gold, Silver, Rare Earth and Uranium Miners Rebound / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Far be it for Gold Stock Trades to indulge in hubris, nevertheless with all humility we not only saw this risk on rally forming in early October but reiterated on many occasions "be not dismayed by recent declines." "Commodities are not in a bubble." "Patience and Fortitude."
Recent action exemplifies the importance of not being trigger happy when it involves the commodity arena especially precious metals, uranium and rare earths. Volatility can daunt even the most resolute of investors.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2012
Are Investors Still Bullish on Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
According to Bloomberg, hedge funds decreased bets on higher commodity prices for the first time in seven weeks. This comes shortly after China cut its official economic growth forecast to 7.5 percent this year, the lowest since 2004. While money managers slashed bets on copper by the most in two months, demand for precious metals remains strong.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
Silver the Restless Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Silver is a much smaller market than the gold market and quality research about the poor man’s gold can be less easy to find. One academic who does stand out though is the late Professor Roy Jastram, whose works on gold lead him to an investigation into silver’s monetary history and record. His book ‘Silver: the restless metal’ is much cited by silver experts like David Morgan, but being out of print is now not that easy to get hold of. The Amazon book markets in the US and UK were trading at >$140 when we looked, so we headed down to the British Library in London to get hold of a copy. Published in 1981, this book is a look at silver’s recorded monetary history with a forward look at what the future might hold for the silver price.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
Battered Gold Drops Below $1700 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
THE DOLLAR gold price fell back through $1700 an ounce as US markets opened on Monday, continuing its slide begun when Asian markets opened several hours earlier.
The silver price dropped to $33.63 per ounce – a 2.0% fall on last week's close – while stocks and commodities edged lower and US Treasury bond prices gained.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
China's SAFE: "We Wont Put All The Eggs In One Basket" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,705.25, EUR 1,299.93, and GBP 1,088.57 per ounce.
Friday's AM fix was USD 1,699.50, EUR 1,285.36 and GBP 1,078.30 per ounce.
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Monday, March 12, 2012
Silver Chart Analysis Indicates Why Silver Price Is Likely To Pass $150 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In a previous article, I wrote about the shift to measuring wealth in ounces instead of Dollars. In that same article, I expressed my opinion that I consider silver bullion to be one of the best current opportunities to increase one's gold ounces.
Here, I would like to point out some interesting signals on the long-term chart for silver.
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Saturday, March 10, 2012
Gold's Inflation Problem / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold goes up with inflation. Except when it goes up regardless...
EVERYBODY'S fretting about inflation. Central bankers say there's too little, or will be (just you wait). Lesser mortals feel there's way more than the official numbers let on. And finance professionals think there's a lot more ahead.
Saturday, March 10, 2012
Do Gold and Silver Investors Believe QE Will Be Dialed Back? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
After two days of consecutive gains, gold and silver briefly dipped into the red after Friday’s job report. The Labor Department’s monthly report said the United States economy added 227,000 jobs in February, compared to expectations of 213,000. Furthermore, hiring in January and December were better than previously thought. Those figures were revised to show 61,000 additional jobs. The economy has generated an average of 245,000 new jobs in each of the last three months.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Crude Oil Stocks Room to Run / Commodities / Oil Companies
With Iran waxing belligerent again, oil has been making headlines lately. Stock speculators and investors are anxiously watching its price, gaming how oil stocks are likely to react to various oil-price scenarios. And since the oil complex has already enjoyed a strong upleg, plenty of topping fears exist. But the technicals of oil and the leading oil-stock index, as well as their ratio, show lots of room to run higher yet.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Possibility of a Bounce Up in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
On Tuesday gold prices continued to break down, falling for a fifth consecutive day breaking below the 200-day moving average. On February 6th we suggested getting out of the speculative long positions, and reiterated it yet once again just a day before the crash. But this week on Tuesday, our SP Gold Bottom Indicator flashed a long-term buy signal. The indicator is just one of the unique proprietary investment tools developed by Sunshine Profits, available only to our subscribers. We tend to take this particular signal seriously since it has proved to be uncannily accurate in the past (you can click the chart to enlarge it if you’re reading this essay on sunshineprofits.com).
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Time to Accumulate Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: Do you own enough gold and silver for what lies ahead?
If 10% of your total investable assets (i.e., excluding equity in your primary residence) aren't held in various forms of gold and silver, we at Casey Research think your portfolio is at risk.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Natural Gas Fracking Boom Turns Sour / Commodities / Natural Gas
Exxon Mobil's CEO Rex Tillerson, unveiling bad news on Exxon's intense program to develop shale and stranded gas resources, said March 8th that some shale formations in Europe and China are impervious to drilling techniques that opened vast reserves of US natural gas and identified potential shale oil reserves, from Texas and Pennsylvania to North Dakota. He concluded that new methods and techniques will need to be invented to tap many of the shale fields that energy companies and governments across the world, with a few exceptions hope eventually will yield a bonanza of gas and then oil.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Gold and Silver Down on Week, Stocks and Dollar Rally Following U.S. Nonfarms Release / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold prices fell by over $20 an ounce within one hour Friday lunchtime in London, while stock markets rallied along with the Dollar immediately following the release of monthly US jobs data.
Dollar gold prices fell over 1% to below $1680 per ounce, while silver prices fell to $33.25 per ounce, while other commodities were relatively flat on the day.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Strong Silver Price in 2012 as Strengthening Investment and Industrial Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,699.50, EUR 1,285.36, and GBP 1,078.30 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,701.50, EUR 1,287.26 and GBP 1,076.70 per ounce.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Dude, Where’s my Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Amid reports of Germany and Switzerland requesting their gold from the United States, Jan Skoyles asks why do they want it back considering their monetary policies? The repatriation of gold is a growing topic of interest since Venezuela demonstrated how much value they place on their gold reserves. With escalating gold prices, growing gold investment demand and faltering Western economies is it any wonder German and Swiss politicians are asking where their gold is.
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Gold Stocks: Tread Carefully / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Clarity of vision can be lost in the everyday hustle and bustle of market gyrations, news events, political posturing and the whirlwind of activity that is our daily labor. So, from time to time we need to recap by establishing just what it is that we are trying to attain. It is said that if we can state the problem clearly we are half way to the answer, so here we go:
Question: What is it that we are trying to achieve?
Friday, March 09, 2012
The Nuclear Power Revival / Commodities / Nuclear Power
Emerging from the shadow of Fukushima, the nuclear sector is on the cusp of a comeback, according to Mark Lackey, chief investment strategist with Toronto-based Pope & Company. Nuclear plants have been reopened, and as many as 200 new plants worldwide are scheduled to come online. At the same time, uranium supply shortages loom on the horizon, making for bullish fundamentals for uranium miners. Lackey's faith in the coal sectors also burns brightly. He reveals his favorites in both sectors in this exclusive Energy Report interview.
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Thursday, March 08, 2012
The Story Behind US Gas Price Pain / Commodities / Gas - Petrol
Marin Katusa, Casey Research writes: Gasoline consumption in the United States has been dropping for years. In the last decade, vehicle fuel efficiency has improved by 20%, and the combination of that shift and a weak economy of late has pushed gasoline demand to its lowest level in a decade.
At the same time, US oil production is at its highest level in a decade. Deepwater wells in the Gulf of Mexico and horizontal fracs in the Bakken shale have turned America's domestic oil production scene around. After 20 years of declining production, US crude output rates started to climb in 2008 and have increased every year since.
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Thursday, March 08, 2012
Gold Remains in Consolidation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
With Gold's failure at $1800, it should be obvious that the market is in a protracted consolidation. This is actually similar to 2006-2007 and it is something we wrote about in a missive in early January. At the time, Gold had bottomed and had the luxury of very strong support nearby. We believed Gold would be range bound, but because it was emerging from support, it would have an upward bias. With Gold's failure at $1800, now we can say range-bound with a downward bias.
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Thursday, March 08, 2012
Spot the Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The chart below plots the Federal Reserve System's total assets, the European Central Bank's total assets and the price of gold over time.
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